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zorrostrikes
27 Nov 16 01:54
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Date Joined: 29 Sep 10
| Topic/replies: 8,515 | Blogger: zorrostrikes's blog
https://www.newscientist.com/issue/2692/

oops. so sorry.
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Report Ovalman. November 27, 2016 9:53 AM GMT
Have you read the article? Or is this just another inane thread trying to debunk science with mumbo jumbo that you clearly know nothing about.
Report cardifffc November 27, 2016 8:28 PM GMT
zorro still thinks we live in the 16th century
Report Ovalman. November 27, 2016 8:58 PM GMT
In fairness since we started burning witches, none were seen afterwards.
Report DStyle November 27, 2016 9:08 PM GMT
if anyone's actually interested, the point is that the tree of life proposed by darwin with its clearly demarcated branches,is probably too simple, rather it's far more likely that it's a complicated entangled mess, or "The Impenetrable Thicket of Life".

It's more complicated than darwin thought due to horizontal gene transfer, something which largely happens in bacteria and viruses, which he could never have really understood at the time.

full article here:

https://www.sott.net/article/173647-Why-Darwin-was-wrong-about-the-tree-of-life
Report ebulGery November 27, 2016 10:03 PM GMT
A good article...when I have a few hours I may try to digest it

It does challenge Darwins Tree of Life or perhaps tries to supplant it with a Web of Life

This is because of something known as Horizonatal Gene Transfer...where genes seem to have been swapped between species,

on different branches.

Science advances one step at a time, so I would be happy to accept this.


But this does NOT take us back to Genesis or Adam and Eve, discredited now for nearly 150 years.

Still may people believe it if they wish, there is absolutely no support for it in this article.

It is just showing Darwin's Tree of Life is far more complicated than we first though. So it may have to be superseded

by another analogy
Report ebulGery November 27, 2016 10:05 PM GMT
Largely as Dstyle said in the post previous to mineBlush
Report ebulGery November 27, 2016 10:41 PM GMT
The tree concept could become biology's equivalent of Newtonian mechanics: revolutionary and hugely successful in its time, but ultimately too simplistic to deal with the messy real world. "The tree of life was useful," says Bapteste. "It helped us to understand that evolution was real. But now we know more about evolution, it's time to move on."

From the above article

Note Move on, not go backwards
Report zorrostrikes November 28, 2016 6:48 AM GMT
recap - the foundations are rotten ... but let's keep building the house anyway.
Report ebulGery November 28, 2016 1:36 PM GMT
The foundations are not rotten...science progresses one step at a time Zorro.

All of todays scientific theories will probably be replaced by something better in time..

Darwin or Mendel did not have the technology of today, and they were starting a new science from scratch, evolution.

One thing I can say about creation theory is it never progressesSad
Report HH Sultan Vinegar November 28, 2016 4:31 PM GMT
Coincidentally was reading this blog article the other day -
"Human Chromosome 2 – Evidence of Common Descent."
.
https://aperimentis.wordpress.com/2015/04/05/human-chromosome-2/


interesting stuff!
Report Culvin November 28, 2016 5:50 PM GMT
I think zorrostrikes is a very intelligent ChitChatter.He could hold his own with Einstein
Report zorrostrikes November 30, 2016 8:25 AM GMT
why do evolutionists do that?

Throw in Mendel with Darwin?

they've claimed all medical breakthroughs are due to Darwinism?

Pasteur wrote extensively about Darwinism being BS. 99 percent of all biology is done without any evolutionary input.

Where are the children? what do we now have in our lives that came from Darwinism.
Chemistry gave us magic bullet medicines. Plastics, fibres, composite materials, modern paints, etc etc.
Physics have us universal laws, structural understanding of materials. Nuclear power stations. Electricity etc.
Biology gave us vaccines(Edward Jenner)1790, micro biology from Pasteur, etc.

I don't wake in the morning thinking what new marvel will evolution bring me today? because it all fits in a shoebox. All the other scientific disciplines have it covered already. It's like the appendix at the end of the book, giving credit.

