***New Zealand vs India, 1st Test, Basin Reserve,Wellington***

thats enough, dont want much more runs, just take some time out hopefully

SR 180

GREENED UP, VERY HAPPY

GETTING MENTAL THIS NOW

how much is unmanageable?

Boult playing for those IPL millions

finally 348ao

lead by 183 on 1st dig

absolute braindead pie bowling at the death,Bumrah was hopeless

flat track bullies getting torn a new one good and proper

India at 6.4-6.6 despite being 183 behind? I mean, obviously I can conceive of scenarios in which they win but this track isn’t going to play beautifully for the rest of today and tomorrow then become a minefield on day 5. Trying to lay my tiny India green into quite a bit of red and see but that’s stupid value, really. Protects my position a bit too as the draw will have to be miles in before India can shorten that much.

Also worth bearing in mind that batting really, really well could see India struggling to leave themselves enough time. They’d have the best chance of winning bowling at 300 with all of day 5 to come but might set 325 in 80 overs instead, say.

You could credit the India price if they were obviously a far superior side that had just utterly screwed up the first innings, like England against Ireland and presumably that’s what the market somewhat believes but Kiwi losses at home are collectors’ items. Just don’t see India winning once in 10 from here.

Draw price on an irritating wander too. Will lose a bit of money to a NZ train now, although not much.

Shaw is not rock solid, he likes to feel bat on ball.

A few innocuous overs and draw must make a swift move south.

I need one biblical stand

Feb 23, 2020 -- 1:28AM, jucel69 wrote:

I need one biblical stand

Always on cards with Puj & the tri-format GOAT!

Five off the first over and India under 6s. Should so have waited to lay!

If I hit all my draw lays (set a couple more up in the 4s) I will go to 45 pence green India!

India price moving like they’re scoring at T20 rates, draw pretty static!

Need to sleep. Good luck all, jucel especially.

Feb 23, 2020 -- 1:40AM, Fatslogger wrote:

Need to sleep. Good luck all, jucel especially.

laters FS, hope all is well too!
Only just noticed you were posting, been out for a 15k walk this morning to clear the head!

I'm under the weather myself but might still see this through and even follow the big fight.

1 down!

Shaw looks like your typical 'home flat track bully' to me

What a complete tw*t this 3rd umpire is

56 balls later and NZ price is lower than ball 1

Feb 23, 2020 -- 2:41AM, Cardinal Scott wrote:

56 balls later and NZ price is lower than ball 1

Of the partnership.

yeh super slow progress, these are the testing times of being a trader, when time decay doesn't give any benefit!

NZ backers getting a free ride here

This is the exact scenario where nz would miss Neil Wagner the most. Pitch not doing anything. That's when he manages to find a way

NZ a lay for mine now, given past history at this ground (against weaker opposition than India), their price is very very low

And the draw price should be lower than Indias price surely

Is the market completely unaware of the history at this ground!? I mean if bangladesh, sri lanka and the pakis can get huge scores here, then why can't India. Reckon India could bat till end of day 6 if they apply themselves properly. And don't waste wickets with runouts

Day 5 I meant tho if there were 6 days that would be possible too

Matthews and Chandimal I think it was, they could have batted to day 7 last year I reckon

Even going back 6 years McCullum scored 300 here after the draw price hit 500-1

I've laid some more, gone 10k red on the kiwis

tempted to back the draw a bit more too at these prices

Extremely rare that double centuries aren't scored here atleast once per match. Would be ironic if the one time it doesn't happen it's when the likes of Pujara and Kohli are playing

I fell more confident now, got through the new ball relatively unscathed and no Wagner

Jucel I was hoping for 3 early wickets in the Indian innings, then hit draw at 20-1 +, but maybe too greedy. Hindsight tho

yeh same happened in kiwiland against SL december 2018, 3 down and then a massive stand
The draw was 50s and I filled my boots

taking more draw at 7s

Me too, was my single biggest win on a match I think. I did the same with the Bangas a few years back when they made 600+ in first innings.

NZ is the best test match betting country

Yeah I've been laying kiwis and backing draw but hedging a bit just in case India make an aggressive declaration. I think a nz win is the least likely scenario here

let's hope so!

