Women's U20 World Cup live thread.

hmmmm I lay 1.49, now 2.02... what to do.

Un3.5 is nailed on, guys

wait a little more

The only one who is worried is the big layer, he got matched 25k on over 3.5 at 1.48 and it is still 1.24 so he is DEEP under water.

yeah 52nd minute Im out of this market with all green on under and 0 on over :)

big layer is still very deep under water

how'd u do that HowdoIdo?

Hard_Life 04 Sep 12 12:15 
you dont have to have a brain to figure out what is going on. Its not even half time and the prices for over 3.5 and over 4.5 are all wrong considering a team is winning 0-3! 1.2 for another goal and evens for over 4.5 is too high considering all stats pointed to a goal fest out there. Just cant understand why you guys cannot see all the money laying goals. In the space of 15 mins, it has gone from 1.4 to evens!





If you think 1.2 for another goal and evens for 2 more are too high, then i'd love to be your bookie.

Germany haven't conceded for 8 games and the game is virtually over.

teo813

teo813
04 Sep 12 12:19
Joined:
01 Jun 04
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The only one who is worried is the big layer, he got matched 25k on over 3.5 at 1.48 and it is still 1.24 so he is DEEP under water.

15minutes without goal and he will be green as grass

in sure there will be another goal

Joined:
10 Feb 12
| Topic/replies: 16 | Blogger: samkin's blog
how'd u do that HowdoIdo?


Go to bet365 if you do not know how to do it in betfair..

i doubt 15' will pass by without another goal in the second half

my advice is simple, lay over 3.5 goals and lay over 4.5 goals then trade out in 20 mins.

Sep 4, 2012 -- 12:15PM, Biscuit1979 wrote:

henok, it's probably a lot more likely that the person sticking thousands on, was trying to get himself out of a horrible position due to the 3 early goals.

it can be, but this doesnt make him a mug gambler, does it? what i am saying is that the person who is doing this is more likely to be a professional gambler or an iside information gambler.

Evens still available for BTTS if anyone can see Japan improving..

I'm not saying it makes him a mug gambler, i was arguing against the point Hard_Life was making, that because thousands were going on, the person must 'know something'.

Probably a rich Japanese bloke who got himself into a mess.

Joined:
10 Feb 12
| Topic/replies: 17 | Blogger: samkin's blog
i doubt 15' will pass by without another goal in the second half


Another goal MAY come in from ~70th minute.. :)

Logicaly, now japans will be attacking more, knowing german defence it wont bring any results.  I expect one more goal but in the end.

dont listen to biscuit, he has clearly proved he has no idea what he is talking about. The fact that he even compared the money on the market from a liverpool premier league to a rubbish under 20's womens game is just laughable.

good afternoon all Seems I missed a goal fest...really mustn't stop up watching tennis

Joined:
16 Nov 10
| Topic/replies: 30,960 | Blogger: Biscuit1979's blog
I'm not saying it makes him a mug gambler, i was arguing against the point Hard_Life was making, that because thousands were going on, the person must 'know something'.

Probably a rich Japanese bloke who got himself into a mess.

Agree... In u20 international competion "know something". Back to the real world, please. Almost no chance.

In tennis challenger it might be a chance that someone knows something, but not in football and international matches.. cmon.

no nets second half Hard_Life?

Sep 4, 2012 -- 12:25PM, Hard_Life wrote:

dont listen to biscuit, he has clearly proved he has no idea what he is talking about. The fact that he even compared the money on the market from a liverpool premier league to a rubbish under 20's womens game is just laughable.

Why is it laughable? Lots of money pour in each week for the big 4 to win. But does not mean they will win EVERY game.

I wasn't comparing the 2 markets, i was arguing your point that just because a lot of money had gone on then it must be someone in the know. To be honest your point was complete b*llocks.

incredible, LOSTINBKK doing his best biscuit impression.

biscuit and lostinbkk - you two are seriously going into the 'money tree' league if you continue with your nonsense. Very surprised at the amount of rubbish you guys are talking out there to be honest.

someone is backing Japan to win @590

he must know something

anywhere with the first half stats on this game please?

biscuit, i understand that can be a case . but we are gamblers and we have to think in terms of likelihood. i think the likelihood of that gambler being a rich Japanese is less than the probablity of him being a pro or an insider.

