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SSIP
13 Nov 12 23:54
Joined:
Date Joined: 29 Dec 11
| Topic/replies: 1,789 | Blogger: SSIP's blog
3-0 @ 7/1
4-0 @ 6/1
5-0 @ 6/1
Worth a spread IMO
Pause Switch to Standard View Montenegro vs San Marino
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Report JC1326 November 14, 2012 12:04 AM GMT
I always think there's good value in CS for these type of games. Can't believe some bookies actually have this @ 1.02 as well. If you got the cash and the balls there's some value in that. Would of said 4-0 minimum.
Report JC1326 November 14, 2012 12:08 AM GMT
Also think Andorra-Iceland is a decent game to CS, 1 or 2-0 max.
Report Get On MASSIVE November 14, 2012 10:47 AM GMT
Over five years a go now but I used to do a correct score Lucky 15 in the international games. Back then the minimum price for a correct score was 7/1 and they gave you treble the odds for one winner.

I used to pick the teams like San Marino, etc that were heavy odds on to score nil, that way you got half the score right almost all the time and just had to guess how many their opponents would score.

I'd do 4*£10 Lucky 15's with about eight scores permed in different Lucky 15's.

I only ever got two right on one coupon maximum but once I did have all four right with 82mins gone which would have scooped me over £50k.

The value went when they dropped the minimum price from 7/1 to 5/1.

I like to think that was because of me. Laugh
Report JC1326 November 14, 2012 10:56 AM GMT
Laugh

I always used to oppose San Marino on the Double Chance, as some bookies would give you the exact same odds as an outright win. Double Chance appears to be almost non-existent in that situation now, I'd like to think I had a hand in it Crazy Hills one time limited me to about £300 on one such bet too.

Paddy had Montenegro DC @ 1 earlier this week, so 1k returns £5. If you have the money, it's worth a bit of free cash.
Report well4 November 14, 2012 1:07 PM GMT
Hoping San Marino can hold out long enough for Montenegro to reach 1.04. They held out for 23 minutes in the game between the sides in Serravalle in September as Montenegro went from 1.05 pre-kick off to around 1.1. I wouldn't back them pre-match at 1.01.
Report CJ70 November 14, 2012 1:12 PM GMT
Can't see anything past AUQ and have bet accordingly. The Iceland game is interesting and anything over 1.20 looks a great price to me.
Report bettingmike8 November 14, 2012 1:18 PM GMT
I always think more goals in the second half is a good bet. usually San marino can keep it down to 1 or 2 in first half, so as long as its about 5, you should be alright!
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? November 14, 2012 1:20 PM GMT
You know if you bet on 5-0 it will be 5-0 at 90 minutes, and then San Marino will score a 90th minute consolation goal.
Report well4 November 14, 2012 1:26 PM GMT
San Marino haven't scored in a qualifying match away from home since 2001 so the win to nil bets should be safe in that regard.
Report bettingmike8 November 14, 2012 1:37 PM GMT
Sorry, I may be being thick here, but in the "correct score 2 Home" market, I am assuming "unquoted" means any result which isn't included in that section ie 3-0, 3-1 or 8-0, 8-1 etc?  I'm pretty sure thats what it means, i just need clarification! Confused
Report well4 November 14, 2012 1:44 PM GMT
Yeah it is. I made that costly mistake a few years ago, laying any unquoted in the Poland-San Marino game, thinking as long as Poland scored more than three goals the bet was won. It was during the game I realised it could go the other way. Final score: 10-0 >_
Report tumbles November 14, 2012 1:56 PM GMT
Any unquoted at 1.34 - which is ANY score over 3 - 3 - is a good bet in this game. San Marino have been beaten on average by 6 over more than 20 games, and have only scored in one game. Average defeats are closer to 8 - 0 over more recent period away from home.
Report CJ70 November 14, 2012 1:59 PM GMT
Last San Marino away game that didn't go AUQ is Cyprus 2007.
Report MysticMug November 14, 2012 2:04 PM GMT
I've taken AUQ at that price, Montenegro beat them 6-0 away, so should have absolutely no problem scoring at least 4 here
Report CJ70 November 14, 2012 2:11 PM GMT
Someone got lucky with the 1.50 on that market. It'll probably be around half that by the time they KO.
Report tumbles November 14, 2012 2:16 PM GMT
Saw that. Nice few quid too at the price. Had given up finding any value on the games today until I saw that. Might have a few punts on the correct score with the bookies as well.
Report dmd88 November 14, 2012 2:49 PM GMT
no jovetic or vucinic for montenegro
Report bettingmike8 November 14, 2012 3:36 PM GMT

Nov 14, 2012 -- 2:49PM, dmd88 wrote:


no jovetic or vucinic for montenegro


Is that definite? Though vucinic didn't play in the 6-0 away game! Should still get 4!

Report Biscuit1979 November 14, 2012 3:42 PM GMT
Yes it's definite, neither are in the squad
Report scaredmoney November 14, 2012 3:49 PM GMT
is this game on here?

cant find it
Report Biscuit1979 November 14, 2012 3:52 PM GMT
http://soccer.betfair.com/?tmi=26920280&ex=1&origin=IPHP&inPlay=true
Report scaredmoney November 14, 2012 3:53 PM GMT
cheers biscuit
Report CJ70 November 14, 2012 5:15 PM GMT
One
Report Clueless1 November 14, 2012 5:15 PM GMT
which team scored lol
Report MysticMug November 14, 2012 5:15 PM GMT
Good.
Report Dugarry21 November 14, 2012 5:19 PM GMT
I got £100 on Montenegro half time at 7/5 on B365, obviosly this was a mistake as it went to 1/10 as the game kicked off. Anybody know if they will pay me out or will they void it??
Report Biscuit1979 November 14, 2012 5:21 PM GMT
it depends.