The evolutionists claim everything in creation. Einstein was a product of evolution, ergo thank Evolution for everything Einstein did? It's insane. You cannot claim everybody's work as your own. Read Pasteur, Read Boris Chain the nobel prize winning biologist. It's a philosophy tacked onto science. It does not explain the beginning of life in any way. They admit that. The expand micro evolution into Macro? without a shred of proof.
They actively ban other academics from publishing papers that might impinge on their reinforcement of a godless society. Intelligent design is banned. It's a closed shop.
Any reason but God. Aliens are okay? lightning is okay? multiverses are okay. But GOD is forbidden. Says it all.
Report ebulGery November 30, 2016 2:29 PM GMT
zorrostrikes  • November 30, 2016 8:25 AM GMT 
why do evolutionists do that?

Throw in Mendel with Darwin?


That is because that although Darwin had shown mutations in a species do take place, he had no idea of the mechanism.
Critics claimed mutations could not survive because they would be bred out by the majority of a species who had not mutated.
Ergo similar to putting a drop of white paint into a bucket of red paint.

What Gregor Mendel showed was that mutations are never lost, they are held in what we now know as DNA in a system of dominant and recessive genomes. If the mutations do well they will prosper in a species and may become the default dominant genome. If they do not prosper
they will always be recessive.

You attack Darwinism in little details Zorro. The Tree of life may not be the final answer.

But what has creationism got going for it, nothing! Other than the Bible and blind faith

Of the two I prefer to stick to Darwinism, Mendel believed in Darwinism of course.
Report ebulGery November 30, 2016 2:38 PM GMT
Mendel was a Franciscan Friar, but was in a very forward looking Monastery, which encourages a search for knowledge, the truth.

Mendel was a very intelligent man, but he came from a poor family, who could not afford to fund his further education or studies.

He entered the St. Thomas' Abbey in Brno to allow him to continue his studies.


Sadly he was not recognised in his own lifetime but he was rediscovered 3 decades later and his experiments with peas successfully repeated.

He was right.
Report ebulGery November 30, 2016 2:40 PM GMT
Darwin did not claim to have found how life started.

As of this moment nobody has any idea
Report maleuk01. November 30, 2016 9:28 PM GMT
If animals/creatures adapt to their environment,then why are there so many different types of fish?

Surely they should all evolve and actually start to converge to best suit their environment. Especially those living in the same area/waters.
Report zorrostrikes December 1, 2016 12:02 AM GMT
Blind Faith? It doesn't exist.
Except in masonic rites.

I read the bible and it has historic figures in it - Caesar, Pontius Pilot. etc.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_biblical_figures_identified_in_extra-biblical_sources

I test it daily. It stands up to scrutiny.

Unless you are getting your bible from Hollywood and tv second hand.
Report ebulGery December 1, 2016 12:43 AM GMT
maleuk01.  • November 30, 2016 9:28 PM GMT 
If animals/creatures adapt to their environment,then why are there so many different types of fish?
Surely they should all evolve and actually start to converge to best suit their environment. Especially those living in the same area/waters.


Because there would only be limited resources for one type of fish.

To take advantage of all resources the fish need to be different.
In fact this has happened in Lake Victoria in Africa.


Cichlids span a wide range of body sizes, from species as small as 2.5 centimeters (0.98 in) in length (e.g., female Neolamprologus multifasciatus) to much larger species approaching 1 meter (3.3 ft) in length (e.g. Boulengerochromis and Cichla). As a group, cichlids exhibit a similar diversity of body shapes, ranging from strongly laterally compressed species (such as Altolamprologus, Pterophyllum, and Symphysodon) to species that are cylindrical and highly elongate (such as Julidochromis, Teleogramma, Teleocichla, Crenicichla, and Gobiocichla).

Cichlids differ not only in size and shape, but also in range, habitat, reproduction, and feeding.  Just within Africa’s Lake Victoria, the “two hundred species “differ among themselves in food habits as much as do tigers and cows”, explains Cambridge physiologist Jared Diamond in The Rise and Fall of the Third Chimpanzee.

“Some graze on algae, others catch other fish, and still others crush nails, feed on plankton, catch insects, nibble the scales off other fish, or specialize in grabbing fish embryos from brooding mother fish.” Diamond further notes: “Yet all those Lake Victoria cichlids differ from each other on the average by about 0.4% of their DNA studied.”


This both proves and disproves Darwin. Species adapt to their environment, but there is not a lot of difference in their DNA.

So Zorro may be right, Darwinism may be challenged.

