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xmoneyx
22 Jun 16 22:29
Joined:
Date Joined: 12 Jul 11
| Topic/replies: 18,524 | Blogger: xmoneyx's blog
EU referendum poll:
Remain: 51% (+2)
Leave: 49% (-2)
(via YouGov, online / 20 - 22 Jun)
Excludes DKs.
Pause • Switch to Standard View last poll will be mori --10am Thursday
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Report treetop • June 22, 2016 10:47 PM BST
Thanks for your posts xmoney, differnces apart you have done a fine job keeping us in the know !
Report xmoneyx • June 22, 2016 11:17 PM BST
no probs
Report Ibrahima Sonko • June 22, 2016 11:20 PM BST
xmoneyx, whats your view on why the odds dont reflect the polls ?

I know remain have been mostly leading but it doesnt make that much sense.
Report xmoneyx • June 22, 2016 11:27 PM BST
I think they feel a lot of DKs will defo vote remain as status quo
Report xmoneyx • June 22, 2016 11:28 PM BST
Thursday's Times Business:
City banks tell clients to prepare for Brexit chaos
Report Ibrahima Sonko • June 22, 2016 11:31 PM BST
I would have people with no opinion are just as likely not to vote.

If they cant be bothered to do some reading on the matter they are unlikely to have the effort to get to a polling station imo.

Still makes the remain the fav but not as clear as the odds reflect.
Report xmoneyx • June 22, 2016 11:35 PM BST
Jan I was going to weekly buy remain on the exchange,up to 15k

glad I didn't ,I'd be sh^tting myself tonight
Report jollyswagman • June 22, 2016 11:48 PM BST
x well done on  your work, but im not sure what any of it means. we are fooked either way imo.
Report Ibrahima Sonko • June 22, 2016 11:52 PM BST
We could well be fooked if we leave but that could only happen if something was evil, but were fooked if we stay.

At the end of the day, it would be easy to get across the channel and be a refugee.
Report bodil • June 23, 2016 12:02 AM BST
I have this impression that too much attention is concentrated on the population of London/SE - from whence come most bankers, hedgies, pollsters, TV and press, politicians, bookies' reps, celebrities and other hangers-on.  This skews the polls because London will vote remain - after all, most of its inhabitants are foreign.  However, I suspect the rest of England, at least, will vote leave.  Well, that's what my money's hoping.  Whatever, it's great entertainment.
Report xmoneyx • June 23, 2016 9:16 AM BST
the last ipsos MORI poll  14 June had leave 6 points ahead

next one due out in 45 mins
Report xmoneyx • June 23, 2016 10:20 AM BST
Ben Page, Ipsos MORI‏ @benatipsosmori
Ipsos MORI is not conducting a face to face exit poll outside polling stations. Hearing claims of people saying they are us
Report xmoneyx • June 23, 2016 10:21 AM BST
psos Mori’s undecided voters focus group found experts, David Cameron and the economy were all big deciding factors
Report xmoneyx • June 23, 2016 10:33 AM BST
poll delay,must be tweeking the resultWink
Report Ron-Russian • June 23, 2016 10:35 AM BST
The latest betfair forum chit chat poll's showing

93% Leave eu

7% Remain in the eu
Report DIE LINKE • June 23, 2016 10:35 AM BST
Too busy betting on here more like.
Report Breedingmad • June 23, 2016 10:40 AM BST
From a poll of gamblers..not sure its a true representation of the populationLaugh
Report gresty241 • June 23, 2016 10:42 AM BST
I know hundreds who SAY they are voting out and only couple of people who say they are voting remain, who are these remainians?
Report xmoneyx • June 23, 2016 10:43 AM BST
Ron Russian

Sunderland will be first result in tonight

white working class
Report Breedingmad • June 23, 2016 10:56 AM BST
Oh, you don't get me, I'm part of the union
You don't get me, I'm part of the union
You don't get me, I'm part of the union
Until the day I die
Until the day I die
Report Pokermonster • June 23, 2016 10:57 AM BST
6.2 and 1.18.  It's all over bar the counting. 

