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09 Jul 14
18:31
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Date Joined:
11 Jul 11
Stage 6 from Arras to Reims covering 194kms follows the similar plan to the 2010 edition of the Tour, when after the pave stage, the riders headed for the finishing town of Reims. This year however, Monsieur Prudhomme has endeavoured to make it a much tougher stage, firstly by making it 40kms longer, and secondly by including a second cat.4 climb, the second of which comes less than 40kms from the finish, and just before a climb which hasn’t been categorized.
In 2010, even though it was thought that the peloton would take it easy on account of the hard pave stage the day before, that didn’t really happen, and the five-rider breakaway toiled for the best part of the day before being caught by the peloton for a bunch sprint to ensue, which Petacchi won, claiming his second and final victory of the Tour.
What makes this year’s stage different to what I’ve already identified, is that the riders are likely to face more inclement weather should the forecast for showers and some wind prove accurate. This however will only decrease the chances of the breakaway succeeding since a group of even half-a-dozen riders will have a tough time out front battling the elements and the often exposed countryside. I would suggest that you’d require a group of about a dozen or more riders to lessen the impact the wind might play, and keep a gap to the line.
I therefore think that a bunch sprint is most likely, the teams are quite professional about such things as riding hard in wet weather nowadays, and with the Vosges appearing on the horizon they’ll want the opportunity to claim a sprint victory.
We might not see any echelons forming, but riders in the peloton will be well protected for the likely bunch sprint finish.
There’ll be some value about for some sprinters finding their legs since Kittel is so short again, but as CJ says, it looks like a dominant Cav-style Tour for Kittel in the sprints, and so the best play might be to find a rider at some E/W value in the hope that he - at least - finds the podium and pays on the place terms. I am at a loss to find someone. No bets for me.
Good luck to all,
SP
In 2010, even though it was thought that the peloton would take it easy on account of the hard pave stage the day before, that didn’t really happen, and the five-rider breakaway toiled for the best part of the day before being caught by the peloton for a bunch sprint to ensue, which Petacchi won, claiming his second and final victory of the Tour.
What makes this year’s stage different to what I’ve already identified, is that the riders are likely to face more inclement weather should the forecast for showers and some wind prove accurate. This however will only decrease the chances of the breakaway succeeding since a group of even half-a-dozen riders will have a tough time out front battling the elements and the often exposed countryside. I would suggest that you’d require a group of about a dozen or more riders to lessen the impact the wind might play, and keep a gap to the line.
I therefore think that a bunch sprint is most likely, the teams are quite professional about such things as riding hard in wet weather nowadays, and with the Vosges appearing on the horizon they’ll want the opportunity to claim a sprint victory.
We might not see any echelons forming, but riders in the peloton will be well protected for the likely bunch sprint finish.
There’ll be some value about for some sprinters finding their legs since Kittel is so short again, but as CJ says, it looks like a dominant Cav-style Tour for Kittel in the sprints, and so the best play might be to find a rider at some E/W value in the hope that he - at least - finds the podium and pays on the place terms. I am at a loss to find someone. No bets for me.
Good luck to all,
SP
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Demare for me (again). He's tweeted this evening that he is fine, and that will do for me. I might chance a bit on Tony Martin as well.
not getting involved in todays stage as it very much depends on how individuals recover from yesterday. The GC guys might like an easy stage but you can expect an early break probably with Jensie getting involved again.
looking at the overall GC picture i am gonna play up a little winnings recklessly on Romain Bardet for GC @ 260 on here. He seems to have been riding quite conservatively so far with some lovely climbs to come so it looks like value.
Good luck everyone
looking at the overall GC picture i am gonna play up a little winnings recklessly on Romain Bardet for GC @ 260 on here. He seems to have been riding quite conservatively so far with some lovely climbs to come so it looks like value.
Good luck everyone
not getting involved in todays stage as it very much depends on how individuals recover from yesterday. The GC guys might like an easy stage but you can expect an early break probably with Jensie getting involved again.
looking at the overall GC picture i am gonna play up a little winnings recklessly on Romain Bardet for GC @ 260 on here. He seems to have been riding quite conservatively so far with some lovely climbs to come so it looks like value.
Good luck everyone
looking at the overall GC picture i am gonna play up a little winnings recklessly on Romain Bardet for GC @ 260 on here. He seems to have been riding quite conservatively so far with some lovely climbs to come so it looks like value.
Good luck everyone
kittel been on the drift all morning, as already noted depends on how the sprinters recovered from yesterday, maybe hes a back to lay choice if a breakaway appears.
More carnage today.
Silin & Xandio abandon and Sagan has been down.
Silin & Xandio abandon and Sagan has been down.
Another crash, peloton split in two, Sagan & Demare in the back group. Reckon it will all come together again though.
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