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If you fancy the Thunder, rather than back them at evens i would be inclined to back Khawaja to top bat @9/4 because if he fails Stars will win imo.
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I didn't point it out to you pxb, but I did smile at your semi thread starter after Khawaja destroyed the bowling. I did agree with the point that you don't want to read too much into form. It's not just about Khawaja and Pietersen but of course they're the main men.
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On reflection backing khawaja to Pick up MOM might be the way to go @13/2 with Coral
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My semi comment, Market waiting on whether Khawaja plays for Thunder. He has got some good scores in the comp, but a small sample and I'm not reading too much into it.
I could say the same for this match. |
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That's the one, yes. I suspect form is a bit of an illusion.
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Too much is made of too small samples. OTOH may be statistics don't apply to form.
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I think most of form can be explained by random variation and that everyone, including the players subject to that variation, gets sucked in to believing there's something there when there often isn't. Hard to say that there's no such thing as a real run of playing better or worse than your baseline though. Pretty sure that happens too. If I were a clever enough statistician I'd research it. I'm not though and I have a day job, or arguably two if you count the gambling.
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Did Hussey win the toss?
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Thunder win toss and elect to bowl
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Melbourne Stars (Playing XI): Marcus Stoinis, Luke Wright, Kevin Pietersen, Peter Handscomb(w), David Hussey(c), Rob Quiney, Evan Gulbis, Adam Zampa, Daniel Worrall, Ben Hilfenhaus, Michael Beer
Sydney Thunder (Playing XI): Jacques Kallis, Usman Khawaja, Shane Watson, Michael Hussey(c), Aiden Blizzard, Ben Rohrer, Andre Russell, Chris Green, Chris Hartley(w), Clint McKay, Fawad Ahmed |
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Thunder shortening after winning the toss
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Stars 2.16 v 1.85 Thunder
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OUT
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Stars 6/1 (1.2)
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200+ runs or more batting 1st here been cracked 2/33 times in state based and Bigh Bash Domestic T20's
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If a team makes more than 168 runs batting 1st on this wicket in the past, team batting 1st wins 11/15 times.
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From 33 games, the average par score here is 160.61 runs
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The median from those 33 games, is 160 runs.
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A par score here is 160
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168 is the magical number for me, if Stars get there they should win this for me
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TIMBERRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR
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need some KP magic
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Stars 50/2 (7.0)
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Pitch doesnt look that easy somehow
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KP is the ultimate big game player
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lucky that.
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66666666666666666666666666666 big by KP
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that 168 would be a good total on this pitch
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Highest ever score on this ground is 208 batting 1st
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Surpisingly, the highest chased down score here is 179
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flip flop
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OUT
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Stars 85/3 (10.4)
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In that game where 179 was chased down, both teams hit 1.0X from memory
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KP 50 off 25 balls
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KP in the zone tonight
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Dave Hussey goes DOWN TOWN 6666666666666666666666666666
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OUT
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Stars 131/4 (14.5)
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