Oct 4, 2019 -- 11:44PM, PorcupineorPineapple wrote:
Ok, will be interested to see who the pollsters are, who is paying them to ask the question, what that question is and when it was asked.One thing we've surely all learned in the last couple of years is that opinion polls are usually massively loaded dice used to support an agenda. But I'll keep an open mind on this one till aka supplies his answer.
From the same source aka quoted from:
A NEW POLL has shown just over half of people in Northern Ireland would vote for Irish unification if there were a border poll tomorrow.
The poll, published by Lord Ashcroft, shows that 45% of those surveyed said they would vote to stay in the UK, while 46% said they would choose to leave and join the Republic of Ireland.
This breaks down to 51% to 49% for unification when don’t knows and those who say they would not vote are excluded.
https://www.thejournal.ie/lord-ashcroft-irish-unification-poll-4804372-Sep2019/
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Oct 5, 2019 -- 12:00AM, brassneck wrote:
the other side of the coin is that if northern ireland remained in the EU COSTOMS UNION then both the UK AND THE EU.Could pump billions of money into it and it could end up being the richest state? in the world.if it was developed correctly .but the problem is getting people to agree.money could be the answer to brexit?
Yes, NI gets in theory the best of both worlds. As for a United Ireland, we are about 20 years off from that. NI is only half way there, still has a journey to take from the GFA. It's still divided, just a little less so. That's hard for GB residents to appreciate - you really need to go and see it for yourselves. Probably needs those who were barely alive in 1998 to be getting into roles of power and influence. It cannot now just be a convenient excuse for Brexit. It's not ready for unification and neither is the ROI to take it on. And when it does happen, it would have to be a slow and steady transition towards unity. I would disregard polls on the issue. There's been no real debate witihn ROI and NI on this yet.
Another thought. If you take the view that the EU is generally seen as a problem, something not worth hanging around in - fairly standard UK media fare over the last 20 years, in Ireland that very same media would have been pumping a mostly positive EU line. The truth is honestly somewhere in the middle.
Most likely a bit more euroskepticism to come ROI's way. How much, we don't know. I think without the UK, ROI loses a good partner at the EU table, and any influence it has, will be further reduced. Tax harmonisation, migrants, having to pay more into the EU's coffers. All of these will impact on the average voter's thinking. Roll on 10 years and I'm not saying that ROI will want to IREXIT, but it will be more eurocritical. Who knows beyond that?