davio

Everyone loves International weekend right?. Right? No?! Whaddya mean no? Who isn't excited about San Marino taking on the Three Lions this weekend? Or Luxembourg taking on Azerbaijan?

Yeah they can be bobbins but one match that jumps out of the page and kicks you square in the nuts is Croatia versus Serbia. That game will be tastier than a KFC Chicken drumstick protruding out of Kate Upton's clunge. If you can find a feed, watch it.

This week we have 3 bets. A straight acca, a goals galore 4 fold and a correct score perm bet.

Acca

22/03/2013 - 6pm    Norway
22/03/2013 - 7.10pm    Slovakia
22/03/2013 - 7.45pm    Russia
22/03/2013 - 7.45pm    Sweden

The four fold pays just over 4/1 with bet365

Goals Galore

The good thing about International weekend is that the odds for both teams bagging tend to be a bit bigger than the norm. This Friday we have...

22/03/2013 - 7.30pm    Czech Republic v Denmark
22/03/2013 - 7.45pm    FYR Macedonia v Belguim
22/03/2013 - 7.45pm    Poland v Ukraine
22/03/2013 - 8pm    Scotland v Wales

This quartet pays a whopping 19/1+ with Coral


Correct Score Perm

For this bet we take heavily odds on favourites, pick three score they are likely to by and perm the lot in one bet.

22/03/2013 - 6pm    Germany 3-0 / 4-0 / 5-0
22/03/2013 - 7.30pm    Holland 4-0 / 5-0 / 6-0
22/03/2013 - 7.45pm    Spain 2-0 / 3-0 / 4-0
22/03/2013 - 8pm    England 4-0 / 5-0 / 6-0

So you perm any 4 from the above. That works out at 81 bets. So if you did 10p a line x 81 bets that comes to £8.10 for you stake. If 4 results came in at 5/1, you'd get back £129.60.

Whilst looking at the England v San Marion market i was rooting around for some value in various markets and i think that i have found some in the corners market. Bet365 go 5/6 that England have 9.5 corners in the match. Last time out they had a whopping 17 corners. Fill ya boots

Olympiakos
Wigan v Newcastle, Both Teams To Score, 2-1
Borussia Monchengladbach v Hannover, Both Teams To Score, 1-0
St Etienne v Paris St Germain, Both Teams To Score, Yes 2-2

Pays a smidge over 6/1 with BetVictor and StanJames

One away. Again.

Vvv Venlo v Heracles     Both Teams To Score, Yes, 0-2

Ado Den Haag v Vitesse Arnheim     Both Teams To Score, Yes, 0-4

Besiktas v Kasimpasa     Both Teams To Score, Yes 1-3

3/1 with StanJames

Goals Galore

8/12 - 10/12    09/03/2013 - 2.30pm    Schalke 04 vs Dortmund +7 2-1
8/11 - 12/12    09/03/2013 - 5.30pm    Mönchengladbach  vs Werder Bremen +7 1-1
8/12 - 10/12    09/03/2013 - 5.45pm    Heerenveen vs PSV Eindhoven +7 2-1
9/11 - 8/11    10/03/2013 - 7pm    Fenerbahce vs Bursaspor +7 4-1

Pays a touch under 11/2 with StanJames

Overs/Unders

09/03/2013 - 6.45pm    Grasshopper vs St. Gallen (80% - 90.9%) -2.5
10/03/2013 - 1pm    Xanthi vs Giannina (66.7% - 75%) -2.5 0-1
10/03/2013 - 7pm    Fenerbahce vs Bursaspor (91.7% - 72.7%) +2.5 4-1

Pays a touch over 3/1 with BetVictor

+1.5 @ H/T

09/03/2013 - 3pm    Stirling (57.14%) - East Sterling (69.23%) +1.5 2-0
09/03/2013 - 6.45pm    Heracles (91.67) - NEC (50%)+1.5 0-0
09/03/2013 - 7pm    Barcelona (75%) - Depor (69.23%) +1.5 1-0

8/1 @ Bet365

Three bets this weekend, a Goals Galore acca, +1.5 Goals at Half Time Treble and 13 fold +1.5 Goals. The +1.5 Goals at Half Time Treble has come close to winning in the last two weeks but both have been sunk in the last game, in the most likely match, by the score line of 0-1. TotesFrustraingBallz.

Anyway this week we have…

Goals Galore:

10/13 -10/13    02/03/2013 - 3pm    Swansea City vs Newcastle Utd +7
9/13 - 8/13    03/03/2013 - 2pm    Bologna vs Cagliari +6
9/12 - 8/12    03/03/2013 - 3.30pm    ADO Den Haag vs Heracles Almelo +6
9/12 - 7/11    03/03/2013 - 5pm    Besiktas  vs Fenerbahce +6

This little quartet pays a smidge under 13/2 with StanJames

+1.5 Goals at Half Time

02/03/2013 - 3pm    Elgin v Stirling Albion (90.91% - 54.55%)
02/03/2013 - 3pm    Rangers v East Stirling (33.33 - 75%)
02/03/2013 - 7pm    Hercules v Almeria (91.67% - 53.55%)

Solid stats for all our teams here apart from Rangers and I’m only including them because they are playing East Sterling and this result has come in both times they have played this season.

