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Mr Eboue
04 May 12 22:08
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Date Joined: 15 Sep 09
| Topic/replies: 26,470 | Blogger: Mr Eboue's blog
My approach to betting on football is to bet very selectivly and this has done me well over the years. I only bet when I think the price is right.

If I was pricing up Spurs in this game I'd have them a 4/7 shot. I've seen a bit of Villa lately and they look just about the worst team in the league. Their midfield is at times non existent and they pose very little threat in attack.

Yes Spurs have had a dodgy run but that win at Bolton will have given them a huge lift. They are right back in the hunt and look to be nearly full strength.

This is the biggest football bet I've ever had.

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Replies: 69
By:
Tony Fenton
When: 04 May 12 22:10
An elaborate hex.
By:
Mr Eboue
When: 04 May 12 22:10
This really isn't.
By:
scaredmoney
When: 04 May 12 22:15
One swallow dosnt make a Summer Mr Eboue......was it 10 away games with out a win before Bolton?
Something like that i believe,that would be enough to put me off a large bet. I agree,they should win but have a few negatives about them.

Good luck Sir
By:
mafeking
When: 04 May 12 22:15
the fact that they're called aston villa will keep the price up. a less high profile team with villa's form they'd have been a fair bit shorter

think we've only been shorter than around 1.8 once away this season - 1.65ish at swansea on new year's eve when we were absolutely flying and they rested a few.
By:
Mr Eboue
When: 04 May 12 22:17
If Spurs were away at Wolves they'd be 2/5.

Villa are so demorolised and I genuinly think at this moment in time they are on a par with Wolves.
By:
Crisp77
When: 04 May 12 22:20
Villa will be up for this after a couple of pints.
By:
mafeking
When: 04 May 12 22:21
they don't ship many goals though, Mr E. wolves have given away at least 2 virtually every game under connor. 0-0 is still a big runner in any villa home game
By:
mafeking
When: 04 May 12 22:21
and spurs have had 3 0-0s in the last 6 or 7 aways. unders on goals an absolute banker
By:
Mr Eboue
When: 04 May 12 22:23
Bolton beat them a week ago ffs!

Arsenal 3 - 0 Villa
Man utd 4 - 0 Villa
Villa 2 - 4 Chelsea

Score one and the floodgates will open Mafe.

Villa 0 - 3 Spurs
( Van der vaart 12, Bale 40, Defoe 81 )
By:
delta11
When: 04 May 12 22:26
Tottenham will be beaten this time
By:
delta11
When: 04 May 12 22:28
In football there is no form there is only a task given to footballers that they execute successfully for 100k a week.
By:
mrfishfingers
When: 04 May 12 22:29
Price is wrong, laid Villa, so no fear if Spurs don't get off to a flyer.
By:
erogenous_zone
When: 04 May 12 22:29
it will be villa 1 - 2 spurs. we dont do too bad against villa and they are shocking at the minute, think they will still get a goal though. maybe even score first. adebayor with another brace for us
By:
smithy91
When: 04 May 12 22:31
if i lay spurs now i look like this tottenham £83 draw £0 aston villa £0.

if i wait until kickoff i look like this. tottenham £185 draw £0 aston villa £0

spurs are huge and will be further backed in when villa team news comes out with carl baker , chris herd, eric lichai and steven warnock in midfield all starting. 1.75 for me now at kickoff some bookies already have 8/11Grin
By:
delta11
When: 04 May 12 22:31
Grina bunch of sporting actors pretending to be passionate footballers and fooling the public(at least majority of it for the sake of global entertainment and money making machine for bookmakersHappy
By:
Mr Eboue
When: 04 May 12 22:31
Spurs are the better team in every department.

There comes a time to bet like you mean it - this game looks like the one for me.
By:
smithy91
When: 04 May 12 22:33
the only regret i have about this game is that i dint go in with 2k at 1.99 instead of 1k it was obvious price was coming in
By:
delta11
When: 04 May 12 22:35
Aston Villa should not be beaten this time. Man U will win the title and Chelsea will eventully be given the opportunity to lift the cup. The que is finally over for themGrin
By:
mafeking
When: 04 May 12 22:47
i'm naturally cautious though. i have a horrible feeling about newcastle beating man city.

