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happyhibee
23 Dec 12 00:26
Joined:
Date Joined: 25 Oct 04
| Topic/replies: 33,262 | Blogger: happyhibee's blog
Day 10 sees the culmination of R2 and the start of R3 before stopping for the christmas break. I fancy a few bets fairly strongly tomorrow so hopefully they go according to plan Grin

Justin Pipe v Mark Walsh:

R1 - Pipe bt Andy Jenkins 3-0
Ave: 84.23
180's: 1
HC: 116
CO%: 35%

Walsh bt Darren Webster 3-1
Ave: 88.58
180's: 2
HC: 85
CO%: 50%

Opening match sees Pipe on first v Walsh in what could prove to be a very methodical match between 2 of the more deliberate players on tour. Pipe didn't play well in his opening match v Jenkins but he got the job done with minimum fuss and if the Players champs is anything to go by he is at least getting used to the big stage. I never saw the Walsh match but based on averages it looked like he also did a job without pulling up trees. I'm on Pipe outright but on the prices here I don't fancy anything and am happy to have a watching brief.

Recommendation: No Bet

Dean Winstanley v Vincent Van Der Voort:

R1 - Winstanley bt Mervyn King 3-2
Ave: 91.76
180's: 10
HC: 106
CO%: 38%

Van Der Voort bt Stuart Kellett 3-0
Ave: 89.01
180's: 2
HC: 76
CO%: 26%

Winstanley overcame King in a cracking match in R1 and showed his usual level of heavy scoring mixed with some iffy doubling. He's a player I really like just because it looks like he has fun and seems a decent fella. VDV beat Kellett 3-0 but by all accounts it wasn't a particularly convincing performance. Hes had a poor year and all the other players who came thru R1 off the back of a bad year have lost in R2 so that might prove the same for him. I like a couple of bets in this one based around the 180's market. Both of them on their day are very heavy hitters and I fancy there to be a few here. I'm having a bigger bet on Winstanley individual maxes as VDV's iffy form puts me off a bit but hopefully both bets cop.

Recommendations: 4pts win Winstanley over 6.5 maxes @ 5/6 (365) & 2pts win over 10 maxes @ 10/11 (Sky)

James Wade v Steve Beaton:

R1 - Wade bt Peter Hudson 3-0
Ave: 91.09
180's: 4
HC: 102
CO%: 43%

Beaton bt Kyle Anderson 3-0
Ave: 87.54
180's: 5
HC: 80
CO%: 28%

Final match of the afternoon session sees the increasingly unpredictable Wade take on the former world champion Steve Beaton. Wade came through pretty easily in his first match but was under very little pressure in my view from Hudson. He's clearly still got lots of problems away from the oche and he seemingly spent more time in a clinic recently for his ongoing health problems. Beaton was pretty poor in his win and was flattered by winning 3-0. He is capable of playing great stuff though but on the other hand can also play dreadfully so never sure what you're going to get. I am going to risk a small bet on him though as I think the price is slightly too big.

Recommendation: 0.5pt win Steve Beaton @ 3/1 (Sky)

Michael Van Gerwen v Peter Wright:

R1 - Van Gerwen bt Paul Lim 3-0
Ave: 90.64
180's: 4
HC: 116
CO%: 25%

Wright bt Arron Monk 3-0
180's: 4
HC: 140
CO%: 37%

Last match in the second round sees the form horse Van Gerwen take on the man with the crazy hair Peter Wright. Van Gerwen won comfortably in R1 without showing the fireworks that he has been of late. We know how good he is once he gets going but we also know he can throw in a stinker from time to time. Wright wasnt happy with his win but I actually thought he played pretty well. He's also trying to get into MVG's head with a few verbals which could help or hinder him. Bet I like here is the HC as Michael hits large outs for fun and Wright showed in his opener he is also more than capable.

Recommendation: 1.5pts win over 130.5 HC @ 5/6 (General)

Andy Hamilton v Terry Jenkins:

R2 - Hamilton bt Richie Burnett 4-1
Ave: 97.27
180's: 10
HC: 138
CO%: 45%

Jenkins bt John Part 4-1
Ave: 98.18
180's: 6
HC: 116
CO%: 57%

First match of the 3rd round promises to be a good fight if both bring their form of the first 2 matches. Hamilton is a very consistent performer who almost averages in the mid to high 90's and he is full of confidence after his past 12 months. Jenkins is also flying under the radar a bit and has cruised through to this stage with minimum fuss. He knows this stage well and is not scared to win and I can see this being a ding dong affair between the 2 players. My original fancy here was the max bet but given the highest line in R2 was over 10 and this is now over 13 I have had to swerve it. There could easily be 14+ here but if it goes 4 or 5 sets then 14 maxes is a big ask especially as the tournament progresses. I'm instead going for the HC again as both of them are high on my list of players who can string together the sequence needed.

