Home United v Albirex Niigata

yes mate..  i might go in at 80 mins if im bored - but not advicing that ;)

May 17, 2013 -- 1:47PM, CJ70 wrote:

Hapoel Ashkelon game could be interesting. Away side look to have nothing to play for and home side need to win.

just looking at the stats for this game, how is it 0-1, gonna lay away side

what sort of bankroll growth do you experience per week/month?

I'm amazed the Amkar game got to 2-0.  3 shots on target all half

bit disappointed with amkar game. Locked in at -55% of stake. Any pointers to reduce exposure going on previous posts ?

Forgot to mention, I am on u2.5 from start

@Sponge - its aftetiming now - but i would have taken more at 1 goal, and again on the second goal - to try and reduce losses - then took small red HOPING no goal for say 10-15 mins after number 2 would have been greatly reduced red - you can try the same for 10 mins into second half - but its risky now- your money - so not advising what to do mate

I'm the same as you sponge-bob.  Except I haven't redded out yet.  GTFI's method would appear to look at the u4.5 market and steal ticks until you have made equal to your loss on the 2.5 market (I think)

so in this game GTFI you would top up your original unders bet yes? i did this but the second goal came almost straight away

no, my method would have been to retake undrs at a goal IF you wasnt out in time - only move up a level if you was out and then a goal

ie - EXAMPLE ONLY
you took unders at 1.7 - goal :(  so retake at 2.4, goal - retake at 5's,  you now need unders to drop to around 2.3's instead of original 1.7's to get out

Pen Amkar. Are we expecting a missed pen?

3-0. Oh well.

Had three figures on that.

May 17, 2013 -- 3:10PM, GTFI wrote:

no, my method would have been to retake undrs at a goal IF you wasnt out in time - only move up a level if you was out and then a goalie - EXAMPLE ONLYyou took unders at 1.7 - goal :(  so retake at 2.4, goal - retake at 5's,  you now need unders to drop to around 2.3's instead of original 1.7's to get out

hmmm, again my first instinct is that this throwing good money after bad.  If the market is going to drop back to 2.3s you can red out for 60 tick loss.  But in order to regain that you've put another 2 bets on at same stakes as the original.  That is increasing your exposure 200% which, if the 3rd goal comes is a massive loss

3-0, bugger.  I was starting to get hopeful then!

Got a bit on u3.5

Wondering whether to red.

any1 doing the cezh 2 game bohemains

I'm out on this game.  Called it completely wrong.  Lost 30% of my roll in the last 3 days

Hey ho. Kept to the one single bet exposure and didn't try and average down, although interesting concept. Sounds very similar to stock market quick trades just taking small slices of profit.

the thing with small slices of profit is you have to make enough so that when it inevitably goes wrong you still come out on top.

I can asure you the trades work - you wont be giving a flying Sh ite what the score is in the game after quick trades

There's the Serie B draw which should be a near cert if you want to risk getting back up 1.3 last time I looked.

Cheers CJ, I'll just do what I always do, try and build it up slowly and trust my staking plan to let me swallow the downswings

gl mate...

3-1 now in Amkar

Oh well I didn't red out. Lost a big one there, misadventure!

indeed, been a horrible couple of days.  I'm back to where I was about a fortnight ago

Can't remember watching a Russian game with 4 goals, they r usually dull with 2 goals at most

exactly Arfur!

look like i back the wrong team zlin

Ashkelon equalise

Russian mafia perhaps lol

lol

so whats peoples views of the upcoming bohemians prague v zlin match at 16:00 ?

league?

Czech 2nd division

chez 2

i back zlin ,goal at 23' lol

malmo u19 6-0 up against osters and still in the first half

make that 7-0

7

personally id lay Zlin - but it looks a **** game tbh with you - neither will really be fighting for anything
Zlins last 5 aways all overs- Home teams last 5 at home all over the shop...  leave well alone imo

7-0 Half Time.... extraordinary

look at this guys- I went in at 2-0....   
An example of what i meant

Market    Selection    Type    Bet ID    Bet
placed         Odds
req.    Stake
(£)    Liability
(£)    Avg. odds
matched    Date
matched   
   
Fixtures 17 May / Amkar v Rostov / Over/Under 4.5 Goals   
Under 4.5 Goals    Lay    27171128516    17-May-13
15:46         1.27    6.54        1.27    17-May-13 15:46   
   
Fixtures 17 May / Amkar v Rostov / Over/Under 4.5 Goals   
Under 4.5 Goals    Lay    27170932708    17-May-13
15:38         1.3    100.00        1.3    17-May-13 15:46   
   
Fixtures 17 May / Amkar v Rostov / Over/Under 4.5 Goals   
Under 4.5 Goals    Back    27170770224    17-May-13
15:31         1.97    20.00        2    17-May-13 15:31   
   
Fixtures 17 May / Amkar v Rostov / Over/Under 4.5 Goals   
Under 4.5 Goals    Back    27170524618    17-May-13
15:19         1.31    30.00        1.31    17-May-13 15:20   
   
Fixtures 17 May / Amkar v Rostov / Over/Under 4.5 Goals   
Under 4.5 Goals    Back    27169679445    17-May-13
14:42         1.18    50.00        1.18    17-May-13 14:42   


I now have greens either way of £6.xx   ,  ok, i was £100 in it at one point - but profit no matter what the score finishes now

I went in at 3rd and 4th goal to "top it up" to get back out of it earlier

Appreciate you turned this into a winner (which is more than I did) but had a 5th goal gone in at the wrong time how much chasing would you have to do

for example the 5th has gone in now 3-2

If you were still exposed you're completely f***** and down over £100 trying to win £6

think theres a couple of goals in the Czech game and tempted by the o1.5 but may watch for first 15-20 mins and see what happens.

