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prele
07 Feb 12 09:23
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Date Joined: 11 Nov 11
| Topic/replies: 3,429 | Blogger: prele's blog
Awesome game tonight in the German "DFB Pokal". The German Champions Borussia Dortmund meet 4th divisions Holstein Kiel (Home) in the Quarterfinal (no second leg, 1 game only).

Former DFB-Results of Holstein Kiel, who are currently #2 in 4th div with 13-2-3:
1st Round: Energie Cottbus (2nd league) 3:0
2nd Round: MSV Duisburg (2nd league) 2:0
Best of 16: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (Bundesliga) 2:0
Quarterfinal: 07.02.12 20:30 H Borussia Dortmund     (Bundesliga)

All games were at home. Also at home they had 10 games in their league, 9-1-0    and 34:9 goals.

It's going to be very cold again tonight. I don't think there will be many goals and MAYBE even a lucky goal for Kiel and this could go either way. I'm definately putting some on Hostein Kiel, laying Dortmund here could be a great chance to make some money. Your thoughts?

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Replies: 35
By:
SrgtDouche
When: 07 Feb 12 09:45
mund are too classy and too fast
By:
prele
When: 07 Feb 12 11:21
well, obviously *d'oh*, but this is cup and the other teams obviously were also "better" on paper
By:
prele
When: 07 Feb 12 16:39
So, it's time to start the talk..
By:
prele
When: 07 Feb 12 16:40
Lineups:

Kiel
Jensen - Herrmann, Berzel, Jürgensen, Poggenberg - Kazior, S. Müller - Sachs, Sykora, Lindner - Heider
Coach: T. Gutzeit

Dortmund
Weidenfeller - Piszczek, Subotic, Hummels, Schmelzer - Leitner, Kehl - Blaszczykowski, Kagawa, Großkreutz - Lewandowski
Coach: Klopp
By:
prele
When: 07 Feb 12 16:46
Topscorers of Kiel are Heider (16 games -9 goals) and Lindner (17-9), but they didn't score in the former DFB Pokal matches. Sykora and Kazior both scored 2 in 3 games.
By:
prele
When: 07 Feb 12 17:20
for me: Kiel +2 @ 1.90 (Bet365)
By:
SrgtDouche
When: 07 Feb 12 17:22
dortmund will ruin kiel today with all due respect to the club. That line up will slaughter your handicap bet as well
By:
asdfd
When: 07 Feb 12 18:18
The conditions are perfect for Kiel, wouldn't be surprised if the actually win against dortmund. Only a goal in the first 10 minutes or so and/or a red card for kiel could be a reason, that dortmund win clearly. For me a over 1.5 beers @1.0 ;-)
By:
Biscuit1979
When: 07 Feb 12 18:54
Dortmund:

M. Langerak    
M. Hummels    
Ł. Piszczek    
N. Subotić    
M. Schmelzer    
S. Kehl    
I. Perišić    
J. Błaszczykowski    
M. Leitner    
S. Kagawa    
R. Lewandowski
By:
RAPS
When: 07 Feb 12 18:59
Dortmund resting a few and Keil haven`t conceded in this competition (against teams several divisions above em).
Favs should salute with ease but having a fun bet on the 0-0 which is 26.0 on here..

GL to all
By:
dave_the_poor
When: 07 Feb 12 18:59
lineup posted earlier in the thread by prele was wrong, ramping idiot
By:
RAPS
When: 07 Feb 12 19:07
Correct lineups:


Holstein Kiel

Jensen - Herrmann , Berzel , Jürgensen , Poggenberg - Kazior , S. Müller - Chahed , Sykora , Lindner - Heider

Reservebank:
Jakusch (Tor),Steil,K. Schulz,Sachs,Fischer,Wetter,Wulff


Borussia Dortmund

Langerak - Piszczek , Subotic , Hummels , Schmelzer - Leitner , Kehl     - Blaszczykowski , Kagawa , Perisic - Lewandowski

Reservebank:
Weidenfeller (Tor),Felipe Santana,Löwe,Großkreutz,da Silva,Gündogan,Barrios
By:
prele
When: 07 Feb 12 19:11
Yeah look at the time, it was the supposed lineup by #1 german football source, idiot. And it doesnt matter at all if BVB rests 1 or 2 players, they use their main team overall.
By:
Moghul
When: 07 Feb 12 19:22
Kiel, though only league 4, definetly have a very strong team. This is, why they are dominating the league and probably will promote.