However whatever we replace Darwinism with is not going to be Adam and Eve as Zorro believes.

Still we are all entitled to our own beliefs
Report zorrostrikes December 1, 2016 2:19 PM GMT
Free will is a precious gift from God, for it lets us love him with our “whole heart”—because we want to.
—Matthew 22:37.
Report maleuk01. December 1, 2016 8:49 PM GMT
That's not right ebul, many different types of fish compete over the same resources, and have the same bigger fish after them.

Your explanation may explain  handful of species, not thousands.

also, if life evolves from say bacteria, then surely all strands of bacteria etc should be relatively new, but we see bacteria that has existed for millions of years. Why hasn't it all evolved?

Why has only 1 species (humans) developed into a far superior animal as in developing science, language, art etc etc. Nothing else even comes anywhere near as evolved as the human species.
Report ebulGery December 1, 2016 9:10 PM GMT
I cannot guarantee I am right maleuk01

if life evolves from say bacteria, then surely all strands of bacteria etc should be relatively new, but we see bacteria that has existed for millions of years. Why hasn't it all evolved?

Because they have reached a state of balance, they have no need to evolve. It is a change in the environment which drives evolution where

existing resources may no longer be available, they must adapt to something else or die.

This may be common in islands when a species become cut off from the rest of the their species, it is quite common.


Humans evolved form Chimpanzee or a common ancestor. There were forests covering large area of the Earth.

These reduced so some chimpanzee where forced down from the trees to survive.

Once this happened, these chimpanzee had to raise their head, to keep an eye out for predators, Gradually they developed straight necks

which chimpanzee do not have....they became australopithecines


Australopithecines were perfect intermediate forms between African apes and modern humans,"

Our straight necks enabled us to vocalise more different sounds, from this developed from which developed language.

The development of language drove our brains made them bigger, so our intelligence increased.

It is astonishing I think the difference in the intelligence of humans and the rest of the animal kingdom.

I still wonder myself.


I think this is where we stand at the moment, but things may change if we learn more.
Report ebulGery December 1, 2016 9:14 PM GMT
You say bacteria do not change maleuk01, in fact our modern anti biotics are creating super bugs.

The viruses are having to adapt to the attack by anit biotics, it is a change in their environment.

At some point they may become immune to all anti biotics, the medical profession is worried.
Report ebulGery December 1, 2016 9:26 PM GMT
The whole success of life is down to the fact we do not always reproduce perfectly. Slight mutations sometimes creep in.

It is these slight mutations which have enabled life to survive and develop in all its incredible variety.

Lake Victoria in Africa was originally inhabited by Cichlid fish in one common form, they were all the same.

But the lake could not support them being all the same and there was no escape. So mutations flourished, it is incredible to believe all the

different fish in that lake are still Cichlids. But we have created another puzzle, only 0.4% deference in their genetic structures?
Report maleuk01. December 1, 2016 9:35 PM GMT
yes ebul that's what  I mean, some bacteria evolve, some into superbugs, others tree of life argues will develop into animals given enough time. Other strains never change. Why do they all not evolve?

All seems odd to me.
Report tobermory December 1, 2016 9:44 PM GMT
If a species is perfectly adapted to it's environment it will not evolve.
Report ebulGery December 1, 2016 9:53 PM GMT
yes
Report zorrostrikes December 2, 2016 8:24 AM GMT
Dr Richard Lenski of Michigan University has been breeding e-coli for thirty years. Every day he takes the next generation and seeds them into a new environment. He destroys the old generation. He's an evolutionary biologist. The experiment was designed to observe mutations and possible evolution in action. in that thirty year experiment . over 66,000 generations of e-coli have passed and none have changed into a more advanced bacteria, they are still e-coli. Yes they are stronger e-coli as they have been bred to be strong. But they also have weaknesses that ordinary e-coli don't have. Hothouse flowers come to mind. Animal husbandry is about taking the fittest and selective breeding into the next generation.

Antibiotics are specially designed not to kill all bacteria, as your gut bacteria are very important in the process of nutrition absorption. They are targetted medicines.

