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Angoose
10 May 20 14:18
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Date Joined: 18 Jul 02
| Topic/replies: 24,312 | Blogger: Angoose's blog
A leading statistician has criticised the government’s use of daily figures, describing it as “number theatre”.

Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter, chairman of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication at the University of Cambridge, criticised the government’s daily briefings, saying that the public are being fed “number theatre”.

Speaking on the Andrew Marr show this morning, Spiegelhalter said he wished data was being shared by people who understood its “strengths and limitations” and could “treat the audience with respect”.

Asked about the Government’s communication to the public through the briefings, Spiegelhalter said he had watched Saturday’s briefing and “frankly, I found it completely embarrassing”.

He said it was “extraordinary” that it is not known how many people have had Covid-19.

“We get told lots of big numbers, precise numbers of tests being done - 96,878. Well, that’s not how many were done yesterday; it includes tests that were posted out,” he said.

“We’re told 31,587 people have died; no, they haven’t, it’s far more than that. I think this is actually not the trustworthy communication of statistics,” he continued.

“It’s such a missed opportunity. The public out there who are broadly very supportive of the measures, they’re hungry for details, for facts, for genuine information, and yet they get fed this what I call ‘number theatre’, which seems to be co-ordinated really much more by a Number 10 communications team rather than genuinely trying to inform people about what’s going on.”

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Replies: 39
By:
wondersobright
When: 10 May 20 14:28
the only numbers that matter are total deaths & how this compares with normal mortality rates

everything else is theatre imo
By:
politicspunter
When: 10 May 20 14:31

May 10, 2020 -- 2:28PM, wondersobright wrote:


the only numbers that matter are total deaths & how this compares with normal mortality rateseverything else is theatre imo


I assume you mean how the virus deaths compare with other countries?

By:
Just Checking
When: 10 May 20 14:33
In other news, Angoose copy/pastes unattributed articles from the journal of left wing imbeciles "The Guardian", onto chit chat.
By:
politicspunter
When: 10 May 20 14:36

May 10, 2020 -- 2:33PM, Just Checking wrote:


In other news, Angoose copy/pastes unattributed articles from the journal of left wing imbeciles "The Guardian", onto chit chat.


"Speaking on the Andrew Marr show this morning"

By:
Angoose
When: 10 May 20 14:38
JC enjoys riding on his hobby horse.
By:
leif
When: 10 May 20 14:39
It was interesting listening to what he said about the ONS 'Excess deaths'.

Something along the lines that some excess deaths, apart from the confirmed Rona deaths, will be the result of either under reporting by health workers who fail to add Covid19 to the death certificate or  an above average death rate of people dying in the community from non-Covid causes.

From that I take him to mean that the lockdown could be causing a spike in deaths.

Also touched on the care home crisis saying we know why the death rate is high given the age range of the residents and that hospitals were sending people into these homes without testing them for Covid.

Sticking a fox into the chicken shed.Sad
By:
Just Checking
When: 10 May 20 14:42
Ahh yes Andrew Marr. A man who as a student, was quite literally an evangelestic leaflet distributing Communist.

I'm surprised it took him so long to get his own show on the BBC.
By:
wondersobright
When: 10 May 20 14:43
From that I take him to mean that the lockdown could be causing a spike in deaths.
that's exactly what has taken place in england

according to PHE's own figures, the only weeks where we've seen excess mortality since this coronavirus "situation" has been in lockdown
nothing before that

that aligned with a big reduction of hospital admissions tells me that people with underlying health problems who require medical treatment are foregoing that treatment, either by necessity or choice
By:
Just Checking
When: 10 May 20 14:44
PS your post was literally, as usual a copy/paste from the Guardian. Anyone can verify this.
By:
Angoose
When: 10 May 20 14:47
Does the source change the words that came out of Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter's mouth ?
By:
politicspunter
When: 10 May 20 14:50
Maybe there were two Andrew Marr programmes today and Just Checking was watching the other one?
By:
Angoose
When: 10 May 20 14:58
JC, you can take your pick of sources reporting on the comments, perhaps one of these may be more to your liking.

https://www.birminghammail.co.uk/news/midlands-news/professor-condemns-government-over-number-18228140
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/coronavirus-ministers-criticised-for-failure-to-find-out-through-testing-how-many-people-have-had-covid-19-3fqqq3b69
https://uk.news.yahoo.com/governments-press-briefings-completely-embarrassing-115228676.html
https://www.scotsman.com/health/downing-st-briefings-are-number-theatre-and-not-trustworthy-says-expert-2848258
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/uk/david-spiegelhalter-covid19-statistics-coronavirus-government-a4436471.html
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/live/2020/may/10/uk-coronavirus-live-boris-johnson-to-announce-covid-19-alert-system

All reporting the same words said from the same mouth.