Also think Zlin will win but again will watch for first quarter of match. If I miss the break then so be it. I'll wait for Spanish Cup tonight.

What about Karvina in the other game.  1.94 for a team that has recently spanked team 7-1 and 5-2 against a team that don't score away seems like value

GAME TO BE ON!!!
karvina v Varnsdorf  - lay away team (Probs a home win if you prefer)   or go for goals ;)

I agree darth - I like the look of that game ;)

1.33 for 2 goals seems a giveaway imho ;)
Im going ot ask 1.35 for it :)   gl us :)

my £50 is there for 1.35's   (1.5gls)

I've gone one more and taken evs on over 2.5

also taken o1.5

gl mate- I was going to - but never bet on this league before so a little apprehensive for that reason only lol
I like the leagues im familiar with - well, that my prog uses lol

some 2 goals and unders ticks for France 7:30Ko's if interested mate.  In the fred ;)

gl mate - may the Lord of goals be with us

i found out u can do multiples in play but back only no lay

definitely interested in the france stuff later on

365 home 2.6 thing this going to be draw

GTFI - do you play for ticks on overs?

Im going to check the forecast against who actually needs goals ...  i have two for goals, but do they need t play as such...and the unders, i'll be on 20%
Overs - I go for it mate - unless im on overs and 2 goals in 10 mins lol, why wait another 80 mins for the 1.06 its probs offering

Or like now - 2 goals - so if score in first 5 mins - feck it - id green and run - not hanging about for the 1.05 it would offer for 85 mins of play left

bohemians 2 shot on already

1-0

zlin need 10 pointsfrom 4 gmaes - they already know they cant get promoted realistically - even though way above Bohemiens in the league

karvina game not kicked off yeT?

Bohemiens win - they are as good as safe from relegation - tough to call wtf would happen imo

nope, not KO'd yet

gone off 365 :(
later KO?

15 out of 26 Bohemians game have ended a draw. Just saying...

*games

it diodnt take my 1.35's for 2 goals in Karvina - so im out - i recon wrong KO time advertised guys

i've got out also

i'm going to have a go at your strategy with Haladas GTFI

I'll start with £10 and look to steal 15 ticks per game.  See how it goes

Remember - ONLY if you believe it will be unders game - dont do it on ANY OLD GAME!!!   it'll go bust mate

have a look at the Haladas game stats

and at KO, not 15-20 mins into a gmae - you've already missed the window by that time

Karvina game kicked off now

taken 16 ticks in the Haladas game.  i feel this could be an interesting experiment for the next week or so.  Clear my head as well!

glad I didn't back zlin now

0-2 down

Just waiting for a little on the Karvina game. 1.35 available now for o1.5

got in at 1.4 on o1.5

1-0 Karvina

well done sponge-bob

@darth - i roll it over until im happy with profit mate - then take some out -
I miss Karvina - had to pop out and didnt relaise it was KO'ing :(

@darht i havent looked at Haladas game - but if you like it - wait ofr a boom, then get another 10% for under 3.5gls -
BUT WAIT for a goal first ;)

I'm done now with the Haladas game, as an experiment I think it's best that I keep it very simple until I fully understand it and gain some experience

just seen its already 0-1, so scrub that anyway mate

Again - had to go in twice to get the desired result ;)

   
Fixtures 17 May / Haladas v Lombard Papa / Over/Under 3.5 Goals   
Under 3.5 Goals    Lay    27173709517    17-May-13
17:20         1.29    80.00        1.29    17-May-13 17:24   
   
Fixtures 17 May / Haladas v Lombard Papa / Over/Under 3.5 Goals   
Under 3.5 Goals    Back    27173455560    17-May-13
17:12         1.55    30.00        1.55    17-May-13 17:12   
   
Fixtures 17 May / Haladas v Lombard Papa / Over/Under 3.5 Goals   
Under 3.5 Goals    Back    27172509855    17-May-13
16:42         1.3    50.00        1.3    17-May-13 16:42

you must have lumped on just before the goal?

yes mate

so had to lump on again just after it lol - broke my own rule of NOT betting until a goal is scored the first time - was 1-0 and 15 mins had passed etc, i went in WAY too late !!!

going fr a cig - then deciding which French game to go unders in for the ticks - will let both 1.5gls games ride whle i concentrate on te unders game  7:30 KO's

WP on your 2 Kavina goals guys ;)

so far recouped all but a couple of quid from the amkar game so its all good so far

great stuff mate- wd ;)

Cham Nior' v Nimes will be my unders ticks game ;)
I might do the Lens v Istres at the same time ;)