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Fatslogger
19 Apr 19 15:25
Joined:
Date Joined: 26 Aug 15
| Topic/replies: 16,086 | Blogger: Fatslogger's blog
Having an amazing IPL on the tosses but sadly lost a few hundred on this one. Proper betting wise, stung by ABdV missing this game and RCB batting first after losing the toss as was on them around 2.2.  I've topped up as high as 2.8 for 2k of exposure already so rather hoping Kohli clicks.
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Report Cardinal Scott April 19, 2019 4:47 PM BST
Chided (full of pride)..........that is a decent word for a degenerate gambling forum, I could have used REBUKED or SCOLDED but I opted for chided
Report Whisperingdeath April 19, 2019 4:48 PM BST
yeah!

LaughLaughLaughLaughLaugh

Move over Grant I think I am his new biatch!
Report Cardinal Scott April 19, 2019 4:48 PM BST
I have been drinking Port and am a bit merry!
Report Cardinal Scott April 19, 2019 4:49 PM BST
66 off 28 under no circumstances is that not a great knock.
Report GRANTCKING April 19, 2019 4:51 PM BST
this is a massive score
Report Whisperingdeath April 19, 2019 4:52 PM BST
I don't think it is Grant

RCB have an even worse bowling attack than KKR
Report Whisperingdeath April 19, 2019 4:53 PM BST
oh wow, I thought Gurney has been bowling well recently too!
Report GRANTCKING April 19, 2019 4:53 PM BST
WD I order you to down a St Omer
Report Whisperingdeath April 19, 2019 4:54 PM BST
Gooooooooooaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaal at Pompey!
Report Whisperingdeath April 19, 2019 4:55 PM BST
wow Kuldeep almost in tears!
Report GRANTCKING April 19, 2019 5:00 PM BST
what a fecking innings from kohli
Report GRANTCKING April 19, 2019 5:08 PM BST
100 FOR THE KING
Report GRANTCKING April 19, 2019 5:09 PM BST
Report Whisperingdeath April 19, 2019 5:11 PM BST
Ok that was a good total. Not 100% sure RCB will defend this!

Really shulda hammered the run lines when in the 170's but you never know I guess.
Report Fatslogger April 19, 2019 5:26 PM BST
Market has them one chance in three to chase this.  That feels ridiculous to me: RCB's attack isn't terrible and it's a huge score, even on a flat deck with the ropes set well in.  Anyway, have an excessive 500 of green on KKR to play with if needed. 

First ball droppage! Shocking.
Report Fatslogger April 19, 2019 5:26 PM BST
Talk about a perfect ball first up.
Report tomtimtum April 19, 2019 5:27 PM BST

Apr 19, 2019 -- 11:26AM, Fatslogger wrote:


Market has them one chance in three to chase this.  That feels ridiculous to me: RCB's attack isn't terrible and it's a huge score, even on a flat deck with the ropes set well in.  Anyway, have an excessive 500 of green on KKR to play with if needed.  First ball droppage! Shocking.


Have to agree, crazy price on RCB

Report GRANTCKING April 19, 2019 5:31 PM BST
dont think they will get close tbh, the pitch isnt good even tho they got 200+
Report Fatslogger April 19, 2019 5:32 PM BST

Apr 19, 2019 -- 11:31AM, GRANTCKING wrote:


dont think they will get close tbh, the pitch isnt good even tho they got 200+


Still reckon the pitch is fine but Steyn made it move.  Even a totally flat deck with under 13 boundaries shouldn't make chasing 214 a train though.

Report Fatslogger April 19, 2019 5:40 PM BST
Market has the absolute hots for this chase.  One down and barely over a run a ball and 1.35.
Report Fatslogger April 19, 2019 5:42 PM BST
As in RCB only 1.35, should be about 1.18. Anyway, got shot of lays of RCB at 1.31 on the wicket for tiny improvement in position. Left myself just the 500 green KKR again.  I know early in the chase but already RRR climbing.