0-3

Only a complete amateur would think that there was someone in the know on a womens U20 match. Then again, having seen your bets during Euro 2012, an amateur is probably being kind.

At least your Betfair_Loser username was amusing, the hard_life one must try harder.

If anything, the Germans might think "We've won this, but let's not embarrass the Japanese in their home stadium, as they've been really nice to us during our stay in tokyo"

Which means a 0-0 second half!!!

gone for under 4.5, will trade it if poss. Hard_Life knows when no goals are in the air

do you guys think that the game might go to O4.5?

TORA TORA TORA...nick one back time Japan,and preserve my Ov2.5 profits.

Jinkie
04 Sep 12 12:31
Joined:
16 Mar 10
| Topic/replies: 630 | Blogger: Jinkie's blog
If anything, the Germans might think "We've won this, but let's not embarrass the Japanese in their home stadium, as they've been really nice to us during our stay in tokyo"

Which means a 0-0 second half!!!


Cmon :DDDDD Imagine all 11 women playing on court thinks the same. Also coach saying this during HT :D

O4.5? THOUGHTS?

Anything is possible as its sport. But I think there will be one more goal. If its a Japanese goal then there could be even more

Ok I extend my waiting till 60th minute...

the funniest thing was the other night in the boto game i told everyone to lump on under 2.5 goals even at 10-0 and 2-0 in the first half i told everyone to relax and lump on under 2.5 at better prices. Biscuit the 'professional' was so confident on overs was laughing when it went 2-0 was sure there would be more goals. As sure as night and day the match finished 2-0 and again biscuit shown up to be a complete mug punter.

SAMKIN this will not finish over 4.5 goals! There has been only 5 shots on target, three of them were goals! Huge money coming in backing under 4.5 goals around 25 mins ago, follow the money. Be smart, not like these clowns on here

Sep 4, 2012 -- 12:37PM, Hard_Life wrote:

the funniest thing was the other night in the boto game i told everyone to lump on under 2.5 goals even at 10-0 and 2-0 in the first half i told everyone to relax and lump on under 2.5 at better prices. Biscuit the 'professional' was so confident on overs was laughing when it went 2-0 was sure there would be more goals. As sure as night and day the match finished 2-0 and again biscuit shown up to be a complete mug punter.

Just as the game finished 2-0 does not mean someone could not trade for profit on over 2.5

Hard_Life - do you have any more genius insights into todays tennis, was just reading your thoughts on the Errani match, you are a complete f*cking clown!!


Hard_Life 03 Sep 12 19:11 
errani cant handle the power

Hard_Life 03 Sep 12 19:16 
kerber knows what to do to win this match

Hard_Life 03 Sep 12 19:33 
kerber the better player out there

Hard_Life 03 Sep 12 19:37 
errani the better player by far out there

Hard_Life 03 Sep 12 19:39 
too easy from errani, kerber cannot handle it

Hard_Life 03 Sep 12 19:43 
mug kerber backers!

Hard_Life 03 Sep 12 19:47 
mentally gone now errani

Hard_Life 03 Sep 12 19:48 
kerber to steam roll 6-0 6-0

Hard_Life 03 Sep 12 19:53 
finally kerber starting to play aggressive! tiem to get on KERBER

Hard_Life 03 Sep 12 19:57 
this is done

Hard_Life 03 Sep 12 19:57 
errani wins this

Do you kids wana give it a rest. I think the Germans are going to score next and seal the game

you guys shoul be thanking me! i came in just at the righ time

saw this match, saw the market, straight away spotted somethign was dodgy. advised everyone to lay over 4.5 goals at 1.4

then, 30 mins later the price is 2.10!

do you want me to place your bets for you aswell?

Good match this Japan still going for it.

Japan is really pushin in this time round... need to trade out ASAP!!!!!

Market is expecting goal.. Im out with all green on under4.5... Good luck

too early to trade out, not happy with my profit.

only 2.12 at the moment. Waiting for at least 3's before i bail

60 mins gone! Where are the goals mugs? Is the market still wrong? Are the layers still bricking themselves?

