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berto77
16 Mar 12 09:32
Joined:
Date Joined: 21 Jul 11
| Topic/replies: 12,663 | Blogger: berto77's blog
Melbourne can't qualify for the finals and have nothing to play for except pride.  They're priced as favourites at 2.6 despite winning just 5 of 25 matches this season.  Hernandez is back from suspension, one or two others may be rested.

Wellington are currently fourth and have a few points in hand on the teams below them (they're only 5 points off top spot).  They have a very record against Victory in Melbourne and I think they'd take a draw.

It's a close call on match odds, but I'm thinking of laying Victory.

Thoughts?
Pause Switch to Standard View Melbourne Victory v Wellington, 9AM
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Report neva win March 16, 2012 8:35 AM GMT
3 out of the last 5 head to heads have been overs,so maybe overs for me
Report West Coast Eagles March 16, 2012 8:37 AM GMT
im going to take unders here, 17 of the past 20 games in the A-League have been unders which is a suprising statistic in itself. Melbourne have been woeful this season and even at home I dont think they will win this. Melbourne have the most 'home draws' this season with 8 from 13 games. Whereas Wellington have scored only 9 goals from 13 games away from home

Will take Unders at 1.91 , and will take Unders for the rest of the round as defence seems to be pretty strong at the moment in this league
Report ShirleyKnot March 16, 2012 8:38 AM GMT
Melbourne have a manager that wants to make his job permanent.  He will certainly want a win.

Match odds and goal odds all look fairly priced to me now.
Report ShirleyKnot March 16, 2012 8:39 AM GMT
There has been some precipitation on Melbourne today too.
Report ShirleyKnot March 16, 2012 8:39 AM GMT
** in
Report lachy1234 March 16, 2012 8:40 AM GMT
Victory have played Wellington 2 times this year and won both times. Lay of Wellington for me
Report .Sir. March 16, 2012 8:43 AM GMT
Friday on AAMI Park Stadium in stage 26 of A-league Australia is scheduled the game between teams Melbourne Victory and FC Wellington Phoenix. For Wellington Phoenix is a great season, on 4th place with 40 points after they achieved in this season 12 victories, 4 draws and 9 defeats with 33 goals scored and 27 goals conceded while Melbourne Victory is on 8th place with 26 points and obtained so far 5 victories, 11 draws and 9 defeats with 30 goals scored and 39 goals conceded. For Melbourne Victory this game is without stake because remaining only two stages of this season and they cannot catch a play-off place. Goalkeeper Ante Covic will be rested for Melbourne Victory and will be replaced by Tando Velaphi but some players are injured and will not play tomorrow, so Grant Brebner, Billy Celeski and Adrian Leijer will miss while Matthew Kemp, Carlos Hernandez and defender Rody Vargas will return at team after suspension. Wellington Phoenix not have many problems at team and a good news for them is that midfielder Leo Bertos is fit and ready to play. Last two games played last year between the two teams ended with two victories for Melbourne Victory who won with 2-1 and 3-1 results but in both games each team scored at least one time. In last 11 matches played at home by Melbourne Victory everytime both teams manage to score in game. Melbourne Victory want to win this game to end this season with positive results and to see which players deserve to remain at team in future. Wellington Phoenix is without defeat in last three matches played, winning in front of teams FC Sydney and Gold Coast United and also draw with Melbourne Heart. Each of the two teams can win in this match but considering the last result of Melbourne Victory team on own ground when every team scored at least one time i choose to bet both teams to score at this event.

From http://www.mybetinfo.com

Overs for me, no point in being defensive in an ultimately meaningless game......
Report bjquick March 16, 2012 8:43 AM GMT
Tough match to call. Depends what victory team comes out, hernadez is back and that is a huge plus for victory. Phoenix looked pretty bad last week. Goals looks like a good option
Report ShirleyKnot March 16, 2012 8:45 AM GMT
All of a sudden somebody likes overs.  Unders are too big now.
Report UP n DOWN March 16, 2012 8:46 AM GMT
cannot find it on coupon help Surprised
Report Joel March 16, 2012 8:49 AM GMT
Should be a cracking game this one. This will most likely be Carlos Hernandez's last game for Melbourne and he will be looking to go out with a bang. I think they can win this.
Report UP n DOWN March 16, 2012 8:50 AM GMT
how can i find it help pls
Report .Sir. March 16, 2012 8:50 AM GMT
UP n DOWN
16 Mar 12 08:46 Joined: 14 Feb 07 | Topic/replies: 338 | Blogger: UP n DOWN's blog
cannot find it on coupon help

