Olympics 2012
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29 Jul 12
13:55
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Date Joined:
09 Oct 10
Could only manage 4th in last years world championship and 4th in the semis yesterday, qualifing in 6th. And the way qualifying is done, you can't mess around as adlington discovered. Going to need to swim a personal best to win I can't see why he is second fav at 4.3. He's past his best and will be lucky to get a medal IMO.
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Didn't he do a sub 59 in Olympic qualifying?
Hate to do it in a sprint but will probably take the fav here.
Hate to do it in a sprint but will probably take the fav here.
van der burgh will go out fast and not be caught.
kitajima not at his best, agree will be lucky to medal
kitajima not at his best, agree will be lucky to medal
He did do a 58.90 this year which was a PB by 0.01 seconds. But even if he recovers his best ever form that time will not win. There is no logical reason to hold back in qualifing last night as there is a very real danger of not getting through. I might be wrong but I'm going to lay him. Just can't decide win or place.
A few statistics from the last 3 olympics. This is for all 50m/100 swimming events combined for men and women.
Fastest qualifier from the semis: Won final 16/29 times, top 3 28/29!! People who have qualified in 6th or lower have won, but they are typically unexposed.
In 2004 Kitajima was fastest in the heats, won his semi-final then won the final
In 2008 he was second fastest in the heats but won his heat, and won his semi-final.
So coming 4th in a semi-final is inconsistent with his winning pattern.
Also, 4 year ago he broke the world record with a 58.91. Swimming has come a long way since then and the new generation are much faster. At his best he won't win but could get a place. You you have to have serious doubts as to weather he is at his best.
Also for me van de burgh to place looks a great bet.
I might look a fool in a few hours time! But there we go, that's by two penny worth.
Fastest qualifier from the semis: Won final 16/29 times, top 3 28/29!! People who have qualified in 6th or lower have won, but they are typically unexposed.
In 2004 Kitajima was fastest in the heats, won his semi-final then won the final
In 2008 he was second fastest in the heats but won his heat, and won his semi-final.
So coming 4th in a semi-final is inconsistent with his winning pattern.
Also, 4 year ago he broke the world record with a 58.91. Swimming has come a long way since then and the new generation are much faster. At his best he won't win but could get a place. You you have to have serious doubts as to weather he is at his best.
Also for me van de burgh to place looks a great bet.
I might look a fool in a few hours time! But there we go, that's by two penny worth.
win or lose..a great post pumpkin..keep it coming pal.
ahh, you've reckoned without the ghost of Alexander Dale Oen pulling his friend along.
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