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The Dragon
14 Mar 16 22:40
Joined:
Date Joined: 12 Mar 05
| Topic/replies: 40,463 | Blogger: The Dragon's blog
Intersesting market this one Tamim Iqbal looks terribly short ar 1.81 so has to be a lay
Usman kuwaja looks big at 30
Gayle could be big at 22 if he gets going
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Report The Dragon March 16, 2016 7:03 PM GMT
Gayle could be big at 22 if he gets going

now 5.6Cool
Report pxb March 16, 2016 7:11 PM GMT
Laid Iqbal for 1.35 while he was batting yesterday. But still a big green on him and he is still 157 ahead of Gayle, who will have to produce another big score to win.
Report pxb March 16, 2016 7:12 PM GMT
at 1.35
Report Foinavon March 16, 2016 7:21 PM GMT
West Indies have to play Sri Lanka and Afghanistan. Two chances for big scores from Gayle especially if Windies bat first against the Ghans.
Report jucel69 March 16, 2016 11:11 PM GMT
WI have two games at Nagpur & one at Bangalore.
We have all seen the pitches at Nagpur, but Bangalore is Gayle's home ground in IPL and he normally goes large there.
Report jucel69 March 16, 2016 11:12 PM GMT
Tamim still has an innings against the minnows EnglandWink
Report jucel69 March 16, 2016 11:14 PM GMT

Mar 17, 2016 -- 12:12AM, jucel69 wrote:


Tamim still has an innings against the minnows England


No he doesn't I'm going crazyCrazy

Report The Dragon March 17, 2016 12:59 PM GMT
india ans  and NZ i believe
Report pxb March 18, 2016 9:06 PM GMT
WI looking a chance for the semis, which will help Gayle.
Report Foinavon March 18, 2016 10:12 PM GMT
Have had a small punt on Tamim at 1.9
Although he could be caught, it only needs one slip-up from Gayle and a couple of other chasers to put him out of sight.
I would rather go with "runs on the board" especially now his price has lengthened as a result of Gayle's impressive innings against a rather wayward attack.
Report YOMOMMA March 19, 2016 8:40 AM GMT
Seeing all these roads everywhere, I think it is going to take a total of 300+ to win tournament top bat. Bangladesh's Iqbal will need to score another 50+ in his remaining 3 group matches or he will get passed.
Report Foinavon March 20, 2016 12:33 PM GMT
44 more from Shahzad today puts him 63 behind Iqbal having played one more.
Report Foinavon March 20, 2016 4:31 PM GMT
Have topped up on Ikky with a little saver on Joe Root. Gayle may yet have to bat today but won't be adding many if he does.
Report jucel69 March 20, 2016 5:18 PM GMT

Mar 20, 2016 -- 5:31PM, Foinavon wrote:


Have topped up on Ikky with a little saver on Joe Root. Gayle may yet have to bat today but won't be adding many if he does.


That was a little bonus, Gayle not batting. WI move onto the snakes pits of Nagpur for their final two games

Report Foinavon March 20, 2016 5:35 PM GMT
Had Gayle been fit today he could easily have got 70 or 80 more so quite a bonus although he could still do it especially if WI get the extra games.
De Kock and de Villiers, like Root are still a threat too but Iqbal should get a few more before he's done.
Do you have an interest in Iqbal Juce?
Report jucel69 March 20, 2016 5:40 PM GMT

Mar 20, 2016 -- 6:35PM, Foinavon wrote:


Had Gayle been fit today he could easily have got 70 or 80 more so quite a bonus although he could still do it especially if WI get the extra games.De Kock and de Villiers, like Root are still a threat too but Iqbal should get a few more before he's done.Do you have an interest in Iqbal Juce?


Yeh, backed him a while ago.