Use classic it's not on beta
Report Joel March 16, 2012 8:51 AM GMT
Direct link to market

http://sports.betfair.com/Index.do?mi=100467411&ex=2&origin=MRL
Report meltdown March 16, 2012 8:51 AM GMT
SAFE BET 1.5 OVER
Report UP n DOWN March 16, 2012 8:51 AM GMT
cheers
Report polybot March 16, 2012 8:51 AM GMT
hard to pick a winner for me, have gone for over2.5 at 2.18 and some of the other goal markets too.
Report meltdown March 16, 2012 8:52 AM GMT

Mar 16, 2012 -- 9:37AM, West Coast Eagles wrote:


im going to take unders here, 17 of the past 20 games in the A-League have been unders which is a suprising statistic in itself. Melbourne have been woeful this season and even at home I dont think they will win this. Melbourne have the most 'home draws' this season with 8 from 13 games. Whereas Wellington have scored only 9 goals from 13 games away from homeWill take Unders at 1.91 , and will take Unders for the rest of the round as defence seems to be pretty strong at the moment in this league


17 OUT OF THE PAST 20 NO THEY HAVE NO 100% SURE.

Report meltdown March 16, 2012 8:53 AM GMT
going to watch this on 50INC TV ON PS3 NOW CYA ALL LATER..
Report ShirleyKnot March 16, 2012 8:56 AM GMT

Mar 16, 2012 -- 9:53AM, meltdown wrote:


going to watch this on 50INC TV ON PS3 NOW CYA ALL LATER..


good ere innit  Laugh

Report .Sir. March 16, 2012 8:57 AM GMT
meltdown
16 Mar 12 08:53 Joined: 18 Feb 09 | Topic/replies: 3,414 | Blogger: meltdown's blog
going to watch this on 50INC TV ON PS3 NOW CYA ALL LATER..

And they say cons don't have it easy in prison these days...........
Report joe66 March 16, 2012 8:58 AM GMT
anyone have a link for a stream please?
Report joe66 March 16, 2012 8:58 AM GMT
anyone have a link for a stream please?
Report joe66 March 16, 2012 8:58 AM GMT
anyone have a link for a stream please?
Report joe66 March 16, 2012 8:58 AM GMT
anyone have a link for a stream please?
Report joe66 March 16, 2012 9:00 AM GMT
apologies for the multiple posts. macs for ya...
Report bjquick March 16, 2012 9:02 AM GMT
Need melbourne to score first is overs is to come in. Wellington will shut up shop if they get the lead
Report silvs March 16, 2012 9:04 AM GMT
http://www.hitsports.net/01.html
Report bjquick March 16, 2012 9:16 AM GMT
GOAL VICTORY !
Report berto77 March 16, 2012 9:16 AM GMT
WOW
Report bjquick March 16, 2012 9:16 AM GMT
Great strike as well
Report Joel March 16, 2012 9:16 AM GMT
Excited
Report berto77 March 16, 2012 9:16 AM GMT
Keeper might at least have tried!
Report bjquick March 16, 2012 9:17 AM GMT
Wellington have to go for it now
Report berto77 March 16, 2012 9:17 AM GMT
Yep, perfect for overs.  Victory don't do clean sheets.
Report aladdinek March 16, 2012 9:18 AM GMT
2+ 1.09 strange marketCrazy
Report berto77 March 16, 2012 9:19 AM GMT
Why is that strange?
Report aladdinek March 16, 2012 9:20 AM GMT
should be 1.05Tongue Out
Report berto77 March 16, 2012 9:22 AM GMT
See what you mean.  Laying 0-0 was worth circa 1.08 pre-match, so it's about right.

Almost all the A League games last week had a goal in the first twenty minutes and all ended unders (although most had a second goal late in the second half).

Think this will go overs now though.
Report bjquick March 16, 2012 9:23 AM GMT
It depends how phoenix go now, They depend so heavily on ifill to create. Need him to have a good game
Report aladdinek March 16, 2012 9:24 AM GMT
almost all Crazy only 1 goal in first 20 minutes in all matchesCrazy
Report qwertyuiopasd March 16, 2012 9:25 AM GMT
anybody know why dont you get to bet on Next Goal??
Report aladdinek March 16, 2012 9:28 AM GMT
berto77 10 minutes later and still 1.08... i was rightSilly
Report bjquick March 16, 2012 9:37 AM GMT
Off the post . Sooo unlucky !
Report polybot March 16, 2012 9:38 AM GMT
hard luck archie
Report berto77 March 16, 2012 9:39 AM GMT

Mar 16, 2012 -- 10:24AM, aladdinek wrote:


almost all  only 1 goal in first 20 minutes in all matches


Not sure why you're being silly aladdin but these were last weeks results.