Watch it hear and hear it first hand if you prefer.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/guide/bbcone

And be sure to wear your hard hat when sat upon your hobby horse. A fall can cause a nasty blow.
By:
Just Checking
When: 10 May 20 15:07
Angoose, pretty much every day, you post articles, (even more than once a day) unattributed, from a laughable left wing comic, clearly not posting the link OR the origin as people know it's a joke journal for cretins, THEN attack me for pointing out this "journalstic fact".


I love how conceited smart lefties love to ask questions.

Tell me, if Laura Twatberg on the BBC was to spend her time on news bulletins verbatim repeating the Daily Mail, without even an attempt to say the origin, would your beloved pish journal or yourself perhaps point this out? Would anyone pointing it out be open to "attack"?
By:
leif
When: 10 May 20 15:08
England announces 178 more hospital deaths

no drama today
By:
Angoose
When: 10 May 20 15:11
JC, why does it bother you so much ?
By:
Just Checking
When: 10 May 20 15:22
"JC, why does it bother you so much ?"
Because I don't like sanctimonious dishonest people who spend a quite incredible amount of time (seriously, how many hours a week) on an internet forum hypocritcally shouting about other people being dishonest or not being honest about sources or not being direct, while not being honest about their own motives or sources as everything they do is a dishonest attempt to score points and often quote a journal of stupidity to do so? Hows about that for a start.
By:
politicspunter
When: 10 May 20 15:24

May 10, 2020 -- 3:07PM, Just Checking wrote:


Angoose, pretty much every day, you post articles, (even more than once a day) unattributed, from a laughable left wing comic, clearly not posting the link OR the origin as people know it's a joke journal for cretins, THEN attack me for pointing out this "journalstic fact". I love how conceited smart lefties love to ask questions.Tell me, if Laura Twatberg on the BBC was to spend her time on news bulletins verbatim repeating the Daily Mail, without even an attempt to say the origin, would your beloved pish journal or yourself perhaps point this out? Would anyone pointing it out be open to "attack"?


You are so biased Just checking as you make clear in post after post. Your views are therefore fairly irrelevant. You would be far better listening to other folks views.

By:
aaronh
When: 10 May 20 15:29
JC attacking the source and not the content, needs to get out of his echo chamber imo
By:
Angoose
When: 10 May 20 15:31
JC, you routinely launch personal attacks on a largely meaningless anonymous internet forum.
Do you derive pleasure from doing so ?
By:
Just Checking
When: 10 May 20 15:32
LOL "man points out that person who constantly, day after day, copy pastes to quotes a biased source without refererencing the origin as a biased source - the person pointing this out is the problem".

So much that is wrong about the truth hating left. Right there above. Horrifying.
By:
Angoose
When: 10 May 20 15:34
How is bias measured, are you the sole arbitrator ?
By:
Just Checking
When: 10 May 20 15:34
"JC, you routinely launch personal attacks on a largely meaningless anonymous internet forum."
No I don't, that is a lie, this is a pathetic troll, a diversion, +++ question mark, blah blah, I won't even dignify you with a reply.
By:
aaronh
When: 10 May 20 15:35
can we get the not biased list of sources please Happy
By:
politicspunter
When: 10 May 20 15:35

May 10, 2020 -- 3:34PM, Just Checking wrote:


"JC, you routinely launch personal attacks on a largely meaningless anonymous internet forum."No I don't, that is a lie, this is a pathetic troll, a diversion, +++ question mark, blah blah, I won't even dignify you with a reply.


It's true, Just Checking. Perhaps you need to calm down?

By:
Angoose
When: 10 May 20 15:37
JC, do you agree with Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter that the government are engaged in an untrustworthy communication of statistics ?
By:
SontaranStratagem
When: 10 May 20 15:37
It is number theatre

900 people weren't dying daily, it was more like 700 and they were getting added weeks later

8th April is still our peak, over 4 weeks ago

Numbers are massively down in hospitals, in fact apart from hospitals and care homes this thing doesn't exist? that was from another scientist
By:
aaronh
When: 10 May 20 15:38
in any normal forum Angoose and politicspunter would probably be seen as in the centre but because everyone to the left of Thatcher is far left on this forum they get all this nonsense
By:
politicspunter
When: 10 May 20 15:41

May 10, 2020 -- 3:38PM, aaronh wrote:


in any normal forum Angoose and politicspunter would probably be seen as in the centre but because everyone to the left of Thatcher is far left on this forum they get all this nonsense


Lol, I guess that's right enough.

