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Britain Elects @britainelects
EU referendum poll:
Remain: 45% (-4)
Leave: 55% (+4)
(via ORB, online / 08 - 09 Jun)
Option to register a DK not included...
EU referendum poll:
Remain: 45% (-4)
Leave: 55% (+4)
(via ORB, online / 08 - 09 Jun)
Option to register a DK not included...
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Replies: 184
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Yet the price on this exchange is solid.
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must be because of percentage DK
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I expect leave will be 4 or 5% up on the night and then go down by 1 or 2% once the postal votes are counted.
Uncanny how the postal votes always favour the establishment  |
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I think it'll be more than a 1 or 2% swing with the postal votes?
The postal vote will ensure the korrekt result I fear. |
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one or two 'r's' in korrekt?.... anybody know?
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"korrekt" is Swedish for "correct"
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Possibly xmx. I'm not involved and won't be, but I'll be very surprised if Remain doesn't achieve around 60%.
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I was thinking more of the German, Mr.Anderson, thanks anyway.
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i expect the remain team to win handsomly - empty vessels and all that
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Yeah, it's "korrekt" in German as well, and in Danish and Norwergian I think.
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today the penultimate Saturday for the referendum, we finally saw the Britain Stronger in Europe set up a display near us in the town
 I think somebody tipped them off that there is a vote coming up. |
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Are the "Merkel Strapon Acceptors" also campaigning?
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blander blender blinder blonder blunder
patting petting pitting potting putting last, lest, list, lost, lust. |
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Whoever got on at 6.2 for leave must be happy.
Happy heppy hippy hoppy huppy! |
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It all depends on the young voting. If they come out in numbers its remain.
The old and decrepit will vote out and they are more motivated. Keep an eye on the weather forcast. Bad weather would increase the chance of out. |
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If it's bad weather shirley we are staying in !
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Or keep an eye on the TV schedules.
Maybe Channel 4 will have all hollyoaks cancelled so that demographic are stuck for something to do. |
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If it's bad weather shirley we are staying in !
Only the motivated can be bothered to make the effort to vote if the weathers bad. |
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yes my bones will be creaking getting up to the booth
perhaps I should give up on my country like the rest of the sell out remainers |
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Britain Elects @britainelects · 8m8 minutes ago
EU referendum poll: Remain: 44% (+1) Leave: 42% (+1) (via Opinium, online / 07 - 10 Jun) |
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looks like vote hardening up
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I don't like those figures xmoneyx, I'll go with my local newspaper's vote so far today...
72% (464 votes) vote leave... 27% vote stay, 1% don't know better brains than mine can work out the total votes cast. |
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Latest #EURef poll:
Leave one point ahead YouGov: REMAIN 42 (-1) LEAVE 43 (+1 |
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Farage and Cameron on Andrew Marr tommorow.
Cameron to say that if we leave our d*cks will shrivel? |
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chipolata
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The markets are a far better guide than the polls imo. Although I think that this vote may have a higher "gut/last minute" element than anything we have seen before.
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you gov !! don't make me laugh - the clue is in the name
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In this particular case what do the markets know that they won't get from opinion polls?
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here's a good cartoon
https://mobile.twitter.com/LordAshcroft/status/741745234439077888/photo/1 |
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Just Checking - "In this particular case what do the markets know that they won't get from opinion polls?"
Is that a serious question? |
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Which markets do you mean, the BF ones? The financial?
And either way : Yes, it is a serious question. If it's the BF markets it's opinions and sheep. There isn't a sporting post book on pricing up EU referendums based on past a table of past results and people who've spent their entire life analysing the form of EU voters. What info am I missing? |
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idiot
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What a stupid question
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Who is the idiot mini-me? Me?
Please explain for the rest of the forum what inputs to the "markets" they are getting, on the subject of what is basically a complete one off opinion poll, other than smaller opinion polls of the people voting, adjusted by statistical experts in the field? I'm sure all of the un-enlightened idiots want to know your wisdom! |
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Getting fanciful here but if Dave has been tipped the wink on how the postal votes were shaping up, no wonder he was so keen to extend the voter registration period by another 36 hours.
I'll get me tin-foil hat. |
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ICM poll due in 30 mins
Britain Elects @britainelects · 9m9 minutes ago Until the poll is confirmed by ICM, the Guardian or us we'd recommend you take the rumours put about with a pinch of salt. |
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Britain Elects @britainelects · 2m2 minutes ago
EU referendum poll: Remain: 47% Leave: 53% (via ICM, both online and phone / 10 - 13 June) |
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Leave as low as 13/8
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One of the Conservative Party’s biggest donors is withdrawing his support over the “irresponsible” way in which Prime Minister David Cameron has handled the EU referendum campaign.
Edi Truell, a pensions advisor, said Mr Cameron’s warning this weekend over the alleged damage Brexit would do to pensions was the final straw in a long list of “unfair” claims by the Remain campaign. He told the Daily Telegraph that “the machinery of Government is being abused” by the campaign to keep Britain in the European Union (EU) and said he would not be giving any more money to the Conservatives while David Cameron remained Prime Minister. Mr Truell, who has donated over £270,000 to the party since 2010, said he would only give more money to the party if Boris Johnson or Michael Gove, senior ‘Leave’ campaigners, become leader. “I think Boris, Michael Gove and team have done a sterling job, a brave job, and I would be only too pleased to support them and, in my view, the genuine Conservative party in the future,” he said. “I’m not prepared to support the current regime given the way they have been going about things.” He added that he was “staggered” by claims made by Mr Cameron about how bad Brexit would be, describing Treasury figures that predict economic meltdown as “fantasy”. “The much greater risk is remaining within the EU, they’ve got explicit plans to destroy British pensions,” Mr Truell said. “All the final salary funds will go bankrupt and their companies will go bankrupt supporting them, that’s about 8,000 pension funds in the private sector.” Mr Truell’s intervention comes just days after Margaret Thatcher’s Defence Secretary Sir John Nott said he was suspending his membership of the Conservative Party over the conduct of the Remain campaign. Sir John accused the Prime Minister of “alienating” supporters, adding: “I was shocked when Cameron and, in particular Osborne, launched into to this fairly frenetic campaign in favour of the EU.” “They launched very early into this attack, this description of all the horrors that would happen if we exit. I just listed to this and thought, ‘this is complete nonsense’.” Good man |