Newcastle scored after 24 minutes, Gold Coast equalised 90.  Finished 1-1.
Heart scored 32 minutes, Wellington equalised in 80th.  Finished 1-1.
Sydney scored 32 minutes v Victory.  Finished 1-0.
Adelaide scored 14 minutes.  Brisbane equalised 70.  Finished 1-1.
Perth scored after 25 minutes v CCM.  Finished 1-0.

So I was wrong to say first 20 minutes, but there was a goal on 32 or before in all A League fixtures last week and they ALL finished unders.  3 had a goal late in the second half.

Report bjquick March 16, 2012 9:40 AM GMT
Newcastle conceded in 24th, equalised in the 90th
Report bjquick March 16, 2012 9:40 AM GMT
Apart from that your spot on Tongue Out
Report berto77 March 16, 2012 9:40 AM GMT
Sorry, yes wrong way round.
Report aladdinek March 16, 2012 9:42 AM GMT
berto77 You silly men, look at my post... 2+ = 1,5 over and not 2,5 overCrazy
Report berto77 March 16, 2012 9:43 AM GMT
Yes I know what you meant.  My reply was to your post of 9.24.
Report aladdinek March 16, 2012 9:46 AM GMT
And what? Last round only 1 gol in first 20 min. but You wrote "Almost all" But if is 1 game from 5 almost all then OK. Crazy
Report aladdinek March 16, 2012 9:48 AM GMT
32 min. and 20 min is 60% difference. Try to be correct and do not call me silly Wink
Report berto77 March 16, 2012 9:48 AM GMT
Laugh
Report bjquick March 16, 2012 9:48 AM GMT
He wasn't far off, they were relatively early goals . If you average them out it was a goal before 26th min
Report berto77 March 16, 2012 9:50 AM GMT
Good luck with your 1.05 shot aladdin.
Report aladdinek March 16, 2012 9:51 AM GMT
berto77 I am green and goneCool
Report berto77 March 16, 2012 9:51 AM GMT
LaughLaughLaugh
Report berto77 March 16, 2012 9:54 AM GMT
1-0 ht.  Thought Victory deserved another goal or two there.  Still fancy this to go overs.
Report West Coast Eagles March 16, 2012 9:56 AM GMT
Wellingto to score at least 1 goal in 2nd half, got odds of 2.30
Report bjquick March 16, 2012 10:19 AM GMT
DONT PASS TO ARCHIE !
Report berto77 March 16, 2012 10:20 AM GMT
Archie fluffs another.
Report polybot March 16, 2012 10:20 AM GMT
ffs archie is gash
Report bjquick March 16, 2012 10:21 AM GMT
Goal 2-0 !
Report berto77 March 16, 2012 10:21 AM GMT
2-0 this time
Report argyle_green March 16, 2012 10:21 AM GMT
wd archie lol
Report bjquick March 16, 2012 10:21 AM GMT
Archie plays a great ball Laugh
Report Balb0wa73 March 16, 2012 10:21 AM GMT
2-0 goalllllllllllllllllll
Report polybot March 16, 2012 10:21 AM GMT
finally!
Report berto77 March 16, 2012 10:22 AM GMT
Great goal in the end.  Thought Wellington were getting on top for a while.
Report bjquick March 16, 2012 10:29 AM GMT
thompson just can't score
Report bjquick March 16, 2012 10:45 AM GMT
Game is starting to pitter out
Report berto77 March 16, 2012 10:51 AM GMT
Very disappointing display from Wellington.  Hardly threatened at all.
Report bjquick March 16, 2012 10:52 AM GMT
GOAL 3-0 !
Report Balb0wa73 March 16, 2012 10:52 AM GMT
you boooooooooooooooooooooty
Report prele March 16, 2012 10:52 AM GMT
goal?
Report bjquick March 16, 2012 10:52 AM GMT
Another great goal !
Report berto77 March 16, 2012 10:52 AM GMT
3-0 What A Goal
Report prele March 16, 2012 10:52 AM GMT
nice
Report argyle_green March 16, 2012 10:52 AM GMT
wow what a strike
Report Balb0wa73 March 16, 2012 10:53 AM GMT
3-0
Report West Coast Eagles March 16, 2012 10:53 AM GMT
OVERS LANDED
Report polybot March 16, 2012 10:53 AM GMT
hallejulah!
Report berto77 March 16, 2012 10:53 AM GMT
3 very good goals tonight.
Report bjquick March 16, 2012 10:56 AM GMT
This week is overs round Wink
Report polybot March 16, 2012 10:58 AM GMT
well played victory, shame they aren't in the finals.
Report Joel March 16, 2012 11:10 AM GMT
What a cracking game.
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