India starting to move into gear

Agreed. The market doesn't seem to be efficient for nz tests at all

Not saying nz can't win

But I would hate to be on them here

There is no consideration in the prices for the pitches getting easier to bat on, rather than more difficult

Exactly

They'll never get em out

****G HELL

wtf was that!?

out of nowhere

What a jucel wicket that was!

that last over/ball in a session kills me again

Is that a game changer... or one last chance to lay the kiwis at low prices maybe...

Kholi's got me on the edge of my seat here ffs

two shocking batting dismissals

losing well of 5 figs on this now

I know nothing about boxing but even I know Tyson Fury is doing well here....

WOW Tyson Fury!...absolutely destroyed Wilder congrats to him! Big Time Sporting Achievement

won 4.5k on the Gypsy so feeling a bit better now!

need a lot of magic in this game. Been some very poor dismissals from the Injuns

Well I got my wish with the draw price going out beyond 20-1, and subsequently filled up once it got over $25. Gotta take the risk, having regrets is worse than losing money. This script in Wellington has played out before. If I lose I can cop that... but if I didn't back the draw and it's a draw I'd feel very very sick

This India test side is pretty dismal.

If I lose I can cop that... but if I didn't back the draw and it's a draw I'd feel very very sick.

My biggest regrets in Test betting have always been writing off and hence failing to back outcomes at odds of 20+,
especially early or mid-way through a match.

Yeah there are countless examples of the market writing a team off too early. I've also often seen the market go too hard on the draw on day 5 when the game is just meandering along, lots can happen in the final 2 sessions

Test cricket throws up better oppurtunities than any other market on betfair imo. Sure t20 cricket you see some decent gubbings, but it happens so quickly and you barely have time to work out what's value. With test cricket there's so much time, the opputunities are there but it just requires patience

Feb 23, 2020 -- 8:28AM, Charkitz wrote:

Well I got my wish with the draw price going out beyond 20-1, and subsequently filled up once it got over $25. Gotta take the risk, having regrets is worse than losing money. This script in Wellington has played out before. If I lose I can cop that... but if I didn't back the draw and it's a draw I'd feel very very sick

red out as soon as u can, this wont be a draw unless your planning a bomb scare 2mrow

Feb 23, 2020 -- 5:47AM, jucel69 wrote:

won 4.5k on the Gypsy so feeling a bit better now!

nice one...he battered him
i stayed up all night boozing and fell asleep rounds 2-3

5 down, all out by tea coming

as for this test im looking at losing around 400 after laying kiwis down plus a few draw balls ups too

and a wicket as i type so boll0cks to this one and comedy draw green

hows it going g...enjoy the rugby/boxing/kabbadi/bowls this weekend?

yeh been a good weekend of sport terry

how about u?

yeah all good,enjoyed the france game and the fight was good
got hammered last night so in recovery mode

terry, I could destroy a large fries from fiveguys right now

I needed wales yesterday for a bet, those own goal tries stung

funny ive never tried em but my brother is addicted to 5 guys and is aways going on about em
i must try em

wales shouldve had a pen try also

Feb 23, 2020 -- 10:45PM, TerryHurlock wrote:

funny ive never tried em but my brother is addicted to 5 guys and is aways going on about emi must try em

u really do!

yeah the ref was on crack at the end

i will seek one out this week

timberrrrrr

Timber twice already this morning. Looks all over.

all out before lunch now

at least we dont have the slow death and hope,oh the hope

flip flop on draw and India as well.

free admission tomorrow

Feb 23, 2020 -- 10:48PM, peckerdunne wrote:

free admission tomorrow

for a game of frisbe on the lawn?

Timber.. but it looked like down leg. I would have had a review. But they did not.

Well played nz. Didn't go as planned but atleast they put draw backers out of our misery early

the difference for me was in the bowling..India constantly under it having to grind out the runs whereas the Indian bowlers at no stage had the upper hand..pretty toothless,Sharma apart

I had to go to a boozy party yesterday afternoon so redded out for a 5k loss after stumps.
I was worried about waking up in time and rightly so, only just got up and it's 9am!
4.5k win on the Gypsy King so all in all feels like a net result

I still think NZ are a poor side, especially without Wagner.
A very very ordinary batting effort x 2 for the Injuns.
Sort of thing we have seen in England though on green decks

Happy to bet against the Kiwis in all formats at the moment