Report Foinavon March 20, 2016 5:44 PM GMT
Well done. Let's hope he gets another 60 or 70 in his remaining games.
Report prepared83 March 20, 2016 6:10 PM GMT
I'm on iqbal as well, so good luck to us lads, hoping for a few more runs tomorrow
Report YOMOMMA March 20, 2016 11:27 PM GMT
Someone laying Iqbal top bat at 2.00. I would take it but I've already got my max bet on. With Gayle not batting today because of injury that's really good odds.
Report prepared83 March 20, 2016 11:49 PM GMT
I just took all the 2.1 that was there
Report YOMOMMA March 20, 2016 11:53 PM GMT
Nice one, should win.
Report jucel69 March 20, 2016 11:54 PM GMT

Mar 21, 2016 -- 12:27AM, YOMOMMA wrote:


Someone laying Iqbal top bat at 2.00. I would take it but I've already got my max bet on. With Gayle not batting today because of injury that's really good odds.


2.4 earlier!

I got all of what was on offer

Report YOMOMMA March 20, 2016 11:56 PM GMT
why would odds go so high, doesn't make sense.
Report prepared83 March 20, 2016 11:56 PM GMT
People laying off to free up money maybe?
Report jucel69 March 20, 2016 11:57 PM GMT
With England or SA unlikely to get to the semis, that takes out AB/DE K or Root.
WI are playing their next two games in Nagpur on low scoring tracks + Gayle isn't fully fit.
Report jucel69 March 20, 2016 11:57 PM GMT
If WI beat SA then Gayle will be rested for the last group game too
Report prepared83 March 20, 2016 11:58 PM GMT
How many runs do you reckon he will need in total? Would you take 310 if offered it now?
Report jucel69 March 20, 2016 11:58 PM GMT
Should be able to hedge certain players once we get to the semis
Report jucel69 March 20, 2016 11:58 PM GMT

Mar 21, 2016 -- 12:58AM, prepared83 wrote:


How many runs do you reckon he will need in total? Would you take 310 if offered it now?


yeh but I'd like moreGrin

Report YOMOMMA March 20, 2016 11:59 PM GMT
he has 257. 60 more should be enough barring someone making a huge 100.
Report prepared83 March 20, 2016 11:59 PM GMT
Me too, you about on here tomorrow to cheer on every run?
Report jucel69 March 21, 2016 12:00 AM GMT
of course!
WIth Bangalore being trickier than expected that will help too
Report jucel69 March 21, 2016 12:01 AM GMT
When Bangala bet, can always hedge Tamim's runs too to cover a single digit score
Report prepared83 March 21, 2016 12:02 AM GMT
Someone has just stuck up another £140 at 1.91? Good idea with a small hedge
Report YOMOMMA March 21, 2016 12:02 AM GMT
Still many games to go but I think he will win fairly comfortably. Night I'm logging off.
Report jucel69 March 21, 2016 12:03 AM GMT

Mar 21, 2016 -- 1:02AM, prepared83 wrote:


Someone has just stuck up another £140 at 1.91? Good idea with a small hedge


I reckon so, he still has 3 inns and only needs one half decent score

Report jucel69 March 21, 2016 12:05 AM GMT
No more games at Mumbai in the group stages. That has been the flattest track by a mile
Report prepared83 March 21, 2016 12:06 AM GMT
Night yomomma and see you back here tomorrow jucel to cheer on every run
Report jucel69 March 21, 2016 12:07 AM GMT
Cool
Report pxb March 21, 2016 12:22 AM GMT
You get mug bets in these kind of markets. I put up a Iqbal back at 3 early yesterday and some was taken.

