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Tonyface
07 Apr 13 06:26
Joined:
Date Joined: 27 Feb 12
| Topic/replies: 1,436 | Blogger: Tonyface's blog
Anyone have any stats on percentage of matches where there is a goal in 90 minutes plus.

I like to play draws multiples sometimes, most bets where I was stuffed yesterday was where there were goals in extra time.

The thing that gets me is the market always seems to know, draw was still trading at 1.2 in one match in the last 2 minutes of 4 extra, I usually put in a short trade but was fuming yesterday, when the market suspended in one match and around 88 minutes and never re-opened until the 93rd minute after a goal.

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Replies: 36
By:
Tonyface
When: 07 Apr 13 06:54
De Ja Vu Tokoshima 94th Minute !!!!
By:
Tonyface
When: 07 Apr 13 06:56
When I was a you never got late goals, teams kn ew how to shut up shop.

Most of these goals seem fabricated, Late Penalties, Own Goals rifled in or Free Kicks on the edge of the box and a flapping keeper.!!!
By:
TheChaser
When: 07 Apr 13 16:52
where you on amphetamines last night mate
By:
ronin4s
When: 07 Apr 13 16:53
Laugh
By:
TheChaser
When: 07 Apr 13 16:53
Boooom just got on Maribor Laugh
By:
Tonyface
When: 07 Apr 13 21:59
Newcastle vs Fulham...Sad


2013-04-07 09:03:25      Double   

O/0173316/0000328    1   
100.00    Settled    0.00    0.00   

Newcastle vs Fulham : Match Result
Draw    Back   

3.50   

Lost   

Tottenham vs Everton : Match Result
Draw    Back   

3.20   

Won   
-----------------------------------------------------
QPR vs Wigan......Laugh
By:
Ell
When: 08 Apr 13 01:15
Premiership 1992 onwards
8161 games
1059 goals in 90min + IT
By:
Darlo Bantam
When: 08 Apr 13 01:20
1 in 8 is much higher than I expected.
By:
Ell
When: 08 Apr 13 01:23
This season
315 games
61 goals in 90min + IT
By:
TheChaser
When: 08 Apr 13 01:24
cisse today also
By:
TheChaser
When: 08 Apr 13 01:24
how many in italy i would like these numbers
By:
Tonyface
When: 08 Apr 13 02:32
Thanks for the Info El

I threw a few quid at laying the team leading at 1.05 the other day, entering extra time and won something I might try more often.
By:
Tonyface
When: 08 Apr 13 09:56
@The chaser: Me too Red cards are phenomenal in Italy, refs dish em out in the first few minutes, easy way to sort a result out, with few arguments if you ask me, teams often settle for a draw straight away, so I dont mind them too much.
By:
ukbootlover1
When: 08 Apr 13 10:22
Benfica always seem to get late goals but last night when I wanted one they contrived to fluff every chance they had! ! find that the German, Portuguese and Spanish leagues seem to have late goals as they keep pushing until the end not like boring United who will settle for a 1-0 win. For example last week Bayern with the league effectively sewn up smash in 9 goals you wont get United doing that and I guess that why the German crowds are bigger and more vocal.
By:
Tonyface
When: 08 Apr 13 13:26
I am going to try and throw a few quid at this from now on in matches where there is a healthy market.

The other thing I have noticed is that most results go to form in the normal fixture program, but the most shocks seem to come in the equivalent of Monday night matches where its a one off you will often see the top of the league team get beat or draw to lower placed opposition. Sometimes be behind and get a late late equalizer.
By:
TheChaser
When: 08 Apr 13 13:32


ukbootlover1
08 Apr 13 10:22
Joined:
10 May 06
| Topic/replies: 71 | Blogger: ukbootlover1's blog
Benfica always seem to get late goals but last night when I wanted one they contrived to fluff every chance they had! ! find that the German, Portuguese and Spanish leagues seem to have late goals as they keep pushing until the end not like boring United who will settle for a 1-0 win. For example last week Bayern with the league effectively sewn up smash in 9 goals you wont get United doing that and I guess that why the German crowds are bigger and more vocal.



