Football
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19 Apr 12
00:00
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02 Dec 10
Anyone use this, reckon it pays out over time?
Looking back through the stats
2/3 of games that are drawing at HT have a goals before the 85 min, however I'm not convinced it convers when you have to red out every third game?
Thoughts.
Looking back through the stats
2/3 of games that are drawing at HT have a goals before the 85 min, however I'm not convinced it convers when you have to red out every third game?
Thoughts.
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I tend to red out around 1.5 which is normally around the 80 min mark.
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Do you check stats on the likelihood of goals etc.? And what's the highest odds you lay at? It can work if you choose carefully.
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or back for 1 more goal. the odds are better if you lay the draw but the down side is the risk of 2 goals(one equalising) in quick succession, before you are able to green up. i do quite nicely with the 1-more-goal. whatever you do, the key is correct staking.
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Lybertyne, yes have been caught out by that - waiting for the market to settle down and then a equaliser. Have thought thought it must be better to wait until the market settles rather than to take bad odds just in case there's an equaliser.
Although as you say you will be caught out occasionally and praying for another goal which is pretty unlikely at that stage. Will have a look at one more goal. This may sound stupid but which specific market do you use? |
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tends to be the overs/unders but i check the correct score and also total goals, but usually the overs/unders have slightly better odds than the other two, and every tick counts.
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Sofaking - have been looking to get in at around 2.9 although if there is a favourite in the game the draw is likely to be over 3 at halftime. I have sometimes waited til around the 60 mark to get into these games. Not particualary comfortable with lay the draw if there's a big fav.
Tend to go for teams who haven't had a recent 0-0 and that average over 2.5 goals per game and also check bet365 to see how many shot on target there have been in the game so far. Obv if there's only been 1 shot in the first half i'll avoid the game. |
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The total goals market can be a little illiquid if that's fair to say.
I see so just go for overs at ht and if there's a goal trade out and do you try to trade out by say the 80 - 85 min, to get something back? |
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Nice anyone else?
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Not big fan of LTD at HT, i usualy lay at the start and choose the games that give me the probability of +2 goal so i can take the bet till the end of the game. If arround 65m the game is with one goal diference i close the green with arround 1/3 of the bet, is is tied i get out with the loss of the money i had bet, i never let my loss to be bigger than what i had bet.
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Aftertiming but still....Romanian match just 70 mins gone,draw@1.64,have that. All about price.
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It's all about price you say, but isn't
it also about knowledge of the sport you are betting on, which begs the question, what do we know about Romanian football ? |
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I knew the price had fell too fast even for a Romanian match.
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yeah that is too low 1.7 is the lowest it hits around 70 mins.
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