£10 to £400 1 Goal Challenge using my spreadsheet

willem goal 1 min in, still waiting to get matched at go ahead eagles, no money in the market though :(

Goal in mvv, but i didnt get matched as market dropped from 1.05 to 1.03 just before kick off :(

nice run ttt

thanks, im now matched in oss
FC Oss vs Fortuns Sittard    £21.66    1.05

I had a bad loss on the Obolon Kiev game

time to start following you :D

to you just stick the the over 0.5s mate?

do

yeh, nice and simple lol

yeah think i will follow slow but consistent

You back all your balance?

Sure mate, no worries. Got 13 right so far, yeah i do. Planning to get to £30 and split bank to 2 lots of £15, just to be a bit safe

yeah good thinkin mate,Thanks. think that real game let everybody down

you on everyday?

goal in oss game :D

and now will everyone be on over 0.5 oh crap

yeh, try and get 1 or 2 a day at least
theres my goal, now to bw linz

you on it to pagy?

hoping for 1.08 in BW Linz game, if not will drop it to 1.07

yeah me to currently at 1.06

dropped to 1.07, waiting to get matched

I just took 1.06

matched,
BW Linz vs Austria Lustenau    £22.69    1.07

haha goal

thanks m8

Done and done

anything else for tonight?

new balance 24.20

Nope sorry mate, not that qualifies.

No problem will keep an eye out :D

I will post tomorrows tips tonight

Yeah thats grand thanks alot for your help

No worries buddy

Going along nicely.

Yes mate, you too. Just scanning tomorrows games

Got a shortlist of tomorrows games, just narrowing them down. If anyone wants to know the shortlist its these games
Norwich
Sunderland
Leeds
Sheff Utd
Feyenoord
Twente
PSV
B Munich
Schalke
Real Madrid

I've never bet in a Japanese league- FACT. So tomorrow I will try it. I'm working in the morning, a concept some of you haven't heard off, so will be up at 6. So I am kind of not sticking to the system, once again I will be using the 'principles' of the system, and I have found 2 games, one after the other- just for interest. It will probably go tits up, but I am willing to try it.

Games in Bold are games which I will back over 0.5 if the game before it has a goal in time


Game    Stake    Odds    New Balance    Profit    Result    Half Time
Emmen vs Telstar    £10.23    1.05    £10.72    £0.49    0-2    0-1
Fulham vs Chelsea    £10.72    1.08    £11.54    £0.82    1-1    0-1
Fortuna Dusseldorf vs FSV Frankfurt    £11.54    1.05    £12.09    £0.55    1-0    0-0
Mainz vs FC Koln    £12.09    1.05    £12.66    £0.57    4-0    3-0
Rochdale vs Sheff United    £12.66    1.06    £13.48    £0.82    2-5    1-4
Blackburn vs Liverpool    £13.48    1.08    £14.51    £1.03    2-3    1-2
1860 Munich vs Duisburg    £14.51    1.07    £15.54    £1.03    2-1    0-0
Wigan vs Man Utd    £15.54    1.06    £16.42    £0.88    0-1    0-0
Young Lions vs Geylang United    £16.42    1.05    £17.20    £0.78    0-2    0-1
Elfsborg vs Norrkoping    £17.20    1.07    £18.34    £1.14    2-0    1-0
Ado Den Haag vs Groningen    £18.34    1.06    £19.39    £1.05    3-0    1-0
G Furth vs St Pauli    £19.39    1.06    £20.49    £1.10    1-0    2-1
SV Grodig vs WAC St Andra    £20.49    1.06    £21.66    £1.17    0-1    0-1
FC Oss vs Fortuns Sittard    £21.66    1.05    £22.69    £1.03    1-3    1-1
BW Linz vs Austria Lustenau    £22.69    1.07    £24.20    £1.51    0-3    0-2
Nagoya vs Sapporo                       
G-Osaka vs Kawasaki                       
Norwich vs Man City                       
Schalke vs Dortmund                       
Sheff Utd vs L Orient                       
Sunderland vs Wolves                       
Leeds vs Peterborough                       
B Munich vs Mainz                       
PSV vs AZ Alkmaar                       
Feyenoord vs Excelsior                       
Twente vs Breda                       
Levante vs Barcelona                       


I think I am getting a lot more adventurous, I'm not sure if it's good or bad. Ultimately I shall find out tomorrow. The first two morning games I'm not sure on, but I want to try it. See what happens.