That doesn't hurt.
Report Whisperingdeath April 19, 2019 5:43 PM BST
you's right I is wrong!


But I didn't have the courage of my convictions not being Australian and all thatLaugh

Prophets in pocket!

Where is Hamlin?
Report Fatslogger April 19, 2019 5:43 PM BST
Can't be bothered to trade this further unless I see a stupidly long price on RCB later on, past 1.5.  Certainly not laying them 1.19 when they really ought to win this approximately 90 percent of the time.
Report Fatslogger April 19, 2019 5:45 PM BST
Also, Gill and Robbie after two early wickets spells some consolidation to me and Rana isn't usually a huge hitter either, which should lead to an even higher RRR.  I know 17 an over wasn't enough to contain Dre Russ last time they played but even he can't be scoring at over 300s all the time.
Report Fatslogger April 19, 2019 5:49 PM BST
Outlandish catch.  Fine game for Virat so far.
Report Fatslogger April 19, 2019 5:49 PM BST
Actually should just have taken it routinely over his head first go, had thought it was higher, quicker and more out of reach.  Not complaining though.
Report GRANTCKING April 19, 2019 5:50 PM BST
were never getting near on this surface, it may look good but its a shocker
Report GRANTCKING April 19, 2019 5:50 PM BST
Grin its a minefield disguised as a runway
Report Fatslogger April 19, 2019 5:52 PM BST
Anyway, of course, given that I had absolutely tons of green on RCB earlier, it has to be said that I've traded my way to a much smaller profit than was available but even if you think the market is flat out wrong, you can't always stand the red.  I do in other markets but I don't trust T20 enough.
Report Fatslogger April 19, 2019 6:02 PM BST
Stupidly steep rate at this point, such that each dot ball pushes it up really quite a long way (about 0.2) and even singles hurt the batting side a bit.  Obviously Russ has the range to bring almost any RRR down but don't think the others quite do. Maybe Uthappa and Karthick on good days, I suppose.
Report Fatslogger April 19, 2019 6:03 PM BST
They're not making a great job of chasing 140 so far, are they?  Let alone over half as many again
Report GRANTCKING April 19, 2019 6:19 PM BST
woeful chase for sure
Report Whisperingdeath April 19, 2019 6:34 PM BST
I like this kid Saini, hopefully he might learn some guile from Steyn
Report Fatslogger April 19, 2019 6:46 PM BST
Refuse to believe they can chase this but 666/4 has somewhat put it back in the realms of the merely very unlikely from the apparently impossible. That 6 doesn’t hurt them either.
Report Puzzman April 19, 2019 6:47 PM BST
666666
Report Puzzman April 19, 2019 6:47 PM BST
666666
Report Whisperingdeath April 19, 2019 6:47 PM BST
oh my
Report Fatslogger April 19, 2019 6:47 PM BST

Apr 19, 2019 -- 12:47PM, Puzzman wrote:


666666


That feels like the recent live comm, not just a single ball.

Report leefee April 19, 2019 6:47 PM BST
Theyre gonna do this
Report GRANTCKING April 19, 2019 6:48 PM BST
waited 2/3 overs too long
Report GRANTCKING April 19, 2019 6:48 PM BST
uthappa u mug
Report Cardinal Scott April 19, 2019 6:48 PM BST
!They are not going to do it.....my money is down.
Report Fatslogger April 19, 2019 6:48 PM BST

Apr 19, 2019 -- 12:47PM, leefee wrote:


Theyre gonna do this


I don’t think they are but it’s looking at least possible now.

