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pxb
16 Aug 15 10:53
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Date Joined: 07 Jun 10
| Topic/replies: 8,019 | Blogger: pxb's blog
Much the same forecast as Galle, but you are not going to be able to lay the draw around 1.8 like there.

Without Chandimal's knock, India would have won the last game handily.

A draw lay or India back I think.
Pause Switch to Standard View Sri Lanka v India, 2nd Test at Colombo
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Report Foinavon August 20, 2015 11:45 AM BST
Have transferred some green from India to Sri Lanka by laying a bit of draw and a bit of India. Most green still on India and red on draw.
Report jucel69 August 21, 2015 12:41 AM BST
It's a long way for SL to win from here and I'm not even thinking about them at the moment. They need 4 more wickets, bat really well, then get 10 more wickets and then chase down in the final inns. 4.5 looks short to me for that scenario.
Weather is my main concern but I have no control over that. Backed India at 3.4 yesterday so I'm going to roll with that for now.
Report pxb August 21, 2015 1:04 AM BST
Spin will become more and more important, and India's 1st inn runs more valuable. Don't see SL reaching India's likely 1st inn score of 350+. If they do, rain will probably bring the draw right in. So keeping on India with a smallish saver on the draw.
Report tyco161 August 21, 2015 1:16 AM BST
I do not like Sri Lanka at these prices either but have gone for a lay of the draw and will see what transpires today :)
Report pxb August 21, 2015 1:39 AM BST
Forecasts have the likelyhood of rain increasing from Sat. Bar a SL collapse, I expect the draw to be shorter at stumps Saturday.
Report jucel69 August 21, 2015 3:08 AM BST
https://twitter.com/jontyrhodes8

Nice and sunny this morning in Colombo
Report jucel69 August 21, 2015 5:39 AM BST
If you think that was unlucky not disturbing the bails and bowling him, look at this!!!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i-4URGcCNro
Report jucel69 August 21, 2015 9:03 AM BST
I've cashed out now, small overall green. I don't like to see the new ball not carrying to the slips. Going to watch for a bit and see what happens
Report pxb August 21, 2015 10:09 AM BST
That wicket off a no ball looking crucial.
Report pxb August 22, 2015 2:46 AM BST
Greening up, as SL could come close to India's total and the P Sara pitch tends to deteriorate quite quickly. So could see low 2nd inn scores.
Report Whisperingdeath August 22, 2015 7:58 AM BST
Rahane does Karate and is a Judo Black Belt!

That expalains alot! I wondered how the mighty atom can pack such a punch! Judo must makes you strong beyond your size.
Report pxb August 22, 2015 8:42 AM BST
Bucketing down.
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH August 22, 2015 1:31 PM BST
great to see some proper test cricket, the ashes has been far from that, if not an amateur approach to this particular style of cricket !!!
Report Whisperingdeath August 22, 2015 1:37 PM BST
who's on what here?

I got India at 4.46. Got my troosers taken down at The Oval by a shambles of a side. Some of them should be arrested for impersonating a batsman!

I figured runs on the board is important here. Batting last will be a huge test. Any uneven bounce and India have enough pace to ally with the leggie and Ashwin.
Report pxb August 22, 2015 1:41 PM BST
Currently.

SL -500
India +250
Draw +150
Report Knutter August 22, 2015 1:44 PM BST
switched to the draw for now considering India would have to bat most of tomorrow to get a big enough lead and the weather forecast seems to be getting worse. may be quite a few stoppages tomorrow
Report Whisperingdeath August 22, 2015 1:53 PM BST
thanks chaps. Will look at weather again and maybe take some cover on the draw
Report Foinavon August 22, 2015 2:00 PM BST
Sri +116
India +175
Draw -126

Could cash out for +44 but decided to hold the position for now.
Report Whisperingdeath August 22, 2015 2:06 PM BST
has the weather changed?

