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tegz
14 May 12 21:49
Joined:
Date Joined: 07 Dec 10
| Topic/replies: 740 | Blogger: tegz's blog
Back Instituto to win for a good profit @ 2.64
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Report Dr Kim May 15, 2012 12:25 AM BST
Made my mind up so overs it is
Report TortillaTheHun May 15, 2012 12:27 AM BST
Over 9.5 for me
Report gotitwrong- May 15, 2012 12:33 AM BST
CORDONA 7 0-0'S this season ?
Report gotitwrong- May 15, 2012 12:35 AM BST
boca only 1 0-0 though
Report O_Tuga May 15, 2012 12:35 AM BST
Where do you saw that stats gotitwrong?
Report TortillaTheHun May 15, 2012 12:36 AM BST
0 shots so far, even game
Report Dr Kim May 15, 2012 12:36 AM BST
I find alot of stats misleading and never proove to be that useful. I was lookign at a match the other day finished 0-2, looked at the previous h2hs of the teams and they were like 3-1, 3-5 so overs was obvious yet it never happend. I feel that the best information is the information you can get on matchday
Report gotitwrong- May 15, 2012 12:37 AM BST
soccerway argentina nacional b over/under

cant copy link or i would
Report gotitwrong- May 15, 2012 12:38 AM BST
http://uk.soccerway.com/national/argentina/prim-b-nacional/2011-2012/regular-season/

gotitright hopefully
Report loadedgimp May 15, 2012 12:43 AM BST
Dr Kim, stats are made up of individual results, they can be used as a guide but can and often will be wrong.  I find league position to be the best guide - after 36 games if 3rd is playing 8th then best bet is lay 8th HT or FT or lay 8th if they take lead, back 3rd before or after they take the lead...goals are random, you can make very nice profit but also lose easily.  1 goal is never a cert, unders are far better bets because you can trade them.
I think if you have a large amount of money best thing to do is stick to high unders and trade those.  I made a thread on this game and my goal prediction based on stats pre-match suggested 0-2 goals.  200 placed at 1-0 and 200 placed at 1-1.  Ended 1-1.
Easiest £10 today.

Soccer > Albinoleffe v Verona : Over/Under 5.5 Goals    Showing 1 - 2 of 2 Selections
Selection    Odds    Stake(£)    Bid type    Placed    Profit/loss(£)
Under 5.5 Goals    *    1.08    400.00    Back         29.12
Under 5.5 Goals    *    1.04    422.07    Lay         -18.07
Report TortillaTheHun May 15, 2012 12:48 AM BST
"Dr Kim, stats are made up of individual results, they can be used as a guide but can and often will be wrong.  I find league position to be the best guide - after 36 games if 3rd is playing 8th then best bet is lay 8th HT or FT or lay 8th if they take lead, back 3rd before or after they take the lead...goals are random, you can make very nice profit but also lose easily.  1 goal is never a cert, unders are far better bets because you can trade them.
I think if you have a large amount of money best thing to do is stick to high unders and trade those.  I made a thread on this game and my goal prediction based on stats pre-match suggested 0-2 goals.  200 placed at 1-0 and 200 placed at 1-1.  Ended 1-1.
Easiest £10 today.

Soccer > Albinoleffe v Verona : Over/Under 5.5 Goals    Showing 1 - 2 of 2 Selections
Selection    Odds    Stake(£)    Bid type    Placed    Profit/loss(£)
Under 5.5 Goals    *    1.08    400.00    Back         29.12
Under 5.5 Goals    *    1.04    422.07    Lay         -18.07"