Stats say openers make the most runs in T20, which is why I am not to worried about Root and AB. And see de Kock as the main threat (and Gayle was).
Report prepared83 March 21, 2016 12:34 AM GMT
Is that you asking for 2.78?
Report pxb March 21, 2016 12:43 AM GMT
A Iqbal back at 2.48 and a Gayle lay at 12. Plus a few others.
Report jucel69 March 21, 2016 2:35 PM GMT
TAMIMCry
Report YOMOMMA March 21, 2016 2:38 PM GMT
That's the reason the odds went up to 2.4. They knew he was ill. He best play last 2 games.
Report The Dragon March 21, 2016 7:57 PM GMT
Excitedgreat may land my lay at evensWink
Report prepared83 March 21, 2016 10:37 PM GMT
Any news on whether he will play the last 2 games?
Report Foinavon March 21, 2016 11:42 PM GMT
We just don't know. Have checked his Facebook page and there is no useful information yet as to the nature of the illness or if he expects to be fit to play in the next game.
We have to accept that this type of market is susceptible to missed games due to illness or injury as seen with Gayle yesterday.Poor liquidity doesn't help either.
Report jucel69 March 22, 2016 12:27 AM GMT
http://www.dhakatribune.com/cricket/2016/mar/22/tamim-struck-down-fever-stomach-ache

He's fine, just a bit if Delhi belly!
Report Fatslogger March 22, 2016 7:40 AM GMT
Possible to be ill for long enough to miss another game or two with gastroenteritis but unlikely, I agree. I'm trying to get 3.9 on. This tournament has largely passed me by betting wise, although got a bit out of England against SA and NZ against Aus.
Report jucel69 March 23, 2016 12:33 AM GMT
The liquidity on this marketCry
Report pxb March 23, 2016 12:44 AM GMT
Iqbal uncertain to play today.
Report jucel69 March 23, 2016 12:57 AM GMT

Mar 23, 2016 -- 1:44AM, pxb wrote:


Iqbal uncertain to play today.


He's only got food poisoning ffs. That started on Sunday, he should be fine by now.
The only reason most people feel terrible for a long time is due to dehydration issues.
If you get on a saline drip then you recover much quicker.

Report jucel69 March 23, 2016 9:39 AM GMT
http://www.thedailystar.net/sports/tigers-find-tamim-back-their-ranks-1198456

TAMIM IS BACK
Report Smith1 March 23, 2016 10:46 AM GMT
1st/2nd in Top Bat & 1st/2nd= occupied by Bangas and Afghan players Grin
Report Smith1 March 23, 2016 10:47 AM GMT
*in Top Bowler
Report jucel69 March 23, 2016 11:12 AM GMT
The lack of liquidity on this is driving me nuts
Report pxb March 23, 2016 7:26 PM GMT
Guptill and Gayle look the best chance to catch Iqbal, assuming WI make the semis.

I'd take big spreads over low liquidity most days.
Report Foinavon March 24, 2016 11:52 AM GMT
Tamim looks strong after yesterday's score.
Guptill would have to average around 60 in 3 remaining games to pass his current total and Gayle nearer 70. Not impossible of course and Tamim has one more knock.
(My arithmetic above and happy to be corrected if wrong).
Report jucel69 March 24, 2016 4:44 PM GMT
Guptil tweaked his hamstring the other night so may be rested.
If WI beat SA, expect Gayle to also be rested for the last group game
Report Fatslogger March 25, 2016 6:02 PM GMT
Barring miracles from Guptill, this is Tamim's isn't it? Root and Gayle got nothing each in their last games and The **** is rather unlikely to get through to semis.
Report Foinavon March 25, 2016 9:16 PM GMT
You can't write Quinton off just yet as England's propensity for de Kock up is legendary.
The best present for Tamim backers is that he plays tomorrow and gets 30 or more runs so that we can forget the rest.
Report prepared83 March 26, 2016 12:09 AM GMT
I want 50 ha
Report jucel69 March 26, 2016 12:22 AM GMT
Perfect scenario today would be that Guptill is rested, Tamim gets 30 odd & then England win but Root gets a duck.
That knocks SA & SL out & gets rids of De Kock, AB & Dilshan.
Then we are down to two/three competitors really.
Gayle - still a long way behind & maybe rested in the last group match
Guptill - not sure Delhi/Kolkata will suit his batting in the semis or final (if NZ get that far)
Kholi/Khwaja - Only one of these players can get through & both a long way behind
Root - In great form and could be the sting. However, two back to back games on slow decks in Delhi should negate him to a certain extent.
I can cover any of these players and still be in the clover.
Just going to wait until these last few group games have finished and then reassess.
Report Fatslogger March 26, 2016 12:27 AM GMT
Didn't really pay any attention to this market until already too late to make much but still happy with the 2.86 I got £100 on.  Trying to get more but it's not quite so appealing at 1.39, is it?
Report jucel69 March 26, 2016 12:38 AM GMT
He should win easily, but when you have a lot of money on something, you don't always think rationally!
You start think about the most inconceivable scenarios possibleCry
Report jucel69 March 26, 2016 12:38 AM GMT
*thinking
Report pxb March 26, 2016 12:51 AM GMT
I'm green for about the same amount on Iqbal, de Kock, Guptill and Gayle. Only Root could spoil my book and I consider that very unlikely.
Report Fatslogger March 26, 2016 8:00 AM GMT