" the trick is to kill the pathological bacteria and leave only the beneficial bacteria alive. This cannot always be accomplished, and when it is not accomplished -- that is, when some of the bacteria left alive are pathological and not beneficial -- this is the development of antibiotic resistance. Antibiotic resistance in pathological bacteria is the undesirable consequence of the treatment of bacterial infections. It is not natural selection. "
Report tobermory December 2, 2016 6:59 PM GMT
Not sure what your point is there tbh

I guess you are talking about 'micro evolution/macro evolution' , i notice creationists do bang on about that as if species changing but remaining the species proves they cannot become different species .

If it changes enough then it will no longer be able to interbreed and so will be different species.
Report Foinavon December 3, 2016 12:05 AM GMT
Over 5 billion species are extinct which is  99 percent of all species.
The stratification of the fossil record shows how evolution has progressed over billions of years.

How does all that fit in with your creationist myth Zorro? Noah's Ark wasn't big enough?
Report zorrostrikes December 3, 2016 5:36 PM GMT
As it was in the past, it's not accessible, Noah and his ancestors lived an average of 1000 years. It's possible that they were not country bumpkins but had an advanced society's knowledge. I'm fifty and have picked up a few skills, Living to 1000 means i'd pick up a few more.
secondly they don't take every animal in existence only the clean animals. The farm animals. God can create a million tigers in a a day if he wants to? he's god. The idea was to destroy the product of mankind that was evil. Not to kill the animals.

Have you seen the seed ark project - The Svalbard Global Seed Vault in Norway.
They took every tree in existence and stored them in a cave? sounds ridiculous.
the bible is not literal, it simplifies for every generation to come. The man in the first century has to understand it as well as the advanced people of the 21st century?


please remember that modern science has only been around a few centuries. Noah was 950 when he died. he was jewish, and all the nobel prize winners worth their salt are jewish.

As god is also a higher dimensional being - who's to say he didn't do a tardis job in the inside? I'm a crazzy man.

Let's now wait and see who was right. Time is up. it's voting time.

2017 - 70 years in the land. Israel is here and it's the last jubilee.
Report Foinavon December 3, 2016 7:52 PM GMT
Not a credible explanation at all.
You say the bible is not literal but you choose to believe, literally, that a man described in the bible lived for 950 years. That's not being consistent, is it?
I choose to believe that the bible is hogwash, that's being consistent.
Why would God create 5 billion species only to destroy them?
Why does the fossil record extend over billions of years?
Why doesn't the bible provide an explanation for the above? I think we know why but you are unlikely to admit it.

Yes, I know about the seed vault. I don't think it's ridiculous at all. Once a species is gone, it's gone forever. The preserved genes may help mankind in the future to restore or improve the food supply, or make new medicines or have uses we haven't yet considered.
Report zorrostrikes December 3, 2016 9:01 PM GMT
oh Mr Foinavon, we'll miss you sir, up in heaven.
I'm sorry sir that you can't see that mr Jesus was the messiah.
It just won't be the same sir. Not without you.


Hawkins the mega mind says the big bang and the creationist viewpoint of the age of the universe are both equally valid theories. (a brief history of time)

So in my universe, you in woefully wrong.
Report Foinavon December 3, 2016 9:42 PM GMT
Creationism can't explain any of our observations, the only game in town is evolution.

Sorry you will miss me in heaven Zorro, we would have had some lovely conversations and painted some stunning landscapes together.

Oh and by the way, if Noah only saved the "clean" animals, why do we have the pig?
Report ebulGery December 4, 2016 1:35 AM GMT
If you can tell me how to live for 950 years, I will believe you ZorroLaugh
Report zorrostrikes December 4, 2016 1:45 PM GMT
just eat pot noodles - the preservatives will make you last longer.
Report Foinavon December 4, 2016 2:27 PM GMT
Thought you might like this spoof, Zorro. It satirises some of Professor Dawkins's strange beliefs.
.
http://www.thedailymash.co.uk/news/celebrity/richard-dawkins-to-star-in-70s-style-sitcom-about-god-2013050167300?utm_content=buffer28071&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer
Report zorrostrikes December 4, 2016 6:55 PM GMT
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z4E_bT4ecgk

more ridiculous numbers... to overcome.
watch it and deny away. starring Dawkins.
Nova - the fabric of the cosmos. 