+1 totally agree :)
Report loadedgimp May 15, 2012 12:53 AM BST
sorry I feel the urge to type sometimes.  My bets here are lay Instituto HT between 3.65 and 4.3 backing at 5.2, and laid 0-0 HT which was foolish but I am £40 up since midnight so I can have a silly bet Sad
Report TortillaTheHun May 15, 2012 12:54 AM BST
25 mins in
Boca 5 shots on target 4 off. Instituto shots on target 1, shots off target 1.
Report liverpoolfc89 May 15, 2012 12:55 AM BST
anybody watching, looking lively at all? gonna put it on ina sec
Report moneypenny May 15, 2012 12:57 AM BST
you dont need to watch- its argentina = unders are certain and 0-0 very likely
Report moneypenny May 15, 2012 12:57 AM BST
not so likely now Grin
Report TortillaTheHun May 15, 2012 12:58 AM BST
1-0 boca
Report liverpoolfc89 May 15, 2012 12:58 AM BST
was considering under 1.5 Glad I left it
Report loadedgimp May 15, 2012 12:59 AM BST
perfect for me, laid instituto and 0-0 ht. also backed under 5.5
Report gp1179 May 15, 2012 1:02 AM BST
how is game?
Report loadedgimp May 15, 2012 1:03 AM BST
Under 4.5 was 1.04/1.05 before the goal, and under 5.5 was 1.02/1.07 this led me to believe that IF a goal came, u5.5 would be no higher than 1.04 to trade out.  It is currently 1.02/1.12 and another goal before HT wouldn't be disastrous.
I don't watch argie games, they ruin my enjoyment of the sport, watching the basketball on now.  very close game.
Report gp1179 May 15, 2012 1:03 AM BST
under 2.5?is possible?
Report kokoo May 15, 2012 1:06 AM BST
any links
Report kokoo May 15, 2012 1:06 AM BST
the one i used is off
Report kanu200000 May 15, 2012 1:09 AM BST
http://www.justin.tv/marye_millo#/w/3078671040
Report kokoo May 15, 2012 1:16 AM BST
cheers
Report kokoo May 15, 2012 1:17 AM BST
i will lay the home team, dont think they will win
Report TortillaTheHun May 15, 2012 1:18 AM BST
Home team are ALL OVER away team.
Report loadedgimp May 15, 2012 1:18 AM BST
Football / Boca Unidos v Instituto : Half Time     15-May-12 00:30     15-May-12 01:15    15.09
Football / Boca Unidos v Instituto : Half Time Score     15-May-12 00:30     15-May-12 01:15    6.97