That was f**** close... ****

Sep 4, 2012 -- 12:47PM, samkin wrote:

That was f**** close... ****

Yeah great game and well played Japan

for anyone who hasnt had a bet yet, 1.55 for under 4.5 goals is the way to go.

i will wait till it hits 1.4 and then get out

Im laying for o3.5.... Too low. Im going out with all green on 1.65...

Sep 4, 2012 -- 12:50PM, HowdoIdo wrote:

Im laying for o3.5.... Too low. Im going out with all green on 1.65...

Well done

lol@lostinBKK - you have changed your tune mate

No always happy when people make money. That's why we are all here

well if you stopped listening to biscuit and follow the market for once then perhaps you can make money aswell.

Hey who says I have not made money?

anyone who still thinks this game was not bent considering all three goals were scored in the first 20 mins and then huge money came in laying over 2.5 and 4.5 goals - seriously needs to stop betfair today. Learn hwo to read markets and money movers.

Just don't think its wise to follow the money but to go with what you know. Look at the Barca and Real M games and crazy amounts are bet on games.

1.52 already.. cmon 13 ticks for me to be all green..

well from what i have read, most people have gone for over 3.5 and over 4.5 in this match and that is clearly not happening.

4.5 looks unlikely but over 3.5 can still happen. Japan are still going for it.

imall greened out already on my unders

with profit

I need around 10 more mins to green up... Fingers crossseeddddd!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I've spent enough time on this place to realise that there is a lot of bent football out there (some quite close to home...) but the idea that the u20 Japanese and German teams would fix the match seems unlikely.

got on o4.5 here good price

if no goal until 75 forgrt it

Sep 4, 2012 -- 12:55PM, Jinkie wrote:

I've spent enough time on this place to realise that there is a lot of bent football out there (some quite close to home...) but the idea that the u20 Japanese and German teams would fix the match seems unlikely.

I would tend to agree

Sep 4, 2012 -- 12:55PM, Jinkie wrote:

I've spent enough time on this place to realise that there is a lot of bent football out there (some quite close to home...) but the idea that the u20 Japanese and German teams would fix the match seems unlikely.

Watch the Turkish Cup games or Greek League games and you can see that neither team is even trying

not necessarily canon, I actually think there's a higher chance of a goal checkin in between 75-85 mins.

germany was very luckey to score that fisrt early goal wich put japan a little confused

Hard_Life 04 Sep 12 12:52 
well if you stopped listening to biscuit and follow the market for once then perhaps you can make money aswell.







Ha ha yep stop listening to me, i called this one terribly.



Biscuit1979 04 Sep 12 10:29 
Germany haven't conceded a goal for 8 games, whereas Japan are always liable to concede. Lay of Japan and 1-0 for me.

Biscuit1979 04 Sep 12 10:39 
If Germany play like they did against the US and norway, i can't see japan living with them

Biscuit1979 04 Sep 12 11:43 
This could get nasty for japan

Biscuit1979 04 Sep 12 12:20 
If you think 1.2 for another goal and evens for 2 more are too high, then i'd love to be your bookie.

Germany haven't conceded for 8 games and the game is virtually over.

i also think that there will be another goal

right, i am out! Good luck folks and i hope you listened to me and make loads of money here

Green.

Now backed under 4.5.. too high odds. waiting to reach 1.16 then green up.

meto im go nice greens as well went on the 1.5 before the game started came quik

you will green out howdoido

no goal will be conceded for germany

result is done no more goals people

Come on Germany! Just sneak one more

game over

All in all

Won in 3 markets lost in 1.

Profit 5x bigger than I lost in 1 market.

:)

only by pen.

There's a small chance of a Japanese consolation goal....maybe.



Thank me later.

Finally... Greened up!!!! and out... fun being with y'all, later ::::::::::::

belive me no goal in germany net

Well done everyone Good Game

there you go 3-0

germany will win USA

0-3 FT, Un3.5 came in with a bang, I am laughing loudly at everyone who doubted my choice

me too a big smileon yhat under 3.5