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kellydamo
28 Feb 13 19:08
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Date Joined: 27 Nov 10
| Topic/replies: 16,087 | Blogger: kellydamo's blog
Anyone fancy West Ham with Kevin Nolan confirmed as breaking his toe?

Have just had £25 at 10s and think it might be a good shout.  They have  a difficult run in, most seem to be 6 pointers so could go either way but I cannot see where their goals are going to come from now.

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Replies: 6
By:
jamiedavies02
When: 28 Feb 13 19:13
I got on last night before the news of Nolan broke, topped up again this morning. On my projections they'll stay up by the skin of the their teeth but I can't see them being that price after their next 3 games, should be good for a trade
By:
kellydamo
When: 28 Feb 13 19:19
Totally agree, might go back in for a bigger bite of the cherry.  I think you are right it will be a hairs breadth as to whether they do or not but if they lose a couple of those 6 pointers they are deep in trouble.   Going to have a look at the other teams around thems fixtures before going in decent again
By:
SSIP
When: 28 Feb 13 21:53
I made a thread on this but I think it got lost
Their 6 aways are- Everton, Liverpool, Chelsea, Stoke, Man City, Southampton. They will go into all of those games as underdogs, some more than others.
Only 4 home games left- Wigan, West Brom, Reading and Newcastle. This is mild, and I would probably bet them to win at least two. So we are looking at between 36-38 points, with 6-8 points from these.
They currently have a 6 point gain over 18-19th, so Wigan and Villa/Reading need 6-8 points more than them, so can these teams get 14 points?
Probably not, Reading's aways are brutal also, and Villa have tough home games. Wigan can go on a run with their fixtures.
Anyway a trade could be best as next two games are away to Stoke and Chelsea whilst Reading/Villa play eachother and Wigan have two homes games against midtable Newcastle and Norwich.
If things go the way as predicted they will be only 3 points above the drop.
By:
kellydamo
When: 28 Feb 13 22:20
I have gone in for another £75 more with a view to a trade now I have had a good look at it and see how it plays out, the next 3 will be telling though, think it is a cracking bet personally and with the team out of form and also the fans not really behind sam, think it is a no brainer.  never like these bets having a portion of my money tied up for a while but there will be a time to trade just a case of catching it at the right time I think
By:
Darlo Bantam
When: 28 Feb 13 22:45
I've not looked at West Ham form, run of games, but I would be worried that the current bottom three are so poor, West Ham might not get any closer to the relegation zone anyway.
By:
SSIP
When: 28 Feb 13 23:15
But some of the bottom 3/5 have to pick up points as they play each other. 4 out WHAM's 5 games are away from home before they play Wigan at home.
Form table for last 10:

15th- Wigan          9 pts
15th- Stoke          9 pts
17th- QPR            7 pts
17th- West Ham       7 pts
17th- Norwich        7 pts
20th- Aston Villa    6 pts
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