South Africa v Pakistan *2nd Test*

175/5 by lunch.  new ball due in 10 overs.
260/8 by tea

sa have about 15 overs day 4 to bat chasing  around 280-300

a nice early wicket, smith knicking gul to slip ... and shutters come down for the day. But amla gets caught at bat pad. Kallis is bowled leaving faf and ab to block out the last few overs.

draw price @6 higher than last nite @5.1 would think the draw is more likely at the mo than last nite

Alot depends on the wicket...will it suddenly show signs of deteriation.

Will Akmal be as effective...will he get assistance from anywhere..

And will Pak get at least another 160..

And will Pak shorten up tonight...

what have i missed

went to see my little girls dance show, how do pak look..

new book is

SA - 87
Pak + 427
draw +8.94

Got my Ajmak and Akmaj mixed up, dyslexia strikes again. 

got a horrible feeling this might be a draw now

PAK strategy is to pull this game into Day 5 ... so draw is a possibility ....

But an early wicket will have a big impact on price ....

Feb 17, 2013 -- 8:53AM, RajaFiaz wrote:

PAK strategy is to pull this game into Day 5 ... so draw is a possibility ....

SA will want the draw not pak

Both team will prefer the draw to a loss ... safety first ... esp. Mizbah ... they are not striking at a high enough rate yet to be aiming for a win .... they want to draw the match into Day 5 and this will cause the draw price to drop ... regardless of whether it actually ends in a draw .... If it goes into Day 5 you can probably rule out SA attempting to chase this .. then the question becomes draw vs PAK win .... but wickets this session will get SA odds on again I'm sure ...

draw fav incoming...

10+ draw layers

3.2 >> 7s

idiot! lol

draw price is backable now...

ajmal will have a field day here now..

The draw at 5/1. Very backable. I can see Pak batting for the rest of the day....Fingers crossed.

The draw at 5/1. Very backable. I can see Pak batting for the rest of the day....Fingers crossed.

Feb 17, 2013 -- 9:19AM, kingmax wrote:

ajmal will have a field day here now..

yeah, reckon you might be right however if SA go into defence mode they could just block all day long

144 ahead and SA still odds on - at some point their price will scurry out

however, SA only a couple of wickets away from the tail - so in the balance.  more than any test I can remember for a long time

you dont block for a whole day against ajmal..

As a PAK fan I would LOVE to see them bat all day - but can't see it happening - come the new ball they will be going - all out well before TEA I would say ....

More runs in this pitch than I thought

Feb 17, 2013 -- 9:31AM, kingmax wrote:

you dont block for a whole day against ajmal..

SA could definitely.

Feb 17, 2013 -- 9:31AM, RajaFiaz wrote:

As a PAK fan I would LOVE to see them bat all day - but can't see it happening - come the new ball they will be going - all out well before TEA I would say ....

I reckon they'll last till around tea and if they can hold off the new ball reasonably well who knows.

Feb 17, 2013 -- 9:32AM, Captain Wurzel wrote:

More runs in this pitch than I thought

pitch hasn't deteriorated like most thought.

sa price gotta blow soon

http://www.yr.no/place/South_Africa/Western_Cape/Cape_Town/ - might lose a few overs tomorrow

idiot!

Has been and continues to be the most wonderful Test Match.

Feb 17, 2013 -- 9:50AM, Ekbalco wrote:

Has been and continues to be the most wonderful Test Match.

oh yeah.  But hard to make money from - for me anyway

Plenty of volatility nigellers - it hasn't been that difficult.

What lead to Pakistan need here?

Feb 17, 2013 -- 9:55AM, Ekbalco wrote:

Plenty of volatility nigellers - it hasn't been that difficult.

yeah but need to get it right!

Feb 17, 2013 -- 9:56AM, Mariner Paul wrote:

What lead to Pakistan need here?

at least 250+ I'd have thought.

250 should be enough - Ajmal/Hafeez should spin them out on a Day 5 Cape Town pitch.

Feb 17, 2013 -- 9:58AM, Ekbalco wrote:

250 should be enough - Ajmal/Hafeez should spin them out on a Day 5 Cape Town pitch.

If you genuinely believe that PAK at 3.5 are huge value for you.

