Cricket
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As with the previous test a lay of NZ looks like the first bet - even at 15 before a ball is bowled I like it.
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I'll wait til the 1st day to see what they say about the pitch and the weather. Assuming neither pull me in another direction, I'd be tempted to back India or lay the draw from the outset. Almost 1.8 on India looks very generous based on that dire 1st test performance from NZ.
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Draw price going down, down, down... weather forecast worsening and pitch reports say this one won't be as spinner friendly. Worth backing the draw/laying India now then reassessing tomorrow.
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all about getting top price on an India win here (as ever)
KIWIS ARE UTTER SH1T |
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last weeks forecast was much worse than this weeks,if you listen to cricket info they say rains over the weekend most of the forecasts aint got much rain if any sat and 2moro looks pretty ok.to say this pitch wont assist spinners as much as last has no bearing for me as its nz inability to play spin not the state of the pitches they play when did nz last score enough runs to make a test go the distance.the price has come in so much its like they are gonna lose a whole day at least.they lost half a day last test and india still won witha day spare. 3 for the draw is too low let alone 2.38
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last weeks forecast was much worse than this weeks,if you listen to cricket info they say rains over the weekend most of the forecasts aint got much rain if any sat and 2moro looks pretty ok.to say this pitch wont assist spinners as much as last has no bearing for me as its nz inability to play spin not the state of the pitches they play when did nz last score enough runs to make a test go the distance.the price has come in so much its like they are gonna lose a whole day at least.they lost half a day last test and india still won witha day spare. 3 for the draw is too low let alone 2.38
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Bangalore not known for big spin but then neither was Hyderabad and look how that turned out..
Have said for a while that India may want to use this series as practice on big turners in anticipation of the revenge series with england so we could see another turner.. Indian groundsman are pretty good at preparing surfaces to order. They turned the usually spin friendly Mumbai pitch ultra flat last yr when Tendulkar was searching for his 100th ton. They could make this one rag square if they want. its happened before at this ground.. http://www.espncricinfo.com/icc_cricket_worldcup2011/engine/match/473326.html so wait and see for me but expecting India to trade odds against again and win. |
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Hopefully India will trade at odds against at some point. Then its time to bet like men!
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Lix,
this is simply impressive..hw do u keep track of these things..specially even a wam up match...awesome... abt this match i think NZ is bit under rated..some of their batsmen has done well In India.. yes they had a bad game..but I expect them to show a fight in B'lore..so lay India for me.. |
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kiwis playing like they want a win, might be bit to risky, enough runs up just need save their wickets and take the singles when their able.
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i have my full bank on draw hear
weather luks terrible next 4 days |
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weather may look terrible but this isnt england, pitches dry up quickly after thunder storms and the sun tends too come out every day, banking on the weather is dangerous.
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no draw here. ball turning already. kiwis the value
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have the kiwis found a match winning spinner then?
(thats not vettori btw) |
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Is this the first time since Edgbaston 2005 that a side has talked about coming out and batting positively after being tonked in the previous game, and actually coming out and doing it?
Will be great if the rest of the Test is like Edgbaston 2005.  |
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Patel took 4 fer in the 1st inns last week. a decent return no?
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4/100 not really. better than vettori would have done tho.
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4/100 in the 1st innings in india is fkin amazing mate. kiwis got rid of the awful martin too so more tail end runs and hopefully more wkts. if kiwis make the 350+ the spreads say and the rain stays away they are more of a 4/1 shot here. they still wont win tho
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looks dark?
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open your window max
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no draw here
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just run some quick calcs i estimate 150 overs max left in the game after today based on the weather forecasts
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draw all the way
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I hope you are right Envy. Like you, I am heavy on the draw - much of it at badly timed low odds
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like i said envy never base your bets on weather forecast, this is india, hardly ever rains all day. i think result here.
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this partnership...or Kruger rather is killing my under 325 bet.
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How long is it untill stumps?
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under 325 is dead
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Getting interesting this now.
Whereas the original plan was what was the best price you might get on India, now it is how low will the Kiwis trade before they mess it up? |
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there gonna get 400
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Kiwis looking decent value but cannot bring myself to back them
the draw is probably going to go very low in this test |
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If they game starts on time then India worth a back. New Ball and NZ can collapse. Also when India bat Sehwag to hit a couple and the market will shake.
I remember when WI made 550 odd batting 1st, India were 2nd favourites ahead of windies in less than 10 overs. Cant call the weather so important to see how the day looks before making any trades |
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Australia in the last test played here scored over 400 and yet lost it..NZ are no where near that australian side..Markets are about right now...but draw should see 1.3 lows I think..weather looks bad, friends in banglore suggest its raining quite a bit these days so i m backing draw till the first innings is played by both the sides would take it further from there on...NZ a good lay at this price.
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India dont score 500+ much these days chaps.
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It looks like India have taken a wicket on the graph!!
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Last test scored 440 odd against the Kiwis and the previous test at home scored 500 against windies.
DOnt compare India's home performance Vs Overseas performance. Largest delta in performance home and away in the last year. Can rack up a big score and even if they dont can bowl kiwis out cheaply second dig. For Eg Lost 5-0 in the ODI'ss to ENgland and beat them 5-0 in the ODI's at home. Weather a huge player. If this was a sure shot 5 day test India would have won 8 out of 10 times but with weather around you need to think through your trades Will only back India tomorrow morning if no weather around and will try a key trades. Cant have a very large liability on the draw here |
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Market has no confidence in NZ and neither do I. Lay.
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is it raining..
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Fine right now but can't help but think that the weather and possible NZ 2nd innings collapse is being factored into the market.
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