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*Giro 3rd Majka
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Having seen the prices Padds have put up I think they are massively overestimating the chances of the puncheurs. This will be a climbers race again. This is the second year they have had the final climb. The punchy riders like Gallopin, Stybar, Van Avaermaet etc were well back. This will only go to climbers again, and at the prices I love Landa at 50/1 and am quite keen on Dan Martin at 25/1.
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Quintana not riding, Contador & Majka out too.
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Disappointed Quintana withdrew, lightly raced this year and was hitting form in the 3rd week of the tour. 100's was to good to be true for by far and away the best climber in the race. I've taken a stab at the in-form Jungels at 100's. Might take a Yates as well but would want a more realistic price than 20 or 30/1. Agree that D.Martin's has a good chance here. Would also expect a good showing from Vuillermoz.
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Vuillermoz is my third play in the race.
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Majka 50/1
Martin 25/1 Vuillermoz 50/1 4 places |
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Majka? I dont think he's on the start list mc, I think you mean Landa anyway.
Others I've spec'd at +150/1 odds are Uran, Slagter, Wellens Any word on Rui Costa's fitness? You would think it would be determined to do something here after leaving the tour early. |
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*he
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Good spot
Landa 50/1 Martin 25/1 Vuillermoz 50/1 4 places |
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Cannot disagree with much of what MC has stated here. I think the race is definitely most suited to climbers.
** Romain Bardet He has made steady improvement in this race over the years, going 33/20/18, and his 18th-place finish last year could have been much better if he didn't allow his youthful exuberance resulting in impatience when he came to the front of the peloton at the bottom of the final climb -- to scuttle his chances. Toward the end of the Tour, after his impressive win of stage 18, he backed up well with a strong 5th-place finish on the next stage, and was still kicking on, on the Alpe. That to me suggested that he appeared like he could sustain his condition for at least another week of hilly if not mountainous racing, however the short spell can only freshen such a young rider on a parcours which will suit his characteristics. He opened at 33/1 best, and drifted out to 40/1, however I only got the SP on an E/W basis. Will take beating. Roman Kreuziger was 80/1 prior to Contador's withdrawal and shortened to 33/1, since he is the team leader for TCS. They've just gone off the start line, no pics yet -- good luck to all, SP |
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Break's gap is down to 3 minutes as they hit the Jaizkibel for the first time.
Climbs: 118km Jaizkibel (Cat 1) = 7.8km @ 5.8% 146km Arkale (Cat 2) = 2.7km @ 6.3% 166km Jaizkibel (Cat 1) = 7.8km @ 5.8% 191km Arkale (Cat 2) = 2.7km @ 6.3% 211km Borkado (Cat 2) = 2.5km @ 9% |
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Valverde was ill with a fever after the Tour -- surprised he is so short. MOV controlling on the front suggests he has recovered well, but this looks like the period of the race where we will get some activity.
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Action here with pics down: http://t.co/xnozBmIE4U
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Serry, Arredondo, Gilbert, Barguil, Rossetto, Hesjedal, Silin, Caruso & Landa have 18 seconds with 12km to go, so just coming up to the final climb. Lots of climbing power in that break but that's a pretty small gap.
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Serry, Arredondo, Gilbert, Barguil, Rossetto, Hesjedal, Silin, Caruso & Landa have 18 seconds with 12km to go, so just coming up to the final climb. Lots of climbing power in that break but that's a pretty small gap.
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Finally get live pics just after the final climb
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Yates has a chance here 14 secs with less than 4km
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Valverde won't chase
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Just got Kreuziger at 50s
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Dan Martin chasing solo
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Yates takes it
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Didn't know he'd won!
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Yes Adam you won!
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Looked like he had a bet on a horse and was trying to listen to the race on his radio while riding across the finishing line.
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Argh... what a frustrating night! Internet went down to compound the loss of pics, just as I was teeing up a lay of Valverde.
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Valverde wouldn't help with the chase but was immediately on the wheel of any rider who tried to bridge across to Yates. He played it safe, essentially protecting his podium position.
Really nice win from A.Yates, knew exactly what he needed to do to win the race and was able to deliver the goods. Surely a big morale boost for OGE after their TdF. |
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Be really interesting to see what type of riders both Yates turn into.
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Landa had a nice forward showing, MC. I am not sure there was much liquidity, especially with the pics affecting things, but if that was to have been a recent Tour stage, it would've been a nice move from ante-post.
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Apparently Greg Van Avermaet was knocked off his bike by a motorcyclist when he was in front. I can see why Yates wasn't celebrating his victory, bit of a hollow one for him.
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Yates wasn't celebrating because he wasn't sure if he'd won. I saw BMC's statement that GVA had been robbed of victory but as it was still 10km out and Yates was right in his wheel I'm not sure the outcome would have been any different.
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