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CLYDEBANK29
31 May 20 11:47
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Date Joined: 10 Jan 02
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Extrapolated that's about 800,000 active cases in England

Two ways of looking at that if it was a fairish sample.  Would mean over a third and maybe a half of the population have already had it.  So the virus isn't nearly as deadly as first thought or maybe it's getting less deadly.

There's been a sudden surge in cases from lifting lockdown, yet to be realised in hospital admissions.

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By:
CLYDEBANK29
When: 31 May 20 11:57
meant to be an "or" between the 2 sentences.
By:
Cider
When: 31 May 20 12:39
Young men with lots of money, with big houses, with nothing to do and used to socialising with each other regularly. Four at the same club. It's not a fairish sample, it's a dreadful sample.
By:
CLYDEBANK29
When: 31 May 20 13:44
I did say if it was a fair sample, but I take issue with your point. 

If they are players they are going to live in less crowded conditions, live in upmarket areas where the virus isn't so prevalent.  They are not in a high risk profession like bus drivers shop workers and care.  The 4 at the same club were in Colchester where the season has finished.

I think the sample is rogue because of the smallish sample size, but it's still very disappointing.  I'd have expected 1-2 on average, if you were to believe the 8,000 cases a day being banded about, so it is miles out from that.
By:
Cider
When: 31 May 20 13:58
The fact that the sample is so distorted nullifies the rest of it. It's a good sample of affluent young men who often socialise together who are getting paid very well and will be very bored. I've no doubt many will be partying, drinking and seeing girls, in groups, indoors. Of course you'll hear about the exceptional cases in the media, ones who claim to be scared but most men in their 20s will be quite cavalier.
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