Report Fatslogger April 19, 2019 6:49 PM BST
Priceless dot ball. Actually means the RRR went up from that over!
Report Cardinal Scott April 19, 2019 6:51 PM BST
The reason i believe they won't is Kohli is above any suspicion and feels like it would have to be bent for it to happen.
Report Dodgepicker April 19, 2019 6:52 PM BST

Apr 19, 2019 -- 12:49PM, Fatslogger wrote:


Priceless dot ball. Actually means the RRR went up from that over!


yeah but RRR means less then less overs there are, 17-18 over 10 overs is hard, 17-18 for 1 or 2 overs is much more doable

Report Fatslogger April 19, 2019 6:52 PM BST
They got 35 in 7 balls at one point there. Fortunately only 2 from the next 3 balls.
Report Fatslogger April 19, 2019 6:53 PM BST
That’s another terrible failure to run a batsman out.
Report Puzzman April 19, 2019 6:54 PM BST
4444
Report Puzzman April 19, 2019 6:54 PM BST
666666
Report Cardinal Scott April 19, 2019 6:55 PM BST
Dale Steyn is a big time charlie  I can see him delivering the coup de grâce with his last over
Report Dodgepicker April 19, 2019 6:55 PM BST
dear god this guy is an animal !
Report Fatslogger April 19, 2019 6:56 PM BST

Apr 19, 2019 -- 12:55PM, Dodgepicker wrote:


dear god this guy is an animal !


It’s crazy. His overall IPL SR of 184 is mad enough but he’s well over 200 this edition not even counting today.

Report Dodgepicker April 19, 2019 6:57 PM BST
makes you want what Uthapha was doing
Report Fatslogger April 19, 2019 6:57 PM BST
Any other batsman in, even a huge hitter, you’d say this would be well beyond them but I’m far from comfortable right now. Priceless dot though.
Report Fatslogger April 19, 2019 6:57 PM BST

Apr 19, 2019 -- 12:52PM, Dodgepicker wrote:


Apr 19, 2019 --  6:49PM, Fatslogger wrote:Priceless dot ball. Actually means the RRR went up from that over!yeah but RRR means less then less overs there are, 17-18 over 10 overs is hard, 17-18 for 1 or 2 overs is much more doable


Yep, over just the one over, it about balances out.

Report Dodgepicker April 19, 2019 6:57 PM BST
wonder*
Report Fatslogger April 19, 2019 6:58 PM BST
Fielders think that’s out.
Report Fatslogger April 19, 2019 6:59 PM BST
Not quite but another single and Rana on strike suits the bowling side. You have to be able to defend 61 off 3 overs, don’t you?
Report Puzzman April 19, 2019 7:01 PM BST
666666
Report Puzzman April 19, 2019 7:01 PM BST
Stonis and Chahal left
Report Puzzman April 19, 2019 7:02 PM BST
666666
Report Cardinal Scott April 19, 2019 7:02 PM BST
Bad call me on Dale! Blush
Report Whisperingdeath April 19, 2019 7:04 PM BST
Ok that was a good total. Not 100% sure RCB will defend this!


