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Jazza
20 Dec 12 22:26
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Date Joined: 07 Jan 03
| Topic/replies: 830 | Blogger: Jazza's blog
It's when you get 10 minutes or more of unbelievable bad luck. It usually leaves you skint and then the games go back to playing normal. If you study the odds involved afterwards the you will be astonished. Accumulatively you should probably encounter such a run once a month or even a year and not every other time you play.

If you play the games then you will encounter it. Sooner rather than later.
After that you are either skint or in a position where it is impossible to recover.

Enjoy. I love these "games".
They have altered my understanding of probability. What I was taught many years ago was clearly wrong.

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Replies: 11
By:
Jazza
When: 21 Dec 12 17:36
Here we go. Only got past card 3 twice in 12 games. TODAY 17:00 Hilo. No need to ask if I was backing or laying. Random......I don't think so.

JA
8JQ
52
82
76
10Q
7K3Q465
Q349A
574
J73
6KA
8910
By:
Jazza
When: 22 Dec 12 12:01
Try this one. Took about 10 mins to finish me. Merry Xmas BF. x x x

KA
KA
K10A
7A89Q
QK
AQ965
75
Q49A


Note the 2 KA to start me off and then QK soon after. Any maths chaps work out the odds? I would guess roughly 10x10x10 = 1000 to 1 roughly. Just unlucky start I guess.
That's the only possible explanation.
By:
Jazza
When: 22 Dec 12 15:37
And it's not bad luck. When it's on you WILL lose......quickly
I love the games
Merry xmas BF
By:
Jazza
When: 22 Dec 12 19:56
Taking the p1ss to a higher level this afternoon, but I have all games logged. Will be showing somebody who knows more about maths than me. See what they have to say about the probability of such runs.
By:
Jazza
When: 23 Dec 12 13:12
Playing hilo. Getting a fair crack of the whip as others were playing. Soon as they left all changed. Cheat button ON. Got out whilst a had something left. SOOOOO obvious.
By:
Jazza
When: 23 Dec 12 13:26
63
84
64
KA
63

Forget it......out of here
Pure greed.
By:
Jazza
When: 23 Dec 12 13:57
No maths expert, but guessing the above must have odds well over 200/1
But of course it happened within 15 games of starting.
AND it doesn't just happen now and again, but most times I play, so the odds are getting bigger and massively unlikely.

Not likely is it? Wise up fellas. You know it DOESN'T make sense.
By:
Jazza
When: 23 Dec 12 13:59
.....AND of course only happens when I'm backing card progression. I've never seen a run like this when laying.............weird that innit.
By:
insideimdancing
When: 25 Dec 12 18:45
Oi, Jazza have you ever got a deck of cards and just using spades cards 2 to Ace and played hi and lo for real??? try it for an hour and see how many 1 outers happen ie K then comes A or 10 then comes j, it happens rather often, give it a go curious what your results are, also would be curious if you actully make it to card 14?

i gave it a go couple of months ago pretty random, but hi lo is not my game i like hold em, but play big odds, lay small odds, biggist odds win £5 on a 134/1 shot but of coarse i laid some of that off
By:
Jazza
When: 25 Dec 12 19:31
How often does 5 in a row happen. I'm guessing odds of roughly 240ish\1
It happened about 10 games in and often does.
I appreciate these runs happen, but too soon too often.
By:
insideimdancing
When: 26 Dec 12 01:44
i understand what your saying its feels like your the most unlucky person alive or its all a bit of a scam, and i played these games for 4 about years before i went on the worst run ever blow everything and closed my account down, (was convinced your theroy in if no one else was playing you cant win)

stopped playing switched to online poker but same thing go on great runs then boom go on a cooler for weeks not being able to win a hand, but learned thats just down to variance, 18 times out of a 100 your pocket aces will get cracked!

came back to playing these game about a year ago, stick you military system, start with 100 lose it its gone, dont play till tomorrow, or turn my 100 into 400 cash out play again tomorrow with 100,  past year being up over 12k sometimes cant win for days but then hit a good run make money, cash out happy. here is a quick sample, in the space of ten minutes, hit a 50/1 and a 19/1 what are the odds of that????

13875053951    2012-12-20
18:00     2012-12-20
18:00     Turbo Texas Hold'Em / Game ID: 53682052
Back Hand 3 £22.00 @ 19.80 Won
£413.60     £645.79
13875053952    2012-12-20
18:00     2012-12-20
18:00     Turbo Texas Hold'Em / Game ID: 53682052
Back Hand 1 £10.00 @ 5.60 Lost
£10.00     £232.19
13875042444    2012-12-20
17:58     2012-12-20
17:57     Texas Hold'em / Game ID: 53681950
Back Hand 2 £12.00 @ 13.20 Lost
£12.00     £242.19
13875040952    2012-12-20
17:58     2012-12-20
17:57     Texas Hold'em / Game ID: 53681950
Back Hand 1 £12.00 @ 90.00 Lost
£12.00     £254.19
13875040751    2012-12-20
17:58     2012-12-20
17:57     Turbo Texas Hold'Em / Game ID: 53682001
Back Hand 1 £32.00 @ 10.00 Lost
£32.00     £266.19
13875028709    2012-12-20
17:54     2012-12-20
17:54     Texas Hold'em / Game ID: 53681887
Commission Charged 2.5% On Net winnings of £162     £4.05     £298.19
13875028709    2012-12-20
17:54     2012-12-20
17:54     Texas Hold'em / Game ID: 53681887
Back Hand 4 £88.00 @ 1.10 Lost
£88.00     £302.24
13875028345    2012-12-20
17:54     2012-12-20
17:54     Texas Hold'em / Game ID: 53681887
Back Hand 4 £225.00 @ 1.10 Lost
£225.00     £390.24
13875025087    2012-12-20
17:54     2012-12-20
17:53     Texas Hold'em / Game ID: 53681887
Back Hand 2 £10.00 @ 50.00 Won (Dead Heat)
£240.00     £615.24
13875020790    2012-12-20
17:54     2012-12-20
17:52     Texas Hold'em / Game ID: 53681887
Back Hand 2 £20.00 @ 15.00 Won (Dead Heat)
£130.00     £375.24
13875021088    2012-12-20
17:54     2012-12-20
17:52     Texas Hold'em / Game ID: 53681887
Back Hand 1 £20.00 @ 15.00 Won (Dead Heat)
£130.00     £245.24
13875025086    2012-12-20
17:54     2012-12-20
17:53     Texas Hold'em / Game ID: 53681887
Back Hand 3 £25.00 @ 40.00 Lost
£25.00     £115.24
13875013103    2012-12-20
17:51     2012-12-20
17:50     Texas Hold'em / Game ID: 53681813
Back Hand 4 £19.00 @ 19.80 Lost
£19.00     £140.24
13875010716    2012-12-20
17:50     2012-12-20
17:50     Texas Hold'em / Game ID: 53681813
Back Hand 1 £13.00 @ 9.10 Lost
£13.00     £159.24
13875008846    2012-12-20
17:50     2012-12-20
17:49     Turbo Texas Hold'Em / Game ID: 53681853
Back Hand 3 £17.00 @ 24.00 Lost
£17.00     £172.24
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