At the start of the match it was rain every day. I have seen nothing different on the forecast. Looks like Noah's Ark but it is usually quick rain. I am going to ask my Accountant to phone home!
Report Foinavon August 22, 2015 2:31 PM BST
I've decided to ignore tropical forecasts, they are a load of horlicks. Having said that it could rain all day tomorrow, or not as the case may be.
Report Whisperingdeath August 22, 2015 2:37 PM BST
I am going to take insurance.
Report pxb August 23, 2015 4:29 AM BST
India only 1 down and should bat until around tea. With that and the predicted showers should see the draw at 2 or lower today.
Report pxb August 23, 2015 6:46 AM BST
Satellite seems to indicate a longer period of rain today. Around mid-afternoon.
Report Whisperingdeath August 23, 2015 7:24 AM BST
Definately more cloud around today. Just have to let the game develop and from an India point of view add wear and tear to the pitch. Que sera sera.
Report Only-the-Brave August 23, 2015 10:13 AM BST
Shouldn't be coming back out after tea here. 4 sessions to bowl them out, lead of 370 odd. Hope Kohli doesn't go down the negative Dhoni route.
Report Foinavon August 23, 2015 10:13 AM BST
370 lead at tea. Should be enough.
Report Whisperingdeath August 23, 2015 10:23 AM BST
well they have to allow for lsoing 10 overs tonight and some tomorrow. If they don't declare will they get a crack with the second new ball? I don't think they will declare however!
Report Only-the-Brave August 23, 2015 10:26 AM BST
It's India, they won't declare. Prob aim for a lead of 400.
Report Whisperingdeath August 23, 2015 10:34 AM BST
Ha!

Lets hope they get bowled out instead!
Report Foinavon August 23, 2015 10:38 AM BST
have levelled out Crazy
Report Whisperingdeath August 23, 2015 10:40 AM BST
lets hope yadav gets in quickly. he won't die wondering!
Report Only-the-Brave August 23, 2015 10:54 AM BST
A couple more overs after this tops surely. No point wasting time going after 425.
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH August 23, 2015 11:03 AM BST
what a joke still batting !!!!
Report Knutter August 23, 2015 11:03 AM BST
Crazy
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH August 23, 2015 11:04 AM BST
its times like these i hope it rains and sri lanka are nine down, sorry draw layers, but only like 120 overs left in game max !!!
Report Only-the-Brave August 23, 2015 11:05 AM BST
400 up. End of the over surely
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH August 23, 2015 11:07 AM BST
maybe 500 in 90 over Laugh kholi very disappointing !!!
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH August 23, 2015 11:14 AM BST
sri lanka can not believe their luck taking out overs they do not need to bet, like 7 runs in 3 overs Shocked
Report Only-the-Brave August 23, 2015 11:15 AM BST
pathetic from kohli, hope SL get a draw here.
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH August 23, 2015 11:15 AM BST
poor show by the new captain of india, sign of thing to come maybe !!
Report Knutter August 23, 2015 11:16 AM BST
hey kohli, you are 1-0 down in the series! CrazyLaugh
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH August 23, 2015 11:19 AM BST
9 runs in 4 overs and still batting, kholi what are you doing !!Cry
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH August 23, 2015 11:26 AM BST
412 in around 115 overs about 3.5 runs per over, interesting !!!
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH August 23, 2015 11:27 AM BST
fair enough in the end if you look at the equation !!
Report Only-the-Brave August 23, 2015 11:28 AM BST
Poor captaincy. Batted on too long - especially after the sh1te he was talking beforehand about being prepared to lose in order to win.
Report ayt August 23, 2015 11:41 AM BST
where is rain???Cry.i want to hack all those weather websites.
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH August 23, 2015 11:43 AM BST
rain is south of Colombo at the moment
Report slip5 August 23, 2015 11:43 AM BST
bad light coming i think
Report slip5 August 23, 2015 11:44 AM BST
india bat 1 hour to long
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH August 23, 2015 11:46 AM BST
Laugh
Report slip5 August 23, 2015 11:47 AM BST
still got 9 wickets to take
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH August 23, 2015 11:48 AM BST
shocking shot !!!!
Report slip5 August 23, 2015 11:49 AM BST
guard of honor for sangakarra
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH August 23, 2015 11:49 AM BST
Cool
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH August 23, 2015 11:50 AM BST
sun coming out and 4 bungers Laugh
Report slip5 August 23, 2015 11:51 AM BST
sanga and clarke retire within the same week
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH August 23, 2015 11:51 AM BST
sanga better imo Cool
Report slip5 August 23, 2015 11:51 AM BST
did you put your bat up pttt
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH August 23, 2015 11:52 AM BST
sorry slip I do not understand
Report slip5 August 23, 2015 11:53 AM BST
did you do the guard of honor for kumar sangakarra
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH August 23, 2015 11:54 AM BST
funny, no was too tearful !!!
Report earlycrow August 23, 2015 11:56 AM BST
Kumar one of the best I've seen and I've not seen nearly enough of him.
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH August 23, 2015 11:59 AM BST
over 12000 test runs at an average of 57, not forgetting his 14000 ODI runs and has been wicket keeper for most of his career, arguably the best wicket keeper batsmen ever !!
Report earlycrow August 23, 2015 12:03 PM BST
No argument from me
Report earlycrow August 23, 2015 12:03 PM BST
No argument from me
Report slip5 August 23, 2015 12:07 PM BST
you could actually rate sangakarra has best batsman of all time above tendulkar and bradman
Report Whisperingdeath August 23, 2015 12:14 PM BST
no you couldn't!
Report Whisperingdeath August 23, 2015 12:18 PM BST
Matthews averages 52! well I never., mind you I have always rated him as a batsman if not an opening bowler!
Report slip5 August 23, 2015 12:19 PM BST
damm i missed sangas final out
Report slip5 August 23, 2015 12:21 PM BST
did you cry whispearing
Report Whisperingdeath August 23, 2015 12:32 PM BST
nah!

