Exchange Games
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These games are fixed/biased. Get your figures from betfair and post them on here. games played, total outlay, and total returns NET of commission. As I have stated before my turnover was around £2m and my net losses around £140k. Games played around 3000 - 4000. My net losses were around 7% when they should be around 1%. IE without any judgement or systems I should have lost around £20K. I dont know what the probability is of getting the results I obtained but I believe a decent statician would say the results are almost impossible to attain. I would have thought over this sample size it was almost impossible to have losses of even 2% but to get to 7% is unbelievable. So if there are any statisticians out there who can help Id be grateful. As stated previously I was barred from adding anything on the forum, looks like its been lifted somehow but Im sure will be applied again soon. So If anyone can give me the liklihood of these results happening Id be most grateful. I suggest you copy this text if you wish to keep the figures as Im sure this text will be deleted by the Betfair police in the near future! If it does get deleted and you have worked out the probability of my results please post them on here! Regards notcricket!!!
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Odds are odds. Humans make judgements and mistakes and I can bet that you, as have I, not stuck to your strategy which is why your loses are higher.
I too thought 'I can't be that unlucky', on one day I lay four card run in HiLo at 300/1 and it came in, the very next bet I lay Natural Tie in Baccarat at 92/1 that came in !!!! lost £1000s in seconds!!!! So I downloaded X-feeder lite for free and for only £6 ran time machine, history of actual games for months past. No matter what strategy I have tried the results are as predicted by the odds, the bot will carry on betting as per the strategy. Go on and try it. If you find something that works, keep checking it will lose in the long run. If you are ahead get out, never chase your loses. |
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A simple way to decide. At least in my past experience.
Play hilo when £0 matched, which is quite often, so it's you against guess who. Who will win? Give it a go. I'd be interested in your results. My past experience went something like lost lost lost lost lost lost lost........I think you get the idea. |
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I have sent you a private message notcricket.
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your right betfair will always win thats why i only use my straitergy when theres money in the market and the amount of stake reflects the amount of matched money
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your right betfair will always win thats why i only use my straitergy when theres money in the market and the amount of stake reflects the amount of matched money
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What was your average stake per game ?
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If your winnin then good luck to ye.I post on ere with my opinion and that opinion is based on my masssive losses.Losses that av accumulated with the most remarkable turns of cards.Some will say thats just how it is and the games aren`t fixed.I respect that view as everybody is entitled to there opinion.Personally i say there fixed not just because the cards go against me because that "is" how it can be.But because the cards "continually" go against me.I find these games "UNPLAYABLE"
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Would also be interested in hearing people's average stake per game...
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Any game online or in a bookies/casino which uses 'RNG' are not straight.
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Interesting!
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