By:
Just Checking
When: 10 May 20 15:41
I love how trolls, when beaten, ignore the point made and attack the man.
By:
politicspunter
When: 10 May 20 15:42

May 10, 2020 -- 3:41PM, Just Checking wrote:


I love how trolls, when beaten, ignore the point made and attack the man.


As you do, always.

By:
aaronh
When: 10 May 20 15:43
JC like many others, say hysterical or just plain wrong nonsense get laughed at and ridiculed for it then basically SO MUCH FOR THE TOLERANT LEFT!!
By:
Baphornet
When: 10 May 20 15:43
PP has always said he's a tory; i've yet to meet one like him
By:
aaronh
When: 10 May 20 15:46
1st post by JC in this thread

Just Checking • May 10, 2020 2:33 PM BST
In other news, Angoose copy/pastes unattributed articles from the journal of left wing imbeciles "The Guardian", onto chit chat.


no response to the content in the OP

2nd post by JC in this thread

Just Checking • May 10, 2020 2:42 PM BST
Ahh yes Andrew Marr. A man who as a student, was quite literally an evangelestic leaflet distributing Communist.

I'm surprised it took him so long to get his own show on the BBC.


no response to the content in the OP. so many of the most dull neoliberal types had radical politics in their youth, this is nothing new or relevant

3rd post by JC in this thread

Just Checking • May 10, 2020 3:07 PM BST
Angoose, pretty much every day, you post articles, (even more than once a day) unattributed, from a laughable left wing comic, clearly not posting the link OR the origin as people know it's a joke journal for cretins, THEN attack me for pointing out this "journalstic fact".


I love how conceited smart lefties love to ask questions.

Tell me, if Laura Twatberg on the BBC was to spend her time on news bulletins verbatim repeating the Daily Mail, without even an attempt to say the origin, would your beloved pish journal or yourself perhaps point this out? Would anyone pointing it out be open to "attack"?


still no addressing the point Cry
By:
Just Checking
When: 10 May 20 15:52
My point is that Angoose constantly posts Guardian article on here, copy/paste without attributing them. Day after day. Often numerous times a day.
I have no time in my life to argue with stupid little lefties, you will take my points (and hopefully grow a little) or leave them, I care not.

If you've not understood why I, as an adult, don't engage with stupid leftie trolls, you don't understand adults.

The idea I'm going to spend my time answering  ? ? ? ? by trolling morons is absurd.
By:
politicspunter
When: 10 May 20 15:54

May 10, 2020 -- 3:52PM, Just Checking wrote:


My point is that Angoose constantly posts Guardian article on here, copy/paste without attributing them. Day after day. Often numerous times a day.I have no time in my life to argue with stupid little lefties, you will take my points (and hopefully grow a little) or leave them, I care not.If you've not understood why I, as an adult, don't engage with stupid leftie trolls, you don't understand adults.The idea I'm going to spend my time answering  ? ? ? ? by trolling morons is absurd.


Has it occurred to you that you are the trolling moron?

By:
sofiakenny
When: 10 May 20 15:54
Bap..are you suggesting that Conservative with a small C no longer exists?
By:
aaronh
When: 10 May 20 15:59
depends what Bap's views are on "One Nation Tory" types are, I expect not too complimentary Devil
By:
Angoose
When: 10 May 20 15:59
JC, do you agree with Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter that the government are engaged in an untrustworthy communication of statistics ?
By:
aaronh
When: 10 May 20 16:03

May 10, 2020 -- 3:52PM, Just Checking wrote:


My point is that Angoose constantly posts Guardian article on here, copy/paste without attributing them. Day after day. Often numerous times a day.I have no time in my life to argue with stupid little lefties, you will take my points (and hopefully grow a little) or leave them, I care not.If you've not understood why I, as an adult, don't engage with stupid leftie trolls, you don't understand adults.The idea I'm going to spend my time answering  ? ? ? ? by trolling morons is absurd.


everyone knows the source of the articles. you haven't unearthed some big conspiracy by going on about it

you made no points like you never do, just crying about the left

grow up, the reds aren't hiding under the bed any more

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