I saw him bat at The Oval. So much time. A real gentleman too. Up there with Dravid in my book.
Report Whisperingdeath August 23, 2015 12:35 PM BST
Bayliss talking about Sanga on radio5lsx slip
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH August 23, 2015 12:36 PM BST
Bradman completely distorts the all time list, think Sangas 133 tests at 57 average is as good as bradmans 99 aver in 66 tests !!!
Report Whisperingdeath August 23, 2015 12:41 PM BST
no Bradman is 30 above his nearest peer. George Headley only managed 60 or so!
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH August 23, 2015 12:44 PM BST
different era as well, more travelling, arguably better all round quality opposition !!! 133 tests verses 66 is a big difference
Report salmon spray August 23, 2015 12:44 PM BST
In first-class cricket Grace had a similar lead. He and Bradman can only be assessed in relation to their contemporaries and are easily the two greatest batsmen of all time.
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH August 23, 2015 12:46 PM BST
beleive you should be judged on the era, and the opposition, Brian Lara is definitely the most gifted batsmen of all time Happy
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH August 23, 2015 12:51 PM BST
bradman was definitely the best in his era, as probably Sachin and Lara in the modern era, but impossible to compare and say one is greater than the other !!!
Report slip5 August 23, 2015 12:51 PM BST
what about best spinner ever kumble, warne, murali,
Report PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH August 23, 2015 12:52 PM BST
Warne by a short head !!
Report Whisperingdeath August 23, 2015 12:59 PM BST
was SF Barnes almost a spinner?
Report salmon spray August 23, 2015 1:05 PM BST
Barnes like a lot in his day mixed it up.
Report pxb August 24, 2015 2:37 AM BST
SL need to go at 3.8 and over for 90 overs on a day 5 pitch. Not that I think we will get 90 overs. Satellite indicates some rain.
Report jucel69 August 24, 2015 4:17 AM BST
Roshan Abeysinghe ‏@RoshanCricket
SL wouldnt mind the look of the weather this morning! Its gray clouds overhead and rain falling over the ground right now.
Report dilshanf69 August 24, 2015 4:21 AM BST
Been raining at night and started pouring now. Looks good for SL Devil
Report dilshanf69 August 24, 2015 5:16 AM BST
Sun is out...
Report mistrzuniu August 24, 2015 5:32 AM BST
first bal and out
Report mistrzuniu August 24, 2015 5:32 AM BST
first bal and out
Report jucel69 August 24, 2015 7:11 AM BST
Some pretty wretched batting about at the moment. The draw was under 2s about 2 hours agoCrazy
Report Foinavon August 24, 2015 10:01 AM BST
Hi Jucel, hope you did well in this match. When is the next one and what weather will you be expecting?
Report pxb August 24, 2015 10:41 AM BST
Next match at the SSC, Colombo, which has a history of draws. Although matches seem more rain affected than P Sara, which is just chance.

