russian football for morning addicts

at 1.67

.10 profit free money get on there

i don't get it

most of the $$$ is on unders. isn't it?

1-0 after a minute.

Get in! Woooo

waohhh that knowed something 15.000 usd layed
:)

get in baby

Penalty.

WTF????

30.000 usd good money
fixed!!!!!!

**** they scored before i green on the home side

Haha was there a suspension after the 1st goal? Money seemed to be up a little while with no movement, not alot but a little

:)))))))))))))))) 1-1

Who wins? Torpedo Moscow or Neftekefentnfnentneff?

Nov 5, 2012 -- 10:12AM, Srichaphan or Ancic? wrote:

Who wins? Torpedo Moscow or Neftekefentnfnentneff?

hoping for torpedow to win this

^^hte value is with them

Has there been any big money on the market? That's the first thing to know when betting on Russian matches/players.

Lol overs looking great

u4.5 and the draw?

Over 3.5 look good for me
come on we wants goalsss

Btw, I am putting together a 'Football Goals' spreadsheet which shows the number of goals each team has scored/conceded in ten years of football, in all European domestic leagues. If you want to know anything from that, just give me a shout. I haven't done Russian football yet though!

i think this is a one more goal game. dont be mug by backing goals

need another goal sharpish

This is going to finish 1-1 isn't it!!!??

Probably. They know how to do it.

I now know which team in the major European leagues is most likely to have over 2.5 goals, from their previous matches :)

it's stoke city

and its not Barcelona :)

Australia league is now the best league for goals

Surely PSV Eindhoven?

how did they score 2 goals

no, its actually an English team.

stoke. i've told ya

PSV are 35% in ten years, over 2.5 goals

or, 65% overs

Home matches, I'm referring to

Stoke are 54% unders at home

glory glory man united?

over 10 years, got to be United then?

I can use the stats to combine the home and away team's %s, calculate what the odds should be according to historical stats, compare them to what is on the markets, and then determine the variance. How I determine the stake, Im not yet sure.

Man Utd are 56% overs.

Agree this weekend a league best in the world for goal backers

If you are going back years it's likely to be someone like Newcastle. Not sure I'd be backing them now though.

AFC Wimbledon is the team. But that is not based on ten years of course, as they are reasonably new to the league.

The question is, what relevance do results from 8/9/10 years ago have when working out your present day odds. For example, 10 years ago Man City were sh*te and their results not that good, whereas now they win almost every home game. So you shouldn't really go back more than 18 months for them.

Although i'm convinced people use Liverpool's results from the 80s when working out their current day odds.

wow

i'd definitely back overs in the next Wimledon's game in premier league

who said Premier League?

oh

i didn't know that league 2 is a "major european league" now

It is none of the teams you mentioned in the Premier League anyway.

Biscuit, I know what you mean. I was thinking of a way of lessening the stats from the furthest seasons away, somehow, but not sure how.

i.e. the stats from the most recent season count for more.

but I also know that there are some teams which have a defensive philosophy which goes back a few years at least, some grounds which are not as easy to score goals on etc. and that will be shown in the stats too.

For example, if you look at the Dutch league, most teams score lots of goals, but Vitesse, for example, low scoring for many seasons. There must be a reason for it.

I personally never go back more than 2 seasons. Teams change players, managers, tactics so often these days.

Sometimes that is even too long. For example what is the point of looking at last years results for AC Milan, when this season they've sold Ibra, Silva and Cassano

and shevchenko!

There is a team in Scotland which has less than 1% of matches finishing 0-0 over 10 years. On the bookies, you can regularly get 1.05+ on the under 0.5 market.

Likewise Roma, this year they've got Zeman in charge who plays all out attack every week, so results beyond this season are pretty much irrelevant

ffs

Nov 5, 2012 -- 11:10AM, Footiefan111 wrote:

ffs

these guys know everything about scoring goals

it's in their blood

You'd think that, because of their goals scored being high this season, and conceded. But if you take a look at Roma stats, for ten years prior to this season, they are normally a high scoring team. Just 19% of matches under 2 goals, which is the sixth lowest % in Italian Serie A and B.

1 more please

2-1

2-1

2-1

And the second lowest % in Serie A, behind Palermo.

SorA - i'm intrigued about the Scottish team.

is it Elgin?

no, although they did go on a run of seven seasons without a 0-0 home or away until this season.

I think they have had one or two 0-0s this year though.

but if you bet overs on that lowest Scottish league, you'll win more often than you lose, I think.

2-1 get on under 3.5 and under 4.5

Funnily enough Rangers are the least likely to go o2.5 in the Scottish third division at the moment.

Boom. 2-2.

yeahah

drawwww again

Goaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaal

ha ha over 3.5 in

Get in

1 more goal

no more goals

Gotta back. A 5th now

Anyone watched any of this Futsal world cup, some of the skill and control is brilliant. Needless to say England aren't in it!!

thanks russian boysss
0ver 3.5 ok
:)))

Nov 5, 2012 -- 11:26AM, Biscuit1979 wrote:

Anyone watched any of this Futsal world cup, some of the skill and control is brilliant. Needless to say England aren't in it!!

who won? ukraine?

these guys are in the mood to score goals

ahh it's only group stage there

It's still at the group stage. Ukraine are doing well though.

Russia won a game 16-0 yesterday!!

i like playing futsal

16-0 lol

brazil 13-0 win over khadafi's boys

There is not much betting on today!

My flabber has been ghasted. 2-3

cong.. all friends who played 4.5
:))

stupid defenders

make draw mugs

Completely against the market that 5th goal. Unusual for a Russian game.

Backed the 3-3

it was a big mistake by defenders which led to 5th goal

2-3

last chance

fecking mugs

FT 2:3

Nov 5, 2012 -- 10:54AM, Srichaphan or Ancic? wrote:

I can use the stats to combine the home and away team's %s, calculate what the odds should be according to historical stats, compare them to what is on the markets, and then determine the variance. How I determine the stake, Im not yet sure.

I want to post this without sounding negative, but what do you hope to achieve from doing this? Professional odds compilers do the same thing, but in a more sophisticated manner, using advanced software. It is extremely difficult to find an edge, just by looking at these basic stats, and as someone already posted, a lot of the stats you will be looking at are irrelevant.
It requires a much more rigourous approach, creating supremacy ratings based on bivariate models etc etc. I don't wish to discourage you, but just think about your end goal. If it is just for a bit of fun then great, but if you intend to profit long-term, you need a different strategy. Best of luck