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New Project : 2,000 - 6,500 EUR in 20 days/20 goals

Milan12Milan

04 Jun 13 06:49

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Date Joined: 23 Jan 12

| Topic/replies: 6,501 | Blogger: Milan12Milan's blog

Been a very crazy month of betting, which ended on the right note...

Now I am looking to start a new Project - Over 0.5 Market Backer.... at odds of 1.06 to the power of 20 give odds of 6.41..

So if I back a goal a day for the project for 20 days I would be ready by the end of June... The rest of profits made will be withdrawn..

I hope I won't get bust too early here.

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Replies: 166

By:

darthginge When: 04 Jun 13 08:11

Have you done any dry runs on this? What's your best run?

By:

Milan12Milan When: 04 Jun 13 08:12

Yeah... but by betting on a variety of markets ... not on a single one

By:

darthginge When: 04 Jun 13 08:15

if you fish out all the non-o0.5 markets how many have you got right in a row?

By:

Milan12Milan When: 04 Jun 13 08:20

Jun 4, 2013 -- 8:15AM, darthginge wrote:

if you fish out all the non-o0.5 markets how many have you got right in a row?

never held such a statistic to be honest with you.

By:

darthginge When: 04 Jun 13 08:29

fair enough, I shall follow the thread with interest. For me I'd be doing U19/U21 games all the time!

By:

Milan12Milan When: 04 Jun 13 08:51

Jun 4, 2013 -- 8:29AM, darthginge wrote:

fair enough, I shall follow the thread with interest. For me I'd be doing U19/U21 games all the time!

Yes that makes sense too... There are the U21 championships.. U20 World Cup and Confederations Cup this month too.. do you know any other competitions coming up?

By:

Biscuit1979 When: 04 Jun 13 09:11

If you're going to stake that much on 1.06 shots all the time, surely you'd be better off going for something like under 2.5 or 3.5 and trading out after 6 ticks. A lot less stress certainly.

I actually think you should paper trade for a day or 2, select your bets as normal but don't actually place them and then write down what the highest odds were they reached before a goal came. I think you'll be quite surprised at how much more money you'd make, instead of going all in, waiting all game for a goal and moaning about how the 'impossible happened' if it doesn't.

By:

Milan12Milan When: 04 Jun 13 09:19

Jun 4, 2013 -- 9:11AM, Biscuit1979 wrote:

If you're going to stake that much on 1.06 shots all the time, surely you'd be better off going for something like under 2.5 or 3.5 and trading out after 6 ticks. A lot less stress certainly.I actually think you should paper trade for a day or 2, select your bets as normal but don't actually place them and then write down what the highest odds were they reached before a goal came. I think you'll be quite surprised at how much more money you'd make, instead of going all in, waiting all game for a goal and moaning about how the 'impossible happened' if it doesn't.

Yeah... I actually say that to myself that I do not get enough value on the over 0.5 market.. especially when it goes 0-0 HT.... Having said that when I used to back under 4.5 goal markets and a goal comes in I would literally start counting seconds... If I carefully handpick the games I think . it should be safe..

By:

darthginge When: 04 Jun 13 09:22

Not sure about any other comps coming up but Biscuits comments about stealing 6 ticks or so are very valid. Should take 5-10 mins in most games

By:

darthginge When: 04 Jun 13 09:23

I think if, when looking for bets, you find a genuine unders game go with this strategy. I'm doing it myself, only ~50 bets in so very small sample and I'm finding it reasonably easy to steal ~20 ticks. Be mindful of liquidity though

By:

Milan12Milan When: 05 Jun 13 12:00

Bet 1.

05/06/2013 - Croatia U19 vs Greece U19 - Over 0.5 @1.08 - 1,938 eur

By:

Everton_2006 When: 05 Jun 13 12:05

Good luck Milan, I'll be watching with interest!

By:

dizzyfcuk When: 05 Jun 13 12:15

GL, i'll be following also

By:

Milan12Milan When: 05 Jun 13 12:17

0-1 GREECE.

Bet 1 ready

By:

Everton_2006 When: 05 Jun 13 12:18

WD Milan! Could be very profitable in the end for you. Just don't do every game you see. Research and time your bets well

By:

swebih When: 05 Jun 13 12:27

u19 is 2x40min 1,08 is crap for me but gl.