Kiel is in the north, close to the sea. So it will be quite cold tonight there, maybe -15 or so and windy. Also the pitch will provide difficult conditions. I guess there is no player in the world, who has fun playing under these circumstances.

I have seen there match aginst Mainz, which had very comparable conditions (heavy pitch, cold weather). That Kiel won was no luck, but clearly deserved. They has a very good fighting spirit, played well, utilized teh conditions in their favour and did not let Mainz coming into play.

On the other side, Dortmund rests only the keeper and one player of the first squad. Also they found their form and heve been dominating the league recently.

Conclusion:

This will probably not be a goalfest, though Dortmund has clearly the strengths to give them 6 or 7.

A littke lay of Dortmund could be well worth a try. This is not my bet actually, but I would not be surprised, if Dortund has to struggle more than the paper would suggest.

I myself will watch the first minutes to see how its going.
By:
dave_the_poor
When: 07 Feb 12 19:23
no offence but by posting unconfirmed lineups without any note to say that they are not "real" on a forum / thread which people may use to make betting decisions you are basically encouraging other people on the forum to make poor decisions with their money.

particularly given that this is a very strong example of a game where team selection is absolutely critical as dortmund were always likely to rest a couple.
By:
abu1967
When: 07 Feb 12 19:24
dave, i think "ramping idiot" would probably do nicely as causing offence to the poster.
By:
dave_the_poor
When: 07 Feb 12 19:29
that was entirely intended to cause offence.

i don't mind causing offence to people who post incorrect information as facts on a betting forum. if i did the same i would expect someone to be impolite to me.

the subsequent post was an attempt to highlight the reason why i find it annoying.

never mind enjoy the game all.
By:
RAPS
When: 07 Feb 12 19:32
speaking of posting unconfirmed things:

Kiel is in the north, close to the sea. So it will be quite cold tonight there, maybe -15 or so


It`s -2.7 now in Kiel according to wetter.com.
Being on the sea keeps the temps. more moderate. The -15 is down here in the South of Germany where it`S absolutely Arctic
By:
abu1967
When: 07 Feb 12 19:36
some early goals to warm the cockles please my German friends, 2 in the first half and more of the same in the 2nd.
By:
aldric.
When: 07 Feb 12 19:36
All Dortmund so far..
By:
Moghul
When: 07 Feb 12 19:40
@ RAPS and all

Your are right, I didn't check the weather-forecast and concluded from the south (where I live) that it would be similar or even worse in the north, esspecially at a sight close to the sea.

Anyway, I think the rest of my comment was pretty acurate. I also explicitely said, taht I'm gonna wait for a few minutes to see the course of the game.

No need to argue, I guess.
By:
aldric.
When: 07 Feb 12 19:41
Keil almost / should have scored...
By:
ozymandias5
When: 07 Feb 12 19:41
Dortmund plays good in the Bundesliga.

But they suck sometimes in cups. CL, EL -> LOSERS.

But they will probably win this thing.
By:
Jedeye
When: 07 Feb 12 19:43
0-1
By:
aldric.
When: 07 Feb 12 19:43
that was an easy goal!
By:
Benfica_Fan
When: 07 Feb 12 19:45
o2.5 and some 03.5 :)
By:
Benfica_Fan
When: 07 Feb 12 19:50
weeee
By:
aldric.
When: 07 Feb 12 19:50
BOOM!
By:
Jedeye
When: 07 Feb 12 19:52
bosh!
By:
RAPS
When: 07 Feb 12 19:52
It`s not important Moghul. I assumed as you did and was surprised when I looked it up..  -2 is tropical compared to here.I am freezing my a$$ off in Stuttgart + I`ve got the Kehrwoche this week so I`m out there shovelling fecken snow into the bargain..Cry
By:
homefortea
When: 07 Feb 12 19:54
Nice to see all the Poles are not in England !!
By:
Moghul
When: 07 Feb 12 20:16
Oh RAPS, if you accuse me of providing inaccurate information, this is important. Esspecially as this only half-true if at all.

Anyway, lets forget about it and my sympathy for you picking the Kehrwoche just when it gets really really cold - wouldn't like to switch sides.
By:
ramazz
When: 07 Feb 12 20:23
Benfica_Fan i give you 3 or 4 weeks to start crying... Porto will smash Benfica ! SurprisedSurprisedSurprisedTongue OutWinkCrazyCrazy
By:
Benfica_Fan
When: 07 Feb 12 20:38
haha we are playing good football m8, it will be hard but not impossible Excited
By:
bloomy08
When: 07 Feb 12 20:40
link?
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