Good luck to you...looks like our approaches are starting to diverge, with you taking on more risk.

I'm going to try and stick to the system and see how far it takes me. It can be difficult, as it's natural to just want to have a bet, but I'll see how things go.

Regarding the Japanese league, although their 0-0 percentage is not too bad for the league as a whole, their average goals per game has fallen quite a bit recently, so it's on mt 'leagues to be avoided list' ta the moment, so whereas in the past I could always look to kickstart the weekend with some Japanese action, now i'LL HAVE TO WAIT A BIT LONGER.

16    Nagoya vs Sapporo    £24.20    1.06

JOCI thanks for that info, which of my games would you back a goal? Yes I do think I am being a bit more risky, like you say.Excluding the 2 **** games I only have 4 games for a goal, the others I put in incase I get an early goal. Which games are you expecting a goal in mate?

Haven't looked yet..just about to do a bit of analysis. Looking at the timings of the games first to see if I can map a route through tomorrow.

mine are based in time order too, I've not analysed them all as i have to get up in 6 hours...just not got time to be honest mate! post on here if you don't mind so i can see in the morning what you've got. :) cheers man

Neither of the German ones you put up appeal. I prefer Bayer Leverkusen v Hertha Berlin, which is a marginal one for me. Bayern has a relatively high 0-0 percentage based on the away team's inability to score, meaning that you're reallyt only relying on the home side. My system prefers games between two teams, both of whom can score, but also can show defensive frailties.

My two Japan games, first one a goal in the 3rd minute, the second one a goal in the 1st minute

+1 is always luck in my experience, some runs I've gone from £20 to £300+ and stopped, other games I've lost straight away. Just don't pick too many games is my view, sometimes a risk is worth it, but if you try too many games quickly you're more likely to hit a 0-0.

yeh I am doing more today than usual, but my spreadhseet has showed they are good for a goal. Just fingers crossed i guess

Nagoya vs Sapporo    £24.20    1.06    £25.56    £1.36    3-1    2-0
G-Osaka vs Kawasaki    £25.56    1.05    £26.80    £1.24        1-2
Norwich vs Man City    £26.80    1.05

I think City should of had a penalty

Wonder strike from tevez puts City 0-1 up

16    Nagoya vs Sapporo    £24.20    1.06    £25.56    £1.36    3-1    2-0
17    G-Osaka vs Kawasaki    £25.56    1.05    £26.80    £1.24    3-2    1-2
18    Norwich vs Man City    £26.80    1.05    £28.07    £1.27       
19    Schalke vs Dortmund    £28.07    1.06

8 minutes 5 seconds in Schalke go 1 up :D

16    Nagoya vs Sapporo    £24.20    1.06    £25.56    £1.36    2-0    3-1
17    G-Osaka vs Kawasaki    £25.56    1.05    £26.80    £1.24    1-2    3-2
18    Norwich vs Man City    £26.80    1.05    £28.07    £1.27    0-2    1-6
19    Schalke vs Dortmund    £28.07    1.06    £29.67    £1.60       
    Bank 1                       
1    Sunderland vs Wolves    £15.00    1.05    £15.70           
    Bank 2                       
1    Leeds vs Peterborough    £14.67    1.05    £15.35

27 mins in, both games 0-0. Sunderland vs wolves has been very lively end to end but not too many shots.

Peterborough make it 0-1 in the 38th minute

Half time, 0-0 in Sunderland, 0-1 in Leeds

previous sunderland vs wolves fixture was 0-0 at half time and finished 2-1 this season

In the last 20 games, sunderland have had 0-0 at half time 8 times, only 1 of which finished 0-0. Wolves have had 4 0-0's at half time in their last 20 and all of which have had at least 3 second half goals, none have ended 0-0.