Dawkins talks about
Aliens, multiverses, fairies, chocolate pots, leprecauns, maybe evolution(going off topic).
a vengeful wrathful god that is willing to pull mankind up to his level? (that sacrifices his son?) the year is 5777. Denial leads to barbeque.
Report ebulGery December 4, 2016 11:33 PM GMT
You are telling me Zorro, Noah lived 950 years because he ate pot noodlesShocked

I shall have to give them a tryLaugh
Report Foinavon December 5, 2016 10:27 AM GMT
Nice try Zorro but it's still the good old "God of the Gaps". The comments, captions and dramatic music are the viewpoints of the person or organisation which compiled the video clip and which want to push you in a certain direction. There are lots of things we can't yet model mathematically, no-one denies that but it's no reason to add a quantum leap level of complexity by postulating a divine creator which neither you nor anyone else is able to prove.
Report zorrostrikes December 5, 2016 11:43 PM GMT
gravity constant chances of being as they are 10^120 ? a trillion, trillion, trillion ^1
10 with 120 zeroes to one

Doesn't matter? it happened coz it did...

multiverse theory, which no one has actually submitted a paper on?
odds also 10 ^120 ?

Report ebulGery December 6, 2016 1:59 AM GMT
You try to contradict science using Science, of probability.

In its place you offer us creationism which does not have one single piece of evidence????????????????????????????

Belief in not proof!
Report Foinavon December 6, 2016 10:09 AM GMT
What you have written Zorro makes no sense. The gravitational constant is just that, a measured value.
Why don't you go back and read John Polkinghorne again (or whoever is your current guru) and try and try and understand what he is claiming.
You can then read my previous response again which is your answer from me.
Report donny osmond December 6, 2016 10:37 AM GMT
high probability happens !



what are the chances of us being conceived

its the number of sperm/1 = 100,000,000/1  = 10 ^ 8

else we are somebody different


add in your mam and dads chances and their parents and theirs
and you soon reach probabilities that perhaps should not exist

yet here we are and there are billions of us, each with our own probability trees
Report zorrostrikes December 6, 2016 10:46 AM GMT
i'm sorry. so sorry .... maths has destroyed your way.... i'm sorry, so sorry...
it's all gone away....

MATHS a real science. Not that philosophy, untestable BS. That is observational and has no practical applications.
Tomorrow, i'll wake up, spring out of bed and shout - what breakthrough in evolutionary science will come today? ( not gonna happen) Because it doesn't produce a thing.
unlike Physics, chemistry, biology and MATHS. (mr Pasteur is crying, father of microbiology, he says to stop it, Darwin doesn't get the credit for his work, he's told you before, Darwin is a ****) it's in his letters).


Look children a bone, it a million years old?
No, miss it's a bone, of indeterminate age.
Report zorrostrikes December 6, 2016 10:52 AM GMT
high probability does happen.

but maths gives us a threshold, the impossibilty threshold.
it's not 10^8 which is the lottery win as well.
it's 10^50 - that's extremely more than 10^8.

imagine winning the main prize lottery every day for a few thousand years. see the difference.

now - you got to beat
10^120 twice (gravity and multiverse)
10^260 for one protein forming
then there are another few hundred variables to beat also ?

insane much.
Report donny osmond December 6, 2016 11:04 AM GMT
the world went on for ever from now then in time
somebody would win the main prize lottery every day
for a few thousand years
Report donny osmond December 6, 2016 11:05 AM GMT
if the world ...
Report scandanavian_haven December 6, 2016 11:39 AM GMT
"Reports that say that something hasn't happened are always interesting to me, because as we know, there are known knowns; there are things we know we know. We also know there are known unknowns; that is to say we know there are some things we do not know. But there are also unknown unknowns – the ones we don't know we don't know. And if one looks throughout the history of our country and other free countries, it is the latter category that tend to be the difficult one"
Report DStyle December 6, 2016 12:45 PM GMT
i think it's fair to accept the concept that when a probability becomes so small it effectively becomes impossible.

but zorro's examples are silly.

for what seems like the 15th time, i must remind him that the number he quotes for the spontaneous formation of a protein is a nonsense and I've explained why a number of times. it's very very sad that he keep repeating it. it's why i've tried to stop posting on these threads.

likewise assigning some probability to the gravitational constant is also a nonsense. it's the equivalent to claiming that pi was created because the probability of it coming about by chance is infinite because it's a transcendental number.
Report ebulGery December 6, 2016 2:19 PM GMT
Look children a bone, it a million years old?
No, miss it's a bone, of indeterminate age.