even with the respective fixtures i'd take going into the last game just needing a win to secure 4th and then get behind zee germans.
By:
sofaking
When: 04 May 12 23:39
No way Eboue should Spurs be 4/7.    I'd even say the look slightly short.   i hope you're right though. Happy                      Arsenal to beat Norwich is absolutely NAILED ON though. Tongue Out
By:
Hamsterdam
When: 05 May 12 01:16
Worth remembering Villa have drew 16 games, that's almost half their matches. If this match is a draw you lose your bet.
By:
Knight Rider
When: 05 May 12 01:24
Problem is Villa are a very different proposition to Bolton, who set up in an open 4-4-2 and attacked.  Villa will be a very miserable, defensive opposition, not something Spurs tend to do well against.  Can easily see this being a 0-0 or 1-1 or 1-0 with Villa scoring a scrappy set piece goal.
By:
emeraldg
When: 05 May 12 01:30
Prefer the unders.  Villa are a different proposition to Bolton as they are more solid at the back.  Don't really fancy them to score though tbf.
By:
emeraldg
When: 05 May 12 01:32
Wrote that before I saw your reply Knight Rider!
By:
max stirner
When: 05 May 12 01:34
Spuds 1.91 commission free, money is down on those muppets.
By:
RAPS
When: 05 May 12 07:48
Spurs are the better team in every department

Wrong. Villa have the better goalkeeper.
By:
toffee87
When: 05 May 12 09:06
Wrong. Villa have the better goalkeeper

I'd rather have freidel - Given is too small and therefore always stuck to his line - he's a good shotstopper but i think his shotstoping looks better because of his lack of height ie someone like Cech would not have to throw himself around as much as Given to make the same save
By:
the dza
When: 05 May 12 10:57
Villa have played 5 out of the top 6 at home this season; they have lost all of these games except one, which they drew with Newcastle 1-1. Going a bit further down the table, they have played 7 home games against the current top 8, losing five and drawing two, against Everton and Newcastle.

(following games at Villa Park):

Man City 0-1 L
Man Utd 0-1 L
Arsenal 1-2 L
Chelsea 2-4 L
Liverpool 0-2 L

Spurs haven't been great away from home, but coming off a good win at Bolton, I'd expect us to get a result against Villa.

Aside an away win against Chelsea (which seems to be a freak result), the bulk of Villa's wins have been against sides in the lower quarter of the table. The middling sides, they draw a lot of games. The top teams, they tend to get beat home and away.
By:
mafeking
When: 05 May 12 11:01
and most unlike us we've generally put the dross to the sword this season. think it's 9 wins out of 11 against the bottom 6
By:
smithy91
When: 06 May 12 08:52
good morning. i woke up this morning checked the odds of villa vs spurs at 8am to find spurs available to back at 1.98 they were 1.86 when i went to bed. i could not believe this so i now have 1k at 1.99 and 1k at 1.98.

have i missed something maybe roy hodgson has been sacked and harry has been appointed england manager or maybe darren bent has returned for villa.

anyway lets hope for a big drop now i am playing football at 10:30 when i return i hope to see some movement.
By:
Mr Eboue
When: 06 May 12 10:51
2.02 now ShockedShockedShockedShockedShocked

I'm taking Spurs are resting their best players!
By:
tenpins
When: 06 May 12 10:51
2.02 Spurs Shocked
By:
Ibrahima Sonko
When: 06 May 12 10:54
the market seems to expect that villa will suddenly become better than crap, makes no sense.
By:
Mr Eboue
When: 06 May 12 11:00
I've gone in again.

Summer holiday paid for when Spurs win 2-0.

Thats the plan anyway Happy
By:
Storm Alert
When: 06 May 12 11:09
I'm with you on this I backed them yesterday @ 1.91 and they are even bigger today.  Now Rednapp has Lennon back and playing on the right wing and Bale has been moved back to the left wing they looked back to the form of the 1st half of the season.

Villa are truly awful with dressing room / manager issues.  This is a big play for me as well I've just gone in again with my winnning for the cup final.  Spurs won't let Arsenal off the hook again and they will nail them for 3rd now.  Of course if Spurs don't win this Arsenal will find a way of messing up at WBA (Hodgson's last game)Sad.  The saving grace for Arsenal is no way will Chelsea beat Bayern Munich.
By:
dr . atkins
When: 06 May 12 11:11
mr eboue you are a arsenal fan,your team need spurs to lose or draw and here you are telling everyone to get on spurs and you have had your max bet on them, your team comes before anything else, our you can bet on your most hated rivals i never know dont like to see people do there money but hope you do today shame on you
By:
Dylan1975
When: 06 May 12 11:14
agree the price looks wrong, i agree Villa have the ability to defend well for long periods but it only takes 1 moment and Spurs have 4 or 5 players of producing it. Both teams have maximum motivstion but Spurs so much better all over the field.
By:
cnman
When: 06 May 12 11:19
Eboue = Gregos Traitorelli
By:
Storm Alert
When: 06 May 12 11:20
dr. atkins

It's got nothing to do with it, what has gambling on Spurs today got to do with loyalty to another team exactly?   From a pure betting POV they are completely disconnected.  A disciplined gambler is ideally suited to back in markets in which they have a strong understanding of form.  I've done it successfully for years.

In this case the added bonus if Arsenal's 3rd place aspirations are snuffed out today is the solace of picking up cash on what is clearly an exceptional price.
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