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Right been doing this for a while but thought I would start an official thread to see how it goes. Always a true test of a system if you put it on a thread on Betfair.
I will be betting on HT/FT reverses for both teams when:
Both prices are above 28
Barclays Premier League Games
£5 single on each
I might tweak it every now and then but see how it goes to start:
Man City/Aston Villa - 130
Aston Villa/Man City - 30
Arsenal/Tottenham - 36
Tottenham/Arsenal - 25 - game doesn't qualify
Liverpool/Wigan - 80
Wigan/Liverpool 27 - currently doesnt qualify (if price gets to 28 it will)
Newcastle/Swansea - 50
Swansea/Newcastle - 30
Norwich/Man United - 25 - game doesn't qualify
Man United/Norwich - 60
QPR/Southamption - 40
Southampton/QPR - 28
Reading/Everton - 28
Everton/Reading - 46
West Brom/Chelsea - 28
Chelsea/West Brom - 40
fulham/Sunderland - 48
Sunderland/Fulham - 29
West Ham/Stoke - 50
Stoke/West Ham - 32
£70 staked so far.
Let's see how it goes
I will be betting on HT/FT reverses for both teams when:
Both prices are above 28
Barclays Premier League Games
£5 single on each
I might tweak it every now and then but see how it goes to start:
Man City/Aston Villa - 130
Aston Villa/Man City - 30
Arsenal/Tottenham - 36
Tottenham/Arsenal - 25 - game doesn't qualify
Liverpool/Wigan - 80
Wigan/Liverpool 27 - currently doesnt qualify (if price gets to 28 it will)
Newcastle/Swansea - 50
Swansea/Newcastle - 30
Norwich/Man United - 25 - game doesn't qualify
Man United/Norwich - 60
QPR/Southamption - 40
Southampton/QPR - 28
Reading/Everton - 28
Everton/Reading - 46
West Brom/Chelsea - 28
Chelsea/West Brom - 40
fulham/Sunderland - 48
Sunderland/Fulham - 29
West Ham/Stoke - 50
Stoke/West Ham - 32
£70 staked so far.
Let's see how it goes
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Interesting
what's your reason for this kind of bet/why more than 28/how have you been doing so far?
what's your reason for this kind of bet/why more than 28/how have you been doing so far?
28 gives me a chance to break even with 14 games (approx)
I have never recorded it (hence this thread) but I would say it has done quite well over the past few years although I have tried to be more selective.
Im not being selective now, just purely on price.
I have never recorded it (hence this thread) but I would say it has done quite well over the past few years although I have tried to be more selective.
Im not being selective now, just purely on price.
I think you might be on to seomething there 666 looking at the stats 
28 HT/FT reverses in the 16 games in the Championship so far
HT/FT cross swithes work best with "semicrosses" for me. Four bets on a match look like this
home/away, away/home, home/draw, away/draw. If it goes your way there are always flexible trading options
home/away, away/home, home/draw, away/draw. If it goes your way there are always flexible trading options
not looking to trade bloody
purely lump and leave.
Also done the championship and staked £5 on each switch.
Not one price below 32
purely lump and leave.
Also done the championship and staked £5 on each switch.
Not one price below 32
The Championship has had big swings this season - it seems any team can beat any other. A lot can happen in 45 minutes
I've been doing this bet for around three years. Most recent winners were England game last night and Man City at weekend. Good thing for this season is that the market is in play, which makes for great trading if a goal is scored. Was not in play previous years. Don't ask me if I'm up or down though because I don't keep a level stakes record - it's a good fun bet though.
first week started well
£5 landed at £46 - £230 - Everton/Reading
£160 profit from week 1 in the Premier League
No Reverses in the Championship so £120 down there.
£40 profit overall with one game to go
£5 landed at £46 - £230 - Everton/Reading
£160 profit from week 1 in the Premier League
No Reverses in the Championship so £120 down there.