Wrong Zorro...the bone would be identified by carbon dating which works.


We are gamblers on here...how many races or football matches work out to probability

The first two results at Fontwell this afternoon did not appear probable to me but they happened.


You are also using current probability levels Zorro, as we learn more these may change.

One thing I do know that the description in Genesis in the Bible being true has a probability of zero!
Report ebulGery December 6, 2016 2:23 PM GMT
We do not everything, we may never know everything.

Often the more we discover, the less we know.

But Science including Darwinism is trying hard.

Religion is like an Ostrich, it sticks its head in the sand!
Report zorrostrikes December 6, 2016 9:04 PM GMT
how is the number i quote nonsense - it Francis Crick the evolutionist's own number?

I didn't make it up - he did. He cut his own nads off.

Carbon dating - how it works -
First when submitting a sample to date you must supply a date you think it may be from? otherwise they will not accept it.

Willard F. Libby Was the man who first developed the idea and procedure for Carbon dating. He measured the half-life of Carbon-14 to be about 5,568 years. However after about 50,000 years there is so little Carbon-14 left in the specimen that it is very hard, almost impossible, to calculate its age. (Van Der Merwe) Libby ran many tests on items where the age was known, or estimated by other means. His test results came rather close, to within plus or minus a few hundred years. (Poole)

oops - i did it again.

so children, please remember it's a bone.
Report DStyle December 6, 2016 10:03 PM GMT
oh zorro, not again.

it's reaching the stage where you're starting to look like a troll or have become so blinkered that you brutally filter out everything you read that causes even the slightest whiff of cognitive dissonance.

i've explained to you countless times that crick uses that number to explain that proteins did not just spontaneously assemble through chance from a pool of amino acids, rather that there must be a more feasible mechanism, and uses it to preface an argument for evolution.

It's used as evidence by crick to support the very thing you use it for to attempt to disprove.

That's how out of kilter you are.

To assign a probability to it, is the same as assigning a probability to pixies living inside my computer's CPU and it's that they are doing all the processing.

Let me explain this.

DStyle: "My computer's CPU is made up over a billion transistors"
Zorro: "No it's a little elephant doing the work".
DStyle "the probability of there being little pixies doing the work in my computer's CPU is close to zero"
Zorro: "Therefore the only remaining explanation is the little elephant"

It's an utterly insane version of the prosecutor's fallacy.

As for the limitations of carbon dating, there are a multitude of other dating techniques.
Report donny osmond December 6, 2016 10:52 PM GMT
i suspect dating techniques is a subject for another thread ?
Report Capt__F December 6, 2016 11:02 PM GMT
elephant dating

had a few to be fair
Report zorrostrikes December 7, 2016 2:36 AM GMT
Scientist puts the odds of God existing at 67 percent.

https://www.theguardian.com/education/2004/mar/08/highereducation.uk1


Non – God odds below…
Gravity constant aka the universal constant has been calculated at
10 to the power of 120 . 10^120. 10 with 120 zeros to 1

Multiverse theory – no scientist has offered a paper to this theory, but physicists have calculated that the likelihood of a multiverse existing to be 10^120 too.

Francis Crick – evolutionist, has himself calculated a random protein forming to be 10^260. Twenty different proteins needed to make a simple cell.
Three obstacles that are insane.


What are the odds….
A billion to one 10^8
A trillion is 10^12
10^120 is a trillion, trillion,trillion,trillion,trillion,trillion,trillion,trillion,trillion,trillion to one.
The amount of atoms in the universe is between 10^78 and 10^82.
Report ebulGery December 7, 2016 9:40 AM GMT
There is also the stuff we stand on the Earth

There are layers of it earth, rocks, sand, etc. It has all been formed and laid down over time.

Dig down and we go back into the past, fossils in each layer correspond to that time.

Or are you going to write off geology as well Zorro?


Scientist puts the odds of God existing at 67 percent.

erm One scientist!

There is always a website somewhere on the Internet to support whatever view we want

Still don't let me change you ZorroLaugh
Report ebulGery December 7, 2016 9:41 AM GMT
Although I don't think I willSad
Report ebulGery December 7, 2016 9:48 AM GMT
Probabilities are NOT facts, they are a measure of uncertainty.