Another draw lay or India back to start IMO.
Report Foinavon August 24, 2015 10:47 AM BST
Thanks pxb, I'm beginning to like Sri Lankan Test matches. Lost my nerve yesterday though when India played on after tea. Should not have worried.
Report pxb August 24, 2015 11:23 AM BST
The key to sub-continent Tests is to get a handle on the weather, when forecasts aren't worth much and radars are either non-existent or carp.

A modest win for me in this match, but I was expecting SL to bat better and the weather to play a bigger role. Ce la vie.
Report jucel69 August 24, 2015 11:23 AM BST
Didn't do too bad. Smallish win in the end as I ended up burning some cash on the last day.
Although I try to disregard the weather, those forecasts of doom are always lurking in the back of my head.
Report cool_hand_luke August 24, 2015 11:49 AM BST
This test confirms all my fears for those betting on cricket. There was a very large and strange amount of activity in the betting market around 4.20am (UK time) when the Indian odds drifted from 18 to 400 before settling around 36, at the same time the draw drifted alarmingly around 1/2 a point while a win for India was smashed 20 clicks, your not expecting us to believe someone had a sudden inclination 2 hours before the start of play that this would end like this and proceeded to empty a substantial amount of collateral on this result or more likely this was money from outside UK (India),whatever the source potentially someone (some party) potentially had information on the outcome prior the conclusion. Betfair have all the information and records to have this one looked at,the sudden collapse from 72/2 to 134 all out aligns perfectly with this market movers view.  Well done to those that made a profit but day five stunk and this really should be investigated by betfair marketing sources after all its your information.
Report pxb August 24, 2015 12:04 PM BST
You regularly see those kind of moves in subcontinent matches. It's subcontinent bookies laying off. I make decent money off them.
Report cool_hand_luke August 24, 2015 12:31 PM BST
I agree in a sense that subcontinent bookmakers lay off on our markets and the timing adds up, what doesn't add up is the pattern. surely a bookmaker makes his profit in the margins so for them to lay any price regardless up to 20 times over the odds and consistently double the odds may dilute that theory. I was intrigued with this move but more fascinated by the SL collapse which duly followed. Coincidental you decide. All I am pointing out is a hugely irregular betting pattern followed almost immediately by the collapse of a teams last 8 wickets for around 60 runs.
Report pxb August 24, 2015 12:56 PM BST
All I can say is I have been betting on subcontinent Tests for a long time and in modesty, I do well on them. I didn't see the price moves you talk about. They do seem large, and I didn't catch them - sigh - but if there were regular fixes, I'm sure I would have noticed.
Report Whisperingdeath August 24, 2015 6:23 PM BST
I didn't see what Luke was talking about either.

I wasn't going to bet on this match but made a balancing bet because England were so pathetic at The Oval. I have some regrets in that I didn't exploit the opening weary of exposing myself further after the goings on at Kennington.

I think I piled into India at 3.5 then 2.5 then unfortunately backed them up to 9's with small bets. I felt 400 was a good total and so it proved. India were well priced throughout the match. India are much stronger batting and bowling than Sri Lanka that is clear for all to see. The pitch would spin. Sl would bat last.

If India went out to 36 let alone 400 I would have checked the weather and banged it hard for a once in a lifetime free throw!

Sometimes The Emperor doesn't wear any clothes. You have to back your judgement. There are many here who know a lot about cricket.

Sometimes you just get lucky too. I won my biggest bet when NZ beat WI. I was on a hotel web cam looking at a beach all night and early morning. The rain didn't materialise...but....there was Chanderpaul...and he got stumped for the first time ever in his 142'nd Test Match! If someone drops their troosers it's rude not to! Take your chance!
Report pxb August 24, 2015 7:34 PM BST
Luke must be talking about Lanka odds. I put in a lay of Lanka at 19 several hours before play, in the hope the match would start under sunny skies. Their chances were slim if the full 90 overs were played. Any rain, and it's no surprise their odds blew out quickly.
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