Recommendation: 1pt win over HC over 131 @ 5/6 (Sky)

Phil Taylor v Robert Thornton:

R2 - Taylor bt Jerry Hendricks 4-1
Ave: 90.23
180's: 3
HC: 120
CO%: 35%

Thornton bt Paul Nicholson 4-3
Ave: 94.79
180's: 13
HC: 136
CO%: 41%

Final match before christmas sees the 15 time world champion take on an opponent in Thornton who has beaten him twice on tv already this year. Taylor has averaged 92 and 90 in his 2 wins and if he continues to play like that he is going to lose sooner or later. He may well up his game and hit a 105 average but I am not convinced about his body language and the way he is talking in the build up. If he doesnt bring better then I fancy him to lose here. Thornton has averaged 99 and 95 in his 2 wins and I thought he played really well in beating Nicho. He took out some crucial shots at vital times and he now knows he can beat Phil on the big stage. He has to start well but if he does I think he can do him for the 3rd time this year.

Recommendation: 1pt win Robert Thornton @ 11/4 (General)

Summary: Lots of bets tomorrow but the main bets centre around heavy scoring in the Winstanley match. I also fancy a couple of rags in Beaton & Thornton and the safer way to bet them might be on the h'cap. I'm going straight for the throat though and betting them straight up.

All the best to the regulars who contribute to this and all bets welcome to be highlighted if I missed anything obvious. Hopefully its a good day for everyone and we can win some cash to pay for Christmas!
HH Happy
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Report STEPTOES YARD December 23, 2012 10:54 PM GMT
yep circus tavern the better venue for me

crowd at front almost on the stage.
Report MC Roller December 23, 2012 10:55 PM GMT
Here comes something special, A BOMB.
Report VIRTUALFAN December 23, 2012 10:55 PM GMT
lori :)
Report Lori December 23, 2012 10:55 PM GMT
lol mc
Report VIRTUALFAN December 23, 2012 10:55 PM GMT
mc :)
Report tobermory December 23, 2012 10:55 PM GMT
have to think Nicholson would have put up more of a show
Report sickoflayinwinners December 23, 2012 10:55 PM GMT
taylors played well but under no pressure from thornton, still not sure if he runs into someone playing really well hell respond.
Report VIRTUALFAN December 23, 2012 10:55 PM GMT
get back to the ****g eastbourne eagles pearson
Report Lori December 23, 2012 10:55 PM GMT
hmm, messy outright market I have here.
Report happyhibee December 23, 2012 10:55 PM GMT
I would say this has been professional from Phil but not vintage. Hamilton wont roll over this easy
Report alun2005 December 23, 2012 10:56 PM GMT
All over in less than an hour.

A massacre
Report wisewords December 23, 2012 10:56 PM GMT
Robert Thornton you really are a bottler.
Report happyhibee December 23, 2012 10:56 PM GMT
Lets see if Phil can do something at his best now. Namedrop in his interview
Report nigelpm1 December 23, 2012 10:56 PM GMT
55% on the doubles from taylor - fantastic - he's back
Report u want some December 23, 2012 10:56 PM GMT
why does taylor always do that silly fooking punching thing, you're an old man. Stop it. I bet Taylor says something about Mardle giving him stick last night
Report nicky27 December 23, 2012 10:56 PM GMT
thornton only won 3 legs all match
Report happyhibee December 23, 2012 10:57 PM GMT
Wouldnt say Thornton bottled it he just played pish
Report wisewords December 23, 2012 10:57 PM GMT
Mardle was spot on about Phil last night.
Report StillLearning December 23, 2012 10:57 PM GMT
no fight from the jock there
Report VIRTUALFAN December 23, 2012 10:57 PM GMT
nothing to do with bottle he barely had a chance

