Olympics 2012
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As mentioned on the Best Bets for Gold Anyone thread, I said I would start a thread just for short priced lays as and when they come up over the fortnight.
Both here and with the mostly British bookies, Team GB competitors will be at artificially low odds. There's a lot of mug money around for occasions such as this and some will lump on as much for the nationalistic fervour as the person's chances of actually winning. While Team GB will probably get around 20-25 golds there are bound to be upsets. Not just with Team GB either. There are bound to be others.
I'm going to start off with a lay of Mark Cavendish for Saturday's road race. Yes. he is by far the world's best sprinter but this is not a sprinter's race, it's a one day classic and lumpy enough with 9 times over Box Hill in Surrey. At or around Evens, that's a lay for me.
Both here and with the mostly British bookies, Team GB competitors will be at artificially low odds. There's a lot of mug money around for occasions such as this and some will lump on as much for the nationalistic fervour as the person's chances of actually winning. While Team GB will probably get around 20-25 golds there are bound to be upsets. Not just with Team GB either. There are bound to be others.
I'm going to start off with a lay of Mark Cavendish for Saturday's road race. Yes. he is by far the world's best sprinter but this is not a sprinter's race, it's a one day classic and lumpy enough with 9 times over Box Hill in Surrey. At or around Evens, that's a lay for me.
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I am not and never will be a layer and will not be betting in the rowing at the Olympics, backing or laying.
However, I think Karsten in the Womens Single Sculls is beatable. By who I don't know, but she was the hottest favourite ever in Beijing and blew it, is 40 years old and whilst she does have 2 Golds to her name already the last one was 12 years ago. She won well in the last World Cup event in Munich but that is never a great form line as athletes are missing, tapering for the Olympics and generally messing about with tactics. |
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Bolt is a small place lay at 1.2 in the 100m. A lot of sprinting is psychological and he knows that he doesn't have this one in the bag. Conceivably, there are 4 other boys capable of running a 9.7 and if he is a touch below his best (and I think that he might very well be), he would be vulnerable to someone running that time. He was Dq'd in the Worlds and I just wonder if he might get a little twitchy again as he is under immense pressure. I also don't see him busting a gut to finish 2nd or 3rd and if someone has just 'gone' I can see him tailing off over the last 30m.
That said, all the problems of the last year could just be sandbagging and he knows he is gonna run a 9.5  |
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mo farah, win lay in 5000 and 10000.
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I do think Bolt is sandbagging. I never ever thought I'd see another runner at sub 2-1 against him in a final. Another lay for me, Yohan Blake in the 100m.
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