Other bets waiting, £35 on Boca 1.64 and £400 on under 5.5 at 1.02 Wink
Report ramazz May 15, 2012 1:19 AM BST
i'm going for one more goal
Report loadedgimp May 15, 2012 1:22 AM BST
anyone willing to donate me a few quid? just lay under 5.5 goals at 1.02, 400 up for grabs - could well be a good trade
Report ramazz May 15, 2012 1:23 AM BST
Loaded don't you think is more risky being exposed a lot of time on under 5.5 with more money than do trades on half time score with stakes of 100?
Report loadedgimp May 15, 2012 1:24 AM BST
Depends on what sort of game ramazz...I would trade correct score when I am watching a game and confident but I don't see how playing with a 5 goal cushion is more risky than being on HT bets...
Report ramazz May 15, 2012 1:29 AM BST
Less time exposed. I prefer do that. It's obvious these two will not score 5 goals in second half Cool
Report loadedgimp May 15, 2012 1:31 AM BST
Well if I have any money in my account it will generally be because not much is on.  Otherwise it should be sitting on a 1.01 with lots of protection
Report liverpoolfc89 May 15, 2012 1:32 AM BST
You prefer being on really small odds then like 1.01 1.02 apposed to trying to find vallue ETC
Report azot May 15, 2012 1:35 AM BST
2-0
Report loadedgimp May 15, 2012 1:35 AM BST
Depends, I tend to bet on what I am pretty sure will win, and usually the odds denote strike-rate required, so if I am laying 0-0 HT in matches, I expect 2/3 to land minimum.  If I am laying teams HT then I expect to win the majority of them to win.  Value is what you make of it.  Value is there when a)they do not represent chance or b)in a short time they are going to sky rocket  (usually a scoreline, a heavy favourite still drawing 0-0, unquoted)
Report kokoo May 15, 2012 1:35 AM BST
cant believe it
Report kokoo May 15, 2012 1:35 AM BST
vilage teams
Report ramazz May 15, 2012 1:37 AM BST
anyone lumping on over 2.5? Cool
Report kokoo May 15, 2012 1:37 AM BST
wow the odds are 1.5 on over 2,5
Report kokoo May 15, 2012 1:37 AM BST
mess
Report kokoo May 15, 2012 1:38 AM BST
surely there must be one more goal but who knows with these village teams
Report loadedgimp May 15, 2012 1:38 AM BST
goal straight after ht and u5.5 is still 1.02/1.03
Report loadedgimp May 15, 2012 1:40 AM BST
stuck 100 extra on boca at 1.12 as well.  anyway night all I am close to nodding off.
Report liverpoolfc89 May 15, 2012 1:42 AM BST
Yeah fair enough mate. I have toyed with many different strategies I started off mostly backing short odds and that has worked best for me and after a couple months of to many inconsistant things I think I may go back to that
Report azot May 15, 2012 1:52 AM BST
3-0
Report ramazz May 15, 2012 1:52 AM BST
over 2.5 landed Cool
Report Dr Kim May 15, 2012 1:54 AM BST
that will do me, thanks guys
Report liverpoolfc89 May 15, 2012 1:57 AM BST
3-1 The comeback begins Laugh
Report dimebar8 May 15, 2012 1:57 AM BST
3-1 phew... laid 3-0 at 2-0
Report dimebar8 May 15, 2012 1:58 AM BST
would pee my pants if it finished 3-3
Report ramazz May 15, 2012 2:01 AM BST
it will finish 4-3 Crazy
Report dimebar8 May 15, 2012 2:03 AM BST
i was kiding anyway just funny as loaded backed under 5.5 and boca so 3-3 would demolish his bank lol
Report loadedgimp May 15, 2012 2:04 AM BST
not all of it Laugh bout 2 days profits..
Report loadedgimp May 15, 2012 2:05 AM BST
how do you know I stuck 300 on boca at 1.01 Sad
Report lukekelly88 May 15, 2012 2:05 AM BST
ne streams for this crap?
Report dimebar8 May 15, 2012 2:05 AM BST
http://www.sportlemon.tv/v-4/0/90/v-409153.html
Report dimebar8 May 15, 2012 2:06 AM BST
i was referring to the 400 on under 5.5 and then the 35 on boca and 100 on boca
Report dimebar8 May 15, 2012 2:07 AM BST
now around 800 at risk, 10 minutes to squeak it out a little. should be fine though
Report liverpoolfc89 May 15, 2012 2:08 AM BST
1.02 at 3-1 up at home with 8 minutes to go, surely thats value
Report Dr Kim May 15, 2012 2:08 AM BST
someone put £28 on the draw @ 38.00, talk about throwing your money away...
Report loadedgimp May 15, 2012 2:08 AM BST
no traded out of out of u5.5, only losing 2 bets worth of profit from u5.5 so I don't mind.
Report liverpoolfc89 May 15, 2012 2:09 AM BST
susp
Report dimebar8 May 15, 2012 2:09 AM BST
3-2
Report moneypenny May 15, 2012 2:09 AM BST
3-2
Report liverpoolfc89 May 15, 2012 2:09 AM BST
resumed
Report liverpoolfc89 May 15, 2012 2:10 AM BST
will this end up 3-3? Crazy
Report loadedgimp May 15, 2012 2:10 AM BST
Fixtures 14 May / Boca Unidos v Instituto / Over/Under 5.5 Goals   
Under 5.5 Goals    Lay    19930447521    15-May-12
02:06         1.08    233.05        1.08    15-May-12 02:08   
   
Fixtures 14 May / Boca Unidos v Instituto / Match Odds   
Boca Unidos    Lay    19930448441    15-May-12
02:07         1.02    400.00        1.02    15-May-12 02:08   
   
Fixtures 14 May / Boca Unidos v Instituto / Over/Under 5.5 Goals   
Under 5.5 Goals    Lay    19930444659    15-May-12
02:05         1.09    20.03        1.09    15-May-12 02:05   

