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pxb
17 Nov 15 21:17
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Date Joined: 07 Jun 10
| Topic/replies: 8,019 | Blogger: pxb's blog
I must admit I'm somewhat unsure as to the betting implications of the pink ball. It has produced early wickets under lights in Starc's hands, but that could happen with any coloured ball. There have been complaints about it's deterioration, but that seems to be a problem with all Kookaburras at the mo.

I've read that colour has no effect the physical characteristics of the ball, and reports of it behaving differently under lights are caused by dew (which shouldn't be a problem in Adelaide).

All in all, I think we may see more wickets, just from playing under lights. And is bad light no longer a factor?

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Replies: 167
By:
Whisperingdeath
When: 18 Nov 15 13:31
It is quite clearly a wait and see.

Although Aus seem the dominant team the underperforming NZ Spearhead is capable of moving the ball under lights to even things out.

The ball does though deteriorate very quickly so it may get down to timing issues. Anyone with any idea would be well advised to get in and get out quickly but more imporatntly look for bets with low downside risks that they can reverse from with minimal losses. For example if you bet on the batting side under lights in the twilight hour the bigger risk is the downside if they lose quick wickets. If they don't the price will not move up as quickly as when wickets fall.

I myself will do my best to stay out of it completely and watch and hopefully learn!
By:
Foinavon
When: 18 Nov 15 20:45
Hope it works out as those of us on the other side of the globe will be able to have a good night's sleep and watch an extra session of cricket next day. Looking forward to it.
Always thought Adelaide had a reputation for being a batting wicket. Is that still the case?
By:
pxb
When: 18 Nov 15 20:50
Always thought Adelaide had a reputation for being a batting wicket. Is that still the case?

I believe so. But those Starc yorkers under lights could be devastating.
By:
Foinavon
When: 18 Nov 15 20:54
let's hope so, don't want a repetition of Perth.
By:
pxb
When: 18 Nov 15 20:59
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/stephen-okeefe-crickets-first-pink-ball-specialist/story-e6frg6n6-1227614534141
By:
Foinavon
When: 18 Nov 15 21:19
Thanks for the link pxb. Unfortunately The Australian require a regular subscription to read that and other premium articles. Fair enough but I found something similar for free.
http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/sport/australia-v-nz-steve-okeefes-pink-ball-form-warrants-inclusion-in-adelaide-test/story-fni2flhh-1227614149883
By:
the whizz kids
When: 19 Nov 15 01:21
About 7 days ago I backed the draw in the Ind v Saffers game @ 3.83 pre match knowing that the weather COULD BE BAD but it was always value even without the weather. I am now willing to lay the day/night match draw at 4.6 and i'm getting matched??????? Has anyone got a clue???
Day/night matches get messy and with the weather looking so good  the draw looks unlikely being a result ground.

The Draw should be around the 6/7 to 1 mark. Also consider the fact that NZ Don't want the draw??
By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 19 Nov 15 01:36
Am I right in saying that bad light becomes a non-issue playing under lights?
By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 19 Nov 15 01:37
if its played under lights, you would assume the floodlights will be the lights used . So it should be a non-issue..........
By:
the whizz kids
When: 19 Nov 15 01:42
I will be in Azerbaijan next week and I'm happy to keep the lay draw going for a couple of days.

Strange question but does anyone know if i can bet in Baku??
By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 19 Nov 15 01:51
never been overseas before so Im not the best person to ask
By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 19 Nov 15 01:51
my parents were too poor to take me overseas when I was younger
By:
the whizz kids
When: 19 Nov 15 02:06
West coast, next to the ear is called the temple, that's where the on switch is. If it's tripped, try sticking your finger in the ear and you might find somthing??????????????????
By:
the whizz kids
When: 19 Nov 15 02:08
Only joking mate
By:
pxb
When: 19 Nov 15 03:23
There's wiki on what countries bf can be accessed. Look on the General Betting forum.
By:
the whizz kids
When: 19 Nov 15 06:49
Cheers pxb, I just don't understand why BF don't publish this. We all have to have a holiday every now and again?
By:
pxb
When: 19 Nov 15 07:45
Yeh, bf needs to run a few Betting Better in Baku ads.

Can't say Baku is on my bucket list.
By:
Whisperingdeath
When: 19 Nov 15 07:58
whizz kids,

Suggest if you want to watch skygo in Azerbaijan you get something called a a vpn. It tricks the Internet Service Providers to thinking you are based in England so you can get English websites or the like like BBC iPlayer which is very useful for listening to cricket when in a wild uncivilised country like The United States of America.

There are copyright laws in various Countries so it is difficult to get The BBC in someplaces. In other places of course gambling is illegal so I would not advise it but I guess there is no harm in looking at your position.

I am not a geek so you might want to get some advice off a kid bearing in mind your suddenim some dum guy could probably help.

http://www.top10bestvpn.com/?kw=vpn&c=95188055771&t=search&p=&m=e&adpos=1t3&dev=c&devmod=&mobval=0&network=g&campaignid=196833371&adgroupid=15498873251&targetid=kwd-12390541&interest=&physical=9045999&feedid=&ts=&a=1031&gclid=CJWw8sb-m8kCFZFsGwod6LYHXA

https://www.expressvpn.com/gb/?refID=GB_SE&gclid=CNGe78X-m8kCFcRAGwodE-QFoA

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Virtual_private_network

http://www.lifehacker.co.uk/2012/09/05/start-using-vpn-choose-best-one-needs

Actually I am now spurred on to find out more. Might be a good idea even if you are not abroad.

