Cricket
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Following on from the great ***Smeagol v Bigjoe: 1 Year,All Test Matches,Official Thread***, it's time to continue the quest to find the best test match strategy.
One £100 bet at SP (before the toss), back or lay the favourite (fav), second favourite (2fav) or outsider (dog), with laydraw and backdraw included (the draw obviously being favourite, 2nd favourite or the dog).
After 44 test matches, the standings were as follows
back2fav... +£652
layfav........ +£606
laydraw..... +£112
backdraw... +£73
backdog.... -£215
laydog....... -£280
lay2fav...... -£521
backfav..... -£1196
Test 45, ENG v WI at Lords starts tomorrow ... :-)
One £100 bet at SP (before the toss), back or lay the favourite (fav), second favourite (2fav) or outsider (dog), with laydraw and backdraw included (the draw obviously being favourite, 2nd favourite or the dog).
After 44 test matches, the standings were as follows
back2fav... +£652
layfav........ +£606
laydraw..... +£112
backdraw... +£73
backdog.... -£215
laydog....... -£280
lay2fav...... -£521
backfav..... -£1196
Test 45, ENG v WI at Lords starts tomorrow ... :-)
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nice one crunchy ;)
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Match 45: Victory for ENG at 2.2, draw was 2.44, WI were 7.2.
back2fav... +£552 layfav........ +£506 laydraw..... +£181 backdraw... -£27 backdog.... -£315 laydog....... -£264 lay2fav...... -£452 backfav..... -£1076 |
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Test 46, ENG v WI at Chester-le-Street ...
ENG 2.12; draw 2.4; WI 8.4 Will it be back2fav or backfav ??? :-) |
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Match 46: Victory for backfav, laydraw, lay2fav and laydog.
back2fav... +£452 layfav........ +£406 laydraw..... +£252 backdraw... -£127 laydog....... -£251 lay2fav...... -£381 backdog.... -£415 backfav..... -£964 |
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Test 47, SRI v PAK at Galle ...
SRI 3.05; draw 1.99; PAK 6.0 :-) |
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Match 47: Shocking defeat for the dog :-( back2fav wins :-)
back2fav... +£657 layfav........ +£507 laydraw..... +£353 backdraw... -£227 laydog....... -£231 lay2fav...... -£481 backdog.... -£515 backfav..... -£1064 |
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Test 48, The Ashes; first test, at Cardiff ...
ENG 3.65; draw 2.46; AUS 3.1 Come on England :-) |
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Test 49, WI reserves v BAN; first test, at Kingstown ...
WI 3.05; draw 3.35; BAN 2.6 I'm assuming that this series will count! :-) |
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Test 50, SRI v PAK; second test, at Colombo ...
SRI 2.8; draw 2.5; PAK 4.3 |
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Match 48: backfav wins for a change :-)
back2fav... +£557 layfav........ +£407 laydraw..... +£253 backdraw... -£81 laydog....... -£194 lay2fav...... -£434 backdog.... -£615 backfav..... -£918 |
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Match 49: backfav wins again :-)
back2fav... +£457 layfav........ +£307 laydraw..... +£295 laydog....... -£152 backdraw... -£181 lay2fav...... -£386 backdog.... -£715 backfav..... -£758 |
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Match 50: back2fav this time :-)
back2fav... +£637 layfav........ +£373 laydraw..... +£361 laydog....... -£122 backdraw... -£281 lay2fav...... -£486 backdog.... -£815 backfav..... -£858 |
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settled faster than betfair :0
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;-)
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Test 51, The Ashes; second test, at Lords ...
ENG 5.8; draw 2.16; AUS 2.72 How much rain this time? :-) |
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Test 52, WI reserves v BAN; second test, at St George's
WI 2.88; draw 3.3; BAN 3.1 Not sure why Ban aren't favourites ;-) |
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Test 53, SRI v PAK; third test, at Colombo ...
SRI 3.05; draw 2.16; PAK 4.3 |
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Match 51: a stonking victory for backdog :-)
back2fav... +£537 layfav........ +£459 laydraw..... +£447 laydog....... -£222 backdog.... -£335 backdraw... -£381 lay2fav...... -£428 backfav..... -£958 |
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Match 52: a well deserved victory for back2fav :-)
back2fav... +£747 layfav........ +£512 laydraw..... +£490 laydog....... -£179 backdog.... -£435 backdraw... -£481 lay2fav...... -£528 backfav..... -£1058 |
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Match 53: backfav and backdraw :-)
back2fav... +£647 layfav........ +£412 laydraw..... +£390 laydog....... -£149 backdraw... -£365 lay2fav...... -£480 backdog.... -£535 backfav..... -£942 |
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Test 54, The Ashes; third test, at Edgbaston ...
ENG 5.8; draw 1.78; AUS 3.7 I'm using the odds from earlier this morning. Stupid rain :-( |
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Match 54: backfav and backdraw again :-)
back2fav... +£547 layfav........ +£312 laydraw..... +£290 laydog....... -£129 backdraw... -£287 lay2fav...... -£443 backdog.... -£635 backfav..... -£864 |
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Test 55, The Ashes; fourth test, at Headingley ...
ENG 4.7; draw 2.56; AUS 2.52 |
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Test 55, The Ashes; fourth test, at Headingley ...
ENG 4.6; draw 2.7; AUS 2.4 Lets make it nice round numbers :-) |
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Match 55: backfav :-(
back2fav... +£447 laydraw..... +£352 layfav........ +£212 laydog....... -£102 lay2fav...... -£381 backdraw... -£387 backfav..... -£714 backdog.... -£735 |
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Test 56, SRI v NZ; first test, at Colombo ...
SRI 1.95; draw 2.9; NZ 7 |
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Test 57, The Ashes; fifth test, at the Oval ...
ENG 5.6; draw 2.3; AUS 2.58 |
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Match 56: backfav fourth time in a row!
laydraw..... +£404 back2fav... +£347 layfav........ +£112 laydog....... -£86 lay2fav...... -£329 backdraw... -£487 backfav..... -£619 backdog.... -£835 |
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Match 57: backdog :-)
laydraw..... +£480 back2fav... +£247 layfav........ +£188 laydog....... -£186 lay2fav...... -£266 backdog.... -£375 backdraw... -£587 backfav..... -£719 |
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Test 58, SRI v NZ; second test, at Colombo ...
SRI 1.93; draw 2.56; NZ 10 |
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ttt
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Match 58: backfav (5 out of the last 6)
laydraw..... +£544 back2fav... +£147 layfav........ +£88 laydog....... -£175 lay2fav...... -£202 backdog.... -£475 backfav..... -£626 backdraw... -£687 Well, that's it until Brisbane at the end of November :-( |
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well done lé crunch . ;)
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those bottom two sure do give a massive clue to it all eh
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very interesting this
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Interesting yes, but is there any statistical significance?
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a sample of 58 is not bad imo
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Test 59, IND v SRI; first test, in Ahmedabad ...
IND 2.62; draw 2.32; SRI 5.2 :-) |
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can someone bump the thread with the first 44 matches on please ?
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