Mar 26, 2016 -- 1:38AM, jucel69 wrote:


He should win easily, but when you have a lot of money on something, you don't always think rationally!You start think about the most inconceivable scenarios possible


I don't have a lot on, fortunately for rationality, unfortunately for profitability. Guptill made a late bid for the 50 over WC top scorer with a couple of monsters, didn't he, but making up 150 is a lot harder with only 20 overs to bat at most.

Report jucel69 March 26, 2016 9:06 AM GMT
As I talked about a few days ago, Guptill has a slight hamstring injury. Rested todayLove
Report jucel69 March 26, 2016 9:06 AM GMT

Mar 24, 2016 -- 5:44PM, jucel69 wrote:


Guptil tweaked his hamstring the other night so may be rested.If WI beat SA, expect Gayle to also be rested for the last group game


I love it when a plan comes together

Report Fatslogger March 26, 2016 3:49 PM GMT

Mar 26, 2016 -- 10:06AM, jucel69 wrote:


Mar 24, 2016 --  4:44PM, jucel69 wrote:Guptil tweaked his hamstring the other night so may be rested.If WI beat SA, expect Gayle to also be rested for the last group gameI love it when a plan comes together


Nice that.  I got some more on Tamim matched after he failed, which clearly didn't help his cause but with Guptil not playing and Root not getting a big score seems just fine to me.  It's looking tough for anyone to catch him up now, verging on extremely tough.

Report jucel69 March 26, 2016 5:49 PM GMT
Gayle might get rested too. He's got a hamstring injury that he's nursing.
Report Fatslogger March 26, 2016 6:12 PM GMT

Mar 26, 2016 -- 6:49PM, jucel69 wrote:


Gayle might get rested too. He's got a hamstring injury that he's nursing.


It's all good, isn't it?  Gayle will need another monster to get close even playing all three though.  He's nigh on 200 runs down, in a format where tons are scarce.

Report Fatslogger March 26, 2016 6:16 PM GMT
Root and Gayle look the only plausible options with Guptill just about still in the picture but they're all running out of games.  Even with a won semi final (which I suppose isn't an independent variable with a big semi final score), it's a massive ask.  I've mopped up the remaining 1.2 anyway.  How much do you have on jucel?
Report Foinavon March 26, 2016 8:24 PM GMT
Ha Mr Greedy Fatslogger. I had all the 1.29 earlier when you weren't looking. Not much to be had though. Cool
Report jucel69 March 26, 2016 11:26 PM GMT

Mar 26, 2016 -- 7:16PM, Fatslogger wrote:


Root and Gayle look the only plausible options with Guptill just about still in the picture but they're all running out of games.

