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green army
01 May 12 10:15
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Date Joined: 15 Oct 05
| Topic/replies: 2,610 | Blogger: green army's blog
so many different ways to look at this, is it a meaningless pre cup final game where kenny will rest gerard and suarez and bring in that bargain goalscorer andy (king of the box) carroll ?

will kenny take it seriously cos they dont want to finish below everton and they want their thursday tea time slot next season ?

fulham looked less than interested at everton and there's no real reason to believe anything different tonite

the stats, well liverpool form is 3-2-7 and only one win in last 7 at home, but as everyone knows on here that means nothing to the deluded scousers, especially those out far east who convince themselves before every game that this is the dawning of a new era, and even if kenny put cilla black and ken dodd up front would keep piling on cos hes reverted to an "experienced paring"

conclusion, the liverpool starting odds will be south of 1.64 so trade it but for gawds sake dont leave it on, Ive had £500 on liverpool 3-0 at 15 to trade at 13 (hopefully) pre ko and will back fulham with a little if they hit 8 on the off chance jol includes some players that can actually be bothered for some relatively easy pickings

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Replies: 153
By:
REDUNDANT PUNTER
When: 01 May 12 10:20
thurdsay slot is already booked, liverpool will probably make changes, but that will only make them better in terms of effort and application

good luck with you bet
By:
liverpoolfc89
When: 01 May 12 11:47
I think tonight you may see the likes of Maxi & Kuyt come into the side which add a big goal threat and allow our football to be alot more fluid, Fulham just dont travel well so I expect it to me a comfortable win for Liverpool tonight (Yes I know our anfield record is terrible) but if I allowed myself to bet on my own team I would certainly back them tonight.
By:
Biscuit1979
When: 01 May 12 11:48
Suarez and Gerrard won't play
By:
T.M.0
When: 01 May 12 11:59
0-0
By:
liverpoolfc89
When: 01 May 12 12:51
Reina

Johnson Coates Carragher Enrique
       
           Spearing
   
     Henderson     Shelvey

  Kuyt     Carrol     Maxi

I would expect something like that tonight, would prefer to rest Enrique and see Aurelio but Kenny refuses to play Aurelio full stop.
By:
MyOhMy
When: 01 May 12 13:22
I'd Lay Liverpool/Liverpool all day long
By:
kennysbackintown
When: 01 May 12 14:28
MyOhMy be prepared to pay out then.
By:
green army
When: 01 May 12 15:38
you scousers are priceless, if that is the line-up there's not one player besides reina who is top class - I'll deffo -(I think thats the vernacular) have a ton on fulham at 6.4 on that
By:
REDUNDANT PUNTER
When: 01 May 12 16:07
FULHAM never strike me as a team that do too well away, maybe the lay of liverpool is the better option, although I think liverpool will probably just edge it 4 or 5 nil
By:
KJPG
When: 01 May 12 16:12
Shelvey is a young player with great potential, I'd have him in my team before Henderson(crap) anyday!! Liverpool to win with lads who do play looking to impress!
By:
smithy91
When: 01 May 12 17:22
got 1k on liverpool at 1.7-1.71 on saturday when liverpool were playing norwich in my opinion looked huge not because there good value because they are very likely to be backed in before kickoff so i can trade out before kickoff with a decent profit.
By:
green army
When: 01 May 12 17:36
v good call smithy cos the backers seem to come in under any circumstances

made a nice £400 on hodgson backed sunday teatime at 1.4 and traded 1.2 on monday am

been hoovering up everything on league 1 play off contenders on saturday, take any price over 1.5 on shef utd for example, ie our devon neighbours are useless anyway, they are relegated and will play kids, the blades are as desperate as any side can be to pip wednesday, I reckon could be 1.3 by kick off
By:
metaphor
When: 01 May 12 17:36
traders are just guessers

common gamblers just like every other mug punter you see in any bookie up and down the country
By:
thelastleprechaun
When: 01 May 12 17:36
kick-it-about like they did against norwich, and fulham playing second fiddle all evening...dont need a barrow-full-o-goals, just one more than fulham, looks a straight forward bet on liverpool no cover needed..
By:
metaphor
When: 01 May 12 17:40
traders lose as much money as any mug punter probably more cause they are so delusional
By:
Si-K
When: 01 May 12 17:51
Fulham where lacklustre v us on saturday... 2-0 lpool regardless of team tonight imo
By:
green army
When: 01 May 12 18:02
"traders lose as much money as any mug punter probably more cause they are so delusional"