just played utter gash
Report Lori December 23, 2012 10:57 PM GMT
Not sure he'd beat Wright, let alone MVG
Report wisewords December 23, 2012 10:57 PM GMT
I would say his bottle went. He can play better than that can't he?
Report reveley December 23, 2012 10:58 PM GMT
he bottled it alright - going by the body language, he was beaten before a dart was even thrown. taylor was excellent, but thornton had chances.
Report STEPTOES YARD December 23, 2012 10:58 PM GMT
phils route to the quarters like the sort he had 10 years ago
Report happyhibee December 23, 2012 10:58 PM GMT
Lets hear from Phil
Report wisewords December 23, 2012 10:58 PM GMT
All this shaking of the head before throwing etc. He beat himself.
Report happyhibee December 23, 2012 10:58 PM GMT
Funny Steppy I was thinking that too
Report going skint December 23, 2012 10:58 PM GMT
thornton shocking pub standard
Report nicky27 December 23, 2012 10:59 PM GMT
taylor MVG final would be epic
Report u want some December 23, 2012 10:59 PM GMT
what a clown
Report happyhibee December 23, 2012 11:00 PM GMT
Dave Clarke what a complete sychophant
Report nicky27 December 23, 2012 11:00 PM GMT
big advantage to have made the quarters BEFORE xmas
Report u want some December 23, 2012 11:00 PM GMT
what does that mean HH?
Report Tintoyou December 23, 2012 11:00 PM GMT
jesus this is David Brent stuff. Shocking from Taylor
Report alun2005 December 23, 2012 11:01 PM GMT
"180 every other shot"

Oh puh-lease
Report u want some December 23, 2012 11:01 PM GMT
ha ha great shout it is david brent Laugh
Report happyhibee December 23, 2012 11:01 PM GMT
It means he just sucks up and laughs at people regardless of them being funny
Report going skint December 23, 2012 11:01 PM GMT
might be a good time for thornton to get a job packing pies
no future in darts
Report STEPTOES YARD December 23, 2012 11:01 PM GMT
CRACKER
Report happyhibee December 23, 2012 11:01 PM GMT
ITS GONNA BE A CRACKER landed
Report nigelpm1 December 23, 2012 11:01 PM GMT
it's MENTAL!
Report alun2005 December 23, 2012 11:02 PM GMT
That was a proper Christmas CRACKER
Report happyhibee December 23, 2012 11:02 PM GMT
Phil hitting 180's for fun in practice. I wish someone would come in and say I've been playing like a drain in practice
Report alun2005 December 23, 2012 11:02 PM GMT
Come on Phil, mention Kauto Star or somebody
Report happyhibee December 23, 2012 11:02 PM GMT
Now moaning about his scheduling
Report Tintoyou December 23, 2012 11:02 PM GMT
Oh God, Taylor is such a ****, "how dare you criticise me" being the message.
Report happyhibee December 23, 2012 11:03 PM GMT
Everything is changing Alun. Phil cant hit a 100 average and he cannot drop a name into his interviews
Report going skint December 23, 2012 11:03 PM GMT
fat phil looks very beatable but at least he has some knackers
Report happyhibee December 23, 2012 11:03 PM GMT
Taylor would be a quite dreadful addition to the sky team.
Report Lori December 23, 2012 11:04 PM GMT
Just found this forum, they're more miserable than me!

http://www.doublefinish.com/vbul/showthread.php?10606-PDC-World-Championship-Day-10-Discussion-amp-Streams/page56
Report alun2005 December 23, 2012 11:04 PM GMT
Shocking this. A few years ago Phil would have mentioned 3 Snooker players and 6 Z-list celebs by now.
Report STEPTOES YARD December 23, 2012 11:04 PM GMT
Come on phil give us a z-lister at least
Report Tintoyou December 23, 2012 11:04 PM GMT
I couldn't abide Taylor in the commentary booth, would be painful.
Report nigelpm1 December 23, 2012 11:04 PM GMT
I love the way he can NEVER answer a question without spinning it about himself!
Report Lori December 23, 2012 11:04 PM GMT
"We get moron as the years go on"

I'm sure he said that ;~)
Report happyhibee December 23, 2012 11:05 PM GMT
Now laughing at his dreadful jokes again