I need one also and watched the last 5-10 mins and it was soul destroying , nothing happened at all.
By:
ukbootlover1
When: 08 Apr 13 14:58
@ TheChaser

Normally they get a dodgy penalty and I have normally been relying on that to round off the weekend but that would have been an extra £550 should have greened for a profit rather than flat.
By:
TheChaser
When: 08 Apr 13 19:22
Heerneev reserves 93rd minute to get my double of over 3.5s , boooooom
By:
Tonyface
When: 09 Apr 13 12:51
JEONBUK MOTORS..... Another one...
By:
trilby22
When: 09 Apr 13 14:49
Shffield Utd U-21 vs Leeds.

17.5/1 ya beeeeeuuudddddeeeeee :)
By:
kenilworth
When: 09 Apr 13 22:00
Premiership 1992 onwards
8161 games
1059 goals in 90min + IT


Do you mean 'during the added on time'
or including the 90th minute?
By:
Tonyface
When: 10 Apr 13 00:06
East Fife 93rd Min Penalty.....these Refs don't give a f*ck.

Horn 93rd minute got my draw double up.

Double   

O/0173316/0000343    3   
276.00    Settled    884.12    0.00   
FC Lustenau vs SV Horn : Match Result
Draw    Back   
3.10   
Won   
Hartberg vs St Polten : Match Result
Draw    Back   
3.10   
Won

Barnsley 96th minute I was looking at it....Wink
By:
teo813
When: 10 Apr 13 00:11
Horn's goal was a header from their goalkeeper , brilliant staff to watch
By:
Ell
When: 10 Apr 13 01:33
Kenilworth

The total is for the 90min + IT.

The number of goals scored in the 90th minute+ has rapidly increased over the last 20 years.
Obviously this can be accounted for by the increased amount of injury time played over the same time period.

This season there's been 61 90+min goals but only 3 in the 89th min.
By:
Norman D Landings
When: 10 Apr 13 01:39
Most of them happen at old trafford.
By:
Ell
When: 10 Apr 13 02:18
Norman D

Wrong.

Reading & Newcastle have each had 9 late goals in their games.
By:
moonaxed
When: 10 Apr 13 03:02
womens football internationals are a market for late goals i am into at tha mo but liquidity is diabolical.will e mail FIFA and UEFA to implement compusorary shirt swapping at final whistleConfused
By:
Tonyface
When: 10 Apr 13 07:14
One thing about these bets they are pretty instantaneous like betting in 5F sprints on the nags.

Odds are good too.

Statistically I expect late goals have increased over the past few years, especially since refs were given instructions to give more penalties, and award more cards to add to the drama. Players get free kicks and yellow carded for anything these days compared to 20 years ago, and some of the penalties are a joke.
By:
kenilworth
When: 10 Apr 13 08:46
Looking at the clock, the 90th minute starts when it shows
89.00 so in a match where, say there is 3 mins of added time,
unless the ref adds anything more on, the match should end when
the clock hits 93.00, and that means the 90th min covers 4 minutes
of play, quite significant when betting.
By:
Tonyface
When: 10 Apr 13 08:55
You are right Kenilworth sometimes you may get 6 minutes of play, however from around 88 mins that is when the odds start to sky rocket against the Status Quo scoreline, that is why I am suggesting it is a value bet.
By:
kenilworth
When: 10 Apr 13 08:59
I tend to back 'no more goals' depending on what
is happening, and the betting is right, and NEVER
bet a goal to be scored. Burnt fingers from time
to time, but overall, I think I do ok.
By:
DetectiveDavidMills
When: 10 Apr 13 10:55
lay correct score at even money usually anywhere around 70-75 minutes. You'll show a profit if you are disciplined and stick to it
By:
mrbojangles
When: 10 Apr 13 12:11
Every game ?
By:
kenilworth
When: 10 Apr 13 13:41
Detective, you are saying lay the prevailinng score
at evens between 70 and 75 mins?
I'm more likely to back but other factors involved.
By:
Ell
When: 11 Apr 13 15:41
Using stats from the last 4 seasons i'd be a layer at Evs in the 70th minute and be looking to back at Evs 75 minutes onwards.

Certainly wouldn't recommend doing it blindly.
By:
kenilworth
When: 11 Apr 13 19:59
Laying 1/1 on 70 mins would get you about 3 bets a year!
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