Football
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19 Apr 12
01:16
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Date Joined:
16 Jun 07
Hi all,
Was thinking recently that if i could start with £4 on betfair and create it to £400 thought just following the tips of the knowledgable betfair community.
Im going to have this challenge in 2 of the forums Football and Horse Racing.
£4 starting in each forum so at worst i lose £8 which isn't massive.
The aim is to see how knowledgable the betfair community is :)
Was thinking recently that if i could start with £4 on betfair and create it to £400 thought just following the tips of the knowledgable betfair community.
Im going to have this challenge in 2 of the forums Football and Horse Racing.
£4 starting in each forum so at worst i lose £8 which isn't massive.
The aim is to see how knowledgable the betfair community is :)
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Best just to pick a 100/1 shot and hope.
I'll let you know if I see any worth doing. Best 100/1 shots are found in football around 85 minutes. |
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That would defeat the object of seeing if the community is knowledgeable though as any old gran from you local superstore could pick you a 100/1 because there budgey has the same name as the horse. this does not mean she is knowledgable. Just that she is lucky.
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holte: Picking 7 out of 7 correct evens shots (going all in each time) involves more luck than picking a single 100/1 shot.
7 evens shots is 1/128 in fair probability. The return after commission? £89 per £1 staked. Pick a single shot@100? happens 1/100, which is more likely. The return after commission? £95 per £1 staked. So you've got a bigger return on a more likely set of events. Correctly picking a 100 shot involves more knowledge than getting lucky by picking 7/7 evens shots, which might look impressive but if you start with a big enough pool of people, then if they pick opposing stuff each time, you can be guaranteed to have someone make it with a pool of more than 128 people. You wanted the knowledge of the forum, I'm just trying to add some real knowledge, which is that the best way to go from £4-£400 is to do it in a single bet. If you want to discard my knowledge, then feel free. I'll enjoy the carnage.  |