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jammy3
16 Oct 12 19:46
Joined:
Date Joined: 26 Nov 04
| Topic/replies: 370 | Blogger: jammy3's blog
Evening Gents,

After 10 days of no betting opportunities, we finally have one tonight in Brazil. Its been frustrating time with the international fixtures getting in the way of league games but its always best to sit these times out and wait for something to appear. Better to keep the money in your pocket than give it to a bookie coz your were bored...

ANYWAY, full match analysis is below but full staking details on the site (www.bettingriver.co.uk) as always.

Thoughts and comments welcomed...

16th October 2012 – Vitoria vs ASA (Serie B – Brazil)

Vitoria are in 2nd place and are a single point behind the leaders Criciuma and a goal behind them on goal difference so this is a very close championship race. Vitoria have the second best scoring record in the league after netting 49 in 29 games and have only conceded 31.

Their current form has seen them slip up in their last few away games, which in turn, has affected their current form rating as it reads won 3, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 8 games. Their home form however, is very good and has seen them winning 11, drawing twice and only losing the once so far this season.

Their home ground really is a fortress for them where they have dropped very few points this season and in doing so, have entertained their fans by scoring 28 times in 14 games whilst only conceded 12 times.

ASA find themselves in a middle table position with an OK goal scoring record of 38 goals scored. The flip side of that though is their defence is fragile having conceded 38. To give then credit, they are a team goes out to play for the win as their record shows as they have won 11 and lost 14 games with only 4 draws so far this season. They don’t always get it right, but they do give it a go.

Their current form is actually slightly better than Vitoria’s which is an instant warning flag. When you look a bit closer though you see that whilst they have managed 4 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 8 games, they have only picked up 1 point from the 3 away games they have recently played.

Their away form, as a whole, is the joint 2nd worst in the league with only 8 points picked up on the travels from a possible 42. They have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 10 of their away fixtures scoring this season so they don’t travel well at all. They have manage to net on 11 occasions but their defence is their weakness as they have almost double (21 goals) in the process.

Review

The reverse fixture in this game saw Vitoria win 2-3 and I expect them to do the double this evening when they play in front of their home crowd.

ASA have had a few good results recently but those have come at home against the lower ranking teams in the league. You can expect ASA to come and have ago at Vitoria and they may even grab a goal but I expect Vitoria’s class to become too much for them and will be looking for a good win to keep the pressure on the league leaders.

An alternative angle, might be to back over 2.5 goals as the potential for goals is high in this fixture.

www.bettingriver.co.uk
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Report jammy3 October 16, 2012 8:24 PM BST
Nobody got any thoughts on this then or should I take it that everyone is too stuck in to the internationals tonight???

I don't back internationals or cup games as so un-predictable...stick with league and teams form if you want to make some long term profits...All in my humble opinion of course :O)
Report DAFFODIL1 October 16, 2012 9:13 PM BST
You have waited 10 days to tip a 1.46 shot,I can't wait for the next 10 days.
Report jammy3 October 16, 2012 10:04 PM BST
DAFFODIL1: Could be 10 days...could be tomorrow...Who knows...BUT...I do know, I'm here to make a regular profit from well researched betting opportunities...

Not interested in most of the usual complete tosh posted on here but am interested in getting peoples views and opinions on researched games. I'm not looking for people to blindly follow, but to form their own opinions and hopefully find holes in my research...in doing so, I will hopefully refine my research and take more profit...

But of course, if your just interested in your "sure thing 5 fold accu"...feel free to ignore my posts...
Report jammy3 October 16, 2012 11:06 PM BST
25 mins to kick off...Internationals are mostly over so any thoughts on this game people?.
Report darrenw October 16, 2012 11:10 PM BST
nice write up jammy, i have backed vitoria here and small back of over 2.5
Report jammy3 October 16, 2012 11:18 PM BST
DarrenW: Cheers fella...Didn't back the over 2.5 myself and have just gone with the straight win...

Hopefully we will both turn a nice profit...
Report jimboc October 16, 2012 11:21 PM BST
nice write up fella ...i for one would much rather have 10 1.46 winners than 1 5 banker acca
Report superroger October 16, 2012 11:22 PM BST
Lets go Vitoria!!!
Report joe9000 October 16, 2012 11:22 PM BST
drifting now a fair bit
Report MaximusMillo October 16, 2012 11:22 PM BST
hows the team news jammy?
Report jammy3 October 16, 2012 11:23 PM BST
Jimbox: My sentiments exactly...Bookies will take your money longer term unless you can control emotions and only bet when you truely believe it is a good bet...

Even then, you are likely to lose quite a few, but with correct money management, you can take a profit...or so the plan goes :O)
Report superroger October 16, 2012 11:25 PM BST
Vitoria have a defender suspended
Report superroger October 16, 2012 11:27 PM BST
Vitoria: Deola, Nino, Victor Ramos, Josué, Gilson; Uelliton, Michel, Marquinhos, Pedro Ken; William and Elton
Report superroger October 16, 2012 11:27 PM BST
Josué is the big surprise on the team with only 17yrs
Report superroger October 16, 2012 11:29 PM BST
ASA: Gilson Rodrigo; Audálio, Edson Veneno; Omar, Cal, Lucas, Didira, Chiquinho Baiano; Alexsandro and Lúcio Maranhão
Report MaximusMillo October 16, 2012 11:29 PM BST
btts then maranhao has an imressive goals record
Report jammy3 October 16, 2012 11:30 PM BST
Drifted out to 1.6'ish...Great time to get involved if you haven't yet...
Report superroger October 16, 2012 11:30 PM BST
Be aware on Lúcio Maranhã with 38 goals this season
Report jammy3 October 16, 2012 11:31 PM BST
Its out to 1.73 on WillHill...

