England v South Africa - 1st ODI at Leeds

SA doing thi so easily

Have gone most of the way on England now. Not confident but think they're a little long given RRR of 7.5+.

Wouldn't be betting against SA right now.

May 24, 2017 -- 7:49PM, Charlie wrote:

Wouldn't be betting against SA right now.

I still think this middle over stuff is just ticking them over although those two 4s are hurtful.

Sorry FS can't really comment as watching footy.

May 24, 2017 -- 7:52PM, Charlie wrote:

Sorry FS can't really comment as watching footy.

Forgot about that.

Does look pretty easy right now with AB still to come. Oh well.

Out for me.

Please.

Didn't take advantage of my correct call though.

1.58>2.08..massive drift

devilliers is woefully out of form,,Lumped on england

Trigger happy suspend monkey on footy. Thought Ajax had scored but was just a shot. Tw@t.

aytttttttttttttttttttttttt

May 24, 2017 -- 7:59PM, johnnythebull wrote:

1.58>2.08..massive drift

Huge wicket anyway but especially in context of two set batsmen scoring well but a steep RRR. Tough even for AB to come in and crash it around.

Put a bit back on SA as 1.9ish has been my trading line for England here: not backed them any lower than 1.96 or laid above 1.91.

Nor sure what to do now.

Of course it was then a goal to Man U.

England on the bridle 2.74>1.47
1-0 Manure..fluke deflection

Back to the plot, laid England at 1.48 as seems far too short with a lot of batting to come.

Haven't been in the market at all during the chase.   Good Decision! Superficially England look a bloody awful price right now!

the price for amla top bat right now is insane

2 new batsman on the crease and he has 73 on the board, wtf

May 24, 2017 -- 8:06PM, Charlie wrote:

Back to the plot, laid England at 1.48 as seems far too short with a lot of batting to come.

RRR near 8 and neither batsman set seems pretty tough to me. I think at least they're likely to regroup for a bit.

Obviously just like that.

they should drift somewhat
but can't see SA winning

May 24, 2017 -- 8:07PM, GRANTCKING wrote:

the price for amla top bat right now is insane

What did you get?

May 24, 2017 -- 8:08PM, Fatslogger wrote:

May 24, 2017 --  8:07PM, GRANTCKING wrote:the price for amla top bat right now is insaneWhat did you get?

8/11

May 24, 2017 -- 8:06PM, Charlie wrote:

Back to the plot, laid England at 1.48 as seems far too short with a lot of batting to come.

Every time you nominate a trade the market jumps your way. It's scary.

I'm lucky, beats skill!

Out again.

May 24, 2017 -- 8:10PM, Charlie wrote:

I'm lucky, beats skill!

I think you've got both.

Traded out yet? This is a massive move considering that they've not even hit the RRR. Obviously it's right that it's moved but this much?

What you lot up to on the footie? I've got some side market action and managed to avoid the match odds, where I'd probably have got a lay in on Man U just before the goal if I'd been paying attention.

OK laid England at 1.7 now that is just a guess.

I laid Man U.

May 24, 2017 -- 8:14PM, Charlie wrote:

OK laid England at 1.7 now that is just a guess.

I'd prefer to back right now: huge move for 12 runs off 2.2 overs needing now over 8s. I'm not going to though, as doesn't suit my overall position.

What a filthy, filthy long hop.

May 24, 2017 -- 8:13PM, Fatslogger wrote:

What you lot up to on the footie? I've got some side market action and managed to avoid the match odds, where I'd probably have got a lay in on Man U just before the goal if I'd been paying attention.

Not got involved I only do football when I see some offer on this blog https://matchedbettingblog.com/

I work on the theory that I have no idea.

May 24, 2017 -- 8:15PM, Charlie wrote:

I laid Man U.

Just before the goal?

I've got into the habit of laying favourites in match odds, which is clearly silly, looking to trade out. Missed the Barca game where could have done massive things with a lay at 1.07 in a match they went 2-0 down in but got onto lots of others that I lost on! Have stopped now.

No FS before the start laid at 2.1. I had no way of comparing the two teams so went for laying shortest odds.

I may be back in the realm of not knowing if my posts are showing or not.

They are.

May 24, 2017 -- 8:16PM, Cardinal Scott wrote:

May 24, 2017 --  8:13PM, Fatslogger wrote:What you lot up to on the footie? I've got some side market action and managed to avoid the match odds, where I'd probably have got a lay in on Man U just before the goal if I'd been paying attention.Not got involved I only do football when I see some offer on this blog https://matchedbettingblog.com/

Seems sound but for quite small beer.

Rashid seems to have the managements backing, but I fail to see how he is good enough because he bowls one or sometimes 2 long hops every over.

I'd be slightly worried if I was an England backer now. Not too worried but they need a wicket soon.

Is AB the kind to see a run chase through to the end? in my memory even in his prime NO he's not! ...he's not a Kohli who frequently sees it all the way to the end, or close to end.

That was almost surreal, decided to lay off but was a wicket. So laid England again.

May 24, 2017 -- 8:23PM, Cardinal Scott wrote:

Is AB the kind to see a run chase through to the end? in my memory even in his prime NO he's not! ...he's not a Kohli who frequently sees it all the way to the end, or close to end.

He's a beast at the end of a game but not sure what his chasing stats are. They'll need him now though, after JP pulled a rank half tracker to deep midwicket. Good for me and have cracked and gone equal green in response.

Long hop brings a wicket.. England management have a master plan.

Miller can be a very slow starter and his recent form stinks so much he may be determined not to get out and play very very conservatively coz his place in side is under threat.

