Lay HT 0-0

Bet 106 Eskisehirspor vs Kayserispor @3.1

Bet 107 Leverkusen vs Augsburg @2.86

Bet 108 Getafe vs Celta @2.86

Bet 109 Hull vs Charlton @2.88

Bet 110 Hartlepool vs L. ORIENT @2.86

Bet 111 Preston vs B.Mouth @2.98

Bet 112 Derby vs wolves @3
Bet 113 pompey vs carlisle

bet 114 gills vs d & r

bet 115 brum vs wat

bet 116 yeovil vs scun

bet 117 woking vs new port

bet 118 wimbledon vs bradford

bet 119 p.vale vs morecambe

bet 120 marseille vs valen

bet 121 naval vs tondela @2.92

bet 122 antalyspor vs karab @3.05

bet 123 ponferadinna vs barca b @2.96

bet 124  mattersburg vs sturm @2.94

bet 125 bnei vs haifa @3.1

bet 126 oudenaarde vs zommel

bet 127 sion vs st gallen

joined u on bet 127

bet 128 was breda vs heracles

bet 129 was sabadell vs real cas

community page playing up today.

gl rio! :) amwatching the game

bet 130 granada vs barca

fucj

****

fcuk

bet 131 roma vs juventus

Hi Aliboy,

Have just familiarised myself with the thread and it looks like you're anjoying it whilst also making a decent ROI.

I have been doing something slightly similar recently (as well as looking for the games with few goals) as I had never really got involved in the goal markets so I started looking at various stats and started to paper bet.  After this appeared to profitable, I started to put the money down 3 weeks ago and a similar profit % has followed.

I'll PM you the details (I don't want to clog up your thread!) but maybe if we (along with Gooner, ccjefc etc..) 'pool' together our ideas it may result in a higher success rate?

Let me know if you're interested and good luck in the meantime (hopefully you got on in the PSV v Utrecht game )

looks like roma 0-0 half time again

Kiss of death but good run.

Kiss of death but good run.

crap day in general, got a few more games left so hope luck changes!

thanks sniper.

I'll take a look at the message Rob, sounds intriguing!

bet 132 mirassol vs botafogo

I am up for that rob, inbox me the message mate!

Ok will do Gooner/Aliboy...

Just trying to work out how to convert my spreadsheet into the table format on here!

Should be done in 10 mins fellas

ok nice one!

I've PM'd you Gooner,

can you tell me if that table is readable or does it look lke complete b*ll*cks??

If so I'll stick it up on my blog

cheers

Kind of readable but a bit confusing but so impressive.
I have replied!

Ok cheers Gooner,

I have posted both tables on my blog as they seem to have came out better there mate

Will reply to PM shortly

Ok mate look forward to it and I will have a look!

Bet 102 Breidablik vs KA @2.62 - LOSS
Bet 103 Lions vs Pahang @3.1 - WIN
Bet 104 Samsunspor vs Rizespor @2.86 - WIN
Bet 105 Cardiff vs Bristol C @2.96 - WIN
Bet 106 Eskisehirspor vs Kayserispor @3.1 - WIN
Bet 107 Leverkusen vs Augsburg @2.86 - WIN
Bet 108 Getafe vs Celta @2.86 - WIN
Bet 109 Hull vs Charlton @2.88 - WIN
Bet 110 Hartlepool vs L. ORIENT @2.86 - WIN
Bet 111 Preston vs B.Mouth @2.98 - WIN
Bet 112 Derby vs wolves @3 - LOSS
Bet 113 pompey vs Carlisle - LOSS
bet 114 gills vs d & r - WIN
bet 115 brum vs wat - WIN
bet 116 yeovil vs scun - WIN
bet 117 woking vs new port - WIN
bet 118 wimbledon vs Bradford - LOSS
bet 119 p.vale vs Morecambe - LOSS
bet 120 marseille vs valen - LOSS
bet 121 naval vs tondela @2.92 - WIN
bet 122 antalyspor vs karab @3.05 - LOSS
bet 123 ponferadinna vs barca b @2.96 - WIN
bet 124  mattersburg vs sturm @2.94 - LOSS
bet 125 bnei vs haifa @3.1 - LOSS
bet 126 oudenaarde vs lommel - WIN
bet 127 sion vs st gallen - LOSS
bet 128 was breda vs Heracles - WIN
bet 129 was sabadell vs real cas - WIN
bet 130 granada vs barca - WIN
bet 131 roma vs juventus - LOSS
bet 132 mirassol vs botafogo - WIN