Who's your favourite Phil namedrop alun? I'm going for Joe Longthorne
Report nicky27 December 23, 2012 11:05 PM GMT
LoL lori
Report alun2005 December 23, 2012 11:05 PM GMT
Phil, go home now son before you say something daft
Report Tintoyou December 23, 2012 11:05 PM GMT
Ricky Hatton a classic
Report nicky27 December 23, 2012 11:05 PM GMT
agreed Taylor on commentary Cry
Report happyhibee December 23, 2012 11:05 PM GMT
He did a 9 darter cos he has a mortgage to pay off? So do I but I cant hit one
Report Lori December 23, 2012 11:05 PM GMT
No dinner for phil
Report nicky27 December 23, 2012 11:05 PM GMT
bring back freddie flintoff
Report TheMadness December 23, 2012 11:05 PM GMT
Taylor did commentary for a couple of BDO finals didn't he?
Report happyhibee December 23, 2012 11:06 PM GMT
Yes he was average at best
Report STEPTOES YARD December 23, 2012 11:06 PM GMT
yep TM
Report going skint December 23, 2012 11:06 PM GMT
makes you realise how lucky you are not to know him
imagine 10 mins in the boozer with him
Report happyhibee December 23, 2012 11:06 PM GMT
Who's Mick that he practices with now?
Report alun2005 December 23, 2012 11:06 PM GMT
Some terrific namedrops over the years for sure.
Report alun2005 December 23, 2012 11:07 PM GMT
Almost a slomo upskirt there
Report happyhibee December 23, 2012 11:07 PM GMT
Bet he would bore you to tears about who he knows and how much money he has
Report alun2005 December 23, 2012 11:07 PM GMT
Mick The Miller ?
Report STEPTOES YARD December 23, 2012 11:07 PM GMT
Ronnie baxter = Ronnie osullivan my old fav
Report happyhibee December 23, 2012 11:07 PM GMT
Kym Marsh in the crowd an all time fave too
Report Lori December 23, 2012 11:07 PM GMT
Might go to minus one in the rankings?! feck off
Report Tintoyou December 23, 2012 11:07 PM GMT
lol @goingskint - yes, I count my blessings everyday I wake up and don't personally know Phil Taylor
Report Lori December 23, 2012 11:08 PM GMT
Laugh
Report happyhibee December 23, 2012 11:08 PM GMT
Well quite frankly if he isnt gonna drop some random celeb into his interviews it hardly seems worthwhile
Report STEPTOES YARD December 23, 2012 11:08 PM GMT
kym got phils darts if I recall
Report airbag December 23, 2012 11:08 PM GMT
Interview almost as painful as the match
Report happyhibee December 23, 2012 11:08 PM GMT
Deano seems a great guy. Phil seems a twonk. Think that about sums it up
Report TheMadness December 23, 2012 11:08 PM GMT
Comparing Ronnie Baxter to Ronnie O'Sullivan for no other reason as far as I can tell than because they share a name and a nickname is my fave Taylor namedrop. You can tell that it always occurs to him after he's said it and tries to justify it that Ronnie Baxter is no more comparable to Ronnie than an Adrian Lewis or Gary Anderson or MVG is. Infact less so.
Report tobermory December 23, 2012 11:08 PM GMT
does the 15k get split if anyone else gets a 9 darter?
Report Lori December 23, 2012 11:08 PM GMT
That forum i linked to has me laughing my tits off.
Report happyhibee December 23, 2012 11:09 PM GMT
Bet she got a bit more than his darts
Report Tintoyou December 23, 2012 11:09 PM GMT
dartboard too with his signature?
Report Tintoyou December 23, 2012 11:09 PM GMT
lucky lady
Report happyhibee December 23, 2012 11:10 PM GMT
And some wandering hands I'd imagine

Anyway I'm off gents hope all the regulars have a great christmas
Report STEPTOES YARD December 23, 2012 11:10 PM GMT
Cheers fellas, have a great xmas

See you all Thursday
Report alun2005 December 23, 2012 11:10 PM GMT
Oh well lads, Happy Christmas to you, one and all. See you on 27th.
Report Lori December 23, 2012 11:10 PM GMT
Same to you HH, all, been fun as always, sorry about the Dallas commentary
Report Tintoyou December 23, 2012 11:10 PM GMT
What about the irregulars, don't we deserve a great Xmas too?
Report Lori December 23, 2012 11:11 PM GMT
Laugh
Report nicky27 December 23, 2012 11:11 PM GMT
happy xmas all , c u laters
Report happyhibee December 23, 2012 11:11 PM GMT
Merry christmas to 1 and all mate Happy
Report VIRTUALFAN December 23, 2012 11:12 PM GMT
all the best to everybody

have a good one lads
Report STEPTOES YARD December 23, 2012 11:12 PM GMT
being irregular never great at xmas
Report TheMadness December 23, 2012 11:13 PM GMT
"Bet she got a bit more than his darts"

Probably got an offer of a 4th dart and a caravan
Report lightweight December 23, 2012 11:19 PM GMT
See ye all after Xmas lads guessing we all made some money so far and hopefully more to come
Report deadbrain59 December 24, 2012 9:56 AM GMT
PHIL THE POWER TAYLOR.GrinGrinGrinGrinGrinGrinHappyHappyHappyHappyHappyHappyHappyHappyHappyLaughLaughLaughLoveLoveLoveLoveLoveLoveLoveLoveLove
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