This tidy treble pays 12/1+ with Sportingbet.

+1.5 Goals

This (and the above bet) comes courtesy of the stats @wherethegoalsat kindly provides and the bet can be seen here http://wherethegoalsat.com/goal-wizard-results/ .Everyone apart from Rangers have been included (they weren't available at time of writing) and it pays just over 10/1 with Bet365. Not great odds but it should go very close to winning.

3 acca's this weekend, so lets cut out the jibber jabber and get down to it


Over / Under 2.5 Goals

23/02/2013 - 3.15pm    PAOK Saloniki vs Kerkyra -2.5 (70% - 90%) 3-1
23/02/2013 - 6.45pm    Servette vs Lausanne Sports -2.5 (100% - 80%) 1-0
23/02/2013 - 9pm    FC Barcelona vs FC Sevilla +2.5 (81.8%)2-1
24/02/2013 - 1pm    Atromitos vs Giannina -2.5 (72.7% - 72.7%)0-0

Pays a smidge over 9/2 with StanJames


Goals Galore


10/13 - 6/13    23/02/2013 - 3pm    Reading  vs Wigan Athletic +6 0-3
13/16 - 12/16    23/02/2013 - 3pm    Peterborough  vs Birmingham City +8 0-2
11/11 - 6/11    23/02/2013 - 5.45pm    Heracles Almelo vs Vitesse Arnhem +8 3-5
7/11 - 9/11    24/02/2013 - 11.30am    Feyenoord vs PSV Eindhoven +7 2-1

Although Wigan have a poor record of six from 13, Both teams have scored in the five of their last six matches.

Similarly Vitesse don't have a great record but if you looking at the following equation you will see that it equals both teams to score. Heracles Almelo have conceded at least one goal in 100% of their home matches + Vitesse Arnhem have scored at least one goal in 100% of their away matches x Heracles Almelo having scored at least one goal in 100% of their home matches and that = Both teams to score. See, told you so.

Pays a touch under 5/1 with StanJames


Over 1.5 Goals @ Half Time

Unlucky last week as we were one goal away from collecting. The picks this weekend are...

23/02/2013 - 3pm    East Stirling v Elgin (66.67 - 58.3%)1-1
23/02/2013 - 3pm    Montrose v Annan (76.92 - 58.3%)3-0
23/02/2013 - 9pm    Barcelona v FC Sevilla (81.82% - 58.3%)0-1

Pays around 19/2 with Coral

Success last wee with the Overs/Unders bet. Would have been a Great Success! if Mersin had managed to bag one in the Goals Galore bet where, yet again, one goals sinks the bet...

Anyway this week we have an Overs/Unders, Goals Galore, A new bet of Over 1.5 Goals at half time and an Italian over 4.5 goals pick.

Overs/Unders

16/02/2013 - 3-15pm    Giannina vs Panthrakikos (70% - 70%) -2.5 0-0
16/02/2013 - 5pm    Antalyaspor vs Karabukspor (80% - 90.9%) +2.5 0-0
16/02/2013 - 7.45pm    PSV Eindhoven vs FC Utrecht +2.5 (100 PSV @ HOME) +2.5 2-1
18/02/2013 - 5.30pm    OFI Heraklion  vs Platanias (72.7% - 72.7%) -2.5

In brackets we have the teams percentage for games that have been either under/over 2.5 games. 70% is the minimum to be looking at. PSV's opponents don't fit the criteria but with every PSV home game ending up over 2.5 goals, they can be included.

Pays 4.32 with StanJames

Goals Galore

11/14 - 11/12    16/02/2013 - 3pm    Woking vs Newport +6 1-3
7/11 - 7/11    16/02/2013 - 5pm    Antalyaspor vs Karabukspor +6 0-0
9/12 - 8/11    16/02/2013 - 5pm    Malaga vs Athletic Bilbao +7 1-0
9/11 - 8/11    16/02/2013 - 7.45pm    AS Roma vs Juventus +7 1-0

Pays 6.42 with StanJames

Over 1.5 @ Half Time

After viewing @WhereTheGoalsAt work for many a weeks I'd thought I'd dabble in the 'Over 1.5 Goals' market this week.

we have three matches where based upon his statistics which point towards the above coming in

16/02/2013 - 3pm    Montrose vs Elgin 75% HT 2-0
16/02/2013 - 5.30pm    Dortmund vs Frankfurt 60/70% HT 3-0
17/02/2013 - 4.30pm    Hoffenheim v VfB Stuttgart 81.82% HT

Montrose have seen 75% of their home games have over 1.5 Goals by half time

For Dortmund that reads 60% and 70% of Frankfurt's away games have seen this also happen.

