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Gavrail1
28 Nov 12 08:49
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Date Joined: 28 Sep 11
| Topic/replies: 1,311 | Blogger: Gavrail1's blog
Botev Plovdiv - Ludogorets                 2.79     3.10  2.31    28.11.2012 13:30
Cherno More - Minyor Pernik                 1.19    5.53    11.07    28.11.2012 13:30
Gotse Delchev - CSKA Sofia                 5.94    3.96    1.44            28.11.2012 13:30
Lok. Sofia - Litex Lovech                     4.07    3.35    1.75            28.11.2012 13:30
Montana - Botev Vratsa                     1.87    3.12    3.90            28.11.2012 13:30
Beroe - Lok. Plovdiv                                 2.07    3.15    3.18            28.11.2012 15:30
Chernomorets Burgas - Slavia Sofia         1.67    3.36    4.73            28.11.2012 15:30
Levski - Etar                                         1.04    10.2720.68    28.11.2012 15:30

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Replies: 302
By:
Gavrail1
When: 28 Nov 12 08:50
picks for the matches will follow soon.....Wink
By:
Gavrail1
When: 28 Nov 12 08:57
Botev Plovdiv - Ludogorets

pick bt jompy

Botev and Ludogorets will face in Plovdiv in the big derby of the round. Botev got some injury problems during the week, but doctors gave their best to make full squad and both teams will field their best. Anyway there is huge quality gap and I saw it in Botev matches against , Levski, CSKA, Lokomotiv Plovdiv and Litex so far this season.  Last season both teams met in cup game and Ludogorets won with 0;3, without much problems and the odds were 1,50. Now I see 2,40 which is absolutely wrong from the bookies. Ludogorets overplayed Levski and CSKA in 2 straight games and will be high flying, so I doubt Botev can stope them. The away side welcomes back key defender Minev. Also Marcelinho - their best player is scouted by some foreign teams and will be motivated to impress, which is huge factor IMO. I expect 1;2 or 1;3 for Ludogorets


best option here - Both to score@1.65   7/10
By:
Gavrail1
When: 28 Nov 12 09:01
Cherno More - Minyor Pernik

pick by jompy

Minyor is having big crisis period and most of their key players left the club so far. Also their captain  will miss due to suspession, as he took red card in last cup game. Also 2 other players are injured. Minyor got very shaky defense, and will rely mostly on their home matches to grab points, enough to survive, but I really doubt they got the quality.
Cherno More is still close to the danger zone, which is far away from their qaulity. They deserve much better place and now having almost full squad available they wont dropped points against Minyor for sure. Their coach is new and is youth and ambitious so the motivation is high as sky. They got really bad schedule lately, and won only 1 point in last 3 games, but now is the right time to bounce back

best option here - Under 2.5 goals@2.2   6/10
By:
Gavrail1
When: 28 Nov 12 09:06
Gotse Delchev - CSKA Sofia

pick by jompy

For team like Pirin GD such games against Levski and CSKA are more than special. The whole city will be at the stadium and Pirin will give their best not to lose here. They won progress to the next cup stage after goaless draw in montana, which was their 2nd clean sheet in last 3 matches. The team got 6 under 3,5 goals in their last 8 matches at home.
CSKA will miss 3 key offensive players due to differenet reasons and that will affect on their creativity for sure. They played big derby game against Ludogorets for the cup with 10 men more than 60 minutes and won progress after big battle on the field despite the loss with 0;1. I see them a bit tired for sure.
no more than 3 goals here

best option here - Under 3.5 goals@1.5 8/10
By:
Biscuit1979
When: 28 Nov 12 10:42
Good info gavrail, Ludo seem a very big price.
By:
CJ70
When: 28 Nov 12 10:45
Sorry mate. Didn't see this thread.

Will join this one with my thoughts when I've finished staking.
By:
CJ70
When: 28 Nov 12 11:15
I notice jompy mentions that CSKA will be missing thee attacking players. Who is out? Is there a Bulgarian site that keeps up to date team news?
By:
Gavrail1
When: 28 Nov 12 11:28

Nov 28, 2012 -- 11:15AM, CJ70 wrote:


I notice jompy mentions that CSKA will be missing thee attacking players. Who is out? Is there a Bulgarian site that keeps up to date team news?


Priso out /red card /, CSKA will start with Bernando Tengarihna , Sebastian Skiorili / both new signings with few matches /.

