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nigelpm1
12 Mar 13 11:25
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Date Joined: 10 Jan 02
| Topic/replies: 6,725 | Blogger: nigelpm1's blog
Looks like being heavily wet on Sunday and Monday, with chance of rain on Saturday as well:

http://www.yr.no/place/New_Zealand/Wellington/Wellington/long.html

Given, they can't make up lost overs by that point I'm backing the draw here quite heavily but only a small stake initially.

It's a result wicket though so will rely on that rain coming.
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Report sweetchildofmine March 17, 2013 12:54 AM GMT
draws coming back in a tad...stick hows your book, mines a feckin mess lol, draw just about saves my bacon
Report sweetchildofmine March 17, 2013 12:57 AM GMT
link anybody?
Report sweetchildofmine March 17, 2013 12:58 AM GMT
oooh draw collapsing
Report stickon March 17, 2013 12:59 AM GMT
After 6 good months had a nightmare week

Decent green on draw but need every penny to compensate for huge blunders in India

Seriously thinking of going for almost broke on the draw in NZ it forecast to rain for 36 hours
Report sweetchildofmine March 17, 2013 1:00 AM GMT
markets in a spin ..england bouncing between 3-7 and 4.6 and the draw 1.29-1.38
Report sweetchildofmine March 17, 2013 1:02 AM GMT
im tempted stickon, but im wary of new zealand facing 2 or 3 hours in poorish light and losing a few wickets, i reckon though if they can fend off the next 10 overs without loss, the jobs nearly done (assuming forecast weather is correct)
Report stickon March 17, 2013 1:03 AM GMT
If I can get 1.38 the house keys are in
Report sweetchildofmine March 17, 2013 1:04 AM GMT
did you end up going level red in india
Report sweetchildofmine March 17, 2013 1:04 AM GMT
as soon as the covers come off, you should get your price, assuming they dont come off after tea
Report sweetchildofmine March 17, 2013 1:05 AM GMT
1.28 now though
Report sweetchildofmine March 17, 2013 1:05 AM GMT
1.27 more rain?
Report pxb March 17, 2013 1:08 AM GMT
When the rain stops, light will be a problem.
Report sweetchildofmine March 17, 2013 1:09 AM GMT
even if the rain stops now, the odds are nz will only have to face around 30 more overs today...
Report sweetchildofmine March 17, 2013 1:10 AM GMT
yeah light doesnt look good, or it didnt at the time of my link dying, but the immediate problem is it will take up to an hour to prepare the middle
Report stickon March 17, 2013 1:12 AM GMT
It's just going to rain sweet and I'm on at 1.3

Sort of level red in India but still fancy India

Looks like I'm going to lose what I won on the last India test so its not my dough really but I've learned a lesson

Unless of course I take a deep breath and back India ?????
Report sweetchildofmine March 17, 2013 1:13 AM GMT
tms ''steady rain, bleak, and the hills are misty, not good, pitch totally covered''
Report sweetchildofmine March 17, 2013 1:14 AM GMT
did you underestimate the weather forecast pre the india test? i must admit i never expected a wash out
Report sweetchildofmine March 17, 2013 1:15 AM GMT
tempting to back india, they could put oz in by tea and they would need to face 4 sessions of constant spin
Report sweetchildofmine March 17, 2013 1:17 AM GMT
if today is a wash out, to put it simply, england would need to bowl nz out in three hours tomorrow
Report cnman March 17, 2013 1:18 AM GMT
Aus wouldn't have to survive 4 sessions sweetchildofmine, more likely only 3. Can't see India declaring at tea anyway, he's a defensive captain and they're 2-0 up in the series. Draw trains in both tests for me
Report newco-Joe67 March 17, 2013 1:19 AM GMT
They should get on for last 2 hours if light is good enough
Report stickon March 17, 2013 1:20 AM GMT
Yeah I did mate
I laid the draw for enough at about 3.4 and then very foolishly laid another shitload at about 2.1 when it was going to rain for an hour or two
Report sweetchildofmine March 17, 2013 1:20 AM GMT
yeah i agree he probably wont declare, but theres a chance if they continue to score at 5/6 an over and treat the hour before tea as a twenty/twenty bash (with the game safe)
Report stickon March 17, 2013 1:23 AM GMT
http://www.metservice.com/towns-cities/wellington/wellington-city

