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alright chaps. got a bit bored and created a spreadsheet for statistically analysing games for likelyhood of goals. this is the output for tuesdays fixtures
(most likely at top, least likely towards the bottom, rating is the number next to fixture). lets see how it goes.
Man Utd v Stoke, 7.910
MK Dons v Sheffield Wed, 7.597
Leeds v Birmingham, 7.434
Charlton v Bury, 7.281
Tottenham v Wigan, 7.206
Everton v Man City, 6.996
Walsall v Notts County, 6.956
Wolverhampton v Liverpool, 6.952
Hull v Doncaster, 6.898
Barnsley v Derby, 6.891
Ipswich v West Ham, 6.877
Nott'm Forest v Burnley, 6.589
Southampton v Cardiff, 6.508
Blackpool v Coventry, 5.919
Millwall v Watford, 5.73
Southend v Swindon, 5.693
Swansea v Chelsea, 5.499
Crystal Palace v Brighton, 4.816
(most likely at top, least likely towards the bottom, rating is the number next to fixture). lets see how it goes.
Man Utd v Stoke, 7.910
MK Dons v Sheffield Wed, 7.597
Leeds v Birmingham, 7.434
Charlton v Bury, 7.281
Tottenham v Wigan, 7.206
Everton v Man City, 6.996
Walsall v Notts County, 6.956
Wolverhampton v Liverpool, 6.952
Hull v Doncaster, 6.898
Barnsley v Derby, 6.891
Ipswich v West Ham, 6.877
Nott'm Forest v Burnley, 6.589
Southampton v Cardiff, 6.508
Blackpool v Coventry, 5.919
Millwall v Watford, 5.73
Southend v Swindon, 5.693
Swansea v Chelsea, 5.499
Crystal Palace v Brighton, 4.816
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You needed to do a ss to tell you that manu v stoke is most likely to be over 1.5?
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Man Utd v Stoke, 7.910 Currently 1.24
MK Dons v Sheffield Wed, 7.597 Currently 1.3 Leeds v Birmingham, 7.434 Currently 1.33 Charlton v Bury, 7.281 Currently 1.29 Tottenham v Wigan, 7.206 Currently 1.19 Everton v Man City, 6.996 Currently 1.36 Walsall v Notts County, 6.956 Currently 1.36 Wolverhampton v Liverpool, 6.952 Currently 1.35 Hull v Doncaster, 6.898 Currently 1.36 Barnsley v Derby, 6.891 Currently 1.34 Ipswich v West Ham, 6.877 Currently 1.32 Nott'm Forest v Burnley, 6.589 Currently 1.36 Southampton v Cardiff, 6.508 Currently 1.34 Blackpool v Coventry, 5.919 Currently 1.31 Millwall v Watford, 5.73 Currently 1.42 Southend v Swindon, 5.693 no BF market Swansea v Chelsea, 5.499 Currently 1.40 Crystal Palace v Brighton, 4.816 Currently 1.50 |
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The stand out one on the difference between the odds and your statistics is the Tottenham match which although high up in your stats has the shortest market price despite "statistically" not being the most likely. I'm not sure this means anything as its too late in the morning to be contemplating stuff like that
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any chance your will to share the spead sheet if it involves formulas, cheers
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right try these for tomorrow (weather permitting)! again in order of chance there will be goals goals goals
spreadsheet not hard to make, but feel free to offer me £££ for it!! Carlisle vs. Chesterfield 8.474 Cardiff vs. Blackpool 7.999 Plymouth vs. Southend 7.852 Norwich vs. Bolton 7.699 Swindon vs. Burton 7.606 Chelsea vs. Man Utd 7.567 Arsenal vs. Blackburn 7.476 Bradford vs. Crawley 7.319 Huddersfield vs. MK 7.279 Wycombe vs. Tranmere 7.165 Coventry City vs. Ipswich 7.127 Sheffield vs. Yeovil 7.040 Burnley vs. Peterborough 7.014 Man City vs. Fulham 6.938 QPR vs. Wolves 6.932 Scunthorpe vs. Walsall 6.910 Northampton vs. Macc 6.806 Charlton vs. Rochdale 6.766 Watford vs. Barnsley 6.733 Bristol City vs. Leeds 6.679 Liverpool vs. Tottenham 6.638 Birmingham vs. Soton 6.564 Newcastle vs. Aston Villa 6.520 Wigan vs. Everton 6.434 Stoke vs. Sunderland 6.296 Brighton vs. Leicester 6.181 Derby vs. Notts F 6.135 West Ham vs. Millwall 6.112 W.B.A. vs. Swansea 5.919 Middlesbrough vs. C.Pal 5.538 Portsmouth vs. Hull 5.257 Doncaster vs. Reading 5.127 good luck  |
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Out of interest how many of the Tuesday lot had more than 1.5 goals?
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Over 1.5 goals
Cardiff vs Blackpool Norwich vs Bolton QPR vs Wolves Watford vs Barnsley @ 6/4ish Thats the fourfold I've done for tomorrow. GL luck all  |
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That's 2 doubles and a fourfold of over 1.5s I've had up in the last week. (posted them all on here so no accusations of after timing please]
) Definitely the best football market IMO. Long may it continue |