P/L = £35.27

BANK = £75.27

W/L = 94/132 (71%)

Bet 133 Trofense vs SP Lisbon B

Bet 134 Gencler vs Mersin

Bet 135 Novara vs Verona

Bet 136 Chelsea vs Brentford

Bet 137 Duisburg vs Kaiserslautern

Bet 138 Frankfurt vs Cottbus

Bet 139 Darmstadt vs Wehen

Bet 140 FK vs Nefti Baku

Bet 141 Genoa vs Udinese

Bet 142 Pescara vs Caligari

Bet 143 Antwerp vs Royal

Bet 144 Bursaspor vs Elag

Bet 145 St Nik vs Eendracht

Bet 146 Oostende vs Heist

Bet 147 Napoli vs Sampdoria

Bet 148 Nurnberg vs Hannover

Bet 149 R.Vienna vs A. Vienna

Bet 150 RKC vs Ajax


Have started to back over 0.5 on some games that I lost on lay ht 0-0

Bet 151 Cordoba vs Alcoron

Bet 152 Olhanese vs Setubal

Bet 153 Las Palmas vs Girona

Bet 154 Valencia vs Mallorca

Bet 155 Trabzonspor vs Fenerbache

Bet 156 D.Zagreb vs Rijeka

Bet 157 PUMAS vs Morelias

Bet 158 Juan vs Melgar

Bet 159 Valladollid vs Ath Madrid

Bet 160 Hapoel vs Beitar

Bet 161 Fylkir vs Tindastoll

Bet 162 Fiorentina vs Inter

Bet 163 Tigre vs Boca

Bet 164 Sochaux vs Paris

Bet 165 Benfica vs Academica

Bet 133 Trofense vs SP Lisbon B - Loss
Bet 134 Gencler vs Mersin - Win
Bet 135 Novara vs Verona - Loss
Bet 136 Chelsea vs Brentford - Loss
Bet 137 Duisburg vs Kaiserslautern - Loss
Bet 138 Frankfurt vs Cottbus - Win
Bet 139 Darmstadt vs Wehen - Loss
Bet 140 FK vs Nefti Baku - Win
Bet 141 Genoa vs Udinese – Win
Bet 142 Pescara vs Caligari – Loss (IP over 0.5 FT - WIN)
Bet 143 Antwerp vs Royal - WIN
Bet 144 Bursaspor vs Elag - WIN
Bet 145 St Nik vs Eendracht – Loss (over 0.5 FT – WIN)
Bet 146 Oostende vs Heist - WIN
Bet 147 Napoli vs Sampdoria - Loss
Bet 148 Nurnberg vs Hannover - WIN
Bet 149 R.Vienna vs A. Vienna - WIN
Bet 150 RKC vs Ajax - WIN
Bet 151 Cordoba vs Alcoron - Loss
Bet 152 Olhanese vs Setubal – Loss (over 0.5FT – WIN)
Bet 153 Las Palmas vs Girona - WIN
Bet 154 Valencia vs Mallorca –Loss (over 0.5FT – WIN)
Bet 155 Trabzonspor vs Fenerbache - WIN
Bet 156 D.Zagreb vs Rijeka – WIN   
Bet 157 PUMAS vs Morelias - Loss
Bet 158 Juan vs Melgar – Loss (over 0.5FT WIN)
Bet 159 Valladollid vs Ath Madrid - WIN
Bet 160 Hapoel vs Beitar – WIN
Bet 161 Fylkir vs Tendostal – Loss (over 1.5FT – Loss)
Bet 162 Fiorentina vs Inter – WIN
Bet 163 Tigre vs BOCA – Loss (over 0.5FT Loss)
Bet 164 Sochaux vs Paris – WIN
Bet 165 Benfica vs Academica – Loss


P/L £16.15

Bank £56.15

W/L 111/165  (67%) :(

A new week a new start!