Says rain till Tuesday
Report sweetchildofmine March 17, 2013 1:24 AM GMT
i like that forecast Love
Report sweetchildofmine March 17, 2013 1:24 AM GMT
1.22, must be raining harder
Report sweetchildofmine March 17, 2013 1:25 AM GMT
tms ''wretched forecast for tomorrow''
Report stickon March 17, 2013 1:27 AM GMT
I think they could be declaring when about 250 in front and let the Aussie face the spinners
It's not like India can lose this so why not try win it ??
Report stickon March 17, 2013 1:29 AM GMT
Draw 1.21 still value
Report sweetchildofmine March 17, 2013 1:38 AM GMT
tms ''persistent rain, cars have headlights on''
Report sweetchildofmine March 17, 2013 1:42 AM GMT
going to be an interesting mini session if we get any play..IF... nz will not be looking forward to that and england will view it as make or break, maybe crowd the batsmen
Report sweetchildofmine March 17, 2013 1:43 AM GMT
lol who's the hardly soul with the 20k blocker
Report sweetchildofmine March 17, 2013 1:44 AM GMT
gone now, draw now very short
Report sweetchildofmine March 17, 2013 1:49 AM GMT
any updates chaps?
Report A treeeemendous machiiine March 17, 2013 1:59 AM GMT
inspection in 30 minutes, tea being taken
Report stickon March 17, 2013 2:01 AM GMT
Draw 1.23
Sky not even been back for a report
What tms say?
Report sweetchildofmine March 17, 2013 2:02 AM GMT
play restarts within the hour if it doesnt rain
Report lanza March 17, 2013 2:14 AM GMT
10k wanting to lay 175 runs at 1.01.  Nice weather punt that, if it came off with no more play today.
Report Kelly March 17, 2013 2:22 AM GMT
If they go out to bat after tea , there will be no trouble getting that 10k matched .  To get 22 runs on a placid wicket with only 2 wickets down is better than a 1.01 chance , its probably a thousand to one on in real terms , weather permitting .  But guess someone wants a punt on the weather !  Inspection in 8 minutes , play probable according to Sky just now .
Report lanza March 17, 2013 2:24 AM GMT
having seen those latest pics, cant see it getting matched in full, will be taken down me thinks.
Report lanza March 17, 2013 2:36 AM GMT
crazy swings in the match odds at mo.
Report lanza March 17, 2013 2:37 AM GMT
money coming on the run lines...  is it raining again?
Report cnman March 17, 2013 2:40 AM GMT
apparently it is yeah, 3.50pm restart looking unlikely now
Report cnman March 17, 2013 2:41 AM GMT
raining heavily now
Report lanza March 17, 2013 2:47 AM GMT
ok cheers cnman,

having laid 175 runs for about 370 quid at 1.02 would love it to rain all today and tomorrow.

having seen the latest sky ''update''  was just about to reverse back at 1.01...

1.03 now.... bring on the rain.
Report cnman March 17, 2013 3:00 AM GMT
that's a fantastic lay, well done. you're in with a great chance of winning that.

bit of friendly advice: try not to bet on weather based on what sky say, they're usually a long time behind the news
Report pxb March 17, 2013 3:03 AM GMT
Another light shower coming and that will be play for today.
Report lanza March 17, 2013 3:11 AM GMT
thanks, would be nice if it came in.

started by backing over 300, was well pleased then checked the 5 day radar thingy on one of the links and it looked terrible.

was lucky to reverse at 325and then took the 300 at 1.02, 70 at 1.01 as a little weather bet.  Ta for sky advice, cant believe the delay, massive flip there.

Hope so pxb. Cool
Report cnman March 17, 2013 3:13 AM GMT
not a delay as such but more they'd rather finish showing their old clips or clips of the 1st innings than actually update you with news. stupid stuff.
Report cnman March 17, 2013 3:44 AM GMT
inspection in a minute. guess we could get 45-60 minutes play but you'd imagine it will rain again
Report lanza March 17, 2013 3:52 AM GMT
Sad

..... Laugh

needsto rain in next 20mins for me.  Sad
Report cnman March 17, 2013 3:55 AM GMT
yep back on in 15 mins, 22 overs left in the day. unlucky lanza, I hope it rains as well (on the draw)
Report lanza March 17, 2013 4:04 AM GMT
nevermind ..my luck.... it'l p down tomor cnman .  lol LaughSad
Report pxb March 17, 2013 4:05 AM GMT
I'd say the rain is 20 minutes away.
Report lanza March 17, 2013 4:05 AM GMT
in fact....they'l have just enough time to score 22 runs and then it'l rain for the rest if the match.  lol.
Report lanza March 17, 2013 4:16 AM GMT
some thing coming on the radar but might not get here quuck enough.  lol

