Bangladesh vs West Indies

pretty confident of a result here. Even if bangers bat well 1st up they are well capable of getting
rolled in 60 odd overs on day 5.

the advantage that the windies had at the end of day one - that their run rate had almost bought them an extra session - was relinquished by slow batting from Chanderpaul and Ramdin to reach their landmarks

first hundred (154 balls)
second hundred (166 balls)
third hundred (152 balls)
fourth hundred (139 balls)
fifth hundred (229 balls)

this, and perhaps not selecting edwards, could cost them a victory. early spells from the quicks tomorrow probably going to be vital for a result now (really one of best or rampual should have had a couple of overs at the close instead of gayle).

if BAN bat for 2 sessions the follow on will be avoided, hoping for windies to go close to evens to green out then,

Gayle must be still be laughing his nut$ off ,after hitting the first ball of this test match for 666666
reckon the banglamongs will avoid follow on , but not defeat

I had WI's over 530.5 legs, how I managed to lose that bet will be hard to figure out?

Is there something wrong with Narine? Why isn't he getting a bowl?

Roads of Bangladesh are straight, flat and shiny Alex Mack. No point playing Narine here. No point playing anyone actually there is nothing in this pitch. It would probably take a week of play before some signs of turn appear

Draw all the way for me now.  I can't see any other result.  Imagine Ban will bat for at least 20 overs tomorrow - might even bat until lunch.  That leaves 5 sessions.  Imagine windies will bat for at least three of those leaving them a shout at getting Ban out in two.  Highly unlikely.

hmm.... 180 overs left in the match. Bangs all out by lumch tomo for around parity lets say.

that gives about 150 overs left in the match. Windies could bat 80 of them for 300 runs and have 70 to bowl
at bangs on a 5th day spinning wkt. Ball was turning much more late of yesterday imo. cant be backing 1/4 so soon
here imo.

only thing is lix..would windies be willing to set bangla 300 in 70 overs, giving the flambouyant way they  bat?

ball was spinning late on. I'm sure of it. Bangers are sh1te, this probably ends in a draw but
v unlikely its a 1.01 train from 1.25 here with these two teams.

i think windies will get bowled out . tail is weak here.

think this is a 6/7 day deck, v hard to see it doing much if anything at all

Was spinning slightly more yesterday but the fact of it is that 10 wickets have fallen in 9 full sessions, at least 8 of those wickets have been completely reckless shots. Personally I think Bangladesh will take out about 45 overs tomorrow (including 2.x overs for changeover). Leaves 135 overs left in the match, WI bat say 75 of those, really can't see 10 Bangladesh wickets falling in

you think the bangers tail will last 45 overs!

famous last words maybe but we'll see. obv heavily dependant on these two lasting quite a while more

Congrats Bangladesh on first ever test 500 runs

...and the scores are level. Well done Bangladesh

Bangladesh 556 all out. 5 sessions left

West Indies set them 250-280 with 2.5 sessions left??? Would leave an uneasy time for the Bangers...

yes around 275 in about 60 - 70 i think windies will give banga a chance as they were scoring at 7 an over for the 1st 10 in their 1st inns

Exciting flurry of wickets.  However, looking at it rationally, WI should still bat for another 30/40 overs tomorrow.  Doesn't really change things - probably only delays declaration (or likely Ban will have to bowl WI out)

Draw moved from 1.16 to 1.51, a huge move, though.

been an exciting day banga 60s to 7s

Indeed, almost certainly in vain though with the way the wicket now seems to be behaving!

will be a very exciting final day well hopefully

Nov 16, 2012 -- 12:14PM, PLEASE TELL THE TRUTH wrote:

will be a very exciting final day well hopefully

oh yeah!  Kind of hoping not too exciting though as still nicely greened on the draw and WI with a bangla red.

not sure why windies fav over banga they have to score at least another 70 runs and take 10 wkts in 90 overs and thats even if they sont declare before lunch which is a possiblity 4.5 seems poor value for a back seems a very low risk lay at this stay until banga bat

It's a very high risk lay PTT - what if WI are all out in the first half hour leaving Bangas 230 off 80?

Draw is pretty much busted then, so WI have to shorten.

The pressures on the Bangas is going to be huge - even more so if the total seems gettable - they have ZERO form in terms of converting these chances.

