Chit Chat
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EU referendum poll:
Remain: 51% (+2)
Leave: 49% (-2)
(via YouGov, online / 20 - 22 Jun)
Excludes DKs.
Remain: 51% (+2)
Leave: 49% (-2)
(via YouGov, online / 20 - 22 Jun)
Excludes DKs.
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Replies: 44
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Thanks for your posts xmoney, differnces apart you have done a fine job keeping us in the know !
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no probs
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xmoneyx, whats your view on why the odds dont reflect the polls ?
I know remain have been mostly leading but it doesnt make that much sense. |
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I think they feel a lot of DKs will defo vote remain as status quo
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Thursday's Times Business:
City banks tell clients to prepare for Brexit chaos |
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I would have people with no opinion are just as likely not to vote.
If they cant be bothered to do some reading on the matter they are unlikely to have the effort to get to a polling station imo. Still makes the remain the fav but not as clear as the odds reflect. |
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Jan I was going to weekly buy remain on the exchange,up to 15k
glad I didn't ,I'd be sh^tting myself tonight |
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x well done on your work, but im not sure what any of it means. we are fooked either way imo.
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We could well be fooked if we leave but that could only happen if something was evil, but were fooked if we stay.
At the end of the day, it would be easy to get across the channel and be a refugee. |
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I have this impression that too much attention is concentrated on the population of London/SE - from whence come most bankers, hedgies, pollsters, TV and press, politicians, bookies' reps, celebrities and other hangers-on. This skews the polls because London will vote remain - after all, most of its inhabitants are foreign. However, I suspect the rest of England, at least, will vote leave. Well, that's what my money's hoping. Whatever, it's great entertainment.
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the last ipsos MORI poll 14 June had leave 6 points ahead
next one due out in 45 mins |
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Ben Page, Ipsos MORI @benatipsosmori
Ipsos MORI is not conducting a face to face exit poll outside polling stations. Hearing claims of people saying they are us |
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psos Mori’s undecided voters focus group found experts, David Cameron and the economy were all big deciding factors
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poll delay,must be tweeking the result
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The latest betfair forum chit chat poll's showing
93% Leave eu 7% Remain in the eu |
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Too busy betting on here more like.
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From a poll of gamblers..not sure its a true representation of the population
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I know hundreds who SAY they are voting out and only couple of people who say they are voting remain, who are these remainians?
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Ron Russian
Sunderland will be first result in tonight white working class |
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Oh, you don't get me, I'm part of the union
You don't get me, I'm part of the union You don't get me, I'm part of the union Until the day I die Until the day I die |
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6.2 and 1.18. It's all over bar the counting.
Bitterly disappointing for us leavers, I still find it astonishing so many folks would vote to remain with the likes of Juncker, Schauble and Van Rompuy instead of democratically elected governance. |
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Seems people put the economic aspect at the top of their list rather than back the Farage, Johnson, Gove vanity project
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Who are the remainians?
The middle class who ride around on pink horses loving everyone, except the UK working class. Students who have been indoctrinated to hate Farage and love Eddie Izzard. Yet only one is an expert on the issue and it's not the dressmaker. |
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remains -silent majority
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idan Kerr @AidanKerrPol
Final Ipsos Mori #EURef poll Remain 52% Leave 48% 10 pts swing from last poll |
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Britain Elects @britainelects
EU referendum poll: Remain: 52% (+5) Leave: 48% (-5) (via Ipsos Mori, phone) Excl. DKs. |
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Remain take narrow lead in final Ipsos-Mori telephone poll
If you're ever trying to organise a surprise party, it might be an idea not to mention it to Ben Page of Ipsos-Mori. Having told the world the other day that two of his firm's competitors were about to publish polls showing Remain in the lead, he's spent the last couple of hours undermining the embargo on his own poll by dropping broad hints on Twitter that it was going to show a swing to Remain. In all honesty, though, given that Leave have been dropping like a stone on the betting markets, it's quite striking that the Remain lead is as low as it is - it's lower than ComRes reported last night (in spite of the fact that the fieldwork is much more up to date), and it's in 'statistical tie' territory. Depending on the reports they're getting about turnout on the ground, the Leave campaign may feel this still puts them in with a genuine shout. Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union? Remain 52% Leave 48% |
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I think we all know the battle has been lost.
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the Germans have agreed to accept that Hurt's goal in '66 crossed the line if we Remain
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battle begun--Tory party
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I don't understand how a 2% lead can lead to the odds shifting a huge amount to 7.0
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4%
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Hey burton come on lets be having ye , are your boys resigned to defeat or are you still hopeful ?
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1.15 stay
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1.15 all gone.
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magic sign still got their new customer offer up from this morning.
get 3/1 remain or 8/1 leave you can get 7/1 leave now without the offer ..... |
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anx I was resigned to defeat last Thursday afternoon
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