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swift-tuttle
18 Apr 13 09:17
Joined:
Date Joined: 22 Mar 04
| Topic/replies: 26,416 | Blogger: swift-tuttle's blog
As prices are arrived at by the collective weight of opinion, it is possible for the price to be plain wrong sometimes. QPR's price to get relegated is an example of such a price.

The next 4 fixtures - 3 of them are at home, the other is at Reading. Even if they do go down, they will trade at a much lesser price.

Thank me on May 17th.
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Report miss.wales April 18, 2013 9:22 AM BST
Do you mean lesser or greater?
Report stu April 18, 2013 9:23 AM BST
Only problem is, even winning all of the games doesn't make them safe, and that's an IF
Report swift-tuttle April 18, 2013 9:23 AM BST
you know what I mean
Report stu April 18, 2013 9:24 AM BST
Can't see much more than a flicker in the price - which will prob be after they beat stoke Wink

Just back them to win that instead.
Report swift-tuttle April 18, 2013 9:24 AM BST
36 points going into the last day of the season will do for QPR fans
Report stu April 18, 2013 9:25 AM BST
If you think they'll do that, place an acca to win each game and roll the profit over - bigger price?
Report swift-tuttle April 18, 2013 9:28 AM BST
I have something similar in mind stu
Report stu April 18, 2013 9:29 AM BST
I'm just backing them to do stoke - 2.28 decent price IMO
Report C1rclemaster April 18, 2013 10:40 AM BST
2.28 a decent price? they have won 4 of 33 games this season with a goal differance of -25, if u think thats a good price u crack on.
Report mayway April 18, 2013 12:36 PM BST
You are trying to decide the best way to p1ss your money away. Based on what you're saying I'd be surprised if you actually had any.
Report songsforthedeaf April 18, 2013 12:59 PM BST
At the moment im backing:
Stoke to be relegated
QPR to beat stoke
Remy to score
Report songsforthedeaf April 18, 2013 1:06 PM BST
Stoke are truly dire at the moment. I am praying to all interested gods that they go down. On the face of it QPRs form is pretty awful but they have played fairly well under 'Arry. Their home form isnt too shabby W1 D3 L2. And they are playing the worst team in the league. Easy QPR win for me.
Report Marcce April 18, 2013 1:37 PM BST
As prices are arrived at by the collective weight of opinion, it is possible for the price to be plain wrong sometimes. QPR's price to get relegated is an example of such a price.

Absolutely right. They should actually be about 1/80!!

One of those home games you refer to is against Arsenal. Their last game of the season is against Liverpool. Everyone can see those remaining fixtures and they need to win the lot to have even a chance of getting out of it.

In addition to that Villa play Norwich and Sunderland during that run of 4 games and Sunderland also play Stoke. That will mean the teams they could possibly catch will decrease as well because at least one of them will pick up points from those games.
Report swift-tuttle April 18, 2013 1:49 PM BST
very pithy but not actually based on much

there are situations where QPR could escape on 36 or 37 points
Report stu April 18, 2013 2:07 PM BST
C1rclemaster
2.28 a decent price? they have won 4 of 33 games this season with a goal differance of -25


How many of those games were against an away side with Stoke's away record? None. Last chance saloon for QPR too.
I'll take my chances with that price thanks.
Report JOCI Club April 18, 2013 2:55 PM BST
I think QPR would be a decent bet against a Stoke side short on confidence.
Report Marcce April 18, 2013 3:01 PM BST
there are situations where QPR could escape on 36 or 37 points

Of course there are but firstly is it likely they'll reach that total anyway with the answer being no and secondly is it likely that would be enough even if they do reach it and again the answer is no.
Report swift-tuttle April 18, 2013 3:23 PM BST
this is all turning into a bit of a waste of breath but

it's only in the light of the odds on offer that this comes into consideration
Report Marcce April 18, 2013 3:45 PM BST
The only thing I'm taking into consideration is that you said the current price is plain wrong when it really isn't whichever way you look at it.
Report ShannonSpray April 18, 2013 9:21 PM BST
QPR will get relegated and the 1/33 on offer is a more worthwhile option than keeping your money on deposit with a bank for the next couple of weeks.

They simply have not won the matches they needed to win in recent weeks against the likes of Villa, Fulham and Wigan. It's too late now, and they know it. Asking the team to win 4 or 5 games now is too much of an ask given they have only won 4 matches all season.
Report sweetchildofmine April 18, 2013 9:54 PM BST
as someone said they would need to win all 5 games to have even a squeak, i imagine the accumulative odds would be at least 100/1?
Report brngtwt April 18, 2013 10:41 PM BST
Joci Club....
"I think QPR would be a decent bet against a Stoke side short on confidence. "
And ability may I add.
Report toffee87 April 18, 2013 10:46 PM BST
when QPR went 1 down at goodison last week the stuffing was knocked out of them. Having said that, prior to the 1st goal they were pretty sh!te anyway
At one stage it did look as if was a case of how many
Report viva el presidente! April 19, 2013 12:24 AM BST
4% on your money, probably settled in a couple of weeks. no chance they stay up from where they are. wouldn't touch this lay with a bargepole.
Report Darlo Bantam April 19, 2013 1:07 AM BST

Apr 18, 2013 -- 9:21PM, ShannonSpray wrote:


QPR will get relegated and the 1/33 on offer is a more worthwhile option than keeping your money on deposit with a bank for the next couple of weeks.They simply have not won the matches they needed to win in recent weeks against the likes of Villa, Fulham and Wigan. It's too late now, and they know it. Asking the team to win 4 or 5 games now is too much of an ask given they have only won 4 matches all season.