I'd love the Bangas to win it, but WI win midway through the final session (Narine 5-40) the likely scenario.

i tend to disagree Asp man banga still need to take shiv and sammy both very capable players as we know so respectfuly 230 all out is a very long shot but possible i see windies batting minimum 15/20 adding a another 60 to 80 runs minimum and i guess unless bowled out will wait on declaration hence why i feel windies are currently poor value as will then need to take 10 wkts in around max 70 over - you see if they start batting more than 20 over the price will start to move out very quickly as overs running out for them to take wkts whereas a target of 270 odd in 70 overs windes will be more or less the same price imo, however time will tell of course and thank you for your comments appreciated

and one would think the windies will open with their seamers for at least 5 overs and we know that the pitch is flat so by the time the spinners come on we are in to the 60 overs if not less and the market will not like the windes

and banga really are in the best position because through continuned batting by the windies banga are less likely to lose and if chasing a target they can go for it and at any point can say probably best settle for a draw

Think my point is the WI can be in this game for a long time yet whatever happens.

I don't think Bangas will have the ability to just opt for the draw until they get to the last 20 overs only 3 wickets dwon - that is a LONG way off.

This is the Bangas remember - Day 5 of a test match where they are in with a chance of not losing is a pressure situation.

yeah, reason for collapse at end of day was mainly poor light - SC is an experienced and boring soul when it comes to holding wicket - if he goes early the game opens up otherwise bore draw

i understand what you are saying AM i just think there are more factors to suggest that windies will drift rather than shorten up reasons posted above - shiv will hold an end up and sammy will score runs cant see shiv ruining his average after months batting at the crease

Windies gonna win this imo.

with the Windies winners postulation here

banga to go short at some point in chase they either win or draw

could be chasing 300 in 70 overs... Tamim goes early and bangers out with the washing.

that scenario does not represent 4.7 imo

5 banga players scored 50 runs or more in 1st innings pitch is flat for seamers at the moment and a little spin on offer

Bangers are gash mate. would be absolutely classic for them to rack up their highest test score then
follow it with a 100 odd all out..

bangers scored 550 1st innings if they play any where near that they have a good chance on this placid pitch provided windies are bolwed out or declare with enough time left on the final day to try and take 10 wkts

1st inns is history mate. pitch is doing more. see the ball that took off to get Marlon out?

Gonna be a cracking last day. i cant wait.

yes will be a cracking day just the 330am saturday morning start is the problem

I don't see declaration batting. Windies will try and bat to lunch and beyond. Not easy but v.possible.

The humiliation of  losing a test to Bangers will be what occupies Sammy's mind.

i doubt that. WI are used to beating bangladesh (won comfortably here last yr) and have just won the
T20 WC. They will be full of confidence and have little to fear if they get to 300 ahead.

Bangers have always failed 2nd inns after posting 400 in the 1st inns. They have also been bowled
out 10 times out of 13 when batting in the 4th inns.

A 300 lead will take them past lunch. I expect no flamboyance from either captain.

I'd love to see WI get bowled out pretty damn quick.

well whatever the outcome its going to be a thrilling end to a good match

interesting finish this

two absolute chokers when it comes to the back end of a test match

Windies for me but I reckon the draw doesn't have much chance from here

the Bangers are chasing wins, not draws

A good fina day in prospect here, those late wickets brought the match to life and all results into play.

My position:

Bang: +1525
WI: +725
Draw: -375.

Lead currently 215 with 4 wickets in hand, best thing for the match would be early Bangladesh wickets, given the way wickets fell last night I cant see an early declaration now, so the Bangers will have to take the wickets. I would love to see WI all out with about 30 mins left in the first session, with a lead of 280. In this position, I would see the Bangers as very vulnerable and although they batted well in first inns you could certainly see them collapsing here. My aim is to try and trade the draw into a better spot at about 6/4, we will see. Should be a good days cricket.

i cannot wait for the last day of this one. fwiw Windies for me

I feel both teams will be risk-averse tomorrow and would not want to be down in a short series, draw looks big to me, so going to take it...

i think 1.5 for draw looks value for me for a good lay...i hv to admit not been following this match but with weather set to be fair and 215 lead with 4 wkts and chasing team in bangers = result is likely in my opinion...

Draw definitely value here

is it f cuk..

This match ends on a saturday which is slightly unusual for a test. why is this important? well
it means there might be more of a crowd than normal. Bangers dont care too much for test cricket.
They do however quite like one day cricket. They arent actually that bad when they play at home..