Report jucel69 March 27, 2016 10:07 AM BST
Gayle restedLove
Report jucel69 March 27, 2016 10:09 AM BST
I'm covering Gargantuan at 100s just in case!
Report Foinavon March 27, 2016 10:32 AM BST
I think the only realistic question now is Will Joe Root score 128 in two games?
Guptill needs 171 and Gayle 192, surely too many for these.
Report jucel69 March 27, 2016 10:44 AM BST

Mar 27, 2016 -- 10:32AM, Foinavon wrote:


I think the only realistic question now is Will Joe Root score 128 in two games?Guptill needs 171 and Gayle 192, surely too many for these.


Root v Guptill in the semis, so that counts one out straight away.

Report Fatslogger March 27, 2016 1:37 PM BST

Mar 27, 2016 -- 10:32AM, Foinavon wrote:


I think the only realistic question now is Will Joe Root score 128 in two games?Guptill needs 171 and Gayle 192, surely too many for these.


Huge amount for two games, bearing in mind that even a really big score by T20 standards, say an 80, still leaves a fair bit to do in the other game. Also don't think we'll have high scoring pitches will we?

Report Foinavon March 27, 2016 4:36 PM BST
Kohli on 102. let's see how he goes today.
Report Foinavon March 27, 2016 6:28 PM BST
Kohli dark horse with late run, now 184. Needs 112 from 2.
Report prepared83 March 27, 2016 6:29 PM BST
Kohli big danger to us if he keeps batting like that. Great knock that was today
Report Foinavon March 27, 2016 6:36 PM BST
A pity Banglas didn't knock them out when they had the chance.
Report jucel69 March 27, 2016 6:40 PM BST
I've been covering batsmen I thought were dangerous.
Today Usman and Kholi. Taken a chunk of my Tamim green but I don't want to end up with a massive red.
Report Fatslogger March 27, 2016 6:50 PM BST
Given that I'm also quite red on India winning the thing, I'm very much relying on WI to do a job on them, especially Kohli.
Report prepared83 March 27, 2016 6:50 PM BST
So kohli needs 112, root needs 128, guptil 171 and gayle 192?? Not sure what to do next, massive green on tamim but big red the rest
Report Fatslogger March 27, 2016 6:52 PM BST
Is this the backing Tamim thread? Nobody is on anyone else really, are they?
Report prepared83 March 27, 2016 6:52 PM BST
Im only on tamim, can't speak for the rest though
Report YOMOMMA March 27, 2016 6:53 PM BST
Kohli averages 72 at T20 World Cup so if India win the semi v WI it's possible he could be a threat to Iqbal total 295.
Report prepared83 March 27, 2016 6:58 PM BST
Think i'll wait for the final then look again
Report prepared83 March 30, 2016 6:40 PM BST
Whats everyones position? 100 + needed by root, roy and butler, gayle still nedds 192? Kohli the only threat needing 112 from 2 knocks?
Time to cover kohli or let my tamim back stand alone
Report prepared83 March 30, 2016 6:44 PM BST
Just took all the lay on tamim from 1.36 to 1.39 for about £260, no liquid on kohli and out tonight and 2mrw so had to do something now,
good luck lads
Report pxb March 31, 2016 1:46 AM BST
I've covered Kohli. Although I still think Iqbal wins, but could be a couple of big scores today.
Report The Dragon March 31, 2016 4:08 PM BST
kholi 89 no no fav lay looks goodWink
Report pxb March 31, 2016 11:55 PM BST
Iqbal backers dodged a bullet there with Kohli out of contention. Can't see Root getting enough at Kolkata.
Report Foinavon April 1, 2016 4:38 PM BST
Kohli was just a flash in the pan Happy. Can Root get a ton? Possible but the 7% available on Tamim at the moment might look generous with hindsight.
Report Smith1 April 3, 2016 3:12 PM BST
Root needing a ton, can he do it? Devil
Report mnbfrankel April 3, 2016 7:20 PM BST
So what was Root's strating Price? What a final he had today and that knock against South Africa will go down as one of the best in WT20 history
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