Let's try and get the profit up a bit!

Bet 166 Adana vs Kayseri

Bet 167 Cambuur vs Eindhoven

Bet 168 Dordrecht vs Den Bosch

Bet 169 GA Eagles vs OSS

Bet 170 Helmond vs De Graf

are all bets lay 0-0 HT unless stated in brackets?

yes mate :)

do you have any set criteria that needs be matched in order for you to bet

eg both teams scored in the first half in there previous x amount of games or summit

and what % you putting on each bet , compound interest i presume?

I am looking at form (so if they have above 70% for over 0.5 at home if they are home team). Yes also recent history between 2 sides.

At the minute i'm staking 2.11 at liability of 3.1ish but tonight these games have higher liability. I've put them all pre-match as i have to go out. Normally i'd wait 7 or 8 mins and let the price come down.

well your up about 40% no?


in less than a month ,, decent .


just to clarify you are using compound no? so as the bank grows or decreases you percentage stake adjusts to suit no?

Feb 18, 2013 -- 6:22PM, aliboy3 wrote:

I am looking at form (so if they have above 70% for over 0.5 at home if they are home team). Yes also recent history between 2 sides.At the minute i'm staking 2.11 at liability of 3.1ish but tonight these games have higher liability. I've put them all pre-match as i have to go out. Normally i'd wait 7 or 8 mins and let the price come down.

you not keeping the bets inplay and wait to get matched at better odds?

I generally have put down £2.11 on most games, sometimes 3.16 and a few times 4.26. I have not really thought about how things are moving i suppose.

Yes i'd rather go in play mate because less risk, but i've missed out on so many games due to early goals. The only comfort is that the system picks winners, even if i don't bet in time :)

Hope this helps

i shall follow this thread with interest thanks

Good stuff, cheers i am!

Bet 166 Adana vs Kayseri
Bet 167 Cambuur vs Eindhoven
Bet 168 Dordrecht vs Den Bosch
Bet 169 GA Eagles vs OSS
Bet 170 Helmond vs De Graf

P/L £26.15

Bank £66.15

W/L 116/171  (68%)

Bet 171 Viktoria Koln vs VFB Huls @3.8

Bet 172 Lisburn Distillery vs Dundela

Bet 173 Arsenal vs B.Munich

Bet 174 Hull vs Blackburn

Bet 175 Ipswich vs Watford

Bet 176 Birmingham vs S. Wed

Bet 177 B. Rovers vs Rotheram

Bet 178 Derby vs Bolton

Bet 179 Burnley vs Middles

Bet 180 St Johnstone vs Celtic

Bet 181 Macclesfield vs Luton

Bet 171 Viktoria Koln vs VFB Huls WIN
Bet 172 Lisburn Distillery vs Dundela WIN
Bet 173 Arsenal vs B.Munich WIN
Bet 174 Hull vs Blackburn LOST
Bet 175 Ipswich vs Watford WIN
Bet 176 Birmingham vs S. Wed LOST (over 0.5FT LOST)
Bet 177 B. Rovers vs Rotheram LOST
Bet 178 Derby vs Bolton WIN
Bet 179 Burnley vs Middles LOST (over 0.5FT LOST)
Bet 180 St Johnstone vs Celtic WIN
Bet 181 Macclesfield vs Luton WIN


P/L 14.85

BANK 54.85

W/L 123/181 (68%)


Another **** night and my mad for backing over 0.5 FT too!