Probable line up:  Cherni, Venkov, Krachunov, Popov, Bandalovski, Yanchev, Sasha, Anise, Tengarihna, Serginio, Platini

By:
Gavrail1
When: 28 Nov 12 11:31
http://cska.gong.bg/view_article.php?article_id=312789

news for the match - in Bulgarian.

CSKA coach Mladenov named group of 19 players for the match
By:
CJ70
When: 28 Nov 12 11:50
Cheers for the link

Quite happy to take CSKA -1 on that team news. I don't see Pirin scoring as they've been shut out by the quality teams.

Dutched 1-0 & 2-0 at Cherno More. Will play the unders when there's a little more liquidity in the market.

The other 12.30 games I'll look at in play. I fancy both Litex and Montana to win but not at the current prices.
By:
CJ70
When: 28 Nov 12 12:11
Ludogorets have dropped Marcelinho. Botev on the handicap are still to short for my liking.
By:
blackat
When: 28 Nov 12 12:20
You guys really think unders at Cherno More?? Or unders with a view to trade?
By:
CJ70
When: 28 Nov 12 12:24
As long as Minyor players turn up I can't see past unders.
By:
CJ70
When: 28 Nov 12 12:36
CSKA -1 at 2.25
By:
CJ70
When: 28 Nov 12 12:46
1-0 CSKA
By:
BARNEY15C
When: 28 Nov 12 12:47
GONE WITH YOUR TIP ON UNDERS IN CHERNO MORE GAME - HAD A FREE £5 B365 BET SO HOPEFULLY WIN  A BIT OF POCKET CHANGE (GOT 1.83)
By:
BARNEY15C
When: 28 Nov 12 12:47
Oh forgot - thanks!Grin
By:
wisewords
When: 28 Nov 12 12:49
got to ask.. with the CSKA tip, did you guys just follow the money? over 50k bet on that one, but less than 10k bet on all others
By:
Biscuit1979
When: 28 Nov 12 12:49
20 mins in and Ludo haven't even had a shot Sad
By:
CJ70
When: 28 Nov 12 12:49
Unders has landed in all but two Cherno More home games. Beroe 2-1 and Ludo 0-3 while Minyor have only scored two goals on the road.
By:
BARNEY15C
When: 28 Nov 12 12:50
did you make anything on the NBA last night wisewords?
By:
wisewords
When: 28 Nov 12 12:50
about £10 on trades
By:
CJ70
When: 28 Nov 12 12:50
May explain why 365 don't have the game. I'm using Hilss for the CSKA game so haven't seen the markets.
By:
wisewords
When: 28 Nov 12 12:50
would have won £120 if it the stupid Timberwolves had bottled it like I wanted them to
By:
wisewords
When: 28 Nov 12 12:51
well there's a big amount matched on CSKA to win.
By:
wisewords
When: 28 Nov 12 12:51
did you win anything Barney? i woke today to see the Lakers didn't bring it back
By:
CJ70
When: 28 Nov 12 12:52
1,500 matched at evens Cry
By:
wisewords
When: 28 Nov 12 12:52
he knew :P
By:
BARNEY15C
When: 28 Nov 12 12:53
bad luck mate - i laid lakers and made £15 overall , didnt trust them, already had 2 up in a 3 fold wasnt going to risk it Happy
By:
CJ70
When: 28 Nov 12 12:54
Crowd is really good at Botev for a midweek afternoon game.
By:
CJ70
When: 28 Nov 12 12:55
CSKA get a second.
By:
wisewords
When: 28 Nov 12 12:56
Money talks.
By:
CJ70
When: 28 Nov 12 13:08
All Ludo's attacks seem to end with Guela who messes it up.
By:
CJ70
When: 28 Nov 12 13:14
Hope we are not having a 0-0 day.
By:
kingmax
When: 28 Nov 12 13:15
cska odds have frozen since the goal on the over/ markets.. wwtf
By:
wisewords
When: 28 Nov 12 13:16
fixed game that one, pretty damning evidence.
By:
ultima
When: 28 Nov 12 13:17
same as you wise, can't believe wolves won yesterday and ridnour actually making some shots. thankfully, indiana won though to cover losses. i was worried they would lose when kobe hit that 3 to tie it...crazy game
By:
CJ70
When: 28 Nov 12 13:18
Not much cash in the goal markets for a fixed game.
By:
wisewords
When: 28 Nov 12 13:19
Fixed for outcome
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