could do with about 10 maidens.
Report lanza March 17, 2013 4:18 AM GMT
come on monty.
Report lanza March 17, 2013 4:30 AM GMT
come on rain.  lol
Report lanza March 17, 2013 4:31 AM GMT
come on!!!
Report lanza March 17, 2013 4:32 AM GMT
ffs....  lol
Report lanza March 17, 2013 4:33 AM GMT
Laugh
Report lanza March 17, 2013 4:34 AM GMT
8 minutes out pxb.
Report lanza March 17, 2013 4:40 AM GMT
get your app out for the lads!!!
Report pxb March 17, 2013 5:02 AM GMT
That's me. Always a bit ahead.
Report pxb March 17, 2013 5:07 AM GMT
Draw rather big with the prospect of no play tomorow. I'll wait till a couple of hours before play to see what the radar looks like before trading out my draw green or not. Unless I oversleep as I did day 1, which jammed me up a bit at the start of the match.
Report nigelpm1 March 17, 2013 9:20 AM GMT
wow.  That was fun lsat night.  At one point panic set in and NZ were backed down to 85 (I have no idea why).

Can you believe I was sat there backing the draw at 1.26 and also looking at that radar which showed rain about 15 mins away.

Sometimes it's straightforward.
Report nigelpm1 March 17, 2013 9:30 AM GMT
Ignoring the weather forecast for a moment, how likely is it that ENG take 8 wickets and chase whatever total they might be set?
Report Lix March 17, 2013 1:24 PM GMT
not very.
Report nigelpm1 March 17, 2013 1:36 PM GMT

Mar 17, 2013 -- 2:24PM, Lix wrote:


not very.


Excited  what 1/5?

Report s6188 March 17, 2013 1:40 PM GMT
...If the weather is fine I think England can take 2 or 3 wickets/session
Report nigelpm1 March 17, 2013 5:33 PM GMT
Interesting.  Forecasts are all poor still but radar looking rather clear - but I guess the rain is too far away yet.
Report nigelpm1 March 17, 2013 5:38 PM GMT
And to add to that exchanged a bit of green on Draw for large green on ENG in case market panics again.  It would not surprise me.
Report nicky27 March 17, 2013 7:06 PM GMT
draw collapsing , must be rain on its way , possibly not a ball bowled day 5 here
Report nicky27 March 17, 2013 7:07 PM GMT
http://uk.weather.com/weather/hourByHour-NZXX0049:1:NZ?pagenum=2&nextbeginIn...
Report tommycockles March 17, 2013 7:12 PM GMT
looks grim

.

https://twitter.com/BumbleCricket/status/313363867965202432/photo/1
Report nicky27 March 17, 2013 7:23 PM GMT
can't believe my luck , left a 400 Quid back up at 1.95 Test match end Afternoon session Day 5 yesterday afternoon , and 397 quid of it got matched overnight sometime !!! mega LoL , have no idea who matched that , but thank you so much
Report pxb March 17, 2013 7:34 PM GMT
Just checked some webcams. raining and heavily overcast.
Report nicky27 March 17, 2013 7:38 PM GMT
won't be a ball bowled all day is my bet
Report pxb March 17, 2013 8:15 PM GMT
The 1.1 on the draw last night NZ time was a gift. Wish I had taken more of it.
Report nigelpm1 March 17, 2013 8:46 PM GMT

Mar 17, 2013 -- 9:15PM, pxb wrote:


The 1.1 on the draw last night NZ time was a gift. Wish I had taken more of it.


yep.  That weather front could have moved though just like it did yesterday at the start of play.  Always worth keeping powder for another day.

Report nigelpm1 March 17, 2013 8:50 PM GMT

Mar 17, 2013 -- 8:23PM, nicky27 wrote:


can't believe my luck , left a 400 Quid back up at 1.95 Test match end Afternoon session Day 5 yesterday afternoon , and 397 quid of it got matched overnight sometime !!! mega LoL , have no idea who matched that , but thank you so much


The world is fool of fools who never get it right.  They don't know what to do .....

Report nigelpm1 March 17, 2013 8:51 PM GMT
Some '8' left on the 175 run lines - There is no chance of play today - it's free money.  No money left my end so someone else grab it.
Report pxb March 17, 2013 9:14 PM GMT
Thanks for the tip, Nigel, but I only ever do cricket match odds and series winner. I'm always wary of markets I don't usually trade. Like Nicky's afternoon session back. I don't see why  thats a sure fire winner.

3rd Test is up already, so on to that.
Report nigelpm1 March 17, 2013 9:25 PM GMT

Mar 17, 2013 -- 10:14PM, pxb wrote:


Thanks for the tip, Nigel, but I only ever do cricket match odds and series winner. I'm always wary of markets I don't usually trade. Like Nicky's afternoon session back. I don't see why  thats a sure fire winner.3rd Test is up already, so on to that.


Fair cop.  Looks like some people got confused by that market and this test - 2.42 matched on the draw!!