I'd make SA slight favourites here. Couldn't justify it though.

That will do for now.

As in cashed out, maybe a little generous to England backers.

AB looks bang inform here

Odds were wrong in my opinion but that's easy to say when they've changed.

Soonish I'm going to stick all green on one of the teams but not sure which one yet.

Fair odds right now I'd say.

wtf is miller doing

So much for my theory Miller could play ultra conservatively!

Chased the lay upwards from 1.42 to 1.48. Probably too high to lay but done it.

$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

May 24, 2017 -- 8:41PM, Charlie wrote:

Chased the lay upwards from 1.42 to 1.48. Probably too high to lay but done it.

Got 1.46 lay a ball after backing England at 2s! If I'd done all this trading for proper amounts rather than footling about with green I already had, like a man who's lost £10k in a week, I'd be massive here.

May 24, 2017 -- 8:40PM, Cardinal Scott wrote:

So much for my theory Miller could play ultra conservatively!

Was a long hop. In a way, SA pretty unlucky here that they've lost wickets to bad balls, although obviously you've no obligation to find the one man deep I need the leg side.

Confidence in what you do is hard to maintain when you've lost a packet. I can't preach on this as it really messes me up - losing that is.

Morris no mug with the bat but if AB goesin the next 4/5 overs Eng will be 1.2x

game over

no batting left

$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

Laid a bit more at 1.29!

May 24, 2017 -- 8:45PM, Charlie wrote:

Confidence in what you do is hard to maintain when you've lost a packet. I can't preach on this as it really messes me up - losing that is.

I can stand big losses fairly well and have had a monster few months so still reasonably confident overall but a series of moderate to big losses, like I've just had, does mess me up a little. I find it a lot easier to swing when I'm winning.

That looks like game to me. Surprised you can still have any kind of bet on England, to be honest.

May 24, 2017 -- 8:48PM, Charlie wrote:

Laid a bit more at 1.29!

Finally got one wrong! Well, it still could go well.

Parnell can hit it but he's not someone you'd want to be batting sensibly then cutting loose.

We'll see. It's not a totally irrational bet. AB still there.

Englands,s No 1 all rounder M Ali

Manure 2-0

SA look weakish if Morris is 6 and Parnell 7.

Loads of pressure on the top order. Often 6,7 and 8 win the games.

And to be pedantic I could get out of 1.29 now (well could have!).

just backed Eng at 1.3

ALIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII

Ah, thought that was a six

that was a Brucie bonus

Stuck a fair bit on a a lay at 1.02!

feel a bit sorry for AB there. completely stitched up by utter sh1te from Miller, Duminy and Morris.

very very gettable total when they were only 3 down at the 30th over.

That's the pattern of AB in chases in my memory he makes a middling to decent score and then gets out!...I reckon his stats show he's more suited to batting 1st in 1dayers,

May 24, 2017 -- 8:58PM, DStyle wrote:

feel a bit sorry for AB there. completely stitched up by utter sh1te from Miller, Duminy and Morris.very very gettable total when they were only 3 down at the 30th over.

exactly this

SA are bottlers

he looked fine Cardinal - he had his hand forced there. Had to get the lions share of runs, as he can expect Waleed and boomboomletmehereyousaywayo get them home

*can't expect

By the way I'm quite happy with my position. Odds and amounts I've laid at recently don't affect me that much. It would have been nice to collect ab it more. And I must get out out of the habit of losing money at the end of innings.

May 24, 2017 -- 8:58PM, Cardinal Scott wrote:

That's the pattern of AB in chases in my memory he makes a middling to decent score and then gets out!...I reckon his stats show he's more suited to batting 1st in 1dayers,

what else could he do? he was the only batsman left

good thing England's bowlers can bail out their batsmen when called upon to so do

May 24, 2017 -- 9:06PM, johnnythebull wrote:

good thing England's bowlers can bail out their batsmen when called upon to so do

they see me trollin, they hatin

"they see me trollin, they hatin"

What's that mean in English?

41 mill on this..12 on the fitba

it means nice piss take johnny!

u watching the fitba as well G?..bit anti-climactic as it goes
written in the stars after what went down

An excellent performance from England, Batted very very well and bowled well also, against a team that had won 14 OF its last 16 ODI'S. Can we do it when it really matters. lets hope so, but England should be 1 of the top 3 favourites to win this, although I don't think they should start as Favs, which they are.

AYT   AYT    AYT    AYT    AYT

May 24, 2017 -- 8:59PM, johnnythebull wrote:

SA are bottlers

Oh yes, they are definatly bottlers and they usually do this in semi-finals, but they are still a very good side. In just an any old ODI I don't think they are, England just played really well. Australia, India and England are my top 3 favourites for the Champions Trophy.

cricketnut..they've had some awesome sides in the past and contrived to come up short
v good performance today from England
series of good stands and bowlers performed with credit
Aussies can choke as well
should be a good compo

Yes your correct, SA have quite a few match winners and I agree they have choked on many occasions, especially these big tournaments, World Cups and Champs Trophy. Really looking forward to this tournament, as there are none of the minor countries playing, which makes the tournament longer for little reason, other than to knock them out. The tournament lasts for 23 days and its all the proper Test countries playing against each other in 50 over cricket, it should be a fantastic tournament. Lets hope for good weather and plenty of great matches.

i've been mega into the football of late especially La Liga and Serie A so much so that i didn't watch the IPL,which i love save for the final which was a great match..the low scoring ones are always better imho for drama

but i nicked a bit trading this match and like you will savour the tournie as cricket is such a great sport