Nigellers - without teaching you how to such eggs ; peeps tend to wed themselves to a result from the get go - this is a mistake imv.
Roll with the punches.

I think Pak will win but I wont just be betting on that.

draw backers can back it more now,lol

Now's the time to Back it ayters.
And Lay Saffers.

Feb 17, 2013 -- 10:01AM, Ekbalco wrote:

I think Pak will win but I wont just be betting on that.

I wish I could share your confidence.

I'm not confident mariners - anything can happen in cricket - as you have just seen.

In my view they can defend 230-ish but I'm not betting on that - I'm betting on all eventualities.

During this game the spread has been :

SA 1.11 - 3.25
Pak 1.9 - 21
Draw 2.9 - 17

Now if you can't get in an all green position given those numbers then you're doing something dreadfully wrong old thing.
I suspect you probably wed yourself to Pak early on and have been stuck since.

****g joke, went to th shops for 5 mins carnage.. and all green gone..

that has got to be the most ridiculous dismissal i've seen in ages! what a plonker!

f... idiots

fix... SA with an extra new ball

Just routine Pakistan.

and 8

iv just gone from £372 green to £89 red in 3 overs

And the draw still at 70

PAK favrate game plan MUT DO

change of ball changed the game, shouldnt be allowed

ANYTHING can happen in cricket.

Good look.

but i think that match not go stright

Feb 17, 2013 -- 10:18AM, kingmax wrote:

change of ball changed the game, shouldnt be allowed

agreed

every run like gold now for Pakistan

don't think it will be easy chasing any target on this wicket

draw backers jumping of bridges as we speak

lol, backing draw always like playing russian roulette.  The hindsight moment here was the "new" ball.

PAK 6 on Betfred

this game was never going to be a draw

no sympathy for the draw backers as they clearly dont understand test match cricket.

Pakistan are not gonna get enough here.

This is an amazing test it really is! So many changes .... surely this is nearly in the bag for SAF .... unless these two can get the score to 200+ .... game could be over before end of day .... PAK win price does look small @ 5.5's .... Draw is actually more likely than a PAK win from here ....

bollox

Draw should be 1000 in my opinion.

Feb 17, 2013 -- 11:06AM, RajaFiaz wrote:

This is an amazing test it really is! So many changes .... surely this is nearly in the bag for SAF .... unless these two can get the score to 200+ .... game could be over before end of day .... PAK win price does look small @ 5.5's .... Draw is actually more likely than a PAK win from here ....

How is the draw more likely?

Draw is 1/500 from here.

big bollox

nuclear war wouldnt make this a draw

Feb 17, 2013 -- 11:09AM, kingmax wrote:

nuclear war wouldnt make this a draw

he he

haha

Feb 17, 2013 -- 10:56AM, d13phe wrote:

this game was never going to be a drawno sympathy for the draw backers as they clearly dont understand test match cricket.

no, there's been a big buyer of the draw all game - slightly odd but draw price has continually been too short.

Another 40 here (highly unlikely) but might just be enough.  Odds look right here

doesnt IRFAN looks like that indian wrestler THE GREAT KHALI???

He reminds me of one of those Pathan gangster types in the mumbai mafia.

small lay of SA here - not a given

wouldnt be backing SA at these prices to chase this

Ajmal will be bowling half the overs and this pitch is almost on its last legs

this will be over today

**** off... how is that not out...

looked out to me

Out all day long!

that fine

ffs

this is bollox...

Peterson out three times

think smith is excellent with drs.

1 more quick wicket makes this v interesting

Cracking test match

it's the bowling from the other end that's the problem.

can't even keep it tight.

huge no balls dont help

these no balls are ridiculous.

Irfan is ripe for being touched up by the match fixers, he was working in a pipe factory a few years back, prob git no money.

Cricinfo says tanvirs overstep was a foot outside.  Spot fixing alert.

irfan is raw, despite his age. he's also trying his heart out, so i'm sympathetic.

tanvir's was highly suspect particularly off his pace and run up.

Feb 17, 2013 -- 2:28PM, rob_dylan wrote:

Cricinfo says tanvirs overstep was a foot outside.

Nobody is that stupid to make it that obvious. Surely?