Back and Lay opportunity if your quick and thats your fancy...
Report MaximusMillo October 16, 2012 11:32 PM BST
colours anyone?
Report superroger October 16, 2012 11:33 PM BST
Vitoria - black shirt
Report jammy3 October 17, 2012 12:06 AM BST
Right...Looks like Vitoria are having more of the play so will hopefully wake up on the morning to a nice profit...

Good luck to all those involved...
Report MaximusMillo October 17, 2012 12:17 AM BST
0-0 ht
Report eightbo October 17, 2012 12:22 AM BST
prediction flunking atm full result likely to be 2-1, 2-0, 1-1
Report ellhnaras October 17, 2012 12:29 AM BST
what about over 0.5??
Report MARILYNMANSON October 17, 2012 12:30 AM BST
Any links guys, following it on W Hill text, always seems like game of the decade on their text.

Ta.
Report desperatemunter October 17, 2012 12:30 AM BST
what about it? - the >0.5 i mean
Report MatchedBets October 17, 2012 12:30 AM BST
I'm sticking with my over 2.5 goals. Also got over 2.5 and 3.5 on Chile v Argentina, hoping to wake up to a profit. Good luck to everyone, I'm off for the night
Report ellhnaras October 17, 2012 12:31 AM BST
were opportunities for goal..???i want to bet on overs..so i ask to
Report desperatemunter October 17, 2012 12:32 AM BST
you 'want' to bet overs???  surely you 'want' to place a winning bet. if u can't decide that theres even going to be 1 goal, what are you doing here?
Report desperatemunter October 17, 2012 12:33 AM BST
no one else can actually give you a winning bet. they can guess and be right, that is all
Report Biscuit1979 October 17, 2012 12:33 AM BST
http://www.thefirstrow.eu/watch/147037/2/watch-vitoria-salvador-vs-as-arapir...
Report ellhnaras October 17, 2012 12:35 AM BST
thanks a lot...good luck to all of you...
Report eightbo October 17, 2012 12:37 AM BST

Oct 17, 2012 -- 12:35AM, ellhnaras wrote:


thanks a lot...good luck to all of you...


lol :----------------)

Report MARILYNMANSON October 17, 2012 12:38 AM BST
Thanks biscuit, much appreciated.

Big bet over 0.5 , small bet over 1.5 , even smaller over 2.5 and smaller again over 3.5.

1 goal will do, the rest a bonus.
Report MARILYNMANSON October 17, 2012 12:39 AM BST
ps. GL all and bring on the goals. Grin
Report eightbo October 17, 2012 12:44 AM BST
this is outrageous! asa almost scoring twice here guys!
Report eightbo October 17, 2012 12:45 AM BST
vitoria playing going for glory with a bad angle when he has options both right and left... oh dear
Report MARILYNMANSON October 17, 2012 12:51 AM BST
GOALLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL GTFI
Report Biscuit1979 October 17, 2012 12:51 AM BST
GOOOOOAAAAAAALLLLLLLLLLLLLLL VITORIAAAAAAAAA
Report MARILYNMANSON October 17, 2012 12:52 AM BST
Right off to make a cuppa, do you want one Biscuit?
Report gotitwrong- October 17, 2012 12:52 AM BST
took there time
Report MARILYNMANSON October 17, 2012 12:54 AM BST
Couple of more goals would be the icing on the cake. But 1 will do. Grin

gotitwrong...........gotitwrong, goal was to early, prefer 4 mins into injury time, after I have torn up my imaginary ticket,
then shout that famous 4 letter word starting with g...and ending l. Grin
Report Biscuit1979 October 17, 2012 12:59 AM BST
milk and 1 sugar please
Report MARILYNMANSON October 17, 2012 1:04 AM BST
On the way.
Report gotitwrong- October 17, 2012 1:09 AM BST
lol
prefer collecting on my ticket asap MM
Watching Jamaica v Antiga&Barbuda
Jamaica could run up a cricket score here ,could have had 5 or 6 already
Report MARILYNMANSON October 17, 2012 1:20 AM BST
2 - 0
Report MARILYNMANSON October 17, 2012 1:22 AM BST
FT 2 - 0
Report wisewords October 17, 2012 1:23 AM BST
frustrated that over 2.5 didn't come in
Report BARNEY15C October 17, 2012 1:26 AM BST
never in doubt, nice write up mate, spot on Grin
Report gotitwrong- October 17, 2012 1:38 AM BST
yes - many thanks for doing the research , wouldnt have had a bet if i hadnt seen it
Report jammy3 October 17, 2012 8:36 AM BST
Didn't see the full game but looks like ASA gave it ago as expected but Vitoria managed to get the win none the less...Bit unlucky for those of you on over 2.5 goals and glad I didn't back it as well now...couldn't quite convince myself.

Well done to all those that followed and turned a nice profit...I try and post all my recommendations on here but don't always get the time so if you want to follow all my recommendations, have a look at my social media outlets on the site (www.bettingriver.co.uk)...

Nice start to the day :O)
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