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AndrewMat
06 Aug 12 07:31
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Date Joined: 05 Jul 12
| Topic/replies: 6,403 | Blogger: AndrewMat's blog
I decided to create this topic and share my thoughts about Russian football with you. I am not an expert, but I've been watching Russian football for over 15 years now, so it will be interesting to see, how good I am at predicting the outcomes. I will try to give predictions on all the matches with Russian clubs taking part that will be live on betfair. That means I will be concentrating on Premier Division, Division 1 (FNL - Football National League), Russian Cup sometimes, CL and EL matches with participation of Russian teams and official + friendly matches of the Russian national team (blast it!). I hope this thread will be useful.

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By:
AndrewMat
When: 06 Aug 12 07:55
Today we have got 3 FNL matches live on betfair.

Tom' - Baltika. 15:00.
Tom' is a strong favourite for me to win this match and with -1 handicap also. Baltika are peasants this season (as they normally are), and Tom' is certain to use some of their newly signed players. Which means, that recommended bets on this match are: Tom' wins at 1.56, Ov1.5 at 1.38, next goal - Tom' at 1.45, Tom' clean sheet - yes at 2.16.

Spartak Nalchik - Ural. 17:00.
Ural are not very good on the road, and they only managed 3 draws in their last 3 matches. Spartak Nalchik were terrible in their last home match, which they lost to Neftehimik 1-3 and they will have to rehabilitate. I can see a home win here with 1-0 or 2-1 score. Which means, that recommended bets on this match are: Spartak Nalchik wins at 2.24, Ural lay at 3.75, Un2.5 at 1.71 and Un3.5 at 1.27.

Torpedo Moscow - Shinnik. 18:00.
Both teams started the season terribly, Shinnik lost 3 out of 4 matches, and Torpedo only managed 1 point out of 3 games. Both teams will need to get the points, so the game should be an open one. I can see both teams scoring here and will give a slight preference to the home squad. Which means, that recommended bets on this match are: Shinnik lay at 3.1, Ov1.5 at 1.43 and Ov2.5 at 2.28, Both teams to score at 1.82.
By:
Tony Broke
When: 06 Aug 12 07:59
thanks for sharing your tips, but u seem to be predicting a fair few goals, which doesnt always fit in well with russian games ive noticed.
By:
AndrewMat
When: 06 Aug 12 09:02
Tony, not too many, really, only in the last match, and I think it will be 2 in Tomsk and 1-2 in Nalchik.
By:
CJ70
When: 06 Aug 12 10:41
I normally play the unders market and Tomsk and Baltika are two teams I tend to avoid. I'd be playing BTTS in that game as Tomsk aren't great defenders and Baltika are very good at taking chances.

Nalchik are unpredictable that will be one that needs to be looked at in-play.

I notice that Betfair don't have the Kuzbass v Petrotest game in-play. Playing home win and u3.5 in that one.
By:
EnvyMyGreen
When: 06 Aug 12 10:58
I usually play the Over 4.5 markets with considerable success in FNL. Great standard of football, passionate crowds, exciting attacking play, and above all this league is free of the corruption seen in many top European countries.
By:
judzis007
When: 06 Aug 12 12:01
what about Rubin Kazan today? will Rondon play?
By:
CJ70
When: 06 Aug 12 13:01
Is the Tomsk game not being televised? Unusual for there not to be a stream.
By:
stevies5_mufc
When: 06 Aug 12 13:04
any streams for tomsk lads? Cant find one and sort of expected there to be 1 Confused
By:
EnvyMyGreen
When: 06 Aug 12 13:06
b365 have one
By:
SrgSlaughter
When: 06 Aug 12 13:07
same but unfortunately no stream anywhere available sucks as I placed a bet before checking for a stream
By:
CJ70
When: 06 Aug 12 13:16
On my search for a stream I picked up Baltika +1 HT from Paddy. Looks decent.