Think I may stop this now, was fun while it lasted!

a lot of work for small gains, i reckon theres more money to be made backing 0 0ht 33% 1 0ht 50% and 0 1ht 17% in games where the home team is between 2.5 and 1.5

Bet 182 Dainava vs Wigery

your still around 40% profit , in less than a month!

keep it up

I don't know Iam, lots of effort for small games and all that!

small gains i meant

small gains ? where ? your start bank was 40£ wtf u expect


now if start bank was £4000 you would be up £1485 in less than a month


maybe leave out them 0ver 0.5 g;s they must be **** odds and you lost 2 out of 3 there

let me know if you wanna quit i might take it over

haha! Well good to know you are behind me!

as soon as you know your gonna make consistent profits then i would implement percentage staking ,

i think i would implement it straight away if you up now you would have made more money by using it

Now your bank is 20% or so bigger add 10% to your stake mate.

thanks for the advice guys, i may just do it!

Bet 183 Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge stake £2.63

Bet 184 Saarbruken bs Beliefield

Bet 185 Dundee U20 vs Celtic U20

Bet 182 Dainava vs Wigery
Bet 183 Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge
Bet 184 Saarbruken bs Beliefield
Bet 185 Dundee U20 vs Celtic U20

P/L 15.41

BANK 55.41

W/L 126/185 (68%)

Started doing this myself.   
                                                     £500.00        
1    1    16/02/2013    OSA V ZAR    1.76    0.95    0     £523.75      £23.75      £44.00
2    1    16/02/2013    SAO V ITU    2.90    0.95    0     £547.50      £23.75      £72.50
3    1    17/02/2013    PES V CAG    2.00    -2.00    1     £497.50     -£50.00      £50.00
4    1    17/02/2013    VAL V MALL    1.40    -1.40    1     £462.50     -£35.00      £35.00
5    1    17/02/2013    ESP V BET    2.00    0.95    0     £486.25      £23.75      £50.00
6    1    18/02/2013    CRAW V DONC    1.94    0.95    0     £510.00      £23.75      £48.50
7    1    18/02/2013    SIEN V LAZ    1.68    0.95    0     £533.75      £23.75      £42.00
8    1    19/02/2013    MIL V PET    2.65    0.95    0     £557.50      £23.75      £66.25
9    1    19/02/2013    BUR V MID    2.35    -2.35    1     £498.75     -£58.75      £58.75
10    1    19/02/2013    LEI V CHAR    2.65    0.95    0     £522.50      £23.75      £66.25
11    1    19/02/2013    NOTT V HUDD    2.10    0.95    0     £546.25      £23.75      £52.50
12    1    19/02/2013    CRY V BRIS    2.60    0.95    0     £570.00      £23.75      £65.00
13    1    19/02/2013    MOTH V DUN    2.55    0.95    0     £593.75      £23.75      £63.75
14    1    19/02/2013    TRAN V SWIN    1.87    -1.87    1     £547.00     -£46.75      £46.75
15    1    22/02/2013    WILL V NIJ    2.34    0.95    0     £570.75      £23.75      £58.50
16    1    22/02/2013    NIM V ISTR    1.84    -1.84    1     £524.75     -£46.00      £46.00
17    1    22/02/2013    AUX V GUIN    1.96    0.95    0     £548.50      £23.75      £49.00
18    1    22/02/2013    BILB V SOCI    2.45    0.95    0     £572.25      £23.75      £61.25
19    1    23/02/2013    AUG V HOFF    1.86    0.95    0     £596.00      £23.75      £46.50
20    1    23/02/2013    REA V WIG    2.2    0.95    0     £619.75      £23.75      £55.00
21    1    23/02/2013    ARS V AST    3.5    0.95    0     £643.50      £23.75      £87.50
22    1    23/02/2013    BAR V SEV                 £667.25      £23.75      £-   

Good Idea but as some have already pointed out..Need to have decent stakes. I am using Strict criteria to select these.

i dont see what the stakes matter

use percentage stakes


then all that matters is strike rate

big stakes small stakes ...irrelevant

thats a nice profit over 7 days .... now keep it up for 6 months and see where your at

no pics from aliboy for a few days

what up aliboy?

what do the numbers meas myohmy ?

those odds? or what


whats you stake plan here?