1-1 ht at leeds, a late equaliser

Apr 14, 2012 -- 3:52PM, time-to-tip wrote:

In the last 20 games, sunderland have had 0-0 at half time 8 times, only 1 of which finished 0-0. Wolves have had 4 0-0's at half time in their last 20 and all of which have had at least 3 second half goals, none have ended 0-0.

those stats are always good when one does not have a bet on :) When one has a bet on then it is when the "anomaly" happens...

Apr 14, 2012 -- 4:11PM, jeyton wrote:

Apr 14, 2012 --  3:52PM, time-to-tip wrote:In the last 20 games, sunderland have had 0-0 at half time 8 times, only 1 of which finished 0-0. Wolves have had 4 0-0's at half time in their last 20 and all of which have had at least 3 second half goals, none have ended 0-0.those stats are always good when one does not have a bet on :) When one has a bet on then it is when the "anomaly" happens...

Yup its how it is mate! Got a feeling a goal will be scored before 70 mins, well I hope there is too :P

ebanks should have scored, 10 yeards out. Poor poor finishing.

the last game at home was 0-0, right? what are the odds of 2 0-0s in a row....?

Not looking great, looking for a late winner for sunderland like with man city game

Cracking save my Mignolet, 10 mins left. Just had a goal disallowed for wolves

thats that then, 0-0 dead cert now.

Although I have tied the Lord of Goals to an exclusive deal, I have just asked him to intervene and provide a goal for you at Sunderland.

Excellent, much appreciated JOCI. Can't believe how Sunderland can be playing so badly!

0-0 looks nailed

Larson misses from 6 yards

we're into the three minutes added time

FT

Lucky I split my bank I guess! Very disappointing Sunderland.

Thank goodness for the split bank. Unlucky there.

So I will be continueing with bank 1, which is actually my only bank. Going to follow you on this one JOCI,

Leeds vs Peterborough    £14.67    1.05    £15.36    £0.69    1-1    4-1
Young Boys vs Grasshoppers    £15.36    1.05    £16.08    £0.72

I've learnt Japan is good to me today, but also maybe being more restrictive as I was at the start is best.

Goallll

Off to Germany again..


    Bank 2           
1    Leeds vs Peterborough    £14.67    1.05    £15.36
2    Young Boys vs Grasshoppers    £15.36    1.05    £16.09
3    B Munich vs Mainz    £16.09    1.04    £16.68

What are Bayer play for? B team on field. No bet for me here.

I tend to disagree, B team includes Olic, Robben, Schweinstieger, Neuer and Boatang? Who's missing?

you forgot for Ribéry

are you watching the game?

Yeh watched the first 20 and had to pop out, back now. Still 0-0 -.-

i hope you don't get two 0-0s the dame day, you were doing great

same

Not been a 0-0 in a Munich home game since august,2010..So a bit of for you yet GL

Me too, but what will be will be. I cant see past Munich winning

hope*

hey Bergkamp! How are you doing? :)

Good pal what about yourself ...I see Swansea are still stuggling to hit the Any unquoted this season, it has been a great lay for me every week haha...But yet they still keep winning for you , mind you they came close today !!!

good call! I am good, was better before that 0-0 in Sunderland though :)

Yeah Shocked myself with that Sunderland Result actually thought BTTS would have been a decent shout ....Don't ask me why LoL...Maybe it was because it was about time wolves scored haha...They must have just went for a really negative park the double decker bus Job

No it was quite open, just no strikers between them!

Oh I see, one of those day just....

two 0-0s in a row..... one of those days!!

Yeh one of them days, 0-0 in Bayern too. Run over/

Bayern game had a decent goal prediction of 3.5 but like the Real v Valencia game, the chance of a 0-0 was 8%, which was enough for me to steer clear. Under my old system, it would have been a bet but not under the new one.

JOCI can u send me this sheet you created?

Two 0-0's on the bounce here