I'm guessing the Olympics is clashing with this game?
By:
stevies5_mufc
When: 06 Aug 12 13:25
b365 dont have a stream
By:
mufc81
When: 06 Aug 12 14:18
0-0 BANKER BET FILL YOUR BOOTS
By:
EnvyMyGreen
When: 06 Aug 12 14:20
mufc81 has done it again Laugh
By:
EnvyMyGreen
When: 06 Aug 12 14:21
penalty
By:
CJ70
When: 06 Aug 12 14:21
Penalty to Baltika.
By:
EnvyMyGreen
When: 06 Aug 12 14:22
0-1
By:
mufc81
When: 06 Aug 12 14:22
GET INN 0-1
By:
CJ70
When: 06 Aug 12 14:22
Scored twice. 0-1
By:
EnvyMyGreen
When: 06 Aug 12 14:24
Red card Tomsk
By:
mufc81
When: 06 Aug 12 14:24
red card tomsk
By:
CJ70
When: 06 Aug 12 14:24
Time to bail out.
By:
BladeRus
When: 06 Aug 12 14:30
http://livetv.ru/ua/eventinfo/128430_tom_baltika/
sorry for posting the stream so late, but in case anyone wants to finish watching the game. Though it seems Tomsk has no chance, such a contrast to their performance in Khimki.
By:
CJ70
When: 06 Aug 12 14:43
Tomsk equaliser. Got out of BTTS and o1.5 after the card.
By:
BladeRus
When: 06 Aug 12 14:43
1-1, they managed to equalize
By:
BladeRus
When: 06 Aug 12 14:46
2-1, crazy
By:
CJ70
When: 06 Aug 12 14:46
What a comeback. 2-1 Tomsk.
By:
BladeRus
When: 06 Aug 12 14:46
no, dissallowed...sorry
By:
BladeRus
When: 06 Aug 12 14:47
sorry, wrong site, it is a goal
By:
supersmith
When: 06 Aug 12 14:49
INCREDIBLE SCENES Shocked
By:
AndrewMat
When: 06 Aug 12 14:49
We also have one Premier League match today.

Volga Nyzhnyi Novgorod - Rubin Kazan. 17:00.
Rubin normally do not concede many goals, as we all know, and on the road they are usually on unders, while Volga  always found it difficult to score against top teams. Not sure about a Rubin win, so recommended bets will be: Volda lay at 5.1, U2.5 at 1.65 and U1.5 at 3.05, Both teams to score - no at 1.85.
By:
supersmith
When: 06 Aug 12 14:52
Isnt Rubin match on at 15.00 - as in 8 mins?
By:
CJ70
When: 06 Aug 12 14:52
Hah 2-2. A lot of unders have been stuffed there.
By:
BladeRus
When: 06 Aug 12 14:52
2-2, nice freekick
By:
Boozle
When: 06 Aug 12 14:55
If you backed unders and didn't trade out and lost because of those late goals then you almost deserve it
By:
loadedgimp
When: 06 Aug 12 14:55
I was on unders, all green sitting on under 2.5 and 3.5 with no green on overs, all gone Shocked

Tomsk matched at 199/1 at 0-1 and must have been some short odds matched at 2-1, crazy game.
I really must lay off some pennies at 1.01 instead of assuming I was right and ignoring the other outcome.
By:
AndrewMat
When: 06 Aug 12 14:56
Smith, I'm using Central European time, it will start in 5 min, it's actually 18:00 local time
By:
loadedgimp
When: 06 Aug 12 14:56
Funnily I also backed 0-0 at 5s and traded between 4.1 and 3.5, sometimes football is uncallable.
By:
supersmith
When: 06 Aug 12 14:57

Aug 6, 2012 -- 2:56PM, AndrewMat wrote:


Smith, I'm using Central European time, it will start in 5 min, it's actually 18:00 local time


And there was mean thinking everyone used GMT! Laugh

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