Bet No.    Count     Date               Match    Odds    LSP    Result     Bank               Profit      Exposure      Stake
0                                   
1    1    16/02/2013    OSA V ZAR    1.76    0.95    0     £523.75      £23.75      £44.00      £25.00
2    1    16/02/2013    SAO V ITU    2.90    0.95    0     £547.50      £23.75      £72.50      £25.00
3    1    17/02/2013    PES V CAG    2.00    -2.00    1     £497.50     -£50.00      £50.00      £25.00
4    1    17/02/2013    VAL V MALL    1.40    -1.40    1     £462.50     -£35.00      £35.00      £25.00
5    1    17/02/2013    ESP V BET    2.00    0.95    0     £486.25      £23.75      £50.00      £25.00
6    1    18/02/2013    CRAW V DONC    1.94    0.95    0     £510.00      £23.75      £48.50      £25.00
7    1    18/02/2013    SIEN V LAZ    1.68    0.95    0     £533.75      £23.75      £42.00      £25.00
8    1    19/02/2013    MIL V PET    2.65    0.95    0     £557.50      £23.75      £66.25      £25.00
9    1    19/02/2013    BUR V MID    2.35    -2.35    1     £498.75     -£58.75      £58.75      £25.00
10    1    19/02/2013    LEI V CHAR    2.65    0.95    0     £522.50      £23.75      £66.25      £25.00
11    1    19/02/2013    NOTT V HUDD    2.10    0.95    0     £546.25      £23.75      £52.50      £25.00
12    1    19/02/2013    CRY V BRIS    2.60    0.95    0     £570.00      £23.75      £65.00      £25.00
13    1    19/02/2013    MOTH V DUN    2.55    0.95    0     £593.75      £23.75      £63.75      £25.00
14    1    19/02/2013    TRAN V SWIN    1.87    -1.87    1     £547.00     -£46.75      £46.75      £25.00
15    1    22/02/2013    WILL V NIJ    2.34    0.95    0     £570.75      £23.75      £58.50      £25.00
16    1    22/02/2013    NIM V ISTR    1.84    -1.84    1     £524.75     -£46.00      £46.00      £25.00
17    1    22/02/2013    AUX V GUIN    1.96    0.95    0     £548.50      £23.75      £49.00      £25.00
18    1    22/02/2013    BILB V SOCI    2.45    0.95    0     £572.25      £23.75      £61.25      £25.00
19    1    23/02/2013    AUG V HOFF    1.86    0.95    0     £596.00      £23.75      £46.50      £25.00
20    1    23/02/2013    REA V WIG    2.20    0.95    0     £619.75      £23.75      £55.00      £25.00
21    1    23/02/2013    ARS V AST    3.50    0.95    0     £643.50      £23.75      £87.50      £25.00
22    1    23/02/2013    BAR V SEV    5.00    0.95    0     £667.25      £23.75      £125.00      £25.00

please avoid this market, its like playing snakes and ladders except its all snakes and no ladders.. this market has slaughtered me and my recent return to it has caused me heartache and an empty wallet.

I reckon Lay 0-0 Half Time in both premier league games today, Man City v Chelsea and Newcastle v Southampton

Soton 1-0 already.

myohmy your getting some really nice odds imo

around what minute you getting matched on theses?

Pre-match.. Average Odds is what it should be at around 2.33/1 - Chelsea hold Man City to 0-0 despite some great efforts on goal by both sides. Since Using much stricter Criteria - Strike Rate has been 83% with Average Odds 2.83/1.

At a Strike Rate of 80% you would need the average odds to be below 4.2 or 3.2/1 to make a profit. More than achievable.