£40 profit overall with one game to go
shame West Ham/Stoke didnt land
on to the research for next week
will be doing Premier League and Championship
on to the research for next week
will be doing Premier League and Championship
you can play this kind of bets also tonight in cl...i ll make a test
Barclays Premier League:
+£40 so far
£5 staked on each
Sunderland/West Brom - 40
West Brom/sunderland - 34
Everton/Norwich - 85
Norwich/Everton - 28
Man Utd/QPR - 130
QPR/Man Utd - 30
Stoke/Fulham - 50
Fulham/Stoke - 34
Wigan/Reading - 50
Reading/Wigan - 30
Aston Villa/Arsenal - 24 (game doesnt qualify)
Arsenal/Aston Villa - 42
Swansea/Liverpool - 29
Liverpool/Swansea - 40
Southampton/Newcastle - 34
Newcastle/southampton - 32
Chelsea/Man City - 26 (game doesnt qualify)
Man City/Chelsea - 26
tottenham/west ham - 55
west ham/tottenham - 26 (game doesnt qualify
£70 staked
Net profit/loss - £-30
+£40 so far
£5 staked on each
Sunderland/West Brom - 40
West Brom/sunderland - 34
Everton/Norwich - 85
Norwich/Everton - 28
Man Utd/QPR - 130
QPR/Man Utd - 30
Stoke/Fulham - 50
Fulham/Stoke - 34
Wigan/Reading - 50
Reading/Wigan - 30
Aston Villa/Arsenal - 24 (game doesnt qualify)
Arsenal/Aston Villa - 42
Swansea/Liverpool - 29
Liverpool/Swansea - 40
Southampton/Newcastle - 34
Newcastle/southampton - 32
Chelsea/Man City - 26 (game doesnt qualify)
Man City/Chelsea - 26
tottenham/west ham - 55
west ham/tottenham - 26 (game doesnt qualify
£70 staked
Net profit/loss - £-30
£5 at 30 landed in the Wigan/Reading game
a pleasing result
will do the P/L at the end of the weekend
a pleasing result
will do the P/L at the end of the weekend
Here's a suggestion.
Take your money and run.
Since 1992 there have been 125 HA & 167 HA in 7935 games Premiership games.
You'd need an average price of over 60/1 to even get close to breaking even after commission.
Do yourself a massive favour.
Take your money and run.
Since 1992 there have been 125 HA & 167 HA in 7935 games Premiership games.
You'd need an average price of over 60/1 to even get close to breaking even after commission.
Do yourself a massive favour.
d13phe 15 Nov 12 14:00 Joined: 18 Jul 03 | Topic/replies: 19,161 | Blogger: d13phe's blog
28 HT/FT reverses in the 16 games in the Championship so far
14 HT/FT reverses so far this season (216 games) in the championship.
28 HT/FT reverses in the 16 games in the Championship so far
14 HT/FT reverses so far this season (216 games) in the championship.
Didn't manage to do the midweek, don't have enough time so will purely stick to weekends
Arsenal/Swansea game - doesn't qualify unless price gets to 28
Fulham/Tottenham - 29
Tottenham/Fulham - 32
Southampton/Liverpool - 28
Liverpool/Southampton - 85
Everton/Man city - game doesnt qualify
QPR/Aston Villa - 50
Aston Villa/QPR - 30
Reading/Man Utd - game doesnt qualify
West Brom/Stoke - 50
Stoke/West Brom - 34
West Ham/Chelsea - game doesnt qualify
Norwich/Sunderland - 48
Sunderland/Norwich - 32
Newcastle/Wigan - 50
Wigan/Newcastle - 32
£60 placed -
net P/L - +£60
Arsenal/Swansea game - doesn't qualify unless price gets to 28
Fulham/Tottenham - 29
Tottenham/Fulham - 32
Southampton/Liverpool - 28
Liverpool/Southampton - 85
Everton/Man city - game doesnt qualify
QPR/Aston Villa - 50
Aston Villa/QPR - 30
Reading/Man Utd - game doesnt qualify
West Brom/Stoke - 50
Stoke/West Brom - 34
West Ham/Chelsea - game doesnt qualify
Norwich/Sunderland - 48
Sunderland/Norwich - 32
Newcastle/Wigan - 50
Wigan/Newcastle - 32
£60 placed -
net P/L - +£60
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