Close Happy
Report ramazz May 15, 2012 2:12 AM BST
there will be another for the home team!
Report loadedgimp May 15, 2012 2:12 AM BST
That's the rest of the lays, I laid some off after a couple goals went in, still got 1.03 lay at 3-1
Report loadedgimp May 15, 2012 2:13 AM BST

May 15, 2012 -- 2:08AM, Dr Kim wrote:


someone put £28 on the draw @ 38.00, talk about throwing your money away...


hehe

Report loadedgimp May 15, 2012 2:13 AM BST

May 15, 2012 -- 1:29AM, ramazz wrote:


Less time exposed. I prefer do that. It's obvious these two will not score 5 goals in second half


hehe

Report liverpoolfc89 May 15, 2012 2:14 AM BST
ive had a cheeky bit on the draw at 8/1 so come on 3-3
Report ramazz May 15, 2012 2:14 AM BST
Cool
Report dimebar8 May 15, 2012 2:15 AM BST
almost lol i don't want to pee my pants
Report loadedgimp May 15, 2012 2:16 AM BST
Losing a bit on this match, if an equaliser it would be great.
Report loadedgimp May 15, 2012 2:16 AM BST
like £30 loss
Report dimebar8 May 15, 2012 2:17 AM BST
boca time wasting lol
Report dimebar8 May 15, 2012 2:17 AM BST
lol no goalie in goal so lucky not to be 3-3
Report loadedgimp May 15, 2012 2:17 AM BST
I was almost asleep until that sh1t happened now I am all excited again Cry you on Celtics dime? I did a £30 trade to win a fiver then left it cos I don't have a clue who wins that.
Report dimebar8 May 15, 2012 2:18 AM BST
i don't ever touch Celtics
Report dimebar8 May 15, 2012 2:18 AM BST
i'd have bet on Philly in that match to be honest if i were betting on it
Report Dr Kim May 15, 2012 2:19 AM BST
just imagine if you put £10,000 on the away team now you would win over £3,000,000 haha
Report dimebar8 May 15, 2012 2:19 AM BST
you'd need to be matched though Dr... if it were a betting firm it would be nice lol
Report Dr Kim May 15, 2012 2:20 AM BST
haha just imagine lol
Report loadedgimp May 15, 2012 2:24 AM BST
3 points in it, 12 seconds left. Exciting finish in the Celtics game.
Report dimebar8 May 15, 2012 2:26 AM BST
80-75 philly
Report dimebar8 May 15, 2012 2:26 AM BST
80-78 lol
Report loadedgimp May 15, 2012 2:26 AM BST
wicked 3 pointer just then, I backed Philly at 1.16 and 1.1 before the foul
Report dimebar8 May 15, 2012 2:27 AM BST
another insta 3
Report dimebar8 May 15, 2012 2:27 AM BST
shame they didn't do those 3rd qtr
Report loadedgimp May 15, 2012 2:28 AM BST
yeh my thoughts exactly, fastest 6 points i've ever seen.
Report loadedgimp May 15, 2012 2:29 AM BST
OKC on now, should probably switch off as tennis will be more profitable than this one match.  enjoy if you watch it.
Report dimebar8 May 15, 2012 2:30 AM BST
Thunder 1st Qtr -1.5 worth a poke, only 1 basket.
Report dimebar8 May 15, 2012 2:31 AM BST
i'm off to snipe some heads on BF3 then going bed. ciao ciao hasamalenka
Report loadedgimp May 15, 2012 2:31 AM BST
cooool, sending u a pm so check it sometime.
Report dimebar8 May 15, 2012 3:20 AM BST
1st qtr just finished: Thunder 30 - 23 Lakers Cool

1.3 outright to win = long wait and hairy moments, no thank you.

1.8 to win 1st qtr -1.5 pts = short wait, good value, yes please.

i replied to your pm... i'm off now back to BF3 lol
Report tegz May 15, 2012 9:25 AM BST
well i guess boca performed better..this match was incredible...when i saw boca 2-0 up and with so much time to go i laid them to win back 100...the 3-3 draw was close..so very close...with the 6 minutes extra time!
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