Bitterly disappointing for us leavers, I still find it astonishing so many folks would vote to remain with the likes of Juncker, Schauble and Van Rompuy instead of democratically elected governance.
Report DIE LINKE • June 23, 2016 10:59 AM BST
Seems people put the economic aspect at the top of their list rather than back the Farage, Johnson, Gove vanity project
Report ZenMaster • June 23, 2016 11:00 AM BST
Who are the remainians?

The middle class who ride around on pink horses loving everyone, except the UK working class.

Students who have been indoctrinated to hate Farage and love Eddie Izzard. Yet only one is an expert on the issue and it's not the dressmaker.
Report xmoneyx • June 23, 2016 11:03 AM BST
remains -silent majority
Report xmoneyx • June 23, 2016 11:05 AM BST
idan Kerr‏ @AidanKerrPol
Final Ipsos Mori #EURef poll

Remain 52%
Leave 48%

10 pts swing from last poll
Report xmoneyx • June 23, 2016 11:08 AM BST
Britain Elects‏ @britainelects
EU referendum poll:
Remain: 52% (+5)
Leave: 48% (-5)
(via Ipsos Mori, phone)
Excl. DKs.
Report xmoneyx • June 23, 2016 11:30 AM BST
Remain take narrow lead in final Ipsos-Mori telephone poll
If you're ever trying to organise a surprise party, it might be an idea not to mention it to Ben Page of Ipsos-Mori.  Having told the world the other day that two of his firm's competitors were about to publish polls showing Remain in the lead, he's spent the last couple of hours undermining the embargo on his own poll by dropping broad hints on Twitter that it was going to show a swing to Remain.  In all honesty, though, given that Leave have been dropping like a stone on the betting markets, it's quite striking that the Remain lead is as low as it is - it's lower than ComRes reported last night (in spite of the fact that the fieldwork is much more up to date), and it's in 'statistical tie' territory.  Depending on the reports they're getting about turnout on the ground, the Leave campaign may feel this still puts them in with a genuine shout.

Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?

Remain 52%
Leave 48%
Report Pokermonster • June 23, 2016 11:39 AM BST
I think we all know the battle has been lost.  Sad
Report Breedingmad • June 23, 2016 11:41 AM BST
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Report Burton-Brewers • June 23, 2016 11:47 AM BST
the Germans have agreed to accept that Hurt's goal in '66 crossed the line if we Remain
Report xmoneyx • June 23, 2016 11:52 AM BST
battle begun--Tory partyWink
Report Just Checking • June 23, 2016 11:58 AM BST
I don't understand how a 2% lead can lead to the odds shifting a huge amount to 7.0ConfusedConfusedConfusedConfused
Report xmoneyx • June 23, 2016 12:01 PM BST
4%
Report Burton-Brewers • June 23, 2016 12:01 PM BST
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Report anxious • June 23, 2016 12:15 PM BST
Hey burton come on lets be having ye , are your boys resigned to defeat or are you still hopeful ?
Report learner • June 23, 2016 12:25 PM BST
1.15 stay
Report hulk23 • June 23, 2016 12:28 PM BST
1.15 all gone.
Report hulk23 • June 23, 2016 12:32 PM BST
magic sign still got their new customer offer up from this morning. 

get 3/1 remain or 8/1 leave


you can get 7/1 leave now without the offer .....
Report Burton-Brewers • June 23, 2016 12:36 PM BST
anx I was resigned to defeat last Thursday afternoon
Report Burton-Brewers • June 23, 2016 12:44 PM BST
by the way anx I won't be here for a bit after Friday but don't worry I am not dead, (well hope not) we're off to spend some time with our boy for a couple of weeks
Report Alias • June 23, 2016 12:50 PM BST
6.2 and 1.18.  It's all over bar the counting.

Bitterly disappointing for us leavers, I still find it astonishing so many folks would vote to remain with the likes of Juncker, Schauble and Van Rompuy instead of democratically elected governance.


Democratic? Like the House of Lords, the second biggest unelected chamber on earth?
Report Alias • June 23, 2016 12:52 PM BST
The latest betfair forum chit chat poll's showing

93% Leave eu

7% Remain in the eu


I'd never have thought there would be so many reactionary rednecks on Betfair.
Report anxious • June 23, 2016 12:56 PM BST
Have a nice time Burton away from all the nonsense
Report Burton-Brewers • June 23, 2016 1:00 PM BST
yes there was a method behind the madness and I will not pick up a newspaper in 2 weeks
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