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Why would you exit ?
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why risk all?
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Reduce your stake pre race then.
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Just watch enough games through watching the price fall and work out when you are getting value, it gets very different for different leagues.
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I'm out after 70 minutes and take half the loss
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instead of exiting, isnt it better to have small cover on 0-0 pre match?
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exiting at 70 mins is crazy... most goals are scores in the last 25 mins no? enter later..
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You should only look to exit from this trade if the draw price makes it a value back bet. However, if laying the draw is value pre-game, why would it become a value back at any price during the game? Football markets move very predictably, and if you are unable to identify a value bet pre-game, you are unlikely to find value during the game.
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just lay within your means and let it ride..if you are any good at all the winning days will outnumber the occassional loser
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The challenge is identifying "value".
Is 3.8/3.9 value for tonights Man u game ? |
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no imo as although it suits bilbao ..manu will win or bust a gut trying to..possibly leaving themselves open to incisive counter attacks
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games like that are danger. 1 team is only need to draw. bever a good starting point, try and lay at 2.5/3.0
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I think the best move is to lay bilbao tbh, that's if you want to bet on this game that is! I've also put a O/2.5 as it was last time, can easily happen again
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More goals after 70 mins than before ? That's wrong I'm afraid.
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yes thats wrong but if you divided the 90 minutes into 6 segments im almost certain the last 15 would provide the most goals..as opposed to other 15 minute segments i mean, not as a whole
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ok i'll take your word for that..mine was just an educated guess
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It's common knowledge that there are more goals in the
second half than than the first half, at least I thought it was common knowledge but now i'm not so sure. Since the Premiership came into being, I believe about 57/43 in favour of the second half. |
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45/55 is the accepted % i heard.
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Depends on how many seasons you are looking at,
but if you say so. |
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just what i read here over the years.
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