If you win they'll void it, if it loses they'll keep your money!
Report well4 November 14, 2012 5:21 PM GMT
Montenegro back odds didn't shift from 1.01 until the goal at any point. Thought they may have held out for longer, but nevermind.
Report lukekelly88 November 14, 2012 5:21 PM GMT
Void it there scabs robbed a 500 bank withdrawal off me before when I got 5/1 on an error
Report Dugarry21 November 14, 2012 5:22 PM GMT
Oh so ive wasted that £16 laying my stake back on here!!!
Report lukekelly88 November 14, 2012 5:22 PM GMT
So they'd keep ur money at 0-0 ht. that's a joke lol,should be a void
Report Biscuit1979 November 14, 2012 5:26 PM GMT
Bookies aren't here to help you, they're here to make money. At 0-0 ht regardless of odds his bet would've lost anyway so they'd be entitled to keep his money. But if they see they've given him wrong odds they'll either void it, or at the very least pay him out at what the odds should've been, depends what mood they're in i guess.
Report CJ70 November 14, 2012 5:26 PM GMT
Cashed out of AUQ hoping there are no more first half goals and I can get back in.
Report Dugarry21 November 14, 2012 5:30 PM GMT
Oh well, I suppose it was too good to be true!! Fingers crossed though they may balls up again and pay me.
Report MysticMug November 14, 2012 5:32 PM GMT
2-0
Report well4 November 14, 2012 5:32 PM GMT
No suspend...?
Report sweetchildofmine November 14, 2012 5:32 PM GMT
floodgates should open now, though san marino will still play for a 2-0 defeat
Report sweetchildofmine November 14, 2012 5:33 PM GMT
well4..very very brief suspend
Report CJ70 November 14, 2012 5:47 PM GMT
2-0 HT. Looking to get back in AUQ
Report well4 November 14, 2012 5:48 PM GMT
Match has been a complete procession from kick-off. Fair play to whoever got on Montenegro at 1.03!
Report sweetchildofmine November 14, 2012 5:51 PM GMT
unquoted likely but no foregone conclusion, monte will continue to dominate but san marino have no ambition and will defend with ten behind the ball till the bitter end
Report CJ70 November 14, 2012 5:53 PM GMT
They always defend, but they always fall down in the second half as they are knackered.
Report Dugarry21 November 14, 2012 6:15 PM GMT
B365 changed price to 1/10! They had it up at 6/4 & 7/5 but apparently it should have been 1/10. Might aswel have made it 1/1000 seeing how they can do what they want
Report sweetchildofmine November 14, 2012 6:21 PM GMT
games a bit too low key for my liking
Report MysticMug November 14, 2012 6:22 PM GMT
AUQ in massive danger, Montenegro not bothered about scoring any more, should have greened out Cry
Report Biscuit1979 November 14, 2012 6:23 PM GMT
Have san marino ever not conceded in the 2nd half of a game. They always concede a few late on.
Report Biscuit1979 November 14, 2012 6:24 PM GMT
We only led them 2-0 with 20 minutes to go at Wembley
Report well4 November 14, 2012 6:24 PM GMT
When they lost 1-0 to Finland in the Euro 2012 qualifiers they kept a clean sheet in the second half. Still only 2-0 here midway through the second half!
Report JC1326 November 14, 2012 6:25 PM GMT
Surprised no Jovetic. They were already missing an important attacker who was excused this game as he plays for Seoul, so without the Fiorentina man it was probably going to be harder. In saying that, it is San Marino.
Report well4 November 14, 2012 6:25 PM GMT
3-0
Report sweetchildofmine November 14, 2012 6:25 PM GMT
that helps
Report JC1326 November 14, 2012 6:25 PM GMT
Laugh
Report MysticMug November 14, 2012 6:26 PM GMT
Bout time
Report Biscuit1979 November 14, 2012 6:26 PM GMT
Don't panic!!
Report Boozle November 14, 2012 6:28 PM GMT
Was all in on over 2.5 after the 2nd goal, was starting to get a bit uncomfortable with the lack of shots on target!
Report Cursor November 14, 2012 6:35 PM GMT
I'm starting to panic :)
Report MysticMug November 14, 2012 6:39 PM GMT
HOW DID HE MISS FFS
Report sweetchildofmine November 14, 2012 6:41 PM GMT
these 7 minutes will fly by
Report sweetchildofmine November 14, 2012 6:43 PM GMT
dont believe this ffs
Report SSIP November 14, 2012 6:56 PM GMT
didn't go AUQ CrazyCrazyCrazy
nice to know with 10 to go @ 3-0 I couldn't lose the correct score market
Report JC1326 November 14, 2012 9:08 PM GMT
That's why people shouldn't p*ssball about trying to take UQ and such. Just keep it simple and plough in to the stuff that is as close to 100% to happen in a football match, the 1x2 market, over 1.5, 2.5 max, maybe clean sheet, basically freebies from the betting gods.
Report JC1326 November 14, 2012 9:09 PM GMT
Take a moderate profit that is guaranteed, or end up with nothing.
Report JC1326 November 14, 2012 9:09 PM GMT
In games like this one, I mean.
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