Bangers chasing say 290 in 65 overs is kind of like a one day situation. if the crowd start
cheering for boundaries i think the batsmen may well get carried away....

This exact thing happened not so long ago in a test in zimbabwe against NZ. the zims could well
have shut up shop for a draw but chose to carry on chasing and ultimately lost in the process.

On windies but want them to get bowled out as soon as possible.

Looks like a bore draw here...

indeed very boring draw

TARGET 245 for Banga

Wonderful, wonderful Test match.

You can't just look at this as the equivalent of chasing 245 in 78 overs in some kind of elongated ODI. It's a Test match: the result really matters. There'll be such pressure on both sides here.

I make the draw a 4/1 shot at this stage.

Great test, love it when a plan comes together... Backed the draw at 3.70 to green up, now have bangers and WI good winners, draw small winner. Think it will be a result but unsure which way...

The draw is ridiculously low here.

2/1 the draw is a hilariously awful price. am balls red on  the draw here and couldnt be happier.

Pleasingly red on the draw. No intention to green out:

Back   
Your
Odds
Your
Stake
Your
Profit
Bangladesh    44    £11.60    £498.80
West Indies    2.28    £238.10    £304.77
Lay   
Backer's
Odds
Backer's
Stake
Payout
Liability
The Draw    1.15    £187.70    £28.15

Should have had much more on the Bangas at that price. The trouble is, I've done that so many times over the years with depressing results.

Rooting for the Bingo's  Come on Bangladesh and to the 100-1 backer!  Good luck to you!

Gee the $2.10 WI still looks great value...

Well done, OzBattla.

Mushy a massive wicket for the W Indies - the one Bangla who can put his head down and save a match.

bad wicket for draw layers, now Banga might play safe for the draw

tough task batting out 47 overs though

Can the Banga's play safe for the draw?? Dont really see it. I rate Mahmadullah, hes still in the shed.. WI should win Bangers a punchers hope draw very unlikely to me.

Draw price hanging around like a bad smell!

Wouldn't discount a Bangla victory if Nasir Hossain's still there at tea. He really can smash it around.

Banga 8.6 looks the value to me here, I doubt WI can bowl them out. (no expert here)

Lovely 44444 from Nasir

still lots of fun and games to be had here. Day 5 mayhem prices a promise in the next two hrs

Still on windies fwiw but enjoying the game

106/6, Target 245, Nasir still in.

WI 1.83 TO 1.33

those ball deep red on draw know their Test cricket and know Bangla even better

Narine disappointing again.

im not watching the game..im red on draw, should i leave it? are bangla settling for defence?

lol doesnt matter

Thank god for the others! Another wicket. 119-7.

big wicket this one

All but over... very satisfying

Nov 17, 2012 -- 3:18AM, Lix wrote:

is it f cuk..This match ends on a saturday which is slightly unusual for a test. why is this important? wellit means there might be more of a crowd than normal. Bangers dont care too much for test cricket.They do however quite like one day cricket. They arent actually that bad when they play at home..Bangers chasing say 290 in 65 overs is kind of like a one day situation. if the crowd startcheering for boundaries i think the batsmen may well get carried away.... This exact thing happened not so long ago in a test in zimbabwe against NZ. the zims could wellhave shut up shop for a draw but chose to carry on chasing and ultimately lost in the process.

Great call Lix!

indeed Lix was spot on

1.2 free money

Nov 17, 2012 -- 8:27AM, betfire wrote:

1.2 free money

Rather lay the draw at 10's - Bangla go gung ho - could still be some fun n games

Have greened up by backing the draw at 9.4. Not sure whether the light will permit all the overs to be bowled with pace at both ends.

155/8

159/9

it's over boys!  Great work lix - there was still time there to lay the draw at silly prices

Indeed. The draw price has been low throughout.

yep..well done Lix..in fact you helped me confirm the draw price is too low.

lookig at the prices and not hving followed the match ,I had some doubts if i am missing anything...had been a good morning so far..

are you twitter lix ?

well done if you won has been a great trading game a few slip ups along the way laying windies yersterday then taking a small loss along the way but very happy having trading banga for most of the game

pleasing scenes.... bangers bowled out in under 55 overs...

and asparagus man good call yesterday you were right about the windies prices never topped 5.0 in the run hope you did well

and lix it was classic banga i read you laid the draw, again you get paid as well

yes mate. bangers are gash. didnt get the faith in them blocking for a draw.

Thanks PTTT - an excellent result for me - hope you did well.