They change as what we know to be certain changes.

Our Daily betting should tell us the limits of probability.

They do meCry
Report donny osmond December 7, 2016 9:54 AM GMT
probability of probabilities being wrong = 99%
Report Foinavon December 7, 2016 10:12 AM GMT
it's been estimated that 80% of all statistics are made up. Laugh
Report DStyle December 7, 2016 10:31 AM GMT
so there we go.

i explain what's wrong with the numbers. he ignores it. and reposts the same thing again.

it's trolling or wilfully ignoring anything that challenges the nonsense he reads.

just no point. i am a fool for diving back in.
Report Foinavon December 7, 2016 10:44 AM GMT
I think Zorro is insecure and seeks confirmation of his beliefs. He's made a poor choice in seeking such confirmation on this forum and should look elsewhere.
Report zorrostrikes December 7, 2016 12:54 PM GMT
not insecure in MY beliefs just YOURS.
In a few years my beliefs will be held up and proven.
You guys will be in trouble. I'm trying to pull you
away from the pit. Christ is holding his hand out to
you and you are slapping it away..
Time is on my side... oh yes it is.

in response to ebulGery.

Layeres of soil and other strata can be laid down very quickly.
Mount st Helens exploded and covered the entire earth.
Krakatoa did the same. many others. 
Trees have been found in between soil stratas - they are called
'polystrate fossils' please google.
also there a plane that ditched in Greenland in 1942. They set out to find it and
expected to dig a few feet down. Instead the plane was buried by 268 feet of ice
'the glacier girl' was only there for 50 years. 70 metres down. 
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Glacier_Girl
Report Foinavon December 7, 2016 3:59 PM GMT
Thanks for your concern Zorro and I'm pleased to hear that you are not feeling insecure as I had thought.
There's no need to worry about me, honestly. Just you look forward to happy times to come with Jesus.
God bless.

Oh and please stop posting pseudoscientific nonsense on here, leave that with the creationist website builders will you?
Report ebulGery December 7, 2016 7:59 PM GMT
Zorro Geologists know when strata is laid down.

Oh and please stop posting pseudoscientific nonsense on here, leave that with the creationist website builders will you?
I agree Foinavon.

You are not having any real debate, you just pick out little bits which suit you.

You have every right to believe in God and creationism and I am sure you are a nice manHappy.
Report zorrostrikes December 7, 2016 9:23 PM GMT
well the latest scientific theories say this, our existence. Behaves like a simulation. (i personally think this is BS) but if the physicists are right. it's a program being run somewhere on a super computer - it therefore means that time is an illusion. the program could complete in milliseconds and we would experience billions of years in the simulation.

science  - such BS they think up. And someone always buys it.

I'm sticking to my guns chaps - the messiah doesn't break his promises and there are a few to go. Famine, pestilence, meteors, etc. It's not nice stuff. But then it's for not nice people. Evil, all evil will be swept away. If you want to hang onto your baggage and manage it, like picking a scab. It's your choice. I would investigate further because eternity is a long time. I'm trying to scare you now, because rational discourse isn't working. I don't want you to join a club or pay dues to some cheesy tele evangelist. I just want you to read the bible and start a conversation with the real god. the one that wasn't created. That's eternal. Zeus was created, Thor, the fairies, the chocolate pot. But God is Spirit and never drifted into idol worship.
the bible deals with real people in a fallen world, they live in brutal times and violence happens, remarkably it still does today. Britain just smited the Iraq people, the Afghan people. etc. The bible is a history of several generations of Jews. What other religion follows ordinary people like that. The people have barbaric superstitions and God rebukes them for idol worship. False gods. You complain there are thousands of other gods. God does the same. False gods. The bible says Adam lost his authority to Satan. and Satan is now the god of this world. He has a right to rule till the lease expires. God gave 6000 years on the lease. The Jews are saying it's up soon. I believe them.

you can all quibble about numbers, years etc. to me it's irrelevant, time is God's creation. he walked on water he can bend time. I'm warning people, because I'm safe, but you are not. you need to investigate and question this world, because the father of lies rules it. he uses words  like life emerged from mud - life has the appearance of being designed. (so i can't believe my own eyes? trust my perceptions?)
investigate and be sure. because 100 years is not eternity. it's a scratch on a block of marble a mile deep.

end of rant.
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