By:

Biscuit1979 When: 05 Jun 13 12:33

U19 is 45 minutes

By:

Milan12Milan When: 05 Jun 13 12:33

Jun 5, 2013 -- 12:27PM, swebih wrote:

u19 is 2x40min

By:

Everton_2006 When: 05 Jun 13 12:39

45 mins mate

By:

Everton_2006 When: 05 Jun 13 12:39

Youth games are 40

By:

swebih When: 05 Jun 13 12:43

still, under 1,10 is bad price i think

i hope you can reach the goal quick and i will follow it.

GL

By:

darthginge When: 05 Jun 13 13:24

Nice start Milan

By:

harry2.1 When: 05 Jun 13 13:56

This guy bets on anything, no wonder it ends in tears.

By:

darthginge When: 05 Jun 13 14:13

In fairness Milan does limit himself to goal markets :)

By:

harry2.1 When: 05 Jun 13 15:21

How will he get 19k on some obscure game on his final bet. Say the true odds are 1.1, he will be lucky to get 2k on at 1.08 and another couple at 1.07. That's a road to run.

By:

Half Loser 22 When: 05 Jun 13 15:58

3 Bets I'm betting on -
Sao Paulo v Goias Over 0.5 - got £370 on, might stick another £160 on
Then Netherlands U21 v Germany U21 Over 0.5 (tomorrow)
Then Netherlands to win away at Indonesia (friday)

By:

Milan12Milan When: 05 Jun 13 16:04

Jun 5, 2013 -- 3:58PM, Half Loser 22 wrote:

3 Bets I'm betting on -Sao Paulo v Goias Over 0.5 - got £370 on, might stick another £160 onThen Netherlands U21 v Germany U21 Over 0.5 (tomorrow)Then Netherlands to win away at Indonesia (friday)

I am thinking the same to be honest

By:

Milan12Milan When: 05 Jun 13 16:05

I am thinking also which over 0.5 to back from the following:

Poland U19 vs Spain U19 or Israel U21 vs Norway U21

By:

Milan12Milan When: 05 Jun 13 16:14

Bet 2: Uefa U19: Spain vs Poland (05/06/2013) - Over 0.5 @1.05 - 1,950 Eur [subject to be matched]

Waiting (unmatched)
Back (Bet For) Odds Stake Profit
Poland U19 v Spain U19
Over 0.5 Goals
Over/Under 0.5 Goals 1.05 €1,950.00 €97.50
Ref: 27539315317 Submitted: 18:12 5-Jun-13

By:

Milan12Milan When: 05 Jun 13 16:17

to be on the positive side no 0-0 in this tournament yet:
http://www.uefa.com/under19/season=2013/matches/index.html

By:

darthginge When: 05 Jun 13 16:23

Jun 5, 2013 -- 4:17PM, Milan12Milan wrote:

to be on the positive side no 0-0 in this tournament yet:http://www.uefa.com/under19/season=2013/matches/index.html

why oh why would you curse yourself like that?!

By:

darthginge When: 05 Jun 13 16:24

Jun 5, 2013 -- 3:21PM, harry2.1 wrote:

How will he get 19k on some obscure game on his final bet. Say the true odds are 1.1, he will be lucky to get 2k on at 1.08 and another couple

By:

Senyatta When: 05 Jun 13 16:33

milan thought u said u were going all in on 1.08 shots on over 0.5 goals.but u laid nadal at 1.08 how does that work?you should really stick to the plan you set out.just be careful because expect one loss out of 18 bets.hopefully you can avoid it tho

By:

Everton_2006 When: 05 Jun 13 17:30

Nadal one game away from winning his QF.

By:

Milan12Milan When: 05 Jun 13 18:09

Jun 5, 2013 -- 4:33PM, Senyatta wrote:

milan thought u said u were going all in on 1.08 shots on over 0.5 goals.but u laid nadal at 1.08 how does that work?you should really stick to the plan you set out.just be careful because expect one loss out of 18 bets.hopefully you can avoid it tho

no mate... that is was a bet on the side... I took a red on that ..

By:

Milan12Milan When: 05 Jun 13 18:10

0-1 Spain scored on 29 mins by Vico

By:

Milan12Milan When: 05 Jun 13 19:48

Resisting the temptation not to place over 0.5 in England vs Italy

By:

Half Loser 22 When: 05 Jun 13 20:19

Was loving that Spain over 0.5 bet, but missed it

By:

Half Loser 22 When: 05 Jun 13 20:20

don't back over 0.5 in england italy, will be both teams scoring, or one of them, but also possible 0-0. don't risk that, could be a boring missing old game with no tempo