When I go to America ( Mrs 'death is a septic ) I need to get my fix so I got this vpn for something like $5 a month or less. £3.22 comes out of my bank account each month. I used something called Hotspot Shield. There are free versions available but they have lots of adverts so it is better to pay.


My friend pointed out they have stopped taking money out of his account after a year and indeed they have stopped taking money but the Shield / VPN is still working.

I remember being able to use BEt365 in America but Betfair will stop you using the site if it is illegal in any country so the best thing is to ring Betfair and find out.
By:
pxb
When: 19 Nov 15 08:10
WD, there are free VPNs available for Chrome. I used one a bit. Might have been Hola. Not bad for free.
By:
Whisperingdeath
When: 19 Nov 15 08:26
Thanks pxb,

Will have a look. I don't normally use Chrome because they want to know everything about you. It scares me with my record! They are all after me!
By:
pxb
When: 19 Nov 15 21:00
WD, you may well be right to be suspicious. I wonder what the business model for free and no ads is? Where is the revenue stream?

The only answer I can think of is, there are buyers for the data they collect.
By:
pxb
When: 19 Nov 15 21:06
Draw shortening a bit here and at the bookies. NZ playing a 2 day pink ball day-nighter at the WACA to get some practice in prior to Adelaide. Still think we will see wickets under lights, but other opinions welcome.
By:
Foinavon
When: 19 Nov 15 23:16
There is enough unfamiliar territory including team changes to make me think that this will not be a draw. Still a while to go so will wait and see if the draw price contracts further before laying it.
By:
the whizz kids
When: 20 Nov 15 02:19
Mr Death and pxb, thank you both for your advice. I spoke to BF last night and I was told that I could use a vpn although they do not encourage it. I just wish they put the countries of what you can and can't do on BF. I am only in Azerbaijan for a few days but it's always handy to know if I can use the site or not. Still can't see this ever being a draw.
By:
Whisperingdeath
When: 20 Nov 15 10:11
pxb,

I read that free vpn with no adds could mean your details being circulated on a list. I am just a little averse to that as I have said before I don't even have a Storecard Loyalty thingy should the information be forwarded to Interpol or The International Court of Human Roghts!

I am well happy with Hotspot Shield. It also provides enhanced security for example if you are using Hotel or MacDonalds wifi

Just as an aside hypothetically Betfair have said they don't encourage use of a vpn. why? If it is being used for security on free wifi surely it is a good idea? Secondly are they worried that maybe some unscruulous people maybe using it to subvert the laws of a foreign Land? Would that be illegal and could it land a user in hot water? For example gambling in a muslim country whizzWink?
By:
Foinavon
When: 20 Nov 15 10:43
Not worth the risk Whizz imo
Never concern yourself about missing a betting opportunity, there will be another one along next week.
By:
Whisperingdeath
When: 20 Nov 15 10:55
no risk with a vpn Foinavon

Just a rish of internet availablity to protect your exposure but I would have thought the oil is prividing for decent infrastructure
By:
Foinavon
When: 20 Nov 15 11:10
Perhaps not, but breaking the law in a foreign country is not a good idea.
By:
Whisperingdeath
When: 20 Nov 15 11:37
spot on there!


https://simonsblogpark.com/onlinegambling/simons-guide-to-gambling-in-azerbaijan/

Gambling not allowed BY Muslims

http://www.rferl.org/content/azerbaijan_legalizes_some_gambling/2291970.html

Looks like gambling is now allowed!

http://www.gamingzion.com/azerbaijan


No moral ambiguity. Just scandal and corruption. Muslims should not bet according to their religion.
By:
pxb
When: 23 Nov 15 04:47
New tactics in day-night Tests?

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-11-23/pink-ball-and-night-sessions-to-encourage-change-in-tactics/6962700
By:
Fatslogger
When: 23 Nov 15 20:53
Anyone else tempted by a back to lay of the draw, laying at tea?
By:
pxb
When: 23 Nov 15 21:01
I've thought about it. But anticipation of wickets under lights may keep the draw up. Might give it a try. Nothing big though.
By:
Foinavon
When: 23 Nov 15 21:28
Have been toying with the idea of laying the draw but that means paying quite a premium to cover the possibility of a NZ win. Back of Australia it is.
By:
pxb
When: 23 Nov 15 21:46
Australia's experience of playing with the pink ball under lights should make the difference. Even if a fit Boult can swing the ball.
By:
Foinavon
When: 23 Nov 15 22:11
The die is cast. Hope you are right pxb.
Back to lay of the draw feels risky, won't be doing that.
By:
pxb
When: 23 Nov 15 22:41
http://www.perthnow.com.au/sport/cricket/australia-v-new-zealand-third-test-mitchell-starc-has-no-love-for-the-pink-ball-but-is-set-to-star-with-it/news-story/0ac541d66b688f0cd689cdc712d63664
By:
Fatslogger
When: 23 Nov 15 22:45
Can't look at Australia price of 1.65-1.67 and have any even remote enthusiasm for backing them. I still feel this Kiwi bowling attack has more to it than it's shown so far and the batting, reliant though it is on Williamson, isn't bad. Yes, of course Aus rightly odds on but I'd want above 1.75 to be keen.
By:
pxb
When: 23 Nov 15 22:56
Williamson has never played a pink ball match.
By:
pxb
When: 25 Nov 15 20:25
It seems clear we will get a fair amount of grass on the wicket, and it's predicted to seam and spin somewhat. OTOH, I've read CA want this to go 5 days.

While, I'm not writing off NZ's chances. Their lack of pink ball experience and Boult below his best, means they are too short IMO and I'm laying them, plus a modest back to lay of the draw as batting should be OK in the day and we could be looking at 200/2or3 before the lights come on.

Not much advantage to winning the toss.
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