Hoffenheim top the shop with an 81.82 percentage.

The treble pays 13.5 with WilliamHill


Finally we have 'Over 4.5 Goals' bet in the Saturday night clash between i Giallorossi and La Vecchia Signora. AS Roma have seen six out of their 11 home games end up with over 4.5 Goals. They, like Juventus, have scored 50 goals so far this season averaging 2.08 goals every game. Couple that with the fact they have conceded 45 goals and one would expect goals at the Olympic Stadium on Saturday night. You would expect games against the top sides in Italy to be tight but so far this season Roma have had a 2-3 loss to Lazio, a 4-2 win over Milan, a 4-2 win over Fiorentina, lost 4-1 to Napoli and the reverse fixture saw Juventus run out 4-1 winners.

Over 4.5 Goals is 9/2 and is widely available.

Fresh from a midweek 19/1 Goals Galore bet, we have two bets this week which sadly don't pay out at that price but still should pay out all the same. Oh and we have that one that pays out bigger...

First up Overs/Unders

Date:                   Form          Teams & Rating                 

09/02/2013 - 7.45pm    7/10 - 8/10 - Vitesse Arnhem vs PSV Eindhoven +7.5 2-2

10/12/2013 - 11 am    8/10 - 6-11 - FC Barcelona vs Getafe +6.75 6-1

10/02/2013 - 12.45pm    7/9 - 7/9 - FC Zürich vs Lausanne Sports -2.75 2-0

10/12/2013 - 2pm    9/11 - 8/10 - Kayserispor vs Orduspor -7.75 0-0


The only anomaly is in Switzerland as the ranking doesn't fit the 6 minimum. However given that both teams boast seven from nine games ending up under 2.5, I can allow that to slide.

9/2 with Bet365


Goals Galore

Form for GG H/A

5/9 - 10-10    09/02/2013 - 2.30pm    Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen +7 1-4

11/15 - 11-15    09/02/2013 - 3pm    Charlton vs Birmingham City +8 1-1

6/9 - 7/9    10/02/2013 - 2.30pm    Mersin vs Fenerbahce +7 0-1

Pays 7/2 with StanJames


Goals Galore II

It pays to shop around with Goals Galore, most people go to Betfred as they see the 'bonus coupon' and blindly bet. Don't. For this bet Betfred go 16/1, StanJames go 29/1...

Inverness v Celtic     Both Teams To Score, Yes, 1-3

Sunderland v Arsenal     Both Teams To Score, Yes, 0-1

Charlton v Birmingham     Both Teams To Score, Yes, 1-1

Kilmarnock v Motherwell     Both Teams To Score, Yes, 2-0

Juventus v Fiorentina     Both Teams To Score, Yes, 2-0

Lazio v Napoli     Both Teams To Score, Yes, 1-1

Goals Galore bet this week in the shape of this 19/1 selection courtesy of StanJames

England v Brazil Both Teams To Score, Yes, 2-1
   
Holland v Italy     Both Teams To Score, Yes, 1-1

Sweden v Argentina Both Teams To Score, Yes, 2-3
   
Wales v Austria     Both Teams To Score, Yes,  2-1

France v Germany Both Teams To Score, Yes, 1-2
   

Nice

A brief look back on last week, Norwich, despite being 83 places above Luton, couldn’t manage to bag two goals against such lowly opposition. In fact they couldn’t bag one, the useless gets and thus sunk the ‘to score 2+’ bet. League 1 form team Walsall came unstuck against a Colchester team that had lost its last 9 matches and the 2.5 bet went tits up. The BTTS acca did come however.

Moving onto this week and we have a trio of bets. First up is the +2.5 acca.

01/02/2013 - 6pm    Besiktas  vs Karabukspor +7.5    2-2.
01/02/2013 - 7pm    FC Eindhoven vs Excelsior +9.25    1-1.
02/02/2013 - 7.45pm    Napoli vs Catania +7.5    2-0.
03/02/2013 - 1.30pm    Sparta vs Cambuur +5    1-0.


The quartet pays 5/1+ with Bet365

Next up: Both Teams to Score.

7/10 - 8/10    01/02/2013 - 6pm    Besiktas  vs Karabukspor +7    2-2.
8/12 - 9/12    02/02/2013 - 3pm    Wigan Athletic vs Southampton +5    1-2.
8/12 - 10/11    03/02/2013 - 1.30pm    Racing Genk vs Club Brugge +8    4-1.


The treble pays a smidge under 7/2 with StanJames

Finally we have the ‘to score 2+ acca’.


02/02/2013 - 2.30pm    Bayern Munich
02/02/2013 - 2.30pm    Schalke
02/02/2013 - 7.45pm    PSV
02/02/2013 - 9pm    Real Madrid
03/02/2012 - 1.30pm    Ajax
03/02/2012 - 3.15pm    Olympicaos
03/02/2012 - 6pm    Barcelona

This Septet pays 6.36/1 with Coral