oh Robbie Robbie

Shows also what a poor Captain Kohli is. Double teapot! Threw his bowlers under the bus the other day!
Report Cardinal Scott April 19, 2019 7:04 PM BST
It was under the rate but terrible
Report Puzzman April 19, 2019 7:05 PM BST
last over has to be spin right? no pacers left?
Report Whisperingdeath April 19, 2019 7:09 PM BST
RCB comeback kids the story of this years IPL after the opening defeats. Scripted!
Report GRANTCKING April 19, 2019 7:10 PM BST
Laugh robin uthappa what did u do
Report Whisperingdeath April 19, 2019 7:10 PM BST
oh Robbie Robbie 9 off 20 balls!
Report Puzzman April 19, 2019 7:10 PM BST
so should Uthappa be RCB's man of the match?
Report GRANTCKING April 19, 2019 7:11 PM BST
4x6 needed in 6 balls, some people must be watching this from behind the sofa
Report Puzzman April 19, 2019 7:11 PM BST
huh 365 have RCB at 1.33
Report Whisperingdeath April 19, 2019 7:12 PM BST
Lucky the left hander is on strike!
Report ColdTurkey April 19, 2019 7:12 PM BST
Ali Baba
Report Cardinal Scott April 19, 2019 7:12 PM BST
Flat darts please Moeen!
Report Cardinal Scott April 19, 2019 7:12 PM BST
Just won the game Moeen!
Report wit-ham April 19, 2019 7:13 PM BST
no-ball or 4 full tosses now
Report wit-ham April 19, 2019 7:13 PM BST
no-ball or 4 full tosses now
Report Whisperingdeath April 19, 2019 7:13 PM BST
would love 3 6's and a wicket here!
Report Puzzman April 19, 2019 7:13 PM BST
thats 1
Report Whisperingdeath April 19, 2019 7:14 PM BST
THAI!!!!!
Report Cardinal Scott April 19, 2019 7:14 PM BST
Moeen man of the match!
Report Cardinal Scott April 19, 2019 7:14 PM BST
I needed this!
Report Whisperingdeath April 19, 2019 7:15 PM BST
RCB have been sheite !
Report Cardinal Scott April 19, 2019 7:15 PM BST
Robin Uthappa what on earth is he thinking right now?
Report GRANTCKING April 19, 2019 7:18 PM BST
anyone doing the 50 over game on sky sports
Report Cardinal Scott April 19, 2019 7:18 PM BST
Notice how much has been matched on this game! 87 mill
Report Cardinal Scott April 19, 2019 7:19 PM BST

Apr 19, 2019 -- 1:18PM, GRANTCKING wrote:


anyone doing the 50 over game on sky sports


Not that game, already done my bollocks through believing in Essex earlier. Angry

Report Whisperingdeath April 20, 2019 10:33 AM BST
No cricket for me on Saturday. Mrs ‘Death is down and I don’t want to make a lawyer rich. Shame, two cracking games enjoy boys
Report Richie_Burnett April 20, 2019 1:57 PM BST
Brutal rip off by Hills on their #YourOdds featureCry


@WillieWalker8

Butler over 1 six, de kock over 2 fours, over 80 runs in both power plays #YourOdds

**


@WilliamHill
Replying to @WillieWalker8

#YourOdds are 11/8 LaughLaughLaughLaughCry


Worst bet in the history of bettingCrazy
Report Richie_Burnett April 20, 2019 2:00 PM BST
11/8 on a like ~300/1 popCry
Report Fatslogger April 20, 2019 2:38 PM BST
WTAF? Over 80 in the PPs summed is probably reasonably odds on but even if they mean that it’s a really, really terrible bet with the only positive being that the two bets on scoring shots correlate with high PP scores. Presume voided as no Buttler though.
Report Richie_Burnett April 20, 2019 2:59 PM BST
I've read that as both powerplays need a RPO of >13. Should be like 300/1 just for that doubleCrazy

Even if not, it's still like a 5/1 or 6/1 kind of bet?

Unreal how they can rip off these guys on twitter. Their #YourOdds promo on twitter is like watching a car crash.
Report Fatslogger April 20, 2019 3:15 PM BST
Can’t be over 80 in each PP, that’s outlandishly unlikely. I can’t immediately work out how likely Jos is to hit 2+ 6s or QdK 3+ 4s but both feel reasonably likely not to happen, especially the 6s bit. My guess is something like 0.4 times 0.6 times 0.7 which is around 6s, yes.
Report Richie_Burnett April 20, 2019 3:27 PM BST
Basically daylight robbery, even by a bookmaker's standards!
Report Puzzman April 20, 2019 4:34 PM BST
anyone left batting wise?
Report Puzzman April 20, 2019 4:36 PM BST
timber
Report Puzzman April 20, 2019 5:08 PM BST
what the hell Ishant, 2 wide to a tail ender?
Report Puzzman April 20, 2019 6:08 PM BST
thats weird, no ball called
Report Puzzman April 20, 2019 6:09 PM BST

Apr 20, 2019 -- 12:08PM, Puzzman wrote:


thats weird, no ball called


bowler screwed up release and its pretty much bounced in front of his foot.

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