I'm glad nobody told us that in 2000.

Report JOCI Club April 19, 2013 8:22 AM BST
brngtwt 18 Apr 13 22:41 
Joci Club....
"I think QPR would be a decent bet against a Stoke side short on confidence. "
And ability may I add.


Not short enough to have remained in the Premier League for 5 seasons and reached an FA Cup Final.
Report stu April 19, 2013 9:14 AM BST
JOCI - you're starting to sound a bit mad, suggesting the bet then arguing against it.
Report stu April 19, 2013 9:14 AM BST
JOCI - you're starting to sound a bit mad, suggesting the bet then arguing against it.
Report JOCI Club April 19, 2013 9:28 AM BST
You have trouble with logic stu if you're saying that.

What I've said is that Stoke are short on confidence at the moment, and on that basis QPR are a decent bet at the price.

Then, in reponse to boring tw@t, countered his assertion that Stoke are short on quality by remarking that we have enough quality to have remained in the Prem (mainly mid-table) and reached an FA Cup Final during that time, whereas other side shave capitulated.

Where in the second statment did I argue against the bet on QPR? I don't think I did.
Report stu April 19, 2013 9:30 AM BST
Not every thread is your 'thick stoke haters' thread joci - stop being paranoid! Laugh
Report stu April 19, 2013 9:30 AM BST
His comment about quality in the current stoke side was perfectly valid.
Report JOCI Club April 19, 2013 9:34 AM BST
Your point was wrong. Now trying and deflect attention away from it I see.
Report stu April 19, 2013 9:40 AM BST
No it wasn't - you suggested a good bet, then trying to argue they're not short on quality is going against the bet, simples.
Report JOCI Club April 19, 2013 9:43 AM BST
No point me taking it further as you don't seem capable of basic understanding, and are just making yourself look silly, so we'll leave it there.
Report stu April 19, 2013 9:45 AM BST
So I see you now don't dispute that their 'quality' relates to the bet, as I point out?
Report JOCI Club April 19, 2013 9:49 AM BST
One last throw of the dice..........

Chelsea are a quality team. If they were going through a very bad run and displaying little confidence, and playing away from home against a team below them in the league, then there may well be a point when the home team become a value bet against Chelsea. That does not alter the fact that Chelsea are a quality team.
Report stu April 19, 2013 10:04 AM BST
Ok, but I don't think you can support the view that this current stoke side are a quality side. Previous sides, perhaps, but not this one.
Report JOCI Club April 19, 2013 10:14 AM BST
I would rather say that it's the system / tactics that the manager forces the team to play under, rather than the quality of the players we have in the squad. We have a strong backbone of players, such as Begovic, Shawcross, Huth, N'Zonzi, Crouch and one or two others and most of the team comprises players who are International players (either current or former). So I disagree that we don't have a quality team. Quality is relative of course, and whilst the team lacks quality compared with Man Utd, we've proven to have more quality that the teams who have been relegated over the last 4 or 5 seasons. Earlier in the season, high on confidence we put a great run together and were very hard to beat. Since the turn of the year, we've been dreadful. The players haven't become bad players all of a sudden.
Report stu April 19, 2013 10:18 AM BST
Seems odd that Crouch is out of the picture - was his form that bad?
Report JOCI Club April 19, 2013 10:20 AM BST
We could have Falcao up front, but if he doesn't get the ball, he'll come across like Francis Jeffers.
Report stu April 19, 2013 10:23 AM BST
Wide play the bigger problem then?
Report aaronh April 20, 2013 3:45 PM BST
Plain
Report stu April 20, 2013 4:47 PM BST
Well this plan didn't last long then...
Report swift-tuttle April 20, 2013 5:44 PM BST
strange .... QPR should have won today
Report STEPTOES YARD April 20, 2013 5:48 PM BST
Just waiting for Mark Hughes to come out and say he would have kept them up Cry
Report aaronh April 20, 2013 6:37 PM BST
not 'Arrys fault
Report Charlton2005 April 20, 2013 7:25 PM BST
1/1000 now. thx
Report JOCI Club April 20, 2013 7:29 PM BST
aaronh 20 Apr 13 18:37 
not 'Arrys fault


Agree, writing was on the wall before he stepped in. However, their terrible transfer dealings (buying a load of overpriced / overpaid mercenaries in the main) is what has taken them down. Who carries the can for that?

On paper, they have some pretty good players, but just haven't played like a team for most of the season.
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