Report Footiefan111 March 17, 2013 9:40 PM GMT
draw was free money from the start only had 3 days of crickey a 1 session not enough for a result
Report Footiefan111 March 17, 2013 9:40 PM GMT
cricket
Report Kelly March 17, 2013 10:35 PM GMT
nicky27 post I think got the session wrong .  The 397 was matched on the evening session , think I saw it in passing last night ,cant believe someone laid it .  Even with a bit of play ( unlikely I suspect) still a very short odd evening session result .
Report nicky27 March 17, 2013 10:38 PM GMT
o yeah , soz , of course i meant evening session , which is essentially getting 1.95 on the draw PLUS the possibility of a result sometime after tea on the last day ( when the draw can't have been trading any higher than 1.5 Crazy)
Report lanza March 17, 2013 11:12 PM GMT
just woke up, slept alittle late but that 8.0 was mine on 175. a bit of cheap insurance.... when you lay 1.01/1.02  Cool 

Was hoping for rain all day... alittle gap of sun shine required nowLaugh tho i cant see it.

cheers   Laugh
Report lanza March 17, 2013 11:30 PM GMT
i remember once, when i first started on here that i laid day 5 evening session thinking that if it was a draw, id win as there wasnt a result. when the price and money started pouring in, a little concerned i looked at the rules and realised my mistake.   Can be a bit of a confusing market to any newbies or those abit daft that they dont fully understand the rules.  Laugh
Report RothmanMike March 17, 2013 11:49 PM GMT
Pitch inspection 00.15 GMT
Report Footiefan111 March 17, 2013 11:54 PM GMT
England need one of those mirale sessions of play like they did against sri lanka at cardiff
Report Footiefan111 March 17, 2013 11:54 PM GMT
miracle
Report RothmanMike March 18, 2013 12:18 AM GMT
Looking back, I think the only miracle results occured when some of the participating players had mischevious bets  Mischief
Report Footiefan111 March 18, 2013 12:30 AM GMT
you saying that was fixed match
Report RothmanMike March 18, 2013 12:45 AM GMT
Recent revelations in the game have made me very cynical and has made me wonder about amazing turnarounds of the past.
I dont recall that particular match but now feel all things are possible.
Regards.
Report Footiefan111 March 18, 2013 1:55 AM GMT
well done draw backers
Report screaming from beneaththewaves March 18, 2013 8:23 AM GMT
A Test match played between England and Sri Lanka at Cardiff in May 2011 - which was sensationally won by England - was fixed, an award-winning sports journalist Ed Hawkins in his new book titled 'Bookie Gambler Fixer Spy' revealed.

In the book, Hawkins claims that a bookie, 'Vinay', told him that the match between England and Sri Lanka at Cardiff in May 2011 was fixed. Then-England captain Andrew Strauss had described the match as "one of the most extraordinary matches I played in". At the end of the fourth day, England, replying to Lanka's 400 all out, were at 491-5. With rain wiping out the morning session of the fifth day, a draw seemed the only possible result. But England declared at 496/5 and then stunningly bowled out Lanka for 82 in just 24.4 overs to pull off a nearmiraculous victory by an innings and 14 runs.

Hawkins points out that by the time the Lankan players took the field at Cardiff, they had not been paid for over eight weeks as the Sri Lanka board was in dire straits financially, following huge expenditure on preparations for the World Cup.

He writes, "It does not take a particularly cynical mind to come to the conclusion that a cricketer who has been treated with such little regard for his welfare... might - just might - be tempted by the offer of payment to throw a Test."

Hawkins concedes that Vinay's claims can be easily dismissed. "A judge, administrator, player or perhaps an ACSU (Anti-corruption and Security Unit of the ICC) officer can wave them away with contempt."

But Hawkins poses a thought-provoking question. "The conundrum for cricket is obvious. Does it start listening to folks who are at the black heart of the matter when no one else appears willing to talk?"

This shows the startling suggestion that a bookie correctly predicted the way the Pakistan innings would unfold in the crucial 2011 World Cup semifinal against India in Mohali isn't the only explosive revelation in Hawkins' new book.

Ed Hawkins is an award-winning sports journalist. He has twice been named the Sports Journalists Association's Sports Betting Writer of the Year. This is his second book. (The Times of India)



http://www.islandcricket.lk/news/srilankacricket/explosive-match-fixing-revelation-involving-sl
Report nigelpm1 March 18, 2013 9:16 AM GMT
hmm. good example of why never to bet full bank
Report nigelpm1 March 18, 2013 9:53 AM GMT
FWIW here's the scorecard that day :

http://www.espncricinfo.com/england-v-sri-lanka-2011/engine/match/474463.html
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