first prize for the most idiotic drivel sentence of the week on betfair

bad gamblers lose money, bad traders lose money, 95% of gamblers lose more than they win,

trading takes a large amount of the risk out of gambling but can still be nicely profitable, it takes time and care, yes if you are delusional then in the long run you will lose, the 5% that win on gambling or trading treat the task at hand with the respect it deserves, they research, and only get stuck in when the conditions are right,
By:
smithy91
When: 01 May 12 18:15
well said green army. metaphor take a look at my thread in general betting traders can win cus i do its not even that hard work decent sized stake and like green army said research and only get stuck in when its right. i made £230 before kickoff in the manc derby few can probably say the same
By:
metaphor
When: 01 May 12 18:27
you are gambling the price will move in your favour, it's still gambling

none of you will make any long term profits HTH
By:
metaphor
When: 01 May 12 18:28
what do you research?
By:
smithy91
When: 01 May 12 18:29
yeh course everyone is gambling on here but its a lot safer keeps discipline and makes consistent profits if u can work out which way the markets will move i can anyway
By:
smithy91
When: 01 May 12 18:31
"the value for me dosen't just lie with unders trades this weekend. the other day i jumped on man city at 2.3 with 1k back. reasons being some bookies already odds on, 16/17 home wins in prem this season, in form with utd out of form. just think all the punters who have a losing weekend and come to see the odds on monday in my opinion will pile on city drive down the price and we can make a profit before kickoff. in my opinion city could be 11/10 at kickoff".


this is what i wrote in my thread days before last nights game sometimes i try and think like a mug punter and what they would do as this affects the markets
By:
metaphor
When: 01 May 12 18:39
having a hunch isn't research

if it's so easy why aren't you a multi-millionaire?
By:
modk
When: 01 May 12 18:40
team is out :)
By:
KJPG
When: 01 May 12 18:42
Team is out?? which one??
By:
Backorlay
When: 01 May 12 18:42
0-0 is value
By:
smithy91
When: 01 May 12 18:47
why i'm not a millionaire because i am only 20 and am building up a bank like most others on here currently 4k up since turn of year since pre off trading and work full time currently
By:
metaphor
When: 01 May 12 18:49
"sometimes i try and think like a mug punter"

trust me, you don't need try very hard son Laugh







MUG
By:
green army
When: 01 May 12 18:56
see metaphor you're either thick or not paying attention, you're told its really NOT easy, its hard work, and you say "if its so easy etc ... its the opposite of having a hunch, you have to strictly educate yourself to ignore hunches, its a disciplined time consuming process which sometimes results in doing no transactions, but its better than sitting in some bleddy office working 9-5 for some other ****
By:
KJPG
When: 01 May 12 18:56
DONI, KELLY, COATES, SKRTEL, AURELIO, HENDERSON, SPEARING, SHELVEY, MAXI, KUYT, CARROLL
By:
KJPG
When: 01 May 12 18:57
Henderson playing Cry
By:
Steven Gerrard
When: 01 May 12 18:59
Fulham team ? anyone?
By:
metaphor
When: 01 May 12 18:59
it's hard work? "oh i think that price is too big so i'll back them then lay them later in the hope it comes in" is that your idea of hard work?
By:
Horangi.
When: 01 May 12 18:59
Lots of pace up top for Liverpool, going to be hard day's work for Fulham's defenders.
By:
jonfromruncorn
When: 01 May 12 19:00
any live links available please?
By:
Thornton4
When: 01 May 12 19:00
Horangi - Lots of pace upfront ? Have you seend Andy Carroll Run ?
By:
KJPG
When: 01 May 12 19:01
Looks like Bellamy to start final which is fantastic news!!!!
By:
Thornton4
When: 01 May 12 19:01
Now Bellamy thats pace !
By:
Horangi.
When: 01 May 